老五

#BTC $BTC
As expected on Monday, the result of the market being stuck is that after multiple failed small-range tests, the gun barrel is turned and it begins to move downward. After that, although there were signs of a rebound, the sustained momentum has gradually weakened. Now the 1H boundary has become a pressure point. If other market conditions do not improve, it is highly likely to return to test the previous low support.

#ETH $ETH
In relative terms, E is already the strongest underlying asset. It was forced to pull back before it had firmly established itself due to the broader market dragging it down. The good news is that the long position pattern still exists. The bad news is that it seems it may follow the same fate: once support at the bottom of the ascending channel fails, then 1750 below must show some response; otherwise, this round of the rally will be declared over.

#solana $SOL
S’s relay box appears to be in serious danger. The previous tests and feedback were accurate and timely, but this time it seems to have finally exhausted all its energy. The bottom has been above 72 hours, and further narrowing and repeated testing have occurred. For a weak underlying, this is not good. Remember to set alerts in advance in the eyelid-closure zone, and even at a lower level, to pick up lucky chips.

#美联储9比3维持利率不变 #韩国股市因三星财报反弹

#BTC $BTC
After the first half week’s rally, B finally reaches the key prior turnover zone 665. After its initial short push and brief test, it began to step back in small increments. If we design the plan by the high-latitude cycle, the bottom of the rising channel at 640 would be a strong retest position; 625 will determine whether long positions can continue to be maintained; and 615 is the final make-or-break level.

#ETH $ETH
After E’s double-top test, multiple derivative secondary pressure zones appeared. Once the weekend’s pullback test was completed, confirmation at 1800 then marked the start of a fully bullish trend. If a mild pullback happens at the current position, 1900 is the primary support for entry, determining how likely the move toward 2050 is. Next is the long support at 1800, which is also equally important.

#solana $SOL
S’s secondary support area showed a slight downward trend, but it has been corrected back to balance by the overall market, bringing both bulls and bears again into a state of equilibrium. Around the 75 area, it has already been nearly three weeks; the importance of this level has increased and must be clearly affirmed before entering, otherwise it is very likely to repeatedly lose positions.

#比特币市值占比升至59% #香港存储概念股走强

#BTC $BTC
The B upward path has been fully realized, and we are now at an important stage of a pullback to the breakout boundary for retesting and re-confirming the support area. Although it has temporarily broken through the recent short-term high, there are still multiple prior resistance levels above that need to be handled cautiously. The most ideal scenario is to pull back to the 64 area, then form a short-term sideways consolidation, and gradually rebound.

#ETH $ETH
The internal analysis shared in the group on Monday has been fully verified. E began to gain momentum at the start of the week after a mild pullback to confirm the HL, and 1750 has become a very solid support zone. After the pin-needle boundary line, it quickly pulled back and then promptly exited the turnover/handing-over zone. The previous high resistance level was only a brief entanglement before it quickly reached the planned profit-taking area of 1900.

#solana $SOL
S has bounced back somewhat, but compared with other targets, its reaction is weaker and the performance is lackluster—so much so that it is even worse than some smaller altcoins. The consolidation around the boundary line shows that S’s direction is not yet entirely clear. If it continues to probe lower here, it must not break below the early-week low. At the same time, it needs a strong rebound back upward; otherwise, it is very easy for it to keep sliding down and retreat further, opening up more downside space.

#以太坊涨5.2%突破下降趋势线 #比特币守于三周高位6.5万美元

#BTC $BTC
After breaking below 615, the situation in which shorts have kept pressing finally gets some breathing room. Over the past week, multiple attempts to break through have repeatedly failed. After being held down to the lowest point yesterday, sufficient rebound momentum has been released. The current first strong test is the pressure level at 615; with the news backdrop combined with market uncertainty, today it’s best not to prematurely conclude the direction—enter as much as possible from the right side.

#ETH $ETH
This downward channel, which has persisted from the mid‑month of last month to now, has finally received an official test again today. The earlier rounded-bottom formation has taken shape and completed a second test of the short-term prior low at 1500. Now, at a key level, we’re waiting for the next step direction to emerge. If the price pulls back next but still holds and does not break the prior low, you may consider taking a short-term long entry, set a timely stop-loss, and observe.

