加密交易叫兽
576 Posts
加密交易叫兽
信任不是买来的，
是长出来的。
推特同名
你信我，不是因为我给了你什么方法，
是因为我懂你。
我懂你为什么扛单，
懂你为什么拿不住，
懂你为什么总是在同一个地方摔。
你信我，
是因为我在你身上，看见了我自己
Youtube：@加密交易叫兽
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Account lost $2654! I reviewed the trading logic from back then. Three fatal mistakes — DAY12: 📉 DAY12 Live account recap | Account progress: -$2654
Series note: This series records my real daily/weekly trading records. I don’t delete or edit them—I don’t polish them.
─────────────────────
📊 This episode’s focus
─────────────────────
【What I did】
• Trading instrument(s):
• Entry time and position:
• My trading logic at the time:
• Stop-loss setup:
【Where I went wrong】
① Fatal mistake 1:
② Fatal mistake 2:
③ Fatal mistake 3:
【What I learned / How I’ll adjust next】
─────────────────────
─────────────────────
⚠️ Risk disclaimer: This content is for technical discussion only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Contracts involve leverage; investing is risky—proceed with caution when entering the market.
💬 Have you made similar mistakes? Drop them in the comments below 👇 I’ll read every single one seriously!
📌 Follow me—I'll help you analyze the market every day, with real account updates posted from time to time.
Series note: This series records my real daily/weekly trading records. I don’t delete or edit them—I don’t polish them.
─────────────────────
📊 This episode’s focus
─────────────────────
【What I did】
• Trading instrument(s):
• Entry time and position:
• My trading logic at the time:
• Stop-loss setup:
【Where I went wrong】
① Fatal mistake 1:
② Fatal mistake 2:
③ Fatal mistake 3:
【What I learned / How I’ll adjust next】
─────────────────────
─────────────────────
⚠️ Risk disclaimer: This content is for technical discussion only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Contracts involve leverage; investing is risky—proceed with caution when entering the market.
💬 Have you made similar mistakes? Drop them in the comments below 👇 I’ll read every single one seriously!
📌 Follow me—I'll help you analyze the market every day, with real account updates posted from time to time.
Is it a false breakout or a real reversal? Only after the structure shows this pattern can it be confirmed
When it’s almost time to take profit and a resistance pattern appears, will you choose to manually close your position?
BTC：
On the daily timeframe, price is still ranging between EMA30 and EMA60, with the medium-term direction remaining consistent with yesterday. On the 4-hour timeframe, the current structure is a pullback process after yesterday’s broken-down trendline was reclaimed; the three EMAs are starting to converge and the short-term direction is about to break out. Today’s key confirmation signal is that once 65,000 is broken, the short-term direction can be confirmed as long—so be patient and reduce trading frequency.
ETH：
There is a severe lack of liquidity. The 30-minute chart has formed a converging triangle with no clear short-term direction. Overall, the structure is a pullback within an upward short-term consolidation. The long defense level is 1,873; if it breaks down, be alert for a shift to bearish.
SNDK：
For two consecutive days, there was a short-term surge after the US stock market opened, but yesterday it failed to reverse the bearish bias on the 30-minute timeframe. Currently, on the minute and hourly charts, bearish alignment is fully forming. The overall trend still leans bearish. Before 9:30 PM, focus mainly on shorting. The bearish defense level is 1,301. Two intraday support levels are: 1,223 and 1,203.
XAU：
Attempts to break above the right shoulder level of 4,291 at night failed. Early this morning it broke below the neckline at 4,253, but it received support from the EMA60 on the 30-minute timeframe, leading to a short-term rebound. At present, the short-term bullish trend has not been broken, so continue to treat it mainly as ranging upward. Also, yesterday’s daily candle closed as a relatively high-volume doji after touching EMA120, indicating strong downside absorption. The medium-term outlook is still bullish. Today’s key support is 4,223, where you can set an alert.
