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“Only a fool trips on what’s behind them.” — Iceberg Slim ◢ Founder, CEO, Asymmetric Financial & Asymmetric Information
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$VIX now a free trade
If go back and look at how I have been dancing around my $VIX call spreads that expire next week, 10/20, you'll see that at one point I took of the short leg, $30 calls, and took in that premium, the, I shorted the $19s to create a debit spread and then close them out to take in that premium, now, today, I just sold more calls.
Sold the $23.50 calls for $1.00 each.
That means that by patiently and carefully timing the trades on collecting premium, my call spread is now entirely paid for so in the worst case next week it's $0 in P&L...but it cost me nothing.
In the best case it is a max payout of $3.50 * my quantity of call spread combos, in my case, 1000, or $350,000.
So in short, the $VIX spreads are protecting all my longs that are underwater and if the VIX really spikes next week they will net me $350,000 offsetting any further draw down in my longs.
$VIX now a free trade
If go back and look at how I have been dancing around my $VIX call spreads that expire next week, 10/20, you'll see that at one point I took of the short leg, $30 calls, and took in that premium, the, I shorted the $19s to create a debit spread and then close them out to take in that premium, now, today, I just sold more calls.
Sold the $23.50 calls for $1.00 each.
That means that by patiently and carefully timing the trades on collecting premium, my call spread is now entirely paid for so in the worst case next week it's $0 in P&L...but it cost me nothing.
In the best case it is a max payout of $3.50 * my quantity of call spread combos, in my case, 1000, or $350,000.
So in short, the $VIX spreads are protecting all my longs that are underwater and if the VIX really spikes next week they will net me $350,000 offsetting any further draw down in my longs.
If go back and look at how I have been dancing around my $VIX call spreads that expire next week, 10/20, you'll see that at one point I took of the short leg, $30 calls, and took in that premium, the, I shorted the $19s to create a debit spread and then close them out to take in that premium, now, today, I just sold more calls.
Sold the $23.50 calls for $1.00 each.
That means that by patiently and carefully timing the trades on collecting premium, my call spread is now entirely paid for so in the worst case next week it's $0 in P&L...but it cost me nothing.
In the best case it is a max payout of $3.50 * my quantity of call spread combos, in my case, 1000, or $350,000.
So in short, the $VIX spreads are protecting all my longs that are underwater and if the VIX really spikes next week they will net me $350,000 offsetting any further draw down in my longs.
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Always keep a little, or a lot, of $VIX just in case
Always keep a little, or a lot, of $VIX just in case
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Agentic colocation is coming.
As AI moves toward real-time agents, voice and robotics, proximity to users could become a much bigger competitive advantage.
Agentic colocation is coming.
As AI moves toward real-time agents, voice and robotics, proximity to users could become a much bigger competitive advantage.
As AI moves toward real-time agents, voice and robotics, proximity to users could become a much bigger competitive advantage.
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Systematic funds had a -2.2 sigma performance day yesterday.
Systematic funds had a -2.2 sigma performance day yesterday.
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The electron is the bottleneck.
US Had 52 GW Data Center Capacity in 2025 vs 28 GW China and 17 GW All of Europe; US Has 4,767 Centers, More Than Next Nine Countries Combined
The US also counts 4,767 data centers, more than the next nine countries combined.
Per Cushman & Wakefield, the US has more current-plus-planned capacity than China, the UK, Germany and eleven other countries combined.
Data centers now consume roughly 5% of US electricity demand, versus roughly 2% in Europe.
The power consumption gap matters because it sets a floor on how much of the AI infrastructure buildout Europe can plausibly host even if capital were available.
The electron is the bottleneck.
US Had 52 GW Data Center Capacity in 2025 vs 28 GW China and 17 GW All of Europe; US Has 4,767 Centers, More Than Next Nine Countries Combined
The US also counts 4,767 data centers, more than the next nine countries combined.
Per Cushman & Wakefield, the US has more current-plus-planned capacity than China, the UK, Germany and eleven other countries combined.
