CriptoMarylyn

Ethereum is projected between US $4,580–4,590.$ETH , reflecting a slight increase compared to the current level (≈ US $4,508). Whales are entering the market: US $456 million in recent purchases, massive ETH withdrawals by a dormant whale (indicating accumulation), and a gigantic movement of US $2.5 billion in staking show solid confidence. All of this suggests a developing bullish trend, with strategic accumulation and lower selling pressure. Visually, this is represented as a moderately rising chart driven by accumulation in volume. For better information, follow me and give a like if you liked my creativity, thank you 🫠

Summary table of levels
Type Level (USD)
Next resistances $4,600 – $4,650
Key resistance $4,710
High targets $4,900 – $5,000_6000$
Immediate supports $4,530 – $4,540
Liquidity zone $4,424 – $4,410
Deep supports $4,200 – $4,250 (or even $3,200 – $3,400)

The recent technical reference for BTC showed a price below the EMA50/100/200, with neutral RSI and slightly bearish MACD. �
FXStreet
🟠 BTC
MAP/brief: the structure is still weak while it remains below the key moving averages.
RSI: neutral zone → there is still room to fall or bounce; it is not a clear oversold signal.
MACD: slightly bearish → favors caution with LONG positions.
Whales: the 187 M USDC are potential buy-side liquidity, but it is still not a BTC buy.
Potential sell: the BTC sent to the exchanges you provided earlier does increase selling pressure.
Takeaway: 🟠 bearish/neutral, with the possibility of a strong rebound if real buying appears.
🔵 ETH
MAP: as long as ETH stays below its short-term averages/relevant averages, the recovery is weak.
RSI: watch for it to reach oversold; that’s where the probability of a rebound increases.
MACD: we need a bullish crossover to confirm the recovery.
Takeaway: 🟠 more vulnerable than BTC if BTC continues to fall.
🟢 XRP
MAP: the technical structure is still delicate; price has shown periods below key moving averages.
RSI: weak, but the key point is whether it enters oversold.
MACD: without a confirmed bullish crossover, I wouldn’t consider a trend change.
Takeaway: 🔴 the riskiest of the three for LONG if general pressure continues.
🔥 My combined signal right now
Asset
RSI
MACD
MAP
Bearish risk
BTC
🟡
🔴
🟠
Medium
ETH
🟡/🔴
🔴
🔴
Medium-high
XRP
🟡/🔴
🔴
🔴
High
Most important: today’s 187 M USDC move does not confirm a buy. If those funds end up entering BTC/ETH, then the outlook would shift to bullish. If they are going to Binance/Coinbase to sell assets, it would be the opposite.
For a futures entry, I wouldn’t open a LONG just because of the 187 M USDC; I’d wait for confirmation from RSI + MACD + a recovery of the moving averages.

For now, I wouldn’t open a SHORT blindly. BTC is still near $63K and under bearish pressure; a recent reference places support at $61,400 and $59,070 and resistance at $64,567. �
$63,000–63,500 if it rejects
$64,200
$62,000
$61,400
ETH
$1,880–1,900 if it rejects
$1,935
$1,862
$1,800
XRP
$1.01–1.03 if it rejects
$1.06
$0.99
$0.96
ETH has a particularly important zone between $1,862 and $1,883; losing it increases the risk of going to $1,800, while reclaiming $1,900 improves the bullish scenario. �
CoinDCX
XRP is around $1.00 and its indicators still show bearish pressure; the $1.00–1.01 support is key. �
Coinalyze +1
🔒 To lock in profits
In a SHORT, when it reaches TP1, I would do this:
TP1 reached → close 30–50% → move the Stop Loss to the entry price or slightly into profit.
That way, if it bounces, you don’t turn a winning trade into a losing one.
⚠️ And something important: the 994 BTC sent to Coinbase increase the risk of selling, but they don’t guarantee that those BTC will be sold. That’s why I prefer to wait for price rejection/confirmation before entering.

