Latest: $0,021245 | Market Cap: $362,8M Signal: Bounce in Downtrend (sell into the bounce) = classic "dead cat bounce"
What it means: This is not a reversal. It is a breather within a larger decline. This type of temporary pump is used by smart traders to REDUCE risk or look for a sell, not to buy.
Signal strategy: - If you're already holding: an opportunity to get out with less loss - If you're on the sidelines: NOT the time for FOMO, it is a sell zone if the drop continues
Meanwhile, BTC yesterday saw +$730,9M in ETFs and moved to $81.563 with $448M in shorts liquidated, and Strategy bought 4.603 BTC again at $80.318, NIGHT is moving in the opposite direction - rising within a decline.
If BTC holds above $81,5k, it may even give another breather, but without institutional volume (unlike BTC/ETH), the downtrend will likely resume and intensify.
Levels to watch: If it loses the previous low after this bounce = continuation of the downtrend confirmed
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Signal indicates a TEMPORARY recovery within a broader downtrend. "Dead cat bounce" often fails and the decline intensifies afterward. The strategic opportunity mentioned is for risk reduction / selling, not buying. High volatility, low market cap ($362M). Not financial advice.
Supports to avoid losing: S1: $0.0873 (immediate defense) S2: $0.0835 S3: $0.0799 - lose this and the recovery gets ugly
Important context: Technically it looks good, but ETF flow is weak. BSC News: DOGE spot ETFs had an OUTFLOW of $763k on 02/09, erasing previous inflows. ETFs hold only 0.09% of DOGE supply = almost no institutional involvement. The move right now is 100% retail traders + technicals, not big money.
Difference from BTC, which saw $730.9M in inflows yesterday (the largest since January) and set a new local high at $81,563. DOGE will need BTC to stay above $81k to go after $0.12.
#DOGE #Dogecoin #AliCharts #BullFlag #012 #BSCNews #ETF ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Analysis by Ali Martinez 04/09/2026. Bull flag pattern needs confirmation above $0.0929. DOGE ETFs with net outflow and only 0.09% of supply = no institutional support. The path to $0.12 has 4 resistances. Not financial advice.
⚠️ ALERT: Strategy SOLD 6,916 BTC in the summer - end of the "just buy" narrative
Historic shift in the world’s largest corporate holder.
What happened (SEC filing 04/09 - Maya Bennett):
SUMMER SALES: 6,916 BTC sold = +$429M - 3,588 BTC ~$216M (Jun/Jul) to rebuild dollar reserves - 1,638 BTC ~$104.7M for preferred dividends + STRC buyback - 1,690 BTC ~$108.6M for STRC buyback
New formal program: authorization to sell up to $1.25B in BTC to pay dividends, interest, and buybacks.
BUYBACK: Aug 24-30: bought 4,603 BTC for $369.7M at an average of $80,318 Total now: 845,050 BTC ($63.73B cost) Total cash: $5.10B reserve + $1.61B extra = $6.7B in liquidity
What this means: Kaiko: the narrative of Saylor's "one-way accumulation" has been broken. Now it is treasury management with ACTIVE management. BTC has become a source of liquidity for the capital structure.
Risk: the largest corporate holder has become a potential periodic source of supply. If dividends need to be paid, it can sell.
Opportunity: with $6.7B in cash, there is no need to sell in panic. Sell when needed, buy back later. That is exactly what it did - sold in the summer and bought back at $80,318 before yesterday's ETF explosion ($730M).
With BTC now at $81,563 (new local high 20p) and ETFs booming, this 4,603 BTC purchase is already in profit.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Data from SEC filing and Kaiko 04/09/2026. The model change increases the risk of periodic selling pressure from the largest corporate treasury. Past sales were for dividends/interest, not profit-taking at the top. Not financial advice. DYOR.
🚨 Bitcoin ETFs: BIGGEST INFLOW since January - $730.9M in 1 day
The whales woke up. Yesterday everything broke loose.
SoSoValue numbers: Total BTC ETFs: +$730.9M - the largest since Jan 14 and the 3rd largest of 2026 IBIT BlackRock: $454M (62% alone) ARKB: $137.7M FBTC Fidelity: $74.4M Total BTC ETF AUM: surpassed $103B for the 1st time Accumulated since launch: $55.44B
ETH too: +$141.4M on the same day (ETHA $72M + FETH $65M)
What happened: BTC went from <$77k -> $82,200 (highest since May 15) = +6% on the day $448M in shorts liquidated in the last 24h (Coinglass) CryptoQuant: whales still think BTC is cheap to realize, they are not selling heavily
But pay attention to what Balchunas (Bloomberg) said: Even with $730M, there is still a +$1B gap to close in year-to-date cumulative flows. In other words, we are still behind 2025 in YTD.