#solana $SOL
Of all the potential reversals this week, S is the most likely. In Monday’s analysis, there was a speculation about whether it would impact the secondary support pressure, and this was confirmed in the early hours today along with a substantive short-term breakout. Now that the slope at the bottom has been further raised, those already holding can choose to take profit (TP) in the buffer zone or at the first pressure area. If you want to enter, you need to wait for a small-timeframe pullback to confirm.

#贝莱德IBIT比特币持仓减少近10万枚 #比特币经历2022年来最差上半年

#BTC $BTC
After quickly dropping back to previous lows following a failed test at 665, the integer level at 615 is now under threat. The feedback is basically consistent with previous levels; we’ve seen a pin bar - retracement - consolidation - and now an upward test of the moving average resistance. If we can successfully climb above the multi-level moving averages, there’s still hope for bullish momentum. The pressure points for both plans have been marked, so just follow the strategy.

#ETH $ETH
The 1750 zone is increasingly crucial for E’s bullish and bearish assessment. After the failure of this upward test, the subsequent rebound attempt fell flat, but the rebound strength is relatively strong. After a night of digestion, we’re gearing up to challenge that resistance zone again. However, until we see a complete breakout and confirmation, we can only operate with a left-side long on the rebound view, as the overall market remains bearish.

#solana $SOL
After the double top test for S, we’ve returned to the 65 blind zone. Familiar territory with a familiar feel; among the comparisons, S actually shows the strongest strength, seemingly to prove it still has capacity and vitality. We can expect market reactions at the 4-hour boundary, so try to choose right-side setups in smaller time frames and avoid overly subjective judgments.

#美光科技盘后涨10% #SK海力士拟赴美发行ADR

#BTC $BTC
665 Authority +1, the market has repeatedly attempted to break through but has failed, falling through minor support levels. At this point, we are testing the support position of the recent short-term uptrend, facing resistance. If you haven't entered yet, whether bullish or bearish, it’s recommended to look for more favorable patterns in the smaller timeframes instead of guessing the direction blindly. If the rebound faces resistance and drops again, consider going short; otherwise, continue to wait for a better risk-reward setup.

#ETH $ETH
E responds a bit slower, finally stumbling back to 1750 for a test. Given the current performance, if it continues to go down, it may take longer to return to the previous support zone. E has relatively weak momentum in this drop, with market participants showing low energy, indicating a lack of buying support rather than an influx of short sellers. Wait for support to show up in the smaller timeframes.

#solana $SOL
S has been perfectly validated at a secondary position, with bullish take profit levels established +1. Now that the pressure level is effective, it’s starting to descend, preparing to retest the closing zone. Currently, the 4-hour timeframe is still some distance from the previous ascending channel's pullback level. Don't rush to enter and determine direction; wait for more supporting patterns to emerge in the 1-hour timeframe before considering entry based on position and risk-reward ratio.

#半数联储官员支持2026年加息 #The Fed has maintained interest rates unchanged for the fourth time.

#BTC $BTC
Monday's rebound only triggered a drop again in less than 48 hours. Yesterday, the news-driven spike tested 615 and once again tried the upper moving average resistance. Given the impact from other financial markets, if we can smoothly navigate the news this week without hitting new lows, we can look forward to a rebound test at 665. But for now, it’s still a bear market, so don't overthink it on the left side.

#ETH $ETH
E1750 attempted a double top test on a smaller timeframe and predictably returned to bearish territory. However, the drop hasn't been smooth, and the repeated news has prevented any significant space from opening up. The ideal scenario would be to test the previous low or, with other factors, spike down to 1450 and then quickly recover to form effective support, followed by a gradual rise to attempt a breakout at 1750. If we see a higher low rebound, we can plan similarly.

#solana $SOL
The 65 resting zone is still effective. For shorts, there’s only the possibility of short-term trades right now; the risk-reward ratio for spot at this level is generally poor. If we can find support at this position and start a rebound or establish a reasonable low-range box, then we might consider short-term long positions for an excessive rebound. Otherwise, the risk-reward ratio for entering in this area isn't sufficient to support aggressive left-side trading.

