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练气十万次
283 Posts

练气十万次

尽人事,听天命
13 Following
235 Followers
278 Liked
Posts
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Bearish
The procedural vote on the CLARITY Act has just ended. The Senate needs 60 votes to proceed to formal debate, and the Republicans have only 53 seats. The core sticking point is still the moral clause impasse. The Democrats want to restrict the president and his family from profiting from crypto-related business. The Republicans argue that they should move the bill forward first and then negotiate. Even though Trump agreed to about 80% of the content, the remaining 20% is what holds everything up. The bill itself has changed a lot. In the 630-page revised version, the regulatory split between the SEC and the CFTC has been reshuffled: digital commodities fall under the CFTC, while securities remain under the SEC. “Non-decentralized” DeFi protocols would need to register with the CFTC, and the judgment criteria come down to three points: whether someone can change the rules, whether trading is entirely carried out according to code, and whether anyone can restrict users from using it. On stablecoins, a “circuit breaker” was added. If community bank deposits were to flow to stablecoins at scale, the Treasury Secretary could step in directly to limit yields. But eight banking industry groups have already signed a joint letter opposing it, saying the mechanism would only kick in after deposits have already run off, so it would be useless. On Polymarket, the probability dropped from 30% to 18%. The market has been voting with its feet even before the vote. BTC also fell below $77,000 yesterday. No matter what the vote result is—whether it passes or not—in the short term it’s still a release of emotion. If it passes, it would be beyond expectations, but it won’t fall very far either; the market has already priced in pessimistic expectations. The real issue is that before the midterm elections in November, there are only three weeks of working time left. If they miss this window, the whole process has to start over from scratch. Tonight, are you sitting in cash and waiting for the result, or are you taking a bet on a direction? Drop your numbers in the comments below👇 #Clarity #BTC走势分析 #加密 #Write2Earn
The procedural vote on the CLARITY Act has just ended. The Senate needs 60 votes to proceed to formal debate, and the Republicans have only 53 seats.

The core sticking point is still the moral clause impasse. The Democrats want to restrict the president and his family from profiting from crypto-related business. The Republicans argue that they should move the bill forward first and then negotiate. Even though Trump agreed to about 80% of the content, the remaining 20% is what holds everything up.

The bill itself has changed a lot. In the 630-page revised version, the regulatory split between the SEC and the CFTC has been reshuffled: digital commodities fall under the CFTC, while securities remain under the SEC. “Non-decentralized” DeFi protocols would need to register with the CFTC, and the judgment criteria come down to three points: whether someone can change the rules, whether trading is entirely carried out according to code, and whether anyone can restrict users from using it.

On stablecoins, a “circuit breaker” was added. If community bank deposits were to flow to stablecoins at scale, the Treasury Secretary could step in directly to limit yields. But eight banking industry groups have already signed a joint letter opposing it, saying the mechanism would only kick in after deposits have already run off, so it would be useless.

On Polymarket, the probability dropped from 30% to 18%. The market has been voting with its feet even before the vote. BTC also fell below $77,000 yesterday.

No matter what the vote result is—whether it passes or not—in the short term it’s still a release of emotion. If it passes, it would be beyond expectations, but it won’t fall very far either; the market has already priced in pessimistic expectations. The real issue is that before the midterm elections in November, there are only three weeks of working time left. If they miss this window, the whole process has to start over from scratch.

