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oAdam
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oAdam

交个朋友 日常分享开源 交易笔记 Ai X: @oAdam
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High-Frequency Trader
8.8 Years
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Portfolio
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Market making, clearing, and equity registration—these segments that were once monopolized by securities firms—are being taken over one by one by smart contracts. What used to be unthinkable is now the foundational structure of traditional finance’s trading being rebuilt on-chain.
Market making, clearing, and equity registration—these segments that were once monopolized by securities firms—are being taken over one by one by smart contracts.

What used to be unthinkable is now the foundational structure of traditional finance’s trading being rebuilt on-chain.
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Before the market, for fee switch it was “the boy who cried wolf”-style numbness. Only when on-chain revenue finally showed up, and the protocol began to buy back and burn, did the valuation anchor get re-established again. Today, $UNI reached as high as 9.4. This price has already priced in a lot of expectations. Chasing after it is worse than waiting for a pullback to confirm. The cash-flow logic is sound, but that doesn’t mean the short term isn’t overextended. Let’s wait and see. Anyway, I don’t have any relevant positions either 🥲
Before the market, for fee switch it was “the boy who cried wolf”-style numbness. Only when on-chain revenue finally showed up, and the protocol began to buy back and burn, did the valuation anchor get re-established again.

Today, $UNI reached as high as 9.4. This price has already priced in a lot of expectations. Chasing after it is worse than waiting for a pullback to confirm. The cash-flow logic is sound, but that doesn’t mean the short term isn’t overextended.

Let’s wait and see. Anyway, I don’t have any relevant positions either 🥲
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The U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act has advanced in the House Financial Services Committee, which could be a major step toward becoming law. Traditional financial giants have publicly endorsed the $BTC strategic reserve, signaling that matters more than short-term prices—pushing the idea of a nation-level BTC holding from geek advocacy into the legislative process. Even if it’s only at the committee level, it’s still a structural tailwind: if it truly moves forward, expectations for reserve buying could reshape long-term valuation anchors. But committee ≠ enacted law; it’s still far from signing. Don’t treat “in progress” as “passed.”
The U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act has advanced in the House Financial Services Committee, which could be a major step toward becoming law.

Traditional financial giants have publicly endorsed the $BTC strategic reserve, signaling that matters more than short-term prices—pushing the idea of a nation-level BTC holding from geek advocacy into the legislative process.

Even if it’s only at the committee level, it’s still a structural tailwind: if it truly moves forward, expectations for reserve buying could reshape long-term valuation anchors.

But committee ≠ enacted law; it’s still far from signing. Don’t treat “in progress” as “passed.”
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Every screen is full of $UNI; it looks like the DeFi summer is about to repeat. This surge of $UNI isn’t just meme rotation—this time, the market has finally priced in the “fee switch” cashflow logic: a “governance aircoin” has been re-recognized as an asset backed by real cashflows. Sentiment is back, but don’t forget how brutal it was for the people who picked up the tab at the end of the last DeFi summer; The narrative can be rewritten, but valuation and timing won’t simply be copied.🙏
Every screen is full of $UNI ; it looks like the DeFi summer is about to repeat.

This surge of $UNI isn’t just meme rotation—this time, the market has finally priced in the “fee switch” cashflow logic: a “governance aircoin” has been re-recognized as an asset backed by real cashflows.

Sentiment is back, but don’t forget how brutal it was for the people who picked up the tab at the end of the last DeFi summer;

The narrative can be rewritten, but valuation and timing won’t simply be copied.🙏
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BlackRock’s ETF bought another $184 million worth of BTC. In the past few days it was seeing net outflows; now it has turned around and is buying again. This suggests that the institutions’ rebalancing playbook of “sell on dips, add on steadiness” is still running. This isn’t retail sentiment—it’s allocation discipline. The ETF channel has effectively become BTC’s automatic stabilizer: it doesn’t aim to make it surge, but it does blunt sharp drops. Don’t expect Blackstone to pump the market, and don’t call the top just because there were a few days of outflows. What you really should watch is the slope of net inflows/outflows over consecutive weeks—that’s the thermometer for institutional intent.
BlackRock’s ETF bought another $184 million worth of BTC. In the past few days it was seeing net outflows; now it has turned around and is buying again. This suggests that the institutions’ rebalancing playbook of “sell on dips, add on steadiness” is still running. This isn’t retail sentiment—it’s allocation discipline.
The ETF channel has effectively become BTC’s automatic stabilizer: it doesn’t aim to make it surge, but it does blunt sharp drops.
Don’t expect Blackstone to pump the market, and don’t call the top just because there were a few days of outflows.
What you really should watch is the slope of net inflows/outflows over consecutive weeks—that’s the thermometer for institutional intent.
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$BNC just rushed to $6.49, and even BNB is moving up with it. In essence, BNC is Binance turning its own BNB treasury into a “stocks-market” vehicle. The logic is the same as MSTR—use crypto funds to buy U.S. stocks, then feed token expectations back in. If Binance is going to set up a “crypto-stocks flywheel” on $BNC , then right after that, CZ reposts and forwards the renaming suggestion. Binance itself even steps in to endorse it. Whether the flywheel really starts spinning depends on subsequent real buybacks with real money and how assets are allocated.🤪
$BNC just rushed to $6.49, and even BNB is moving up with it.