#美国对伊朗发动新打击油价上涨 #美国CPI升至4.2%创三年新高

#BTC $BTC
665's defense held, but the support strength wasn't enough to sustain for even an hour, leading to a failure at the 1H21 test. Within 24 hours, it broke down smoothly, landing on the previous 615 level for another attempt. This position served as effective support previously and is near a round number. If the US stock market stabilizes, it might effectively prolong the support. As mentioned yesterday, risks in the market for June/July will be abnormal, so tread carefully.

#ETH $ETH
E finally reached the critical zone of 1750 that was discussed before. The advice to wait from Monday has proven to be effective. After today's initial spike, we can expect secondary or even multiple tests at this level, which will be influenced by the overall market. As the drop and rebound slow down and weaken, the ideal price action should be another attempt towards the 1750 area, forming a converging triangle in a shorter timeframe. Consider scaling in on the right side.

#solana $SOL
S, after a long period of stagnation, has finally dropped successfully. The fake-out rebound on Monday was the last shred of dignity for the bulls. We're now testing the blind spot; if there's a long-term plan, consider scaling in lightly, but keep in mind that the current position hasn't been fully confirmed. Additionally, the recent performance of S and the assessment of hot sector rotations suggest this might not be the best entry point.

#美财长倡导比特币战略储备 #美国通胀持续联储鹰派美元走强

#BTC $BTC
With the latest US-Iran talks falling apart, the market has taken a dive, finally hitting the previous support level of 72500. Trump has made it clear through action that only he can lead the market's peaks. Historically, there have been numerous battles at this position, and if no other bad news surfaces, we might see some sideways action here. The duration of this consolidation will determine the strength of future support and resistance levels. It’s possible to play for a bounce, but overall, the market is bearish.

#ETH $ETH
After bouncing around the 2050 support level multiple times, we’ve finally broken down. Interestingly, post-breakdown, things could get more convoluted. Unlike the B and S scenarios, the area between the critical levels of 2050 and 1750 contains significant volume divergence, and the range isn’t particularly spacious. So, when entering, it's crucial to stick to the cycle matching rules and ensure the risk-reward ratio is within a reasonable short-term range to avoid rollercoaster moves or false spikes.

#solana $SOL
Once S broke below the current zone, the potential setups became relatively straightforward. The 75 and 65 levels are where the bulls have historically struggled and where we've seen previous low spikes. For the bears, the previous high near 85 can serve as an observation zone for the next potential bounce. While S-related altcoins have been performing quite well recently, S itself hasn’t really shaken off its sluggish state. Whether it goes up or down, the movement is lackluster, especially in this situation where the risk-reward ratio is quite low.

#ETH跌破2000美元 #伊朗革命卫队反击美空军基地

#BTC $BTC
I've been mentioning that a lot of folks here think we've already broken the boundary and should start shorting into a waterfall, but if you take a closer look, this pullback hasn't actually dipped below the previous low yet. So, let's not be too subjective about this. We're still at the previous low and testing that historical volume zone at 785. A natural bounce is expected, but where it will bounce to is still unknown. If we can hold above 785, then it’s time to go long.

#ETH $ETH
Since the drop to the key level of 2050 at the beginning of the week, the market has been sluggish, with fluctuations not really creating any room. On the news front, with OGs flipping and the market being dull, many are hesitant to jump into E. There's been no new capital flowing in, so the overall trend is becoming increasingly pronounced. The optimistic scenario is that we follow the market and test the upper range's bottom, but right now things are unclear. The principle is to support whoever is winning, so don’t be stubborn.

#solana $SOL
S seems to be looking to break out of the buffer zone. Influenced by news from the foundation, it's now starting to gradually test the resistance line on a smaller timeframe. If it can really break free, the next target would be 90. Since there are many participants in S, there are more localized points of contention. Make sure to set your trading rules in advance and avoid chasing unrealistic profit expectations in unfavorable conditions.

#俄罗斯禁个人非托管加密钱包 #特朗普媒体BTC浮亏4.55亿

#BTC $BTC
With less than 24 hours until Trump's market manipulation kicks in, the current market weakness is glaringly obvious. The pump from last month has already given B a 20% profit margin. The burning question now is whether we'll see one last surge, or if this signifies the end of this trend. We're not yet below the bullish territory, but the momentum is clearly weakening. In this stalemate where prices aren't moving up or down, going short is currently the best strategy.