🐋 Whale Alert Consolidated
Movement
Amount
Reading
BTC Ceffu → Binance
1.836 BTC
🔴 Possible selling pressure
BTC → Coinbase Institutional
1.999 BTC
🔴 Possible sale
BTC → Coinbase Institutional
1.112 BTC
🔴 Possible sale
BTC → Coinbase Institutional
1.092 BTC
🔴 Possible sale
BTC Coinbase → wallet
810 BTC
🟢 Exchange outflow
BTC Coinbase → wallet
1.112 BTC
🟢 Exchange outflow
BTC → Wintermute
800 BTC
🟠 Market maker
BTC wallet → wallet
1.999 BTC
⚪ Neutral
USDT → OKX
216,74 M USDT
🟢 Liquidity available to trade
USDC Treasury → market
250 M USDC
🟢 New liquidity
Total BTC moved in this block: 10.760 BTC.
And, considering only BTC movements toward exchanges/market makers:
1.836 + 1.999 + 1.112 + 1.092 + 800 = 6.839 BTC
compared to 1.922 BTC that left Coinbase.
➡️ Approximate directional balance: +4.917 BTC toward exchanges/market makers.
That’s what makes this block initially bearish for BTC, although it doesn’t mean that the 4.917 BTC will be sold.
In addition, academic research on whale movements shows that these data can help anticipate volatility episodes, but they don’t allow us to determine by themselves whether a transfer will end up as a buy or a sell. �
arXiv
🟢 But there is an important counterforce
We have 250 M USDC newly minted + 216.7 M USDT sent to OKX.
That represents approximately 466.7 million USD in stablecoins potentially available for trading. Historical evidence has also found a positive BTC response around certain stablecoin creation events, although the effect is not permanent. �
arXiv
📌 My read of the whole picture
BTC: 🔴 moderate-to-high bearish pressure
Available liquidity: 🟢 very high
Volatility risk: 🔴 high
Immediate accumulation signal: 🟡 not confirmed yet
Distribution signal: 🔴 stronger than the accumulation one

Yes. Total summary of what these moves and news indicate right now:
🟢 USDC / Aave
192.27M USDC: Unknown whale → Aave.
192.30M USDC: Unknown whale → Aave.
In practice, the money left and returned almost immediately.
The difference is minimal (~27.7k USDC), so it doesn’t seem like a real capital withdrawal from Aave or a directional buy/sell.
I would interpret it as liquidity movement, a loan/repayment, or
🔴 XRP
The exploit affected a Coreum bridge connected with the XRP Ledger, not the XRP Ledger itself. Approximately 199.916 XRP was drained in 94 operations over 97 minutes. The problem was that the software accepted fake deposits and allowed real XRP to be withdrawn. �
Pluang +1
Important: this may increase fear around XRP in the short term, but it doesn’t mean XRP was hacked directly.
Also, XRP has been under pressure and even fell below the $1 level, increasing volatility. �
CryptoTicker.io
🔴 Harmony / ONE
Here the risk is higher for ONE:
About 4 billion new ONE tokens may have been created.
That increases the supply by more than 25%.
ONE dropped by around 26%, and other updates put it even worse during the volatility.
Harmony is trying to freeze funds and prepare a software fix. �
CoinDesk
📉 Impact on BTC and ETH
The overall market was already weak:
BTC: around $63.7K–$64K.
ETH: below $1,900.
XRP is also under pressure.
The ETFs had shown outflows, and the market is waiting for today’s US inflation data, which can trigger a lot of movement. �
CoinGape +1
In derivatives, there have been major liquidations, especially LONG, although liquidation data changes quickly. �
KuCoin
🧭 My READING NOW
BTC: 🟠 bearish/neutral → still at risk of another drop if supports are lost.
ETH: 🔴 weaker than BTC → higher risk of LONG liquidations.
XRP: 🔴 bearish pressure + negative bridge news,

🔴 BTC: higher liquidation risk for LONG.
🔴 ETH: also slightly higher liquidation risk for LONG.1840
The key will be whether BTC loses $63,700 or, on the contrary, breaks $65,000. That would significantly change the scenario.

Yes. Updating ETH and XRP as of August 11, and separating the technical analysis of whale movements:
Ξ ETH
RSI: ~47 → 🟡 neutral, slightly weak. �
Investing.com
MACD: negative → 🔴 still bearish.
Moving averages: 5-day favors buying, but 50-day favors selling → 🟡 mixed. �
Investing.com
Key whale: 30,000 ETH left Binance → 🟢 good sign if they move to custody/holding.
Estimate: 🟢 52% up / 🔴 48% down.
ETH is better balanced than BTC, but it still needs to break through resistance levels to confirm an uptrend.
XRP
Here’s an important difference: XRP is much closer to oversold.
RSI 14: around 28 on an intraday reading → 🔴 oversold. �
Investing.com
MACD: negative → 🔴 bearish.
StochRSI: extremely low → 🟢 possibility of a technical rebound.
XRP is around $1.00–$1.01 and today is down more than 3%. �
CryptoRank +1
On 1H, MACD shows a bullish crossover and RSI 36.3, signaling a possible rebound, though still weak. �
Reddit
XRP estimate: 🟢 48% up / 🔴 52% down.
🧭 All three together
Crypto
Up
Down
Reading
BTC
45%
55%
🔴 Weak
ETH
52%
48%
🟡/🟢 Better
XRP
48%
52%
🟡 Oversold
My order right now: ETH > XRP > BTC for the rebound possibility.
⚠️ These are estimated probabilities, not a guarantee. For XRP, a low RSI can support a rebound, but it doesn’t mean the trend change has been confirmed.

