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CryptoZeno
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CryptoZeno

Verified Creator on #BinanceSquare #CoinMarketCap and #CryptoQuant | On Chain Research and Market Insights with Smart Trading Signals
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The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big MovesI’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do. In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses. This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about. Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is. Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions. The Two Trading Styles Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend) One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts. Let’s consider this through a visual example. Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher). Momentum assumes the level will break. You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken. Mean reversion assumes the level will hold. You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling. Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies. There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned. The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy). Lesson 1 Summary There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money. Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout. You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out. That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment. The Rowing Analogy Imagine you’re rowing a boat. You either row against or with the current. One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort. Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did. Trading is the same. Your strategy is your boat. Your optimal trade environment is the current. Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current). Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level? What you WANT: A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement. What you DON’T want: A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum. The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further. Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly. → Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles. Real Trade Example: Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like? Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it. What you WANT: Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum. What you DON’T want: Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?) Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic. This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact. Real Trade Example: Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅ Lastly, Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum). What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend. What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision. Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation. Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average). ✍️Quick Actionable Step: To add the 30SMMA on your charts: Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30" Real Trade Example: Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅ Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅ 🎓Lesson 2 Summary Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Now you know what momentum is. You also know the optimal conditions for it. Next, you need to know where to execute these trades. Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently. I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article. Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals. Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article. Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing. Why 1-minute chart? You learn faster. More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology. I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article. Real Trade Example: Step 3: Three Filters Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2: Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)? If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions. 🎓Lesson 3 Summary Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions. Now you need precise execution. Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup. This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution. Step 4: Entry Trigger We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing. Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing. Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward. → Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you. Real Trade Example: Step 5: Stop Loss A swing low is: the lowest wick in a pullback. Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout. Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down. Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop) Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio. Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it. Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach. Real Trade Example: 🎓Lesson 4 summary Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way. Immediate Next Steps✍️: Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria 🎓 Final Summary Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment. Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge. Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely. Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade. Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way. 🎓What Changes From Here The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out. You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through. You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets. #CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy

The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big Moves

I’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do.
In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses.
This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about.
Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies
Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is.
Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions.
The Two Trading Styles
Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend)
One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts.
Let’s consider this through a visual example.
Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher).
Momentum assumes the level will break.
You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken.
Mean reversion assumes the level will hold.
You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling.
Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies.
There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned.
The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy).
Lesson 1 Summary
There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money.
Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout.
You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out.
That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment.
The Rowing Analogy
Imagine you’re rowing a boat.
You either row against or with the current.
One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort.
Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did.
Trading is the same.
Your strategy is your boat.
Your optimal trade environment is the current.
Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current).
Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level?
What you WANT:
A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement.
What you DON’T want:
A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum.
The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further.
Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly.
→ Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles.
Real Trade Example:
Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like?
Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it.
What you WANT:
Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum.
What you DON’T want:
Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?)
Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic.
This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact.
Real Trade Example:
Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅
Lastly,
Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers
This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum).
What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend.
What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision.
Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation.
Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average).
✍️Quick Actionable Step:
To add the 30SMMA on your charts:
Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30"
Real Trade Example:
Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅
Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅
🎓Lesson 2 Summary
Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Now you know what momentum is.
You also know the optimal conditions for it.
Next, you need to know where to execute these trades.
Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels
Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently.
I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article.
Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals.
Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article.
Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart
Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing.
Why 1-minute chart?
You learn faster.
More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology.
I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article.
Real Trade Example:
Step 3: Three Filters
Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2:
Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)?
If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions.
🎓Lesson 3 Summary
Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly
Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit
You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions.
Now you need precise execution.
Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup.
This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution.
Step 4: Entry Trigger
We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing.
Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing.
Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward.
→ Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you.
Real Trade Example:
Step 5: Stop Loss
A swing low is:
the lowest wick in a pullback.
Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout.
Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility
Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down.
Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop)
Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction
If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio.
Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it.
Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach.
Real Trade Example:
🎓Lesson 4 summary
Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way.
Immediate Next Steps✍️:
Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria
🎓 Final Summary
Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion
Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment.
Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge.
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely.
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade.
Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit
Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way.
🎓What Changes From Here
The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out.
You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through.
You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets.
#CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy
$BTC We are approaching the Monthly Close with a significant amount of liquidity resting on both sides. Usually, when we see these kinds of conditions, price ends up sweeping both sides. What I'm observing right now is this falling wedge forming on the 12H. If we reject the upper trendline around 64.8k, it could trigger the next leg down into the 62.2k-61.2k region. If that scenario plays out, I think it's highly likely we reverse after the Monthly Open and target the liquidity sitting above, around the 67.4k region. This is the favorable scenario I'm observing based on the current structure. However, if we break above the wedge instead, then the 67.4k liquidity is likely to be taken first. Either way, the play here is simple: wait and observe which side gets taken out going into the Monthly Close and the start of the new month, then look to target the resting liquidity on the opposite side. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC We are approaching the Monthly Close with a significant amount of liquidity resting on both sides. Usually, when we see these kinds of conditions, price ends up sweeping both sides.