Tonight, are you sitting in cash and waiting for the result, or are you taking a bet on a direction? Drop your numbers in the comments below👇

#Clarity #BTC走势分析 #加密 #Write2Earn
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Bullish
September 17 is a double-node event: the Fed’s rate decision + a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act. Let’s start with the rate decision. CME pricing is 86.2%, and a 25-basis-point hike is the consensus. The key isn’t whether they’ll raise rates or not—it’s the dot plot. If the guidance suggests there will be only one hike this year, that’s Waller’s “one-off hike” signal. Liquidity concerns get fully wrung out, which is bearish for liquidity risk. If the dot plot implies a second hike as well, then it becomes a prolonged fight, and risk assets will remain under pressure. But what the market is really overlooking is the CLARITY Act. Tonight the Senate will hold a procedural vote requiring 60 votes to pass. The Republicans just released a revised version of the text, adding a “circuit breaker” mechanism tied to stablecoin yield. Trump also agreed to concede on the ethics provisions. Institutions believe the market may be underestimating the bill’s progress—any positive surprise would almost certainly not yet be priced in. On-chain signals are even more direct: over the past 30 days, whales increased holdings by 152,000 BTC. Total holdings are 3.2 million BTC, the highest since 2024. One “mega whale” bought aggressively—2,610 BTC in a week—at an average price of 58,898, worth $153 million. The retail Fear & Greed Index is 16, an extreme “fear.” My view: the rate decision is in line with expectations, while the bill is the hidden upward variable. If the procedural vote passes tonight, and then you add Waller’s dovish press conference, BTC may directly test levels above 80,000. #BTC #CLARITY #美联储 #Write2Earn
September 17 is a double-node event: the Fed’s rate decision + a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act.

Let’s start with the rate decision. CME pricing is 86.2%, and a 25-basis-point hike is the consensus. The key isn’t whether they’ll raise rates or not—it’s the dot plot. If the guidance suggests there will be only one hike this year, that’s Waller’s “one-off hike” signal. Liquidity concerns get fully wrung out, which is bearish for liquidity risk. If the dot plot implies a second hike as well, then it becomes a prolonged fight, and risk assets will remain under pressure.

But what the market is really overlooking is the CLARITY Act.

Tonight the Senate will hold a procedural vote requiring 60 votes to pass. The Republicans just released a revised version of the text, adding a “circuit breaker” mechanism tied to stablecoin yield. Trump also agreed to concede on the ethics provisions. Institutions believe the market may be underestimating the bill’s progress—any positive surprise would almost certainly not yet be priced in.

On-chain signals are even more direct: over the past 30 days, whales increased holdings by 152,000 BTC. Total holdings are 3.2 million BTC, the highest since 2024. One “mega whale” bought aggressively—2,610 BTC in a week—at an average price of 58,898, worth $153 million. The retail Fear & Greed Index is 16, an extreme “fear.”

My view: the rate decision is in line with expectations, while the bill is the hidden upward variable. If the procedural vote passes tonight, and then you add Waller’s dovish press conference, BTC may directly test levels above 80,000. #BTC #CLARITY #美联储 #Write2Earn
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Bearish
Verified
ZEC has a key event today: the NU7 network upgrade vote closes tonight. There are two main issues. First, replace the once-every-four-years halving mechanism with a smooth issuance curve. Second, shorten the block interval from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. The total supply of 21 million remains unchanged, but the release schedule will change. Once the vote ends, the supply narrative will very likely be turned upside down. But what I want to talk about is something else. This round of ZEC went from 400 to 1200, up more than 200%. Who do you think is buying? In the past 24 hours, derivatives trading volume hit 6.4 billion, while spot is only 600 million—about 11 times less. Open interest has surged to 2.1 billion USD. It’s all leverage pushing it, not spot buyers propping it up. Wang Chun, co-founder of F2Pool, went straight in with criticism: this is “narrative-driven short squeezing,” not a fundamental improvement. He also listed a bunch of hard issues: unfair initial distribution, privacy features being optional rather than default, the ECC team collectively leaving in January this year, and an Orchard privacy pool vulnerability that lasted up to four years. So who’s feeling the most pain right now? The biggest on-chain ZEC short, Garrett Jin. He started shorting from $444 and held the position all the way to 1200. He’s currently sitting on an unrealized loss of more than $24 million, with a liquidation price at 2292. Last week, he even added to his shorts. His total short holdings are close to 40,000 ZEC. The shorts haven’t surrendered, but the longs are all leverage. The NU7 vote results will come out tonight. If smooth issuance is implemented, the halving narrative will disappear—bad news for the “digital gold” believers. If the halving is preserved, the expectation of tighter supply stays.$ Which side are you on—stay in cash and wait for the vote, or bet on the direction #ZECUSDT
ZEC has a key event today: the NU7 network upgrade vote closes tonight.

