Hypothetical review Entered at the early posted price and held until now; fees and slippage not included Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
Uptrend continuation (long) No primary trend today For reference: XMR long +2.05% / BTC long -0.42%
Whether price rises or falls, watch if the move can last for a few days First filter out the spikes, then assess the structure
Market overview BTC choppy Current price 80907 ETH down Current price 2381
Screening criteria Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Primary trend (reassess if a pullback holds at the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs) None today; don't force a setup
Watchlist XMR / BTC / ETH / ZEC / SOL XMR trading volume is thin; BTC/ETH/ZEC/SOL have broken structure
Excluded DOS ATR has expanded sharply ARIA Too extended BTR Volume contracted after a record surge
Downside continuation
Primary trend (reassess if a rebound is rejected at the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase shorts) AVAX 11 points Current price 9.0400|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up INJ 11 points Current price 7.7602|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up XRP 10 points Current price 1.2914|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up
Watchlist HYPE / TAO / FIL / ARB Volume is weak for HYPE/TAO/FIL/ARB
Excluded STRK ATR has expanded sharply NEAR New low, OI down JCT One-day sell-off
Notes More short setups qualified (7 original primary-trend picks); this post only keeps the top three by score with intact structure
Review it yourself Longs: stop following if a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: stop following if a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the price posted earlier and held until now; fees and slippage excluded Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
For both rises and falls, the question is whether they can last a few days Filter out impulsive moves first, then assess the structure
Market BTC choppy Price 81377 ETH down Price 2387
Screening criteria Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Continuation is only considered at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Main trend (reassess if price holds at 4h EMA20/50 on a pullback; don’t chase highs) XMR 8 points Price 599.73|OI rising with price
Watchlist WLD / BTC / ETH / XRP / HYPE WLD is too far from its mean; BTC/ETH/XRP/HYPE structure has broken down
Removed BULLA 24h surge IRYS Too far from its mean JCT Volume contracted after an enormous spike
Downside continuation
Main trend (reassess if a rebound is rejected at 4h EMA20/50; don’t chase shorts) XRP 11 points Price 1.3082|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up FIL 11 points Price 0.9785|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up AVAX 11 points Price 9.1153|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up
Watchlist BTC / TAO / ARB / NEAR BTC/TAO/ARB downgraded by the editor (previously main trend); NEAR volume is weak
Removed STRK ATR expanded sharply BILL Oversold and too far from its mean QNT New low with falling OI
Note Short setups are more plentiful (10 in the original main-trend list). This post includes only the top three by score with intact structure
Review it yourself Longs: stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the price when first posted and held until now; fees and slippage excluded Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
For both rallies and drops, the question is whether they can last for a few days Filter out impulsive spikes first, then assess the structure
Market BTC climbing along the moving averages Current price 84173 ETH falling Current price 2473
How to screen Structure, volume, OI, funding rate, market depth 12-point scale, same yardstick for longs and shorts; only discuss continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Primary trend (watch for a hold on a retest of the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs) XMR 11 points Current price 623.05|Structure aligned, OI rising with price
Watchlist WLD / ASTER / BTC / ZEC / BCH WLD/ZEC are overextended; ASTER/BCH have thin trading liquidity; BTC's OI isn't confirming
Exclude NEAR Too overextended ICNT Volume contracted after a massive spike ALT Surged over 24h
Downside continuation
Primary trend (watch for resistance at the 4h EMA20/50 on a rebound; don't chase shorts) None today; don't force a setup
Watchlist FIL / ARB / TAO / HYPE FIL/ARB/TAO/HYPE have broken structure
Exclude W ATR expanded sharply APR Volume contracted after a massive spike US Oversold and overextended
Review for yourself Longs: stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the price posted earlier and held until now; fees and slippage excluded Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
【Weekly Methodology Update】Post the price in the morning + review in the evening: why does this build trust?
There are two things people fear most with trading signals: posting one price in the morning and quietly changing it at night; making a big deal of wins while pretending losses were never posted.