What I'm observing right now is this falling wedge forming on the 12H. If we reject the upper trendline around 64.8k, it could trigger the next leg down into the 62.2k-61.2k region.

If that scenario plays out, I think it's highly likely we reverse after the Monthly Open and target the liquidity sitting above, around the 67.4k region.

This is the favorable scenario I'm observing based on the current structure. However, if we break above the wedge instead, then the 67.4k liquidity is likely to be taken first.

Either way, the play here is simple: wait and observe which side gets taken out going into the Monthly Close and the start of the new month, then look to target the resting liquidity on the opposite side.
Partly True
160M + 150M $LAB just moved from team wallet to a fresh wallet ($42M). Distribution being made to side wallets. {future}(LABUSDT)
160M + 150M $LAB just moved from team wallet to a fresh wallet ($42M).

Distribution being made to side wallets.
$BTC LTF Head & Shoulders Possible breakdown soon if right shoulder is formed. Expecting mid 63k range again if this plays out. Just be careful trading today, folks. FED Meeting in ~5 hours. Best practice is to wait until AFTER to trade... {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC LTF Head & Shoulders

Possible breakdown soon if right shoulder is formed.

Expecting mid 63k range again if this plays out.

Just be careful trading today, folks.
FED Meeting in ~5 hours.
Best practice is to wait until AFTER to trade...
Rally continues. $COTI {future}(COTIUSDT) Hit the levels I mentioned. Volume still very high. Let's see if it can write a new story.
Rally continues. $COTI

Hit the levels I mentioned. Volume still very high.

Let's see if it can write a new story.
CryptoZeno
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Heavy leverage on a small cap: $COTI

COTI moved hard in the last 24 hours. The first level I shared yesterday at $0.0132 got hit, and $0.0154 is still on the table. If the trend holds over the coming hours, that level is reachable too.

Quick numbers:

>Futures volume 24h: ~$636M
>Spot volume: ~$46M
>Market cap: ~$35M
>Open interest: ~$32M

Futures volume is running at roughly 18x the market cap and OI is almost equal to the entire mcap. For a token this size that is a serious amount of leverage and speculation.

Funding on Binance is hourly and sitting around -0.15%. Shorts keep paying longs, so the pressure is still there.

These ratios matter. When futures activity overshadows the mcap like this, moves come fast, but reversals can be just as sharp. Worth keeping a close eye on whether volume and OI can hold up.
$BTC And there i said it. Swept our level and reclaimed back pumped $1400 points since then. Idea was shared even before the sweep. Still my yellow zones are valid. Those who longed the sweep can start booking profits. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC And there i said it.

Swept our level and reclaimed back pumped $1400 points since then.

Idea was shared even before the sweep.

Still my yellow zones are valid. Those who longed the sweep can start booking profits.
If $ETH breaks through the current sell wall, it could rise to around $2045. It will re-enter the $2000 level. {future}(ETHUSDT)
If $ETH breaks through the current sell wall, it could rise to around $2045.

It will re-enter the $2000 level.
Ethereum Strength Returns, But Confirmation Still Depends on Capital Rotation The ETH/BTC pair is beginning to stabilize after months of underperformance, and several on-chain indicators suggest the downside momentum has faded. The ETH/BTC MVRV ratio has rebounded from historically discounted territory while turning back above its long-term average. Similar recoveries in previous cycles often marked the transition from relative capitulation toward periods where Ethereum gradually regained strength against Bitcoin, although sustained outperformance has always required continued capital inflows rather than valuation alone. Exchange flow dynamics reinforce this improving backdrop. The ETH/BTC Exchange Inflows Ratio has declined significantly from the elevated levels seen during previous distribution phases, indicating weaker relative selling pressure from Ethereum holders. Lower exchange inflows generally reduce immediate supply available for sale, creating a healthier environment for ETH/BTC recovery if broader market liquidity remains supportive. Market participation is also evolving. Weekly spot trading volume shows Bitcoin still attracting the larger share of activity, yet the ETH/BTC trading volume ratio has stopped making new lows and is stabilizing after its recent correction. This suggests capital rotation is becoming more balanced instead of overwhelmingly favoring Bitcoin. Historically, sustained improvements in this ratio often precede stronger relative performance from Ethereum as institutional and retail participation broadens beyond Bitcoin. The current picture does not yet resemble a full altcoin leadership phase, but it does indicate that Ethereum is rebuilding its relative position from a stronger on-chain foundation. A continued rise in MVRV, restrained exchange selling pressure, and expanding spot participation would provide the combination needed for ETH/BTC to extend its recovery. Until those conditions strengthen together, the data supports cautious optimism rather than declaring a definitive shift in market leadership.
Ethereum Strength Returns, But Confirmation Still Depends on Capital Rotation