There are two main issues. First, replace the once-every-four-years halving mechanism with a smooth issuance curve. Second, shorten the block interval from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. The total supply of 21 million remains unchanged, but the release schedule will change. Once the vote ends, the supply narrative will very likely be turned upside down.

But what I want to talk about is something else.

This round of ZEC went from 400 to 1200, up more than 200%. Who do you think is buying? In the past 24 hours, derivatives trading volume hit 6.4 billion, while spot is only 600 million—about 11 times less. Open interest has surged to 2.1 billion USD. It’s all leverage pushing it, not spot buyers propping it up.

Wang Chun, co-founder of F2Pool, went straight in with criticism: this is “narrative-driven short squeezing,” not a fundamental improvement. He also listed a bunch of hard issues: unfair initial distribution, privacy features being optional rather than default, the ECC team collectively leaving in January this year, and an Orchard privacy pool vulnerability that lasted up to four years.

So who’s feeling the most pain right now?

The biggest on-chain ZEC short, Garrett Jin. He started shorting from $444 and held the position all the way to 1200. He’s currently sitting on an unrealized loss of more than $24 million, with a liquidation price at 2292. Last week, he even added to his shorts. His total short holdings are close to 40,000 ZEC. The shorts haven’t surrendered, but the longs are all leverage.

The NU7 vote results will come out tonight. If smooth issuance is implemented, the halving narrative will disappear—bad news for the “digital gold” believers. If the halving is preserved, the expectation of tighter supply stays.$

Which side are you on—stay in cash and wait for the vote, or bet on the direction #ZECUSDT
This coin with ID $AR is all about going long, damn! I grabbed some spot at 2.6 and it’s still dropping. If it breaks below 1, I'll stack more. The AI sector isn’t giving any chances, though. When is TAO gonna drop to 100? Last time I flipped coins, I made a double but now it just won't budge and I can’t get on the train.
This coin with ID $AR is all about going long, damn! I grabbed some spot at 2.6 and it’s still dropping. If it breaks below 1, I'll stack more. The AI sector isn’t giving any chances, though. When is TAO gonna drop to 100? Last time I flipped coins, I made a double but now it just won't budge and I can’t get on the train.
$AR too much, lost 6 times, cleared out and changed 12 taos, something feels off. I originally thought that it couldn’t drop below a market value of 100 million, where else could it go down to? It feels too strange, very much like the trends of those delisted coins I bought before. Still changed the holdings, at least it’s some money, still continue to buy taos.
$AR too much, lost 6 times, cleared out and changed 12 taos, something feels off. I originally thought that it couldn’t drop below a market value of 100 million, where else could it go down to? It feels too strange, very much like the trends of those delisted coins I bought before. Still changed the holdings, at least it’s some money, still continue to buy taos.