Does this change the story of the $47B in profit supply that Glassnode pointed out at $77k? YES. Yesterday institutional hands absorbed it. To stay above $81.5k (our new local high) we need continuation, not just 1 day.
Next catalysts: Jobs today 09/04, CPI 09/11 and FOMC 09/15-16.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: 1 day of inflows does not guarantee a trend. Analyst Eric Balchunas points to a still-$1B gap in year-to-date cumulative flows. $448M in short liquidations may have amplified the move. High volatility. Not investment advice.
📈 Signal: Strength improving vs recent history, buyers in control, trend expanding upward. Strong momentum forming.
Market Cap: $3,76B Last: $6,4097
Context: While BTC fights with $47B of profitable supply to absorb at $77-80k (Glassnode), DEX altcoins like UNI often follow with high beta when BTC confirms above $81.5k. If BTC holds, UNI has room.
Target: break $6.50 and aim for $7.20 (next psychological resistance) Support: $6.00 / $5.70 Invalidation: losing $5.70 would undo the 10-period breakout
#UNI #Uniswap #DeFi #NovaMaxima #Altcoins #DEX
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The 10-period signal is short-term; it confirms momentum but has more false breakouts than the 20-period setup. UNI, with a smaller market cap than BTC, is more volatile. Not financial advice.
📈 Signal: New Local Maximum (20 periods) - buyers in full control
What changes now: Before, we had $77k with 68% of the supply in profit = $47B to absorb (Glassnode 03/09). BTC cleared this first barrier and now targets the second: 1.05M BTC stuck between $83k-$86k (holders who held through the entire drop).
Market Cap: $1.55T | +2.58% 24h If it closes above $81.5k, it confirms an expansion of the long-term trend.
Next targets: Resistance 1: $83k-$86k (LTH breakeven zone) Resistance 2: $89.7k (implied options ceiling for 25/09 - $14B in open interest) Support: $77,381 (where the recent 600k BTC in profit were absorbed)
Be careful with the macro still: Jobs 04/09, CPI 11/09, FOMC 15-16/09 and oil at $95 with yields at 4.8% can slow things down if they come in hot. ETFs were outflows of $236M this week; they need to start flowing back in to sustain above $80k.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: New local maximum over 20 periods indicates strength, but does not guarantee continuation. BTC with a large profitable supply above. High volatility with macro events in September. Manage your risk. Not investment advice.
$BTC $77.381 - Next run up to $80k has $47 BILLIONS to swallow 🚧
Glassnode released the figure today (03/09/2026):
📊 THE PROBLEM: 68% of the BTC supply is in profit at $77.381 = 65% back in May at the same price. Difference = +600,000 BTC more that can be sold at a profit = ~$47B of selling pressure BEFORE it reaches $80k.
Floor created in summer turned into a ceiling: Those who bought between June–August have an average cost ~$71k and are already in profit. These guys can cash out now.
And there’s more: 1.05 MILLION BTC from long-term holders are trapped between $83k and $86k. They held through the entire drop, and if BTC returns there, it’s their first chance to get out at (roughly) breakeven.
= 2 back-to-back barriers: 1st $77k-$78k (recent profit) 2nd $83k-$86k (long term at breakeven)
💸 ETFs aren’t helping right now: August: +$290M/day of inflows helped push it to $80k Now: -$236M of outflows this week (IBIT leading). Secondary volume only $3B/day = below expansion phases.
🛢️ Macro worsened: 10y Yield is back to 4.8% (it had fallen to 4.6% with Treasury buybacks), Brent $95.63 amid the US–Iran conflict; the market is pricing in a 66% chance of a Fed hike in September.
📅 September is decisive: 04/09 Jobs Report 11/09 CPI 15-16/09 FOMC 25/09 Options expiry $14B on Deribit/IBIT with strikes above $80k
🎯 Glassnode scenarios: Bull: Weak Jobs/CPI → Fed doesn’t hike, ETFs start flowing back in → BTC clears $83–86k and targets $89.7k Base: Stuck ranging $71k - $86k Bear: Strong Jobs/CPI + ETFs bleeding → loses $71k (STH cost) and falls back to $62–65k
Summary: BTC needs NEW and big buyers, otherwise those already in profit will sell on top.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: On-chain data from Glassnode/CryptoSlate. Not investment advice. BTC with 68% of the supply in profit carries high realization risk. Macro and ETFs dictate the flow. Manage your risk.
