IamKo
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IamKo
TRUE MARKET LOGIC • INSIDER
Frequent Trader
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$BTC hello!
for the second wave of positivity after #NFР we need to show slowing inflation. then BTC could target the old FVG 68-70.
so that bitcoin goes down, inflation CPI needs to rise above 3.8%. right now everyone is waiting for the data that inflation will grow. in my view, this is fake news. they may falsify #CPI after Trump fired the BLS chairman last year.
i believe the Fed rate in September will not be raised, and bitcoin will be dumped not based on the inflation data on Wednesday, but on another event.
for the second wave of positivity after #NFР we need to show slowing inflation. then BTC could target the old FVG 68-70.
so that bitcoin goes down, inflation CPI needs to rise above 3.8%. right now everyone is waiting for the data that inflation will grow. in my view, this is fake news. they may falsify #CPI after Trump fired the BLS chairman last year.
i believe the Fed rate in September will not be raised, and bitcoin will be dumped not based on the inflation data on Wednesday, but on another event.
🗄Correction Index 🇺🇸S&P 500 maintains signals of an approaching correction
➖The index responds only to macroeconomic factors
➖A normal correction is 5–7%
➖In most cases, the correction occurs within 2 months after the signal. The temporary reference point is the beginning of the 20th of June. There is no price for the reference point.
➖In this situation, it’s difficult to buy. Trades should be considered risky
➖The index responds only to macroeconomic factors
➖A normal correction is 5–7%
➖In most cases, the correction occurs within 2 months after the signal. The temporary reference point is the beginning of the 20th of June. There is no price for the reference point.
➖In this situation, it’s difficult to buy. Trades should be considered risky
🗄From the perspective of macro factors, the index 🇺🇸S&P 500 over the past week — has improved
➖According to the latest data, economic activity accelerated in July after neutral dynamics in May and a decline in June. This is a major positive for 🇺🇸S&P 500. There are grounds for growth out of the sideways range in August. It may have already started.
➖🇺🇸🏛The policy rate in July 2026 remained at 3.75%. This is negative. The Fed signals the possibility of raising the rate.
➖The acceleration of economic activity in July creates conditions for S&P 500 to rise from the June and July consolidation.
➖According to the latest data, economic activity accelerated in July after neutral dynamics in May and a decline in June. This is a major positive for 🇺🇸S&P 500. There are grounds for growth out of the sideways range in August. It may have already started.
➖🇺🇸🏛The policy rate in July 2026 remained at 3.75%. This is negative. The Fed signals the possibility of raising the rate.
➖The acceleration of economic activity in July creates conditions for S&P 500 to rise from the June and July consolidation.
$BTC 🗄Areas where Bitcoin may bounce/correct or reverse.
➖The red line indicates a level whose achievement will signal a break of the current zone and the activation of the next one.
➖These are not signals, but within the zones you can look for trade setups. Red lines can be used as a reference for a stop-loss.
➖The nearest bounce zone is $49,000 — $58,000. It matches the base target of the bearish model $45,000 — $55,000. This increases the chances of a strong bounce or reversal if it is reached.
➖The red line indicates a level whose achievement will signal a break of the current zone and the activation of the next one.
➖These are not signals, but within the zones you can look for trade setups. Red lines can be used as a reference for a stop-loss.
➖The nearest bounce zone is $49,000 — $58,000. It matches the base target of the bearish model $45,000 — $55,000. This increases the chances of a strong bounce or reversal if it is reached.
$BTC 🖼Painting in 🌎Bitcoin - D1 chart:
➖A downward trend channel is in effect. Prices are at its upper part. They have hit trend resistance. There is no room for growth. But only if the channel is not broken. There is plenty of room for a drop.
➖A bearish price pattern is in effect with an unfulfilled base target of $45 000 — 55 000. This is confusing.
➖Prices are slightly above the intermediate support $62 000 — 64 000, hinting at a move up to the nearest resistance $72 000 — 74 000
➖If it holds below $62 000, a drop to the base target will become available. Here ($45 000 – 55 000), a reversal will become more likely.
➖Daily indicator of statistical overheating in the neutral zone
📢Personal opinion: the nearest bounce zone is at levels $49 000 — 57 000. It coincides with the base target $45 000 — 55 000. Relatively safe buys may be possible here.
➖A downward trend channel is in effect. Prices are at its upper part. They have hit trend resistance. There is no room for growth. But only if the channel is not broken. There is plenty of room for a drop.
➖A bearish price pattern is in effect with an unfulfilled base target of $45 000 — 55 000. This is confusing.
➖Prices are slightly above the intermediate support $62 000 — 64 000, hinting at a move up to the nearest resistance $72 000 — 74 000
➖If it holds below $62 000, a drop to the base target will become available. Here ($45 000 – 55 000), a reversal will become more likely.
➖Daily indicator of statistical overheating in the neutral zone
📢Personal opinion: the nearest bounce zone is at levels $49 000 — 57 000. It coincides with the base target $45 000 — 55 000. Relatively safe buys may be possible here.
#Трамп :
The Iranian leadership is incredibly duplicitous! They ask for a meeting—some would even say “they’re pleading”—talks begin, and new meetings are planned in the near future, and yet they openly and proudly claim that no discussions are taking place, that nothing is being discussed, and that they only communicate with “Oman.”