In essence, BNC is Binance turning its own BNB treasury into a “stocks-market” vehicle. The logic is the same as MSTR—use crypto funds to buy U.S. stocks, then feed token expectations back in.

If Binance is going to set up a “crypto-stocks flywheel” on $BNC , then right after that, CZ reposts and forwards the renaming suggestion. Binance itself even steps in to endorse it. Whether the flywheel really starts spinning depends on subsequent real buybacks with real money and how assets are allocated.🤪
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The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995. The yen is the world’s last pool of cheap money—every bit of the carry-trade base has been stacked on it. As rates rise, carry gets more expensive. The first reaction of leveraged funds is to cut positions, and the first thing to be sold is always the most liquid asset—BTC is on that list. Historically, whenever the BOJ pivots, risk assets have to be drained of liquidity once before we even talk about the fundamentals. So don’t treat a short-term pullback as a collapse of faith—that’s the pricing mechanism collecting its debt. The real turning point comes the moment the yen stops appreciating. Until then, positioning matters more than conviction.
The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995.

The yen is the world’s last pool of cheap money—every bit of the carry-trade base has been stacked on it. As rates rise, carry gets more expensive. The first reaction of leveraged funds is to cut positions, and the first thing to be sold is always the most liquid asset—BTC is on that list.

Historically, whenever the BOJ pivots, risk assets have to be drained of liquidity once before we even talk about the fundamentals. So don’t treat a short-term pullback as a collapse of faith—that’s the pricing mechanism collecting its debt.

The real turning point comes the moment the yen stops appreciating. Until then, positioning matters more than conviction.
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Uniswap, this data has something: in the past 30 days, fees +129%, protocol revenue +165%. Revenue is growing faster than fees, indicating that the cut efficiency is improving. The higher the revenue, the more UNI gets burned—this isn’t driven by storytelling; it’s crowned by cash flow. The DEX king’s moat keeps getting tighter and tighter.
Uniswap, this data has something: in the past 30 days, fees +129%, protocol revenue +165%. Revenue is growing faster than fees, indicating that the cut efficiency is improving.

The higher the revenue, the more UNI gets burned—this isn’t driven by storytelling; it’s crowned by cash flow. The DEX king’s moat keeps getting tighter and tighter.
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Big Tech isn’t a bubble, but expensive valuations are a risk in themselves—once it’s pricey, the market becomes more demanding about every earnings report and every guidance, and any slight miss gets amplified into a sell-off. This fragility isn’t a “bad news after which things are over”; it’s that the tolerance for upside has effectively dropped to zero. For crypto, when U.S. markets take their foot off the gas by one notch, the first things to be pulled back are assets with high beta like ours. In the gusts, don’t chase after highs; keep cash and wait for positions to be mistakenly marked down.
Big Tech isn’t a bubble, but expensive valuations are a risk in themselves—once it’s pricey, the market becomes more demanding about every earnings report and every guidance, and any slight miss gets amplified into a sell-off.

This fragility isn’t a “bad news after which things are over”; it’s that the tolerance for upside has effectively dropped to zero. For crypto, when U.S. markets take their foot off the gas by one notch, the first things to be pulled back are assets with high beta like ours.

In the gusts, don’t chase after highs; keep cash and wait for positions to be mistakenly marked down.
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The main thesis of this bull cycle should be called #分发牛 , not “issuing bulls.” In the last cycle, we went crazy creating new assets—#ICO, #DeFi, #Meme—while supply exploded. This time, the logic is reversed: world assets get put on-chain first, then distributed through crypto channels. Issuance solves the question of “whether it exists,” while distribution solves “who can use it.” What lets you get a share of the meat isn’t another round of newly issued tokens, but the protocols and wallets that control the distribution layer.
The main thesis of this bull cycle should be called #分发牛 , not “issuing bulls.”

In the last cycle, we went crazy creating new assets—#ICO, #DeFi, #Meme—while supply exploded. This time, the logic is reversed: world assets get put on-chain first, then distributed through crypto channels.

Issuance solves the question of “whether it exists,” while distribution solves “who can use it.”