$DOGE , $SHIB , $PEPE or CASHCAT? 3 IAs give a tip for September
An article from 03/09/2026 consulted ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Gemini—very different answers:
🤖 ChatGPT: - DOGE = the safest bet. Bigger, more liquid, whales buying. Would be the 1st alt to benefit from the new upswing. - SHIB = more potential than DOGE, but a huge supply caps it. Daily burns don’t move the price; it needs sustained buying. - PEPE = the most speculative of them all - Strong alternative candidate: PENGU (Pudgy Penguins)
🤖 Perplexity — disagrees: - DOGE’s rise is stable, not parabolic in September - PEPE has no decisive breakout in the next 4 weeks - SHIB = BEST CHANCE of a historic move. Price is stable + strong accumulation exactly in the month that historically swings the most.
🤖 Gemini — surprise pick: - CASHCAT (Cash Cat) — a cat meme tied to the Robinhood Chain. It could explode with ecosystem news. - ALERT: it may surge in September and then plunge brutally in October.
My take: No IA nails the meme for history, but the consensus is: DOGE keeps liquidity safe, SHIB has an accumulation setup, PEPE is a lottery ticket, and CASHCAT is a high-risk/high-reward bet.
And DOT, which we analyzed earlier? Much more fundamental than these—$0.72 support, $1.03 trigger.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Informational content only, not a recommendation. Meme coins are extremely volatile and high risk. AI guesses aren’t technical analysis. CASHCAT can drop 90% in a day. Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose. DYOR.
XAUT/USDT (Tether Gold) - $4,312.95 📉 FALLOUT FROM SMA200
Setup: Support Breakout - Target $4,200
📊 WHAT THE CHART SHOWS: - It had a beautiful Falling Wedge Breakout in July: it went from $3,960 → to $4,670 - But it hit the Resistance $4,550 + SMA 200 ($4,507) and DID NOT hold - Now it broke the Support $4,350 and is at $4,312
🛡️ LEVEL MAP: Resistance: $4,550 / $4,800 Current price: $4,312.95 (-0.37%) Support 1 broken: $4,350 (now turns into resistance) Target: $4,200 Strong bottom: $3,960
📉 INDICATORS: RSI 41.14 = neutral-to-bearish, room to fall to $4,200 MACD -40.35 / 31.30 / 71.64 = crossed downward (orange above the blue) = sell Volume 2.374K falling = no buyer strength to defend $4,350
Trend: Short Bearish 🔴 | Medium Bullish 🟢 | Long Neutral 🟡 Explanation: The medium trend is still bullish because it rose since Nov/2025, but the short-term trend lost everything from the wedge.
🎯 Trade: After the support break, the next zone becomes the target. Wait for a retest of $4,350 to sell, stop at $4,550, target $4,200. If $4,200 is lost, the next level is $3,960.
📊 TREND: Short: Strong High 🟢 Medium: Strong High 🟢 Long: Strong Low 🔴 - it’s still a rally within a larger downtrend
🎯 MY SETUP: Entry: $47.725 (break of Resistance 1) Stop: $37.362 (-21.7%) Target 1: $96.85 (+102.9%) R/R: 1 : 4.7 Bias: 🚀 BULLISH only IF it breaks
Why wait? - Price tested $47.52 and got sold (wick on your chart up to $48.50 confirms) - RSI 73.54 = overbought, needs to breathe - Volume 2.29x above average = there’s interest, but without a breakout it’s a trap
If it breaks $47.725 with strength, it opens the way to $96.85 (historical barrier). If it loses $37.36, it closes the day, invalidating the bullish thesis.
Confidence: MEDIUM - strong momentum, but RSI is stretched and the long-term bottom is still bearish, so caution is needed.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Educational only. Not a recommendation. Risk of a sharp pullback due to overbought RSI. Crypto is volatile and high risk. Use stops and do your own analysis (DYOR).
🔥 WHAT HAPPENED: Exceptionally high volume suddenly showing up out of nowhere. This is whale / smart money entering before the price.
Read: - Volume precedes price. Always. - When there’s unusual volume in a $0.00000024 token with a $261M cap, someone is accumulating heavily - Usually comes with a strong leg right after
📊 But pay attention: Tokens with 8 zeros after the decimal point = extreme volatility. They can go up 100% in 1 hour and drop 80% the next. A high market cap for a meme price suggests a massive supply.