We do two things consistently: 8 a.m.: Identify the primary trend, then record the current price on the spot (so it can be verified). 8 p.m.: Assume you held from the morning’s posted price until now, review both long and short positions, and post both wins and losses.
Recent verifiable examples (excluding fees and slippage)
10-19 evening review (posted just the same) Short: SOL 104.13 → 105.10 (short -0.93%) 1 position total: 0 profitable, 1 losing We don’t delete posts or change the morning’s posted price on losing days.
Why we do it this way The current price is fixed: readers can check it against the order book, rather than relying on a vague “roughly.” Evening reviews: to see whether the methodology works, look at the hypothetical profit or loss—not the slogans. We post losses too: our screening method has limits; it isn’t right all the time.
What we do at 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. 8 a.m.: Use a 12-point system to identify the primary long/short trend and record the current price. 8 p.m.: Review positions equally weighted from the morning’s posted prices, so you can verify them yourself.
Whether price rises or falls, see if the move can last a few days Filter out impulse moves first, then assess the structure
Market BTC climbing along the moving averages Current price 82996 ETH falling Current price 2449
How to screen Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Primary trend (reassess if price holds after pulling back to the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs) XMR 10 points Current price 602.05|Structure aligned, OI rising with price
Primary trend (reassess if a rebound is rejected at the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase shorts) ARB 10 points Current price 0.1873|Lower highs and lows, price down and OI up
Watchlist OP / WLFI / SOL / HYPE OP/WLFI have thin trading; SOL/HYPE structure broken
Review your own trades Longs: stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the early alert price and held until now; fees and slippage excluded Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
For both rallies and drops, see whether they can last a few days Filter out spike moves first, then assess the structure
Market BTC sideways Current price 81917 ETH down Current price 2406
Screening criteria Structure, volume, OI, funding rate, order book depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Primary trend (wait for a pullback to hold at the 4h EMA20/50 before reassessing; don't chase highs) WLD 12 points Current price 0.5334|Structure aligned, OI rising with price XMR 12 points Current price 606.50|Structure aligned, OI rising with price
Watchlist INJ / MORPHO / BTC / ARIA / CRV INJ is too extended; MORPHO/ARIA/CRV have thin trading; BTC structure has broken down
Excluded NEAR Overextended SIREN Huge 24h surge Q Massive-volume spike
Downside continuation
Primary trend (wait for a rebound to be rejected at the 4h EMA20/50 before reassessing; don't chase shorts) SOL 8 points Current price 104.98|Price down, OI up
Watchlist HBAR / ASTER / WLFI / HYPE HBAR/ASTER/WLFI have thin trading; HYPE structure has broken down
Excluded APR Oversold and extended AVA Single-day sell-off FIL New low, OI falling
Review your own trades Long: stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Short: stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the originally posted price and held until now; fees and slippage not included Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
Uptrend continuation (long) No dominant trend today For reference: XMR long -1.37% / BTC long +0.51%
Downtrend continuation (short) SOL 104.13 → 105.10 (short -0.93%)
Conclusion Equal-weight longs —, equal-weight shorts -0.93% 1 asset total: 0 profitable, 1 losing, 0 unchanged Hypothetical observations only; do not represent tomorrow’s direction
Whether up or down, see if it can last a few days Filter out spikes first, then assess the structure
Market overview BTC sideways Current price 82019 ETH down Current price 2409
Screening criteria Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Main trend (reassess after a stable retest of the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs) None today; don't force a setup
Main trend (reassess if a rebound is rejected at the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase shorts) SOL 10 points Current price 104.13|lower highs and lows; price down, OI up
Review your own trades Longs: stop following if a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: stop following if a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Positions entered at the early-posted price and held until now; fees and slippage excluded. Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall.