What lets you get a share of the meat isn’t another round of newly issued tokens, but the protocols and wallets that control the distribution layer.
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$ZEC Why does it keep pulling? In the Zcash community’s Dev Fund debate, they actually made an counterintuitive choice: treating the "crypto version of Bitcoin" as the only identity and proactively giving up on adding more features. If you want it to be a store-of-value asset, you have to, like BTC, move toward ossification—stop adding clever extras. In the short term, you lose some narrative gimmicks, but in the long run it reinforces differentiation: privacy + store-of-value, not just another smart-contract platform. Now the market’s pricing of ZEC is effectively rewarding that resolve to "do less." 🤔
$ZEC Why does it keep pulling? In the Zcash community’s Dev Fund debate, they actually made an counterintuitive choice: treating the "crypto version of Bitcoin" as the only identity and proactively giving up on adding more features.

If you want it to be a store-of-value asset, you have to, like BTC, move toward ossification—stop adding clever extras.

In the short term, you lose some narrative gimmicks, but in the long run it reinforces differentiation: privacy + store-of-value, not just another smart-contract platform.

Now the market’s pricing of ZEC is effectively rewarding that resolve to "do less." 🤔
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$ZEC, $HYPE, $VVV, and NEAR are running ahead. The point isn’t which one is up the most—it’s that the “narrative strength” is visibly piling up, indicating that money is flowing back into crypto, not just retail hype. Once a new narrative takes off, don’t underestimate its continuity just because of old frameworks. In this liquidity-driven market, the strongest performers are often the few that were selected first by consensus.
$ZEC , $HYPE , $VVV , and NEAR are running ahead. The point isn’t which one is up the most—it’s that the “narrative strength” is visibly piling up, indicating that money is flowing back into crypto, not just retail hype.

Once a new narrative takes off, don’t underestimate its continuity just because of old frameworks.

In this liquidity-driven market, the strongest performers are often the few that were selected first by consensus.
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#SEC This temporary, conditional exemption order is effectively clearing the way for limited on-chain trading of tokenized U.S. stocks—without having to wait for Congress to pass legislation. The market will return to the hands of players like Robinhood that have distribution channels. Regulators use administrative means to tear the opening first, far faster than the Clarity Act taking effect. Early movers capture the benefits of the “regulatory vacuum” period. In this wave of tokenized U.S. stocks, whoever has the license and the channels calls the shots. 。
#SEC This temporary, conditional exemption order is effectively clearing the way for limited on-chain trading of tokenized U.S. stocks—without having to wait for Congress to pass legislation.

The market will return to the hands of players like Robinhood that have distribution channels.

Regulators use administrative means to tear the opening first, far faster than the Clarity Act taking effect. Early movers capture the benefits of the “regulatory vacuum” period.

In this wave of tokenized U.S. stocks, whoever has the license and the channels calls the shots.
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$ZEC This kind of privacy coin that looks like “nobody is talking about it” can still go this far, which shows that this round of money is not only focused on BTC and the mainstream—forgotten targets are actually where the most elasticity is. Those accounts that end up making huge profits are just the result, not a signal for entry. Don’t chase tickets that have already run; what you should really look at are the obscure ones—“widely ignored, but with fundamentals quietly improving.” The next 10x is very likely still sitting in the silent zone. Where do you think the next opportunity is? 🤨
$ZEC This kind of privacy coin that looks like “nobody is talking about it” can still go this far, which shows that this round of money is not only focused on BTC and the mainstream—forgotten targets are actually where the most elasticity is.

Those accounts that end up making huge profits are just the result, not a signal for entry. Don’t chase tickets that have already run; what you should really look at are the obscure ones—“widely ignored, but with fundamentals quietly improving.” The next 10x is very likely still sitting in the silent zone.

Where do you think the next opportunity is? 🤨
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Company stock on-chain → pool with its own stablecoin/platform coin/meme → subsidize trading fees → return profits to token holders via staking → create new demand. The real moat of tokenized stocks isn’t about “moving” it, it’s about “closing the loop”—turning stocks into a cog in the platform economy. Whoever can weld together issuance, trading, incentives, and a native token into a self-sustaining cycle will capture all the value-added upside from the distribution layer. But if regulators don’t give the nod, there’s always a risk the flywheel could stall. 🧐
Company stock on-chain → pool with its own stablecoin/platform coin/meme → subsidize trading fees → return profits to token holders via staking → create new demand.

The real moat of tokenized stocks isn’t about “moving” it, it’s about “closing the loop”—turning stocks into a cog in the platform economy.

Whoever can weld together issuance, trading, incentives, and a native token into a self-sustaining cycle will capture all the value-added upside from the distribution layer.