🎯 How to trade this signal: - Don’t enter at the peak of the volume spike - Wait for a pullback + volume staying high - Entry with a VERY small position (lottery-sized) - Tight stop, because if it’s fake volume, it collapses fast
This kind of signal is a precursor to a trend change. If it confirms with a strong candle + volume continuation, it could be the start of a bigger uptrend.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Content is for educational and informational purposes only. NOT a buy recommendation. A token with an extremely low unit value ($0.00000024) is extremely volatile, illiquid, and of VERY HIGH RISK. It may be manipulation / wash trading. Never allocate more than you can afford to lose. Do your own research (DYOR).
📊 READING: GateToken has strong momentum, but the price is stretched too much. RSI >70 = exhausted buyers, very elevated.
What it means: - Everyone who wanted to buy has already bought - There’s not enough fuel to keep rising without a correction - High risk of buying at the local peak right now
🎯 WHAT TO EXPECT: Don’t short the strength—wait for it to cool down. - Short correction toward MA20 / prior support - Or sideways consolidation for RSI to drop below 70 - Buying volume should decrease in this region
Strategy: Avoid entering the market now. Wait for RSI to return to 50-60 + a strong candle at support for a new entry with better R/R.
If you’re already in: consider taking partial profits and moving the stop up.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Educational and informational content only. Not investment advice, not a buy or sell recommendation. RSI >70 does not mean an immediate drop—it can stay overbought. Cryptocurrencies are volatile and high-risk. Do your own research (DYOR).
🚨 ALERT: Cronos paused the network after US$ 75M exploit
The Cronos network stopped 100% of its operations after an attack on Tectonic, the network’s largest lending protocol.
🔍 HOW IT HAPPENED: The attacker exploited a 20% collateral factor of the TONIC token + low liquidity. They inflated the price of TONIC by 100x in 20 minutes and used it as collateral to drain the pools. A pump-and-borrow technique, similar to Mango Markets.
💰 NUMBERS: • Estimated total: US$ 75M • Tectonic TVL: $121.7M → $3M (-97%) • Escaped to Ethereum: $6.29M (2,592 ETH) • Stuck on Cronos: $68M (only frozen because the chain is paused)
⚙️ WHY DID THE NETWORK STOP? PoA consensus validators paused block production to prevent the rest from being drained. The $68M were NOT recovered; they’re only frozen while the network is down.
If it comes back without a block/patch, the attacker can move funds again.
💬 Crypto.com says the app and exchange were not affected.
This highlights the dilemma: centralization saved $68M, but it also proves the network can be paused by a small group of validators.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Educational and informational content only, based on public news (CoinTelegraph, PeckShield, Lookonchain). Not investment advice. Do not interact with the Tectonic protocol until an official update.
XMR (Monero) 🚀 - PRICE DISCOVERY AFTER PLURIANNUAL BREAKOUT
Price: $526,66 | Trend: Strong in ALL timeframes 🟢🟢🟢
🔍 OVERVIEW 🕐 Short term: Strong (10/10) 🟢 🕓 Medium term: Strong (10/10) 🟢 🕗 Long term: Strong (10/10) 🟢
🛡️ SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE 🔴 R1: $799,97 - ATH + maximum 52-week high, final target 📍 Current: $526,66 - In blue sky, no local resistance 🟢 S1: $465,23 - Former multi-year resistance turned into support - KEY ZONE 🟢 S2: $372,68 - Main structural base 🟢 S3: $299,12 - Long-term institutional accumulation
What happened: Breakout of $465,23 with high volume. Structural breakout that changes the game.
📈 MOMENTUM RSI 14: 83,03 ⚠️ EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT - High chance of short-term cooling off MACD: 30,26 - Strong bullish impulse, no bearish crossover Volume: 222.990 + Rel. Volume 1,65x - Institutional buying + retail confirming
📐 Pattern: Vertical trend after breaking a long horizontal base. No reversal pattern on the DAILY timeframe.
🎯 SETUP - WAIT FOR A PULLBACK (Your thesis is correct) Bias: 🚀 OPTIMISTIC Entry: $465,23 (retest of S1) Stop: $441,97 (-5,0% below S1) Target 1: $548,33 (+17,9%) Target 2: $799,97 ATH (+72,0%) R/R: 1:3,58
💡 Why wait for $465? RSI 83 is not something you buy. Waiting for it to cool off on the retest increases probability and improves R/R.
⚠️ INVALIDATION: Daily close below $441,97 invalidates the immediate thesis and turns it into a bull trap. RSI >80 can cause a flash crash before support.