The ETH/BTC pair is beginning to stabilize after months of underperformance, and several on-chain indicators suggest the downside momentum has faded. The ETH/BTC MVRV ratio has rebounded from historically discounted territory while turning back above its long-term average. Similar recoveries in previous cycles often marked the transition from relative capitulation toward periods where Ethereum gradually regained strength against Bitcoin, although sustained outperformance has always required continued capital inflows rather than valuation alone.

Exchange flow dynamics reinforce this improving backdrop. The ETH/BTC Exchange Inflows Ratio has declined significantly from the elevated levels seen during previous distribution phases, indicating weaker relative selling pressure from Ethereum holders. Lower exchange inflows generally reduce immediate supply available for sale, creating a healthier environment for ETH/BTC recovery if broader market liquidity remains supportive.

Market participation is also evolving. Weekly spot trading volume shows Bitcoin still attracting the larger share of activity, yet the ETH/BTC trading volume ratio has stopped making new lows and is stabilizing after its recent correction. This suggests capital rotation is becoming more balanced instead of overwhelmingly favoring Bitcoin. Historically, sustained improvements in this ratio often precede stronger relative performance from Ethereum as institutional and retail participation broadens beyond Bitcoin.

The current picture does not yet resemble a full altcoin leadership phase, but it does indicate that Ethereum is rebuilding its relative position from a stronger on-chain foundation. A continued rise in MVRV, restrained exchange selling pressure, and expanding spot participation would provide the combination needed for ETH/BTC to extend its recovery. Until those conditions strengthen together, the data supports cautious optimism rather than declaring a definitive shift in market leadership.
Verified
18% Isn't Reserved For Products. It's Reserved For Building Them. One detail inside $BABY tokenomics feels easier to ignore than it should. The allocation for Ecosystem Building and the allocation for R&D + Operations are both 18% of the initial supply. They are separate categories, even though many protocols would simply merge them into one treasury. That split says something about how @babylonlabs_io is thinking beyond token distribution. One pool is designed to attract external builders through grants, bounties and ecosystem expansion. The other exists to keep improving the protocol itself. Those two objectives sound similar until funding pressure appears. A network that spends everything on growth eventually stops improving. A network that spends everything on engineering eventually struggles to attract developers. Keeping both budgets independent creates an interesting constraint. Every new integration has to compete for ecosystem resources instead of silently consuming protocol development funds. I don't know whether that allocation will prove optimal over the long run. I do think it reveals something important: Babylon didn't only design an infrastructure stack. It also designed separate capital flows for maintaining it and expanding it. #baby
18% Isn't Reserved For Products. It's Reserved For Building Them.

One detail inside $BABY tokenomics feels easier to ignore than it should.

The allocation for Ecosystem Building and the allocation for R&D + Operations are both 18% of the initial supply. They are separate categories, even though many protocols would simply merge them into one treasury.

That split says something about how @BabylonLabs_io is thinking beyond token distribution.

One pool is designed to attract external builders through grants, bounties and ecosystem expansion. The other exists to keep improving the protocol itself. Those two objectives sound similar until funding pressure appears. A network that spends everything on growth eventually stops improving. A network that spends everything on engineering eventually struggles to attract developers.

Keeping both budgets independent creates an interesting constraint. Every new integration has to compete for ecosystem resources instead of silently consuming protocol development funds.

I don't know whether that allocation will prove optimal over the long run.