🐋 BTC — today
About today’s moves:
1,000 BTC → Binance: $65.0 M 🔴 potential selling pressure.
1,818 BTC → unknown wallet: $118.3 M 🟡 we don’t know the intent.
1,818 BTC → unknown wallet: $118.1 M 🟡 likely internal movement/continuation.
1,019 BTC → Binance: $66.4 M 🔴 potential selling pressure.
1,009 BTC → OKX: $65.6 M 🔴 possible sell.
1,803 BTC → unknown wallet: $117.35 M 🟡.
1,803 BTC → Kraken: $117.04 M 🔴 potential selling pressure.
1,999 BTC → unknown wallet: $129.8 M 🟡.
2,000 BTC → Binance: $129.8 M 🔴 strong inflow to exchange
1,019 BTC Coinbase → unknown: $66.1 M 🟢 outflow from exchange.
1,019 BTC → Coinbase Institutional: $65.9 M 🟡 institutional.
796 BTC Coinbase Institutional → unknown: $51.6 M 🟢 outflow.
1,396 BTC → Coinbase Institutional: $90.3 M 🟡/🟢 institutional.
BTC conclusion: today there were approximately 6,831 BTC sent directly to exchanges (Binance/OKX/Kraken), about $444 M, compared to around 1,815 BTC (~$117 M) that leave identified exchanges toward wallets. This leans the whale flow moderately bearish, but it doesn’t mean those 6,831 BTC have already been sold.
🟢 What offsets it
Spot ETFs have had 5 straight days of inflows, accumulating $853.5 M—an even cleaner signal of institutional demand than an isolated Whale Alert transfer. �
TradingView
That’s why my read on BTC right now is:
🐋 Whales: 🔴 60% selling pressure / 🟢 40% accumulation
ETF: 🟢 bullish
Immediate trend: 🟡 sideways-to-bullish, but risky below $65K.
📊 BTC levels to watch
$65,000–65,300: current decisive zone.
Above $65,500–66,000: significantly improves the bullish scenario.
$64,000: first important support.
$62,500–63,000: stronger support if $64K is lost.
$67,000: next major resistance; recent analysis also flags this area as on-chain resistance. �
BigGo Finance
Scenario I see: as long as $64K holds, there’s a chance to attempt $66K–67K. If it loses $64K with risk volume 62k

🐋 WHALE SUMMARY
BTC
🟥 Entry to Coinbase/Galaxy: 3.669 BTC
1.783 + 887 + 999
🟩 Exchange outflow: 3.389 BTC
800 + 1.818 + 771
⚠️ Net: +280 BTC to trading platforms/selling entities
Also, the previous 887 BTC Coinbase → unknown movement practically offsets the 887 that was entered.
ETH
🟥 40.733 ETH → Coinbase Institutional
⚠️ This is an important signal of possible selling pressure.
USDC
🟢 250 M USDC freshly minted
🟢 179.5 M USDC → Unknown Whale
This provides liquidity/buying power, but it still doesn’t mean they bought BTC.
XLM
950 M XLM moved between SDF accounts.
🟡 It looks like internal movement/distribution, so I don’t count it as a buy or sell.
🎯 Quick take
BTC: 🟠 moderate sell pressure
ETH: 🔴 strong sell pressure from the 40.733 ETH to Coinbase
USDC: 🟢 buy-side liquidity available
Morgan Stanley: 🟢 institutional accumulation of BTC, positive signal
Overall: 🟠 mixed—immediate sell pressure, although there is liquidity

📊 Today’s summary
🟢 BTC: +909 BTC net outflow from exchanges → slightly bullish.
🔵 ETH: 121.099 ETH entered Coinbase → bearish in the short term.
⚫ XRP: no significant movement → neutral.
💵 USDC: +250 million minted → positive liquidity.
📈 RSI/MACD BTC: moderately bullish bias.