Confidence: 🔶 MEDIUM - Strong trend and volume, but extreme momentum requires discipline on the pullback.
❗ DISCLAIMER: Educational and informational content only. Not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. RSI above 80 indicates high risk of rapid correction. Cryptocurrencies are volatile. Do your own analysis (DYOR).
$ZEC (Zcash) 🚀 - STRONG MOMENTUM + CLOSE TO THE ATH
Price: $849.01 | Market Cap: $14.07B Signal: Within 5% of the all-time high
🔥 WHAT'S HAPPENING: Zcash is showing insane market confidence. Stable just below the peak, with aggressive buyers defending the price. This is strength.
📊 Reading: - Price near the ATH = little resistance above - If it breaks, it enters price discovery (no historical ceiling) - Volume must be explosive in this area - Those outside want to get in, those inside don’t want to sell
🎯 Scenario: Breaking the ATH with volume = trigger for continuation. A correction can be fast and deep because it’s vertical, so don’t use leverage.
Be careful with market entries at the top. It’s better to wait for a confirmed breakout with a strong candle, or a pullback to support from the old ATH.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Educational and informational content only. Not investment advice, nor a buy or sell recommendation. Cryptoassets are extremely volatile and high-risk. Do your own research (DYOR).
📊 MAX LEVERAGE: 10x 💡 Risk management: never risk more than 1–2% of total capital per trade.
📢 Note: This setup is **for educational purposes only** and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and requires discipline in risk management.
📉 Defensive Sell Scenario: - Trigger: RSI > 70 + rejection at US$ 0.289 - Entry: short sell after a rejection candle - Stop: US$ 0.295 - Target: US$ 0.228
📈 Buy Scenario After a Correction: - Trigger: pullback to US$ 0.230–0.235 + RSI < 60 + price above the MM200 - Entry: buy after a bullish reversal candle - Stop: US$ 0.209 - Target 1: US$ 0.289 - Target 2: US$ 0.318
🔄 Waiting Zone: - If price is between US$ 0.235 and US$ 0.289 with no clear signals → do not enter - Wait for candle + volume confirmation
⚠️ Risk management: - Maximum risk: 2–3% of capital per trade - Minimum risk/reward ratio: 1:2 - Never move the stop to increase risk
📌 Conclusion: - Sell only if there is a clear rejection at US$ 0.289 with RSI > 70 - Buy only if there is a correction down to US$ 0.230–0.235 with RSI < 60 and a reversal candle - Without confirmation → stay out
❗ DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are volatile and high risk. Do your own research (DYOR).
$BTC - STRONG UPTREND IN ALL TIMES 🚀 Consolidating near the top with a breakout bias
🔍 TREND 🕐 Short term: 🟢 🕓 Medium term: 🟢 🕗 Long term: 🟢
🛡️ SUPPORT & RESISTANCE 🔴 R3: No data in this range 🔴 R2: $97,937.44 - Greater psychological barrier 🔴 R1: $81,474.66 - Immediate barrier (local top) 📍 Current: $78,083.65 🟢 S1: $76,004.06 - Short-term floor, strong recent bounce 🟢 S2: $66,954.37 - Medium-term structural support 🟢 S3: $62,524.98 - Long accumulation base 🔵 MA200: $69,451.50 - Far below, confirms long-term uptrend
📊 INDICATORS (1D) Volume: 42,553K - Breakout volume still present MACD: Line 3.741 / Signal 3.458 / Hist 282.50 - Crossed upward; positive histogram but decreasing = mild slowdown RSI 14: 69.88 - Near overbought (70), but holding. Not broken yet.
🎯 READOUT: Support $76,004 worked as a solid floor. Break-and-retest of $76k would be a high-conviction long entry for trend followers. Resistance $81,474 is the trigger. A breakout clears the path to $97,937.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Educational and informational content only. Not investment advice, nor a buy or sell recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are volatile and high-risk. Do your own analysis (DYOR) and consult a professional if necessary.
📉 PRICE: Rejected at the MA200 + resistance at $0.85. Now $0.675. Support below: $0.60 and $0.55
📊 INDICATORS: - MA200: Price well below = the long-term trend is still bearish - VOLUME: 24.2M falling = distribution - MACD: Negative and crossed downward, sell momentum increasing - RSI: 44.19 and dropping, still with room to fall
🎯 If it loses $0.6099, next target is $0.55. Caution.
#FIL #Filecoin #TechnicalAnalysis
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, nor a buy or sell recommendation. Cryptocurrencies are volatile and high-risk. Always do your own analysis (DYOR) and consult a professional if needed.