#ETH $ETH
E's oscillation box has once again hit the bottom, but unlike before, this drop comes with other moving averages turning and recent highs that haven't seen strong rebounds. The momentum is clearly leaning towards the bears. The recap from the night before and today's morning recommendations have already outlined the logic and plan for S and E starting to go short. The strength of the bears needs to be confirmed before we fully trust that the momentum has turned bearish, so proceed with caution.

#solana $SOL
S has shown some strength in the small-scale rebound but hasn't yet reached the optimal entry point. Hopefully, news will drive it to form a right shoulder before we get a better entry price. Previous price resistance levels have indeed performed well, and technically, there isn't a major threat. Based on past patterns, there's definitely a chance for another push, but we need to choose to enter short on the right side—don't jump the gun on hitting the top.

#比特币比率突破200日均线 #BitGoQ1营收增长112%

#BTC $BTC
The third test in the vacuum zone has finally arrived at the core conflict area. The current position has a lot of long-term contradiction points amidst a previous downtrend, with 825/845/865 potentially showing some small cycle level confirmations. Currently, the bulls are still in control, so we should primarily focus on long positions; if we start seeing right shoulder LH patterns, consider going short on the right side, but ensure we manage our capital safely—don't assume a waterfall will happen immediately.

#ETH $ETH
The movement of E aligns closely with the previous plan, returning to a bullish scenario but not breaking through the preceding resistance. During this rally, E closely followed initially but showed weakness later on. Given the recent repeated testing of higher highs and lower lows, it's very likely that a phase box will be established in this area. If the market retreats but remains neutral, this zone will serve as a key support area for E, undergoing repeated tests.

#solana $SOL
"Tiles also have their turning day, and the east wind can shift south"—this is what today’s S is about. After enduring recent players’ cold stares, it has finally shown slight bullish momentum, beginning to establish a directional trend for confirmation. Now, regarding the previous resistance at 90, this is a phase assessment, allowing for minor pullbacks to gather strength for a second run. However, to maintain the bullish momentum, we shouldn't linger too long in the choppy zone; consider gradually going long on the right side in small batches.

#特朗普称美伊很有可能达成协议 #币安推出黄金vsBTC未来资产对决活动

#BTC $BTC
The predicted drop at the beginning of the week unfolded yesterday, and Monday's test indeed brought about a change in the upward trend. It's safe to say we're entering a correction phase. Yesterday's formation broke down, compounded by news, prompting a dip towards 750 to seek support. The current natural rebound lacks the strength to return to bullish territory; consider going short on the rebound or looking for long opportunities at previous low levels. 725 can break, but 665 must hold; otherwise, the previous low support might not hold.

#ETH $ETH
PlanB for E has already realized 50%, and now the "upward process is hindered by pressure and has broken the trend." However, the "retest of the previous low" isn't complete. As mentioned earlier, "the inability to support a breakdown doesn't necessarily lead to an immediate waterfall effect; there's a chance for a rebound to test the previous high resistance area." After the price rebounded to 2350, it dropped smoothly. Currently, consider entering on the right side around 2150/2050, but confirmation of the right-side operation is essential.

#solana $SOL
The arc top for S has been confirmed, and the biggest question now is: will it continue to grind down slowly or will an event cause a spike to the previous low? I've pointed out multiple times that "it’s best not to break the previous low, but ideally, it should." Now, I hope to gain momentum for further declines. This position seems to have held support for a long time, but it's not the most ideal entry point for long-term plays; I hope to scoop up more cheap chips.

#BTC跌破$77K #不丹再转移102枚比特币

#BTC $BTC
B is testing the 785 zone again, currently in a pullback phase looking for solid support. From a macro perspective, this upward test has shown a significant increase in the slope compared to the previous rally, and it’s hitting a sensitive area again, indicating a need for a retracement. If the upcoming trend quickly retraces and breaks away from the rally, there’s a chance for another shot at new highs. However, if it falls back to the boundary line and remains sluggish, the risk of a downtrend turning bearish increases.