I do think it reveals something important: Babylon didn't only design an infrastructure stack. It also designed separate capital flows for maintaining it and expanding it. #baby
Most active token on chain: $AKE {future}(AKEUSDT) Those following closely know we've been talking about $AKE accumulation from day one. Since we first mentioned it the price has nearly 10x'd. Two days ago I mentioned roughly 9.5 billion AKE leaving InvestorsPool and several large ERC1967Proxy wallets. I'm now seeing the receiving wallets making transfers to different addresses in small chunks. You can check the entries for those wallet addresses in the visuals below. I think they're preparing for an operation. For days we've been seeing dozens of transfers that I believe are designed to make tracking harder. Setting onchain aside and looking at volume: there's been a 15% drop in the last 24 hours. Futures volume at $854M against only $6.22M in spot. For a token with a $100M market cap that tells you just how unhealthy this rally is. They're not moving the tokens from wallets to exchanges. The low circulating supply is what's causing these sharp swings in both directions. Meanwhile short positions continue fueling the upside. Long/Short ratio at 0.65, slightly higher than yesterday but still hasn't broken above 1.00. Shorts are dominant and this increases the short squeeze probability. On the negative side there are some very sharp and notable liquidity clusters at certain levels. $0.0028 - $1.14M $0.0008 to $0.0011 range - $1.5M $0.0005 - $1.27M If it enters a downtrend hitting these levels is likely. Given this is a futures-driven rally, dropping it to these levels could take 5 minutes. Finding the top is impossible of course. Worth being careful.
Most active token on chain: $AKE

Those following closely know we've been talking about $AKE accumulation from day one. Since we first mentioned it the price has nearly 10x'd.

Two days ago I mentioned roughly 9.5 billion AKE leaving InvestorsPool and several large ERC1967Proxy wallets. I'm now seeing the receiving wallets making transfers to different addresses in small chunks.

You can check the entries for those wallet addresses in the visuals below.

I think they're preparing for an operation. For days we've been seeing dozens of transfers that I believe are designed to make tracking harder.

Setting onchain aside and looking at volume: there's been a 15% drop in the last 24 hours. Futures volume at $854M against only $6.22M in spot.

For a token with a $100M market cap that tells you just how unhealthy this rally is.

They're not moving the tokens from wallets to exchanges. The low circulating supply is what's causing these sharp swings in both directions.

Meanwhile short positions continue fueling the upside. Long/Short ratio at 0.65, slightly higher than yesterday but still hasn't broken above 1.00. Shorts are dominant and this increases the short squeeze probability.

On the negative side there are some very sharp and notable liquidity clusters at certain levels.

$0.0028 - $1.14M
$0.0008 to $0.0011 range - $1.5M
$0.0005 - $1.27M

If it enters a downtrend hitting these levels is likely.

Given this is a futures-driven rally, dropping it to these levels could take 5 minutes. Finding the top is impossible of course.

Worth being careful.
Gate cold wallet outflows on $TAG are continuing. {future}(TAGUSDT) On top of the addresses from my previous post, more transfers went out over the last 24 hours. Some of them: And notably, one of the wallets from the previous post received another 7B: The wallets from the first post are still stacked up. Current balances: That is around 16.5B more on the move in a day, and the receiving side keeps growing. Same pattern so far. These wallets still need to be watched for any selling or further distribution.
Gate cold wallet outflows on $TAG are continuing.

On top of the addresses from my previous post, more transfers went out over the last 24 hours. Some of them:

And notably, one of the wallets from the previous post received another 7B:

The wallets from the first post are still stacked up. Current balances:

That is around 16.5B more on the move in a day, and the receiving side keeps growing. Same pattern so far. These wallets still need to be watched for any selling or further distribution.
Partly True
Heavy leverage on a small cap: $COTI {future}(COTIUSDT) COTI moved hard in the last 24 hours. The first level I shared yesterday at $0.0132 got hit, and $0.0154 is still on the table. If the trend holds over the coming hours, that level is reachable too. Quick numbers: >Futures volume 24h: ~$636M >Spot volume: ~$46M >Market cap: ~$35M >Open interest: ~$32M Futures volume is running at roughly 18x the market cap and OI is almost equal to the entire mcap. For a token this size that is a serious amount of leverage and speculation. Funding on Binance is hourly and sitting around -0.15%. Shorts keep paying longs, so the pressure is still there. These ratios matter. When futures activity overshadows the mcap like this, moves come fast, but reversals can be just as sharp. Worth keeping a close eye on whether volume and OI can hold up.
Heavy leverage on a small cap: $COTI
COTI moved hard in the last 24 hours. The first level I shared yesterday at $0.0132 got hit, and $0.0154 is still on the table. If the trend holds over the coming hours, that level is reachable too.