MU
On the 4-hour chart, a triangle convergence plus EMA lines sticking together suggests the short-term direction is about to emerge. After the big bullish candle at 8 PM last night, follow-through was weak and it has printed consecutive doji candles. Today, pay attention to the short-term support at 873. The long defense level is 853.
On the daily timeframe, price is still ranging between EMA30 and EMA60, with the medium-term direction remaining consistent with yesterday. On the 4-hour timeframe, the current structure is a pullback process after yesterday’s broken-down trendline was reclaimed; the three EMAs are starting to converge and the short-term direction is about to break out. Today’s key confirmation signal is that once 65,000 is broken, the short-term direction can be confirmed as long—so be patient and reduce trading frequency.
ETH：
There is a severe lack of liquidity. The 30-minute chart has formed a converging triangle with no clear short-term direction. Overall, the structure is a pullback within an upward short-term consolidation. The long defense level is 1,873; if it breaks down, be alert for a shift to bearish.
SNDK：
For two consecutive days, there was a short-term surge after the US stock market opened, but yesterday it failed to reverse the bearish bias on the 30-minute timeframe. Currently, on the minute and hourly charts, bearish alignment is fully forming. The overall trend still leans bearish. Before 9:30 PM, focus mainly on shorting. The bearish defense level is 1,301. Two intraday support levels are: 1,223 and 1,203.
XAU：
Attempts to break above the right shoulder level of 4,291 at night failed. Early this morning it broke below the neckline at 4,253, but it received support from the EMA60 on the 30-minute timeframe, leading to a short-term rebound. At present, the short-term bullish trend has not been broken, so continue to treat it mainly as ranging upward. Also, yesterday’s daily candle closed as a relatively high-volume doji after touching EMA120, indicating strong downside absorption. The medium-term outlook is still bullish. Today’s key support is 4,223, where you can set an alert.
MU
On the 4-hour chart, a triangle convergence plus EMA lines sticking together suggests the short-term direction is about to emerge. After the big bullish candle at 8 PM last night, follow-through was weak and it has printed consecutive doji candles. Today, pay attention to the short-term support at 873. The long defense level is 853.
Bitcoin 63300 is an important support! Micron $MU —3x profit—why did you exit on the last round this time?
🔥 Bitcoin $63300—line between life and death! Will it hold or break down? Let’s make it clear in this episode!
─────────────────────
📊 Key Takeaway (say it plainly)
─────────────────────
【Today’s episode solves 3 questions】
① $63300 is the most critical level for BTC right now—hold to keep the uptrend going, break below to trigger a trend reversal
② Micron (MU) secured a 3x gain—but why did the last round get closed out early at a key moment?
③ This exposes a fatal signal in BTC futures trading—many people are making this mistake
【Current BTC Multi-Period Status】
• 4-hour chart: $63300 is critical support, tested multiple times
• Daily chart: moving average system is converging—direction decision window
• Weekly chart: a pullback structure in the high range—overhead pressure not resolved
【Lessons from the MU Case】
This isn’t about telling you to buy Micron—it's about understanding:
The logic of capital rotating between different markets
That logic has direct relevance to BTC’s current move
─────────────────────
⚠️ Risk Warning
This content is for technical discussion only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Trading involves leverage; investing is risky—proceed with caution.
─────────────────────
💬 Comment section:
Do you think $63300 can hold this time? If it holds / if it breaks down, comment below 👇
I will read every one!
📌 Follow me—I'll help you analyze BTC multi-period trends every day.
🔥 Bitcoin $63300—line between life and death! Will it hold or break down? Let’s make it clear in this episode!
─────────────────────
📊 Key Takeaway (say it plainly)
─────────────────────
【Today’s episode solves 3 questions】
① $63300 is the most critical level for BTC right now—hold to keep the uptrend going, break below to trigger a trend reversal
② Micron (MU) secured a 3x gain—but why did the last round get closed out early at a key moment?