But if regulators don’t give the nod, there’s always a risk the flywheel could stall. 🧐
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Most retail investors in BSC, SOL, and RBH are also losing money. The outcome for Arc is probably going to be much the same. On BASE, there are plenty of projects with very strong backing. Recently, the Meme performance hasn’t been great either. As for Arc, those two were still official-created, tightly controlled insider order books. What people call “strong backing” is the least valuable story in Memes—the more obvious the manipulation, the more the pump-and-dump looks like a performance before distribution to exit liquidity. Retail investors see the narrative; insiders see liquidity withdrawal. With this kind of market, it’s safer to watch from the sidelines than to board.😅
Most retail investors in BSC, SOL, and RBH are also losing money. The outcome for Arc is probably going to be much the same.
On BASE, there are plenty of projects with very strong backing. Recently, the Meme performance hasn’t been great either. As for Arc, those two were still official-created, tightly controlled insider order books.
What people call “strong backing” is the least valuable story in Memes—the more obvious the manipulation, the more the pump-and-dump looks like a performance before distribution to exit liquidity.
Retail investors see the narrative; insiders see liquidity withdrawal.
With this kind of market, it’s safer to watch from the sidelines than to board.😅
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is nearing the level seen during the 2007 financial crisis—i.e., the last time the system underwent a full reset. Selling BTC at this moment of a “historical peak in the cost of capital” is equivalent to handing over your chips at the bottom, when others are forced to de-leverage. High long-term yields are themselves a stress test, not a sell signal; the true market bottom often appears at the same time as the “most dreadful macro data.” At times like this, exiting means selling exactly the bargain goods the cycle is giving you. 🙏 #BTC #Treasury
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is nearing the level seen during the 2007 financial crisis—i.e., the last time the system underwent a full reset.

Selling BTC at this moment of a “historical peak in the cost of capital” is equivalent to handing over your chips at the bottom, when others are forced to de-leverage.

High long-term yields are themselves a stress test, not a sell signal; the true market bottom often appears at the same time as the “most dreadful macro data.”

At times like this, exiting means selling exactly the bargain goods the cycle is giving you. 🙏

#BTC #Treasury
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"ETH is the settlement layer" Don’t bet on new narratives—bet on making the existing Lego pieces fit together more smoothly. For an ETH maxi, this kind of "aggregation card" is more reliable than a "scaling card." What will truly be scarce in 2026 isn’t new L1s, but products that can make the ETH ecosystem’s stickiness thicker. That’s what @Polarisfnd is betting on.
"ETH is the settlement layer"

Don’t bet on new narratives—bet on making the existing Lego pieces fit together more smoothly.

For an ETH maxi, this kind of "aggregation card" is more reliable than a "scaling card."

What will truly be scarce in 2026 isn’t new L1s, but products that can make the ETH ecosystem’s stickiness thicker. That’s what @Polarisfnd is betting on.
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@Monad The mainnet has just gone live, and community buzz is unprecedented. A new L1’s “launched and already ignored” narrative is starting to be broken, but hype isn’t the same as retention—and it’s not the same as whether the token can capture value. Monad has shown that technical narratives can rekindle attention, but whether that attention can turn into TVL and real transaction fees is the next hurdle. Don’t mistake opening-day excitement for a turning point.
@Monad The mainnet has just gone live, and community buzz is unprecedented.

A new L1’s “launched and already ignored” narrative is starting to be broken, but hype isn’t the same as retention—and it’s not the same as whether the token can capture value.

Monad has shown that technical narratives can rekindle attention, but whether that attention can turn into TVL and real transaction fees is the next hurdle.

Don’t mistake opening-day excitement for a turning point.
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The essence of missing out isn’t that you didn’t buy—it’s that every time you manage to convince yourself, “This kind of thing won’t happen again.” Bome: hundreds of times in three days; Neiro: listed and immediately available; Goat: eating the track leader—every wave makes you think it’s the last one, and the next wave still comes. The upside above the expected return for memes comes precisely from the illusion of “this time is different.” What actually lets you get to eat isn’t precise prediction, but keeping a small position on the field, and accepting that you’ll never get the fattest slice. When you feel, “It can’t get more extreme than this,” that’s often when the market is just getting started.
The essence of missing out isn’t that you didn’t buy—it’s that every time you manage to convince yourself, “This kind of thing won’t happen again.”

Bome: hundreds of times in three days; Neiro: listed and immediately available; Goat: eating the track leader—every wave makes you think it’s the last one, and the next wave still comes.

The upside above the expected return for memes comes precisely from the illusion of “this time is different.” What actually lets you get to eat isn’t precise prediction, but keeping a small position on the field, and accepting that you’ll never get the fattest slice.

When you feel, “It can’t get more extreme than this,” that’s often when the market is just getting started.
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