#ETH $ETH
After the failure of Plan A for E, it’s shifted to Plan B. The earlier small-scale breakdown test of the support area is complete, but the subsequent rebound strength isn’t as robust as before, and the market is back at the critical resistance and turnover zone. With the rebound momentum further diminishing over time, the dynamics between bulls and bears are starting to shift. If the small timeframe shows another rebound that only reaches a lower high, consider entering a short position on the right side, but proceed with caution.

#solana $SOL
"Those who love S are M" fits perfectly here. Friends holding onto S should be asking themselves, "Who am I? Where am I? Why did I buy S?" The surge has been quicker than anyone else’s panic selling during the market downturn. We’re back at the bottom of the buffer zone testing again, sticking to our usual strategy: consider scaling in with spot purchases in batches when the small timeframe shows a similar pattern, hoping for the market to push upwards, but remain cautious and right-sided.

#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币

#BTC $BTC
Currently conducting the second short-term test on 765, after a rapid rise in the last 48 hours, it is now oscillating at a high level. From a small cycle perspective, no more supportive patterns have emerged yet, but it still belongs to a strong bullish trend. The current approach can be to choose to go long after the pullback area of 725 is not broken, or to enter short when it breaks down with a weak small cycle. The vacuum zone is ready to go if the bulls win, with a short-term upper limit of 845.

#ETH $ETH
For E, the opportunity to confirm the narrow oscillation mentioned last time has appeared, and the right-side pattern has been confirmed, touching the previously mentioned position of 2450 and then starting to retreat. At this moment, the bulls are still dominating and oscillating at a high level, with two future plans:
A. The slope continues to rise, and the frequency of bullish pullbacks increases to break through the pressure zone.
B. The market turns to LH after a reversal breaks the upward trend back to the previous low.

#solana $SOL
Although I believe S is still in a weak group, the small cycle level has not broken the upward trend, and the increase compared to other targets can actually be ignored. If this pattern can still be maintained, then a light position entry can be made in batches in the spot market, but if it breaks down, do not hesitate. This is not actually the most ideal entry point; I will still try to wait for more favorable risk-reward opportunities in the blind spot.

#加密市场回暖 #比特币价格走势

#BTC $BTC
The best plan is beginning to take shape, with a steady rise after a pullback to the lows. The previous analysis mentioned a right-side long scenario appearing near 665, and the earlier resistance level of 725 has also completed initial testing. Currently, after a surge, it is necessary to wait for developments on the pullback; do not blindly enter on the left side. Valuable sensitive areas must be confirmed after multiple small range tests. Additionally, positions with sufficient risk-reward value and profit potential require enough patience.

#ETH $ETH
E's recent upward momentum and pattern combination are the cleanest and most direct. Of course, there has not yet been a second test of the earlier 2350 level, but feedback from market news and the potential for a rise is leading the way, with critical positions handled decisively. The current action awaits a pullback to the 2050 area to observe subsequent small cycle performance. As long as it does not break below the previous low or quickly recover after a spike, it can be viewed as an opportunity to go long on the right side.

#solana $SOL
S's performance is like a man's state in the morning after 25: present, but not much. This time, the news-driven rise has indeed tested the previous high position again, but after the spike, the momentum declined sharply, completely giving up resistance. In comparison, BE and even other clones have conducted double tests within this small cycle range, or even HH, before breaking defense, but S's state has already indicated that hopes should not be placed on it recently. Neither the risk-reward ratio nor the space is suitable.

#加密市场反弹 #币安人生

#BTC $BTC
Forced to stumble upon 690 but still not changing the weak status, affected by news and has returned to 665 to wait for support to see if it can be effective. Recently and in the long term, there have actually been many tests, and there is a directional dispute in the middle ground. The current position is not suitable for shorting; wait for a small cycle right-side pattern to appear for a slight long, or after a rebound HH to short on the boundary line or break down the current area short.

#ETH $ETH
The conflicting cycle pattern on E is more obvious. In the 4H cycle, it began to decline under pressure, but at this moment, the 1H cycle has not yet broken the long-short boundary. From the pattern observation, there is still upward driving force. This stage is actually a great test for persistence and adherence to one's own trading system. This contradictory conflict area is what many people refer to as the "positive-negative hit area." Remember to set the rules before discussing execution.