③ This exposes a fatal signal in BTC futures trading—many people are making this mistake
【Current BTC Multi-Period Status】
• 4-hour chart: $63300 is critical support, tested multiple times
• Daily chart: moving average system is converging—direction decision window
• Weekly chart: a pullback structure in the high range—overhead pressure not resolved
【Lessons from the MU Case】
This isn’t about telling you to buy Micron—it's about understanding:
The logic of capital rotating between different markets
That logic has direct relevance to BTC’s current move
─────────────────────
⚠️ Risk Warning
This content is for technical discussion only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Trading involves leverage; investing is risky—proceed with caution.
─────────────────────
💬 Comment section:
Do you think $63300 can hold this time? If it holds / if it breaks down, comment below 👇
I will read every one!
📌 Follow me—I'll help you analyze BTC multi-period trends every day.
How to Effectively Identify Order Blocks (OB) — 99% of People Get It Wrong
BTC:
On the 1-hour timeframe, although a bullish alignment has been formed, it still maintains a K-line overlapping structure; the intraday approach remains the left-side logic. Set the alert level at 64,400 (rising channel lower-band support). Liquidity is relatively low recently, so the stop loss must be widened appropriately to prevent wicks/pin-pricks. The maximum long stop loss is 63,865. No short-selling signal.
ETH:
On the 30-minute timeframe, the structure is sticking and has broken out, but it is still a strong bullish candle. This is a short-term bull trap/false breakout. Support is at 1,898; intraday price action is likely to pull back to this level and that’s where the plan ends. The strategy is consistent with BTC. The maximum long stop loss is 1,869. For now, do not consider shorting.
SNDK:
Affected by off-exchange news, there was a brief spike higher last night; it has now returned to the vicinity of the breakout starting point. On the 4-hour timeframe, it is still being suppressed by the downtrend line. Intraday you may set an alert level at 1,199. Since the sell-off happened too quickly this morning, the current price is likely to form a rebound/relief bounce; shorting requires monitoring how the rebound candle closes. If it mostly forms doji candles with declining volume, intraday shorting can be the primary focus. At that time, you can wait for the strategy in the group.
XAU:
The rebound is being capped by the daily EMA120. Intraday, you need to digest/absorb yesterday’s rally. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has broken out of the bottom consolidation range, but it needs a pullback to around 4,208 to confirm whether support is valid. After consecutive bullish candles, volume has shrunk; the tendency is to pull back. However, it is not recommended to short—wait and observe within the 4,212–4,247 range.
MU:
Stronger than SNDK: all long positions from yesterday evening have already been fully exited. On the 30-minute timeframe, after a brief breakout above the previous high, price has returned below the EMA120, and the very short-term bias has turned bearish. Downside support at 852 is still strong. Use discretion and trade less—wait for notifications.
On the 1-hour timeframe, although a bullish alignment has been formed, it still maintains a K-line overlapping structure; the intraday approach remains the left-side logic. Set the alert level at 64,400 (rising channel lower-band support). Liquidity is relatively low recently, so the stop loss must be widened appropriately to prevent wicks/pin-pricks. The maximum long stop loss is 63,865. No short-selling signal.
ETH:
On the 30-minute timeframe, the structure is sticking and has broken out, but it is still a strong bullish candle. This is a short-term bull trap/false breakout. Support is at 1,898; intraday price action is likely to pull back to this level and that’s where the plan ends. The strategy is consistent with BTC. The maximum long stop loss is 1,869. For now, do not consider shorting.
SNDK:
Affected by off-exchange news, there was a brief spike higher last night; it has now returned to the vicinity of the breakout starting point. On the 4-hour timeframe, it is still being suppressed by the downtrend line. Intraday you may set an alert level at 1,199. Since the sell-off happened too quickly this morning, the current price is likely to form a rebound/relief bounce; shorting requires monitoring how the rebound candle closes. If it mostly forms doji candles with declining volume, intraday shorting can be the primary focus. At that time, you can wait for the strategy in the group.
XAU:
The rebound is being capped by the daily EMA120. Intraday, you need to digest/absorb yesterday’s rally. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has broken out of the bottom consolidation range, but it needs a pullback to around 4,208 to confirm whether support is valid. After consecutive bullish candles, volume has shrunk; the tendency is to pull back. However, it is not recommended to short—wait and observe within the 4,212–4,247 range.