This state of AR makes me feel very uneasy. The market is rising, FIL can even increase by more than 20%, yet this thing is crashing. After buying 1300, I want to run away even at a cost of 60.
This state of AR makes me feel very uneasy. The market is rising, FIL can even increase by more than 20%, yet this thing is crashing. After buying 1300, I want to run away even at a cost of 60.
落星入海观
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$AR Continuous investment on the 38th day! Last night it suddenly dropped by about 15%. I was excited that I could buy an AR every day. However, it didn't take long to rebound, indicating that the support level of AR is still quite strong. This also shows that even if it falls, it won't drop much further.
Next round please 😅😅
Next round please 😅😅
Emile Inglish YK2q
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Held on for several months 🥹 When can I finally break free?
When he was 20, the market value was only twice what it is now; don't just look at the price, so much has been unlocked.
When he was 20, the market value was only twice what it is now; don't just look at the price, so much has been unlocked.
韭菜哥Crypto
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Brothers, let's take a look together at whether this 'king-level underperforming project' that has dropped more than 30 times can hit the bottom! #TIA
Explosive, this coin dares to play? Originally it was 12 million coins, now it has been increased to 14 million, unlimited issuance, garbage coin, many speculators were ruined by Zhu Yidan who promoted this coin.
Explosive, this coin dares to play? Originally it was 12 million coins, now it has been increased to 14 million, unlimited issuance, garbage coin, many speculators were ruined by Zhu Yidan who promoted this coin.
抄底魔哥
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$SSV Brothers, I just realized that the project party has issued an additional 145 million ssv. The key point is that there is unlimited issuance. I've started hoarding ssv at 20 bucks, what should we do, brothers? Can we still break even?
Isn't this bnx? The project team is still very strong, being able to wash from a market value of 300 million to over 10 million. When it rises, it rises sharply. If it drops ten times more, it might be worth buying a little bit.
Isn't this bnx? The project team is still very strong, being able to wash from a market value of 300 million to over 10 million. When it rises, it rises sharply. If it drops ten times more, it might be worth buying a little bit.
石狐区块链
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$FORM This token is very interesting, cz has been involved for a long time. The historical highest price of this token is 4.19 USD. The historical lowest point was the spike on October 10 at 0.086 USD, who caught that? It is a project strongly recommended by Binance. The project's popularity has dropped from an initial 400 to 100. It depends on whether it can pump or not, as it is a meme launch platform. The financing situation has not been disclosed, but I found out that one investment institution is from Vietnam. In summary, everything this project does is to serve the BSC chain. I noticed that the holding addresses for Binance users reached up to 42%. It seems that the project has sold more tokens to retail investors. Figure it out yourself.