Quick update on MACD and RSI:
🟠 BTC (Bitcoin)
4H RSI: ≈ 56–59 → Neutral with a bullish bias; it is not overbought yet. �
Investopedia +1
4H MACD: Positive, but momentum is cooling. As long as it stays above the signal line, it favors buyers. �
arXiv +1
Signal: 🟢 Moderately bullish.
🔵 ETH (Ethereum)
4H RSI: 57.9 → Neutral, with some buying strength. �
RSI Monitor
4H MACD: Neutral to slightly bullish, although strong ETH inflows to Coinbase increase the risk of a correction if selling appears. �
tradingkey.com +1
Signal: 🟡 Neutral with a slight upward trend.
⚫ XRP
RSI: around the neutral zone (50–55).
MACD: virtually flat, with no clear buy or sell signal.
Signal: ➖ Consolidation.
Summary
BTC: 🟢 Healthy RSI + bullish MACD.
ETH: 🟡 Neutral RSI + slightly bullish MACD, but watch whale inflows to exchanges.
XRP: ➖ No trend confirmation.

now everything is going to be about the earthquake; if Venezuela has 1 MQS for 10 years with power problems

PRa Bitcoin today estimate 9 📈 Probability of rise: 60–65%
📉 Probability of correction: 35–40%
Levels to watch today
🟢 Support: 65.300–65.500 USD
🔴 Key resistance: 66.800–67.000 USD
If BTC breaks firmly above 66.900 USD, the most likely target would be the 68.500–70.000 USD zone due to the concentration of short liquidations. If, on the other hand, it loses 65.300 USD, the odds of a correction toward 64.000–63.700 USD increase before seeking a new push.
dailyforex.com +1

First it will liquidate the long 62k, to reach 84k Bitcoin

My reading is as follows:
🟩 Higher concentration of LONG liquidations: 62,700-62,400 USD.
🟩 Second important zone: 61,900-61,600 USD.
🟥 Higher concentration of SHORT liquidations: 64,600-65,100 USD.
🟥 Next upside target: 65,800-66,200 USD. �
coinglass +1
What do I think is most likely?
With the available information:
55% probability that BTC will first rise toward 64,600-65,100 USD to liquidate the shorts that they say

With BTC at 64.072 USDT, the reading is as follows:
Technical status
RSI (14): 45–50 → neutral zone; there is still room to rise before entering overbought. �
360tradingview.com +1
MACD: improving and close to confirming a bullish impulse, although the broader trend is not yet fully strong. �
Blockspot.io +1
MAP / Moving averages: short-term improving, but the higher-timeframe moving averages are still acting as resistance. �
Investing.com UK +1
Supports
63.450–63.600
62.800–63.000
62.000 (strong support) �
Blockspot.io
Resistances
64.650
65.600
66.500–67.000 �
Blockspot.io
With whale movements
Withdrawals from Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken to private wallets indicate accumulation.
There were also deposits into Coinbase and OKX, which adds some selling pressure.
The overall balance remains slightly bullish, supported further by the issuance of 250 million USDC, which brings liquidity to the market.
Estimate
🟢 Probability of rise: 60–65%
🔴 Probability of drop: 35–40%
If BTC breaks and closes above 64.650, the next target is 65.600–66.000 USDT. If it loses 63.450, a fall toward 62.800–62.000 USDT is likely. �
What do you think?

Probability of an up move: 70–75%
➡️ Probability of sideways movement: 15–20%
📉 Probability of a down move: 10–15%
The reason is that the net liquidity balance is positive (+1.117 billion USD), which usually favors buying appetite. The main bearish factor is the transfer of 820 BTC to OKX, which could represent selling, but its size is relatively small compared to the total liquidity flow.
So, based on the data you sent, the bias is bullish, although that doesn’t guarantee the price will rise, since real market volume, technical indicators, and current news also play a role. 65500 to 67k $

My estimate
If BTC is already close to 62,600 USDT:
🎯 First target: 62,200 USDT.
🎯 If it breaks that support: 61,800–61,900 USDT.
Only if it recovers 63,800–64,000 USDT would the probability of a sustained rebound increase.
Probability:
📉 Down: 60%
📈 Up: 40%

Estimate for BTC
📈 Probability of rise: 55–60%.
📉 Probability of correction: 40–45%.
If it breaks 64,000 USDT with volume, the next target would be 64,500–65,000 USDT.
If it loses 63,600 USDT, the probability of a drop toward 63,200 USDT increases before a possible rebound. what is the name of this island..it’s between Spain and France