MU:
Stronger than SNDK: all long positions from yesterday evening have already been fully exited. On the 30-minute timeframe, after a brief breakout above the previous high, price has returned below the EMA120, and the very short-term bias has turned bearish. Downside support at 852 is still strong. Use discretion and trade less—wait for notifications.
How to choose the most suitable cycle for breakout strategies?
Crypto market is dead?! Don’t panic—first do U.S. stocks; don’t cling to just one place
Right now, the crypto market has a serious lack of liquidity—not sideways trading, but a complete absence of capital actively trading in it.
In situations like this, forcing it is like firing a gun in the dark.
Money is smart—it goes where there’s volatility.
At this stage, U.S. stocks have noticeably more volatility than the crypto market. With earnings season plus rate-cut expectations, the opportunities are clearer.
In this episode, we’ll lay it out: why the crypto market is lacking liquidity right now, how to judge the signals, and which directions in U.S. stocks currently look promising.
Right now, the crypto market has a serious lack of liquidity—not sideways trading, but a complete absence of capital actively trading in it.
In situations like this, forcing it is like firing a gun in the dark.
Money is smart—it goes where there’s volatility.
At this stage, U.S. stocks have noticeably more volatility than the crypto market. With earnings season plus rate-cut expectations, the opportunities are clearer.
In this episode, we’ll lay it out: why the crypto market is lacking liquidity right now, how to judge the signals, and which directions in U.S. stocks currently look promising.
Risk control in trading is always the top iron rule!
It’s easy to fall down—so what about getting back up?
If you’re down 5%｜you only need a rise of 5.3% to break even
If you’re down 10%｜you only need a rise of 11.1% to break even
If you’re down 20%｜you only need a rise of 25% to break even
If you’re down 30%｜you only need a rise of 42.8% to break even
If you’re down 40%｜you only need a rise of 66.7% to break even
If you’re down 50%｜you only need a rise of 100% to break even
If you’re down 60%｜you only need a rise of 150% to break even
If you’re down 70%｜you only need a rise of 233% to break even
If you’re down 80%｜you only need a rise of 400% to break even
If you’re down 90%｜you only need a rise of 1000% to break even
It’s easy to fall down—so what about getting back up?
If you’re down 5%｜you only need a rise of 5.3% to break even
If you’re down 10%｜you only need a rise of 11.1% to break even
If you’re down 20%｜you only need a rise of 25% to break even
If you’re down 30%｜you only need a rise of 42.8% to break even
If you’re down 40%｜you only need a rise of 66.7% to break even
If you’re down 50%｜you only need a rise of 100% to break even
If you’re down 60%｜you only need a rise of 150% to break even
If you’re down 70%｜you only need a rise of 233% to break even
If you’re down 80%｜you only need a rise of 400% to break even
If you’re down 90%｜you only need a rise of 1000% to break even
Stop treating rebounds as reversals! Understand SMC’s CHoCH (Change of Character), and precisely catch trend turning points
Resonance Downwards! Bitcoin’s Breakout Is Imminent—Is It a Bear Trap? Quick Check
Multiple Bitcoin cycles are resonating downwards.
Not a guess, it’s confirmation—weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts; all three timeframes are turning.
With this kind of resonance, the historical probability of a major turning point is extremely high.
This isn’t the time to guess the bottom—it’s time to control the rhythm.
In this episode, we’ll make the resonance clear—which timeframes are confirming, what level to watch for if it breaks down, and how you should adjust your position right now.
Multiple Bitcoin cycles are resonating downwards.
Not a guess, it’s confirmation—weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts; all three timeframes are turning.
With this kind of resonance, the historical probability of a major turning point is extremely high.
This isn’t the time to guess the bottom—it’s time to control the rhythm.
In this episode, we’ll make the resonance clear—which timeframes are confirming, what level to watch for if it breaks down, and how you should adjust your position right now.