bnx, hahaha this coin has been pumped by the market makers twice in this round. The market makers won't let you off the train unless they pull up the price. If you got in at 0.6, you won't be able to get off the train in less than two years.
bnx, hahaha this coin has been pumped by the market makers twice in this round. The market makers won't let you off the train unless they pull up the price. If you got in at 0.6, you won't be able to get off the train in less than two years.
K线人生飞哥
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Many people ask if there is still hope for $FORM

I want to say that this coin will definitely rise in the future. Those who are familiar with this coin know its trading strategies. It keeps rising when it rises and keeps falling when it falls. It has dropped from 4.29 and currently seems to be nearing the bottom, around 0.5 to 0.6 is the bottom.

This coin was previously called BNX, and its trading strategy is exactly the same as now. When it rises, it ignores the market and rises several times, and when it falls, it continues to drop by about 90%. When everyone thinks this project is finished, it starts to rise again 😂
At first, I couldn't grab it. I went to send a screenshot of Binance losses to the river. Later, I managed to grab 4, all of which required several verifications to claim. There must be this whitelist.
At first, I couldn't grab it. I went to send a screenshot of Binance losses to the river. Later, I managed to grab 4, all of which required several verifications to claim. There must be this whitelist.
天问在香港
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Binance Alpha October 24 review, is there always too many people? That's because you are not on the whitelist. Don't understand why Binance is doing a whitelist? If you don't let me grab it, just say it.
1️⃣ Two airdrop order numbers earned 200U, but I didn't grab any, I'm angry. I verified the grid correctly, you show too many people, and then verified it again and it was all gone? Is it because I participated in TGE, so you don't let me grab it? This mechanism definitely has issues. I researched the people around, and they are all people who recently grabbed the airdrop, or even the first one to grab today, and the second basically can't grab it, indicating that there is definitely a similar whitelist mechanism. If you let me grab it, I have a chance; if you don't let me grab it, then it’s always too many people until the end. Have my brothers encountered this?
2️⃣ Several consecutive days of first-come-first-served indicates that Binance is determined to balance things out, letting those who can't hold on drop out, like pure point farmers and small studios. What we need to do is hold on, stay at the table while controlling the wear and tear. As long as the wear and tear is within 4 each day, basically 1-2 airdrops can break even, and 3 airdrops means profit, 2+16, 3+16 still has profit.
3️⃣ Now filling in the invitation code for the wallet can help my brothers save on transaction fees, immediately 10% rebate, the key is that brushing Alpha can also get rebates! If you haven't filled it in, you can use my WTIWJ0JB, and already 1108 people are using my invitation code. The more people use it, the higher the rebate for everyone. After the subsequent upgrade, I will adjust the rebate ratio for everyone as soon as possible. I guess it can reach over 30%. The specific operation is as follows:
Step 1: Open the Binance app, click 'Wallet' in the upper right corner → Invite friends
Step 2: Click to input the invitation code, and the transaction fee will be reduced by 10%
Step 3: Input invitation code WTIWJ0JB and confirm
Follow me to know the latest tricks and news about airdrops, let's earn guaranteed money together!
#ALPHA🔥 #空投大毛 #网页版钱包
Directly go long on BNB, then reverse to go short after TG ends
Directly go long on BNB, then reverse to go short after TG ends
926-Sol
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Binance Alpha big event is here! I will keep my points for this


🚨 Tomorrow (October 23rd, 4 PM - 6 PM, UTC+8)

The Binance Alpha platform will launch a super big project!


Eligible users can participate using Alpha points,

I currently have 284 points, specifically saved for this project!


I take this project very seriously

Not participating would be a disservice to the points I have accumulated

Brothers, big event is reserved, we must go for it

#加密市场回调 #币安Alpha上新
How long will the deductions continue every day?
How long will the deductions continue every day?
透视狙击
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Alpha10.22, airdrop today and tomorrow, continuous big warning!!!
Scores around 230-250 should be deployed reasonably.
Today
1, TURTLE 23.00 fast pass spot score around 250.
Expected around 21.30 for phased probability. Pre-market dropped from 0.36 to 0.25.
If friendly, a score of 230 or 240 is also very possible.

If the share increases, but the quantity given is small. After splitting

around 70-100U.

Today is just this one airdrop, but the quality is quite good,

Tomorrow the 23rd, MET, high probability spot big, the neighbor has already announced the launch of the spot.

If today TURTLE phases, if 240 is the most friendly for one phase.
If 250-260 for the second phase, then the second phase will be 230-240.

If there’s no chance at 230, just take the second phase. If the spot crashes, there’s still one tomorrow on the 23rd.

Around 250, my advice is not to claim it immediately, as its value is high and it's better to claim it cautiously. Look for the second phase tomorrow.
For average value, claim the second phase after 8 AM tomorrow. The big one tomorrow shouldn't be missed either,

Facing many scripts, it’s hard to grab. After recovering, it’s suggested to lower the score. Facing difficult airdrops, the score increases!
Lowering the score, 14➕2, 13➕2, is simply the best choice,
Reducing wear is currently the top choice.
I personally expect it to last about 2 weeks or so.

Today brushing scores is still not easy, easily caught in between. Pay attention to the waves, stabilize before quickly completing the reverse.

Often caught in between, look at my previous posts, they can help you avoid being caught!