Data centers now consume roughly 5% of US electricity demand, versus roughly 2% in Europe.
The power consumption gap matters because it sets a floor on how much of the AI infrastructure buildout Europe can plausibly host even if capital were available.
US Had 52 GW Data Center Capacity in 2025 vs 28 GW China and 17 GW All of Europe; US Has 4,767 Centers, More Than Next Nine Countries Combined
The US also counts 4,767 data centers, more than the next nine countries combined.
Per Cushman & Wakefield, the US has more current-plus-planned capacity than China, the UK, Germany and eleven other countries combined.
Data centers now consume roughly 5% of US electricity demand, versus roughly 2% in Europe.
The power consumption gap matters because it sets a floor on how much of the AI infrastructure buildout Europe can plausibly host even if capital were available.
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@GoldmanSachs's risk appetite index has crashed today.
@GoldmanSachs's risk appetite index has crashed today.
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$SPY vs $TLT Gamma Rotation Gap at extreme levels
$SPY vs $TLT Gamma Rotation Gap at extreme levels
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Mid-terms dip is a buying opportunity
Every midterm election day to the following June 30 showed positive returns for the Nasdaq from every cycle from 1986 to 2022.
From Oct 13 to Nov 3, buying any dip should be profitable over the intermediate term.
Mid-terms dip is a buying opportunity
Every midterm election day to the following June 30 showed positive returns for the Nasdaq from every cycle from 1986 to 2022.
From Oct 13 to Nov 3, buying any dip should be profitable over the intermediate term.
Every midterm election day to the following June 30 showed positive returns for the Nasdaq from every cycle from 1986 to 2022.
From Oct 13 to Nov 3, buying any dip should be profitable over the intermediate term.
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Hot CPI and duration…rallies?
Yields topped.
Hope this helps.
Hot CPI and duration…rallies?
Yields topped.
Hope this helps.
Yields topped.
Hope this helps.
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One hour until my fireside chat with @holdmybirra at El Día D in Medellin
https://eldiad.10am.pro/
One hour until my fireside chat with @holdmybirra at El Día D in Medellin
https://eldiad.10am.pro/
https://eldiad.10am.pro/
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CelestiaRises16%To2026High
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$TIA printed 0.7690 overnight, its highest level since 20 November 2025, and has handed back 13.1 percent of it since.
The sequence, hour by hour: 0.6746, 0.6885, 0.6875, 0.6909, 0.7040, 0.7343, 0.7503, 0.7426, 0.7373, 0.7282, 0.7199, 0.7140, 0.6692 and 0.6683. Six hours up, six hours back.
Volume says the move was real. 41.1 million dollars over twenty four hours against a 10.9 million thirty day average, 3.9 times a normal session, across 623,456 trades. The two heaviest hours were the two at the top, 2.77 and 2.98 million.
Leverage followed at a distance. Open interest went from 44.5 million tokens to a peak of 52.3 million and reads 47.2 million now, up 6.1 percent over the day and 9.9 percent below its own high. Funding never got excited about any of it: +0.0014, +0.0050, +0.0037, -0.0037, +0.0009 and -0.0048 percent across the last six settlements.
The long short account ratio sits at 1.37, down from 1.45 four hours ago. Taker flow spent the retrace under 1.00, the last reading 0.70.
Size check, since the move is large and the base is not. Market capitalisation is 615.6 million dollars for rank 83, with 919.9 million tokens circulating out of 1.169 billion, so fully diluted value is 782.0 million. The 41.1 million traded today is 6.7 percent of the float's value changing hands in a day.
For scale: the token closed 0.4729 on 10 October and 0.6885 yesterday. It is up 89.2 percent over thirty days and trades 96.2 percent above the 30 day low of 0.3407, printed on 17 September.
Follow me for daily positioning and on-chain breakdowns.
#CelestiaRises16%To2026High #TIA #altcoins #macro #crypto
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