Uptrend continuation (long) No dominant trend today For reference: ALT long -3.46% / A long -10.14%
Whether prices rise or fall, the question is whether the move can last several days Filter out impulsive moves first, then assess the structure
Market BTC: Range-bound Current price 81444 ETH: Falling Current price 2401
How to screen Structure, volume, OI, funding rate, market depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only discuss continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Main trend (wait for a pullback to 4h EMA20/50 to hold before reassessing; don’t chase) None today—no forcing it
Watchlist ALT / A / PYTH / ETH / BTC ALT/A/PYTH: thin volume; ETH/BTC: structure broken
Exclude TIA Excessive deviation BTW Surged in 24h SIREN ATR expanded sharply
Downside continuation
Main trend (wait for a rebound to be rejected at 4h EMA20/50 before reassessing; don’t chase shorts) SOL 10 points Current price 103.40|Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up HYPE 10 points Current price 78.0683|Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up
Watchlist CT / HBAR / BNB / DOT CT/HBAR/DOT: thin volume; BNB: OI not confirming
Exclude US Oversold, with excessive deviation W ATR expanded sharply SUI New low, OI down
Review your trades Longs: Stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: Stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the price posted earlier and held until now; fees and slippage not included Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
Uptrend continuation (Long) No primary trend today Reference: APT Long -3.40% / XMR Long +0.34%
Whether it rises or falls, see if the move can last a few days Filter out spikes first, then assess the structure
Market BTC choppy Price 81578 ETH falling Price 2422
Screening criteria Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, order book depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Main trend (wait for a hold at the 4h EMA20/50 on a pullback; don't chase highs) None today—no need to force a pick
Watchlist APT / XMR / WLD / DOT / WLFI APT/XMR/DOT/WLFI have thin trading; WLD's structure has broken
Excluded AERO Too extended ICNT Massive-volume spike ZEREBRO Surged in 24h
Downside continuation
Main trend (wait for resistance at the 4h EMA20/50 on a rebound; don't chase shorts) HYPE 10 points Price 80.2740|Price falling, OI rising; volume expands on declines and contracts on rebounds
Watchlist SOL / HBAR / ZEC / QNT SOL's structure has broken; HBAR has thin trading; OI is not confirming for ZEC/QNT
Excluded US Oversold and too extended BTC OI fell at a new low STBL ATR expanded sharply
Review it yourself Longs: stop following if a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: stop following if a long bullish candle breaks the previous high
Hypothetical review Entered at the early posted price and held until now; fees and slippage not included Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
Upward continuation (long) No primary trend today For reference: WLD long +5.79% / XPL long -1.30%
Hypothetical review Entered at the price posted earlier and held until now; fees and slippage not included Longs profit when prices rise; shorts profit when prices fall
Uptrend continuation (long) No dominant trend today For reference: TIA long -3.65% / FIL long -5.91%
For both up and down moves, see whether they can last a few days Filter out impulse moves first, then assess structure
Market overview BTC sideways Current price 81554 ETH down Current price 2418
How to screen Structure, volume, OI, funding rates, market depth 12-point scale; same yardstick for longs and shorts. Only consider continuation at 8 points or above
Upside continuation
Main trend (wait for a stable retest of the 4h EMA20/50; don't chase highs) None today—no forcing a pick
Watchlist TIA / FIL / AVA / WLD / OP TIA/FIL/AVA are too far from the averages; WLD's structure is broken; OP's volume is weak
Excluded PYTH Too far from the averages WAL Surged sharply in 24h TRUTH Massive-volume spike
Downside continuation
Main trend (wait for resistance at the 4h EMA20/50 on a rebound; don't chase shorts) HYPE 11 points Current price 80.8297|Lower highs and lows; price down, OI up
Watchlist RENDER / MARSCOIN / ZEC / SOL RENDER/MARSCOIN have thin trading; ZEC/SOL's structure is broken
Excluded US Oversold and too far from the averages NEAR Dumped in a single day BTC New low, OI down
Review notes Longs: Stop following after a long bearish candle breaks the previous low Shorts: Stop following after a long bullish candle breaks the previous high