Follow me, don’t get lost in airdrops!
How to refresh it, refreshing 66,000 every day, with an average loss of 4u, it's been 17 days and I haven't managed to grab an airdrop, every time I click in it disappears.
How to refresh it, refreshing 66,000 every day, with an average loss of 4u, it's been 17 days and I haven't managed to grab an airdrop, every time I click in it disappears.
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Xiao Bai just started playing Alpha, began farming on October 6th, a friend said to recharge 1100u, then farm 210u each time, continuously farming AOP, now there are still 1046 left, not a single airdrop has been grabbed, the recent airdrop distribution requirements are too high, I heard there is money to be made in web3, can someone teach me as I don't understand.
After half a month of brushing, I haven't grabbed a single airdrop.
After half a month of brushing, I haven't grabbed a single airdrop.
虎虾酱香饼
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Alpha is about to enter hell difficulty.
First conclusion: at least two months of hell difficulty, and it may even directly end with Alpha.
Reasons:
First, there is a historical reference from the low tide in August to the high tide in September. Everyone is actually shouting about leaving now, but honestly, they feel they can hold on for a while since the profits in September are substantial; they can endure one or two months for another high tide. Therefore, the number of resignations will not significantly decrease, and it will take at least two months of darkness before people actually leave.
Second, more people have joined in September, and most of them are experienced individuals bringing in relatives or joining studios. They have enough profits to endure, so even if they run empty for one or two months, they don’t care. Thus, the number of people will not decrease in the next two months.
Third, Alpha has been giving away money for almost half a year now. The question of how long this model can last is crucial; it needs to list almost every day, otherwise, it will lead to a backlog of points. Once Binance feels that this model of Alpha has reached a bottleneck in attracting traffic, Alpha will become a pawn, similar to the previous megadrop which only lasted for a few issues and then disappeared. Of course, this does not mean that Binance will stop providing benefits; it might just take another form, another way to play, just like when Alpha first appeared, directly changing the traditional pattern of on-chain cat grabbing.

So how to break the situation? It still depends on Binance's strategy. In fact, the level of distribution does not fundamentally affect it. Referencing XPL when the project was valuable, even 70 points could give you 200 U, and in the end, it was not fully claimed; it just ended when the time was up. Therefore, high-quality continuous listings are needed, but this also means a lot of benefits for retail investors, which will also fatten up more studios. Once studios have profits, they will continue to expand.

In summary, due to the existence of studios and the continuous influx of people joining to boost scores, everyone knows the ultimate outcome of Alpha; it’s just a matter of time. However, I also deeply appreciate that it has accompanied me through this rewarding summer and autumn of 25 years.
I've been grinding for half a month, 252, and haven't gotten a single airdrop, spent 60u
I've been grinding for half a month, 252, and haven't gotten a single airdrop, spent 60u
有风2026祝福版
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No way, is today's Pre-TGE score this high?

How can we play with a score of 256? Quickly check the studio.

Users with Binance Alpha scores greater than or equal to 256 can participate in this Pre-TGE event through the Alpha activity page. Participating in this event will consume 10 points.

Today, bless is also taking off.
$BLESS
1.1 has already hedged more than ten numbers
1.1 has already hedged more than ten numbers
百慕大大卷
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Bullish
$YB is about to be in stock soon, is the next CLO??? #YB起飞 ???
This round of renaming only has one bnx. The increase is sharp.
This round of renaming only has one bnx. The increase is sharp.
will win 张
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EOS founder BM deposited 6.79 million coins $ASTER to Binance again, still holding 32.93 million ASTER
Once had the chance to surpass $ETH , EOS has now been renamed $A , and has fallen out of the top hundred in market value!
As a full-time holder of EOS, I have witnessed a great public chain that could have become a myth, ultimately destroyed by the project parties b1, founder bm, as well as bb, bp? A group of Bs! 🤣 Including the later enf and the foundation! This can also be seen as a man-made disaster!
After experiencing similar situations many times, I increasingly appreciate the value of Musk's little puppy; without project parties, no dog pools, just a group of passionate and hardworking consensus builders and promoters! Moreover, everyone holds the weapon of traffic: live streaming, posting! When the little puppy's 3,000-strong iron army is formed, and over a hundred live streaming rooms are cultivated! That is when the little puppy surpasses the peak period of shib! Current price is over a thousand times 😱

#BNB创新高 #币安HODLer空投ENSO #加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高
15th
15th
绵羊博士
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$YB can't be sold, what to do???
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