#solana $SOL
S is relatively simple: two words: don't touch.
Everyone is not optimistic, yet you are the least promising.
With an S in the name, it is actually an M at its core.
When it gets near the blind area, we can talk again; don’t enter early on the left side, unless you are more M.

#BTC行情 #亚洲股市跳水

#BTC $BTC
The previously mentioned 665 has received further support and verification, but the rebound effect remains weak. The good news is that a confirmatory HL has been obtained from a larger scale, while the bad news is that the rebound arc may not even reach the urination curve of a three-year-old child. After multiple pressure tests at 725, it has further converged, with overall market uncertainty + yellow-haired Alzheimer's mouth escape + lack of effective entry funds, cautiously optimistic to develop a profit-taking plan. Short-term bulls expect 765/785.

#ETH $ETH
Relatively speaking, E still has further imaginative space, slowly climbing to a neutral bullish position after multiple tests at the 2050 position. Although it may continue to pull back, it at least maintains an upward momentum, with certain profit space above and the previous test indeed showing a more ambitious curve pattern. If holding a long position, one can afford a wider loss expecting future development, but vigilance must not be relaxed and a reasonable TP is needed; otherwise, it will be a roller coaster of empty joy.

#solana $SOL
S further reduces its formation, and has already broken below the previous ascending steps. After confirmation in the 85 buffer zone, it has slowly risen. Although it has not fully broken down to become bearish, the recent market trend has shown further reduced volatility compared to other targets. Participation is relatively low, and one can observe other targets in the S system market, but remember not to participate in illiquid targets during a bear market.

#黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 #币安人生

#BTC $BTC
48 hours ago, the cow's cry was as loud as the current silence is heavy; the market has simply failed another test, so there's no need to panic too much. If the 725 position does not receive support, then the critical level below is 665. If it does not take effect at this position, the likelihood of retesting the 600s or even 500s in the future is high. If this area can maintain or continue to oscillate, the possibility of a rebound (HH) significantly increases.

#ETH $ETH
E has been particularly strong in this rebound; although it did not reach the expected 2450, it was just a step away. After a narrow oscillation and a drop alongside other markets, it still maintains an advantageous pattern. The Plan A designed last week has been completed, and now it's just a matter of waiting for the execution during the pullback and then the right-side confirmation of Plan B. At this moment, the current position has entered too early; it is still recommended to wait for the right side or a more favorable position regarding risk-reward ratio.

#solana $SOL
S completed an unexpected rise in two steps; although the increase was not high, it is stable and replicable. In the current 85/90 area, it can accommodate a small oscillation and contraction pattern. As long as it does not break down and waits for the overall market drive, one can cautiously remain optimistic about the bullish perspective. The related altcoins of S have shown multiple rotations during the day, which can be observed more closely.

#比特币突破7.5万美元 #美联储3月议息会议

#BTC $BTC
A week ago, the eagerness turned into a failed sprint and a raised low point. The highly anticipated first test at 725 abruptly stopped and fell back to the critical area of 665, and the successful activation of these two areas gave participants hope. After returning to a bullish arrangement in the smaller timeframe, another pressure test at 725 was conducted. However, without external continuous strength to break through the current box pressure, it is highly likely to drop back to the support area to continue accumulating energy.

#ETH $ETH
E has been lingering in the 2050 area for over 60 hours; the good news is that as the lows rise, it has come to the pressure point and further compressed. The bad news is that there are currently no more favorable news or capital inflows. From the market data, it still appears quiet. Of course, if this range can be broken, there should be at least a 15% profit margin. Prepare a take-profit or entry plan in advance to avoid last-minute efforts.

#solana $SOL
S is relatively slow and orderly; the rhythm of oscillation - rise - pullback in the smaller timeframe is stable, with a step-like climb into a bullish situation. However, S itself currently has limited space to take profits, so it is recommended to observe other targets in this sector. Previously, NEAR and JTO had daily profit margins exceeding 10%, which can be considered a fairly objective reasonable return in the recent period, and it is hoped that other recommendations can yield similar returns.

#比特币升回7万 #AI交易指南