How to use candlestick body closes to identify resistance at the prior high and filter out 90% of false breakout noise
Bitcoin Short-Term: Watch for a V-Reversal and Upward Break!
Bitcoin has been range-bound for so long—now the breakout window is here.
But how to choose the direction? Many people are oversimplifying it.
One possibility: a V-reversal—prices can’t go down further, then it rallies straight up, sweeping the shorts.
Another possibility: a false breakout—pumps to lure you in, then the real drop follows.
These two playbooks lead to completely opposite positioning.
In this episode, we’ll lay out the logic clearly—how to judge in advance whether it’s a V-reversal or a false breakout, how you should adjust your position right now, and where to place your stop-loss.
Bitcoin has been range-bound for so long—now the breakout window is here.
But how to choose the direction? Many people are oversimplifying it.
One possibility: a V-reversal—prices can’t go down further, then it rallies straight up, sweeping the shorts.
Another possibility: a false breakout—pumps to lure you in, then the real drop follows.
These two playbooks lead to completely opposite positioning.
In this episode, we’ll lay out the logic clearly—how to judge in advance whether it’s a V-reversal or a false breakout, how you should adjust your position right now, and where to place your stop-loss.
Trade should not fall into dogmatism
These SMC concepts need to be重点关注
These SMC concepts need to be重点关注
Is the crypto market going to be gone?
Shandi’s trading volume is about to catch up with Bitcoin
Shandi’s trading volume is about to catch up with Bitcoin
Do you short when it reaches the pressure level? If you miss this signal, entering the trade is just asking for a loss
Bitcoin—are you still going all-in every day and smashing it? Purely just sending money away. Get a handle on this rhythm, and you’ll significantly improve your short-term trading skills!
Are you still going all-in every day?
Honestly, it’s just plain sending money away.
It’s not that Bitcoin isn’t giving you opportunities—it’s that your own rhythm is wrong.
Those who go all-in and smash: make a wave of profit and get euphoric, lose a wave and explode. By the end of the year, you end up at zero.
For those who get the rhythm right: start with a small position to test. If it’s right, add; if it’s wrong, cut. By the end of the year, you compound.
In this episode, we’ll lay out the rhythm clearly—why going all-in is destined to fail, how to train your rhythm, and how your short-term trading ability can be improved.
Are you still going all-in every day?
Honestly, it’s just plain sending money away.
It’s not that Bitcoin isn’t giving you opportunities—it’s that your own rhythm is wrong.
Those who go all-in and smash: make a wave of profit and get euphoric, lose a wave and explode. By the end of the year, you end up at zero.
For those who get the rhythm right: start with a small position to test. If it’s right, add; if it’s wrong, cut. By the end of the year, you compound.
In this episode, we’ll lay out the rhythm clearly—why going all-in is destined to fail, how to train your rhythm, and how your short-term trading ability can be improved.
If the price suddenly reverses when it is about to reach your target level, what should you do? This video will show you today.
Bitcoin has really been “stuck,” and now we’re entering another painful stretch. Be sure to control your trading pace and switch to a left-side approach.
Bitcoin has really been “stuck”—just as we said in the previous session.
Now the market is in the most grueling phase: it can’t move higher, it can’t fall lower, and it keeps getting swept back and forth.
At this time, the easiest way to lose money is chasing late longs and selling in panic.
Smart money has already started switching its thinking: instead of chasing buys from the right side, they’re turning to left-side phased entries.
In this session, I’ll lay out the logic clearly—what exactly is a left-side approach, how to use it now, and how to set your stop-loss.
Bitcoin has really been “stuck”—just as we said in the previous session.
Now the market is in the most grueling phase: it can’t move higher, it can’t fall lower, and it keeps getting swept back and forth.
At this time, the easiest way to lose money is chasing late longs and selling in panic.
Smart money has already started switching its thinking: instead of chasing buys from the right side, they’re turning to left-side phased entries.
In this session, I’ll lay out the logic clearly—what exactly is a left-side approach, how to use it now, and how to set your stop-loss.
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