Then they go on to tell their usual tall tales, claiming that they will “powerfully control” the Strait of Hormuz, while it is already fully controlled by the U.S. Navy and our “blockade,” or, as some call it, the “Steel Wall of the United States.”
Nothing can get into Iran if we don’t want it to, and nothing will get there until an agreement is reached or there is full capitulation. Whether Iran wants to admit it or not, we are, in fact, talking about solving the problem they created over decades.
It’s very simple: IRAN MUST NEVER HAVE NUCLEAR WEAPONS!
The Iranian leadership is incredibly duplicitous! They ask for a meeting—some would even say “they’re pleading”—talks begin, and new meetings are planned in the near future, and yet they openly and proudly claim that no discussions are taking place, that nothing is being discussed, and that they only communicate with “Oman.”
Then they go on to tell their usual tall tales, claiming that they will “powerfully control” the Strait of Hormuz, while it is already fully controlled by the U.S. Navy and our “blockade,” or, as some call it, the “Steel Wall of the United States.”
Nothing can get into Iran if we don’t want it to, and nothing will get there until an agreement is reached or there is full capitulation. Whether Iran wants to admit it or not, we are, in fact, talking about solving the problem they created over decades.
It’s very simple: IRAN MUST NEVER HAVE NUCLEAR WEAPONS!
$BTC I have a big question for the arranger 34,000 🤔
Does anyone know in advance. And is using this insider information.
Does anyone know in advance. And is using this insider information.
$BTC D1
Since wave 4 is not an impulse, the main idea remains the decline in wave 5 with a potential update of the low
Since wave 4 is not an impulse, the main idea remains the decline in wave 5 with a potential update of the low
⚠️🇺🇸 Expectations for an FOMC rate hike in the US are rising rapidly — BBG
meeting on Wednesday, July 29
meeting on Wednesday, July 29
$BTC First order completed. Once again. Based on the dominant role, I still don’t see growth.
The sales plan remains current.
The sales plan remains current.
#USDT .D h4
USDT dominance suggests that from the current levels we can turn upward in wave 3. Confirmation will be a break above 8,526%; I don’t see any other scenario. Wave C forms in a diagonal — a reversal pattern; waves 1 and 2 have already been formed, and nothing interferes with the rise.
The market may go down.
USDT dominance suggests that from the current levels we can turn upward in wave 3. Confirmation will be a break above 8,526%; I don’t see any other scenario. Wave C forms in a diagonal — a reversal pattern; waves 1 and 2 have already been formed, and nothing interferes with the rise.
The market may go down.
$BTC everything according to the plan. Everyone is satisfied with the trading.
Analyze the market and you won’t be cheated. There has been a lot of manipulation lately. Patience wins 👌
Analyze the market and you won’t be cheated. There has been a lot of manipulation lately. Patience wins 👌
$BTC
The sales plan will be relevant when the price is increased to 66.000
Goal 61.200
Stop 66.950
The sales plan will be relevant when the price is increased to 66.000
Goal 61.200
Stop 66.950
$BTC Monday's reversal high. ✔️
Wednesday's reversal low. ⏳
If this correlation holds, we should see a reversal low forming on Wednesday, which will push the price up on Thursday.
So far, this pattern has repeated 7 out of the last 8 weeks.
Wednesday's reversal low. ⏳
If this correlation holds, we should see a reversal low forming on Wednesday, which will push the price up on Thursday.
So far, this pattern has repeated 7 out of the last 8 weeks.
$BTC
Historically, it’s been 826 days post-halving that signals the final capitulation phase in a bear market. After this reversal, it usually takes between 70 to 110 days to hit the major bottom.
So, the 826-day reversal lands on July 6, which suggests that the bear market bottom could form in early September.
This wasn’t my baseline scenario, but if prices start to pump in early July instead of dumping, I expect this scenario to play out.
Historically, it’s been 826 days post-halving that signals the final capitulation phase in a bear market. After this reversal, it usually takes between 70 to 110 days to hit the major bottom.
So, the 826-day reversal lands on July 6, which suggests that the bear market bottom could form in early September.
This wasn’t my baseline scenario, but if prices start to pump in early July instead of dumping, I expect this scenario to play out.
⏰🗒Calendar for Tuesday, June 23:
🇦🇺Australia — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 02:00
🇦🇺Australia — Services PMI (June) — 02:00
🇯🇵Japan — Services PMI (June) — 03:30
🇯🇵Japan — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 03:30
🇪🇺Eurozone — Services PMI (June) — 11:00
🇪🇺Eurozone — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 11:00
🇬🇧UK — Services PMI (June) — 11:30
🇬🇧UK — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 11:30
🇺🇸❗️USA — Services PMI (June) — 16:45
🇺🇸❗️USA — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 16:45
🇺🇸�USA — API Crude Oil Inventories — 23:30
🇦🇺Australia — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 02:00
🇦🇺Australia — Services PMI (June) — 02:00
🇯🇵Japan — Services PMI (June) — 03:30
🇯🇵Japan — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 03:30
🇪🇺Eurozone — Services PMI (June) — 11:00
🇪🇺Eurozone — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 11:00
🇬🇧UK — Services PMI (June) — 11:30
🇬🇧UK — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 11:30
🇺🇸❗️USA — Services PMI (June) — 16:45
🇺🇸❗️USA — Manufacturing PMI (June) — 16:45
🇺🇸�USA — API Crude Oil Inventories — 23:30
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