Quick numbers:

>Futures volume 24h: ~$636M
>Spot volume: ~$46M
>Market cap: ~$35M
>Open interest: ~$32M

Futures volume is running at roughly 18x the market cap and OI is almost equal to the entire mcap. For a token this size that is a serious amount of leverage and speculation.

Funding on Binance is hourly and sitting around -0.15%. Shorts keep paying longs, so the pressure is still there.

These ratios matter. When futures activity overshadows the mcap like this, moves come fast, but reversals can be just as sharp. Worth keeping a close eye on whether volume and OI can hold up.
Leverage check: $VANRY {future}(VANRYUSDT) Spot volume on VANRY is up around 250%. Quick numbers: >Market cap: ~$11M >Futures volume: ~$123M >Spot volume: ~$8M >Open interest: ~$14M Futures volume is running at roughly 11x the market cap, and OI is actually higher than the entire mcap. For a coin this small, that is heavy leveraged interest. On the long/short side it gets interesting. Binance account ratio sits at 0.60, so most accounts are short. Top trader accounts are at 0.72, but their position ratio is 1.49. In other words, the big players are positioned long. Funding keeps printing negative. Shorts are paying longs. Rising spot volume, a crowded short side and OI above mcap is a setup that carries short squeeze potential. That said, the futures/spot gap is still wide, so the move can stay purely speculative. Whether the volume holds is the key thing to watch.
Leverage check: $VANRY

Spot volume on VANRY is up around 250%.

Quick numbers:

>Market cap: ~$11M
>Futures volume: ~$123M
>Spot volume: ~$8M
>Open interest: ~$14M

Futures volume is running at roughly 11x the market cap, and OI is actually higher than the entire mcap. For a coin this small, that is heavy leveraged interest.

On the long/short side it gets interesting. Binance account ratio sits at 0.60, so most accounts are short. Top trader accounts are at 0.72, but their position ratio is 1.49. In other words, the big players are positioned long.

Funding keeps printing negative. Shorts are paying longs.

Rising spot volume, a crowded short side and OI above mcap is a setup that carries short squeeze potential.

That said, the futures/spot gap is still wide, so the move can stay purely speculative. Whether the volume holds is the key thing to watch.
Are we near the end of the rally? $BANK {future}(BANKUSDT) I've been watching BANK closely for days now, so I wanted to take another detailed look. 24h futures volume is around 3.82B and spot volume sits near $144M. Both are still high, but there's been a roughly 15% drop in volume over the last day. Long/Short ratio is at 0.59, so shorts are dominant on the surface. But the top trader L/S ratio is 1.43, meaning the whales are still positioned long. Small fish shorting, big fish longing, basically. Looking at the liquidation heatmap, most of the buildup is sitting below current price. Levels worth noting: $0.32 - 585K $0.20 - 589K $0.12 - 1.22M $0.092 - 1.43M $0.083 - 774K $0.074 - 774K If BANK rolls into a downtrend, these are the levels to keep an eye on. On the spot side, the whale sell orders are stacked between 0.48 and 0.61.
Are we near the end of the rally? $BANK

I've been watching BANK closely for days now, so I wanted to take another detailed look.

24h futures volume is around 3.82B and spot volume sits near $144M. Both are still high, but there's been a roughly 15% drop in volume over the last day.

Long/Short ratio is at 0.59, so shorts are dominant on the surface. But the top trader L/S ratio is 1.43, meaning the whales are still positioned long.

Small fish shorting, big fish longing, basically.

Looking at the liquidation heatmap, most of the buildup is sitting below current price. Levels worth noting:

$0.32 - 585K
$0.20 - 589K
$0.12 - 1.22M
$0.092 - 1.43M
$0.083 - 774K
$0.074 - 774K

If BANK rolls into a downtrend, these are the levels to keep an eye on.

On the spot side, the whale sell orders are stacked between 0.48 and 0.61.
$BTC Update & Hyblock Heatmaps Bitcoin rejected from range high, then finally hit the level I thought it would hit (check heatmaps). Since it cleared downside beginning of week, it should go for 67.2k next. And potentially filling the weekly fvg until 72k. Have a great start into the new week and see you soon! {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC Update & Hyblock Heatmaps

Bitcoin rejected from range high, then finally hit the level I thought it would hit (check heatmaps).

Since it cleared downside beginning of week, it should go for 67.2k next. And potentially filling the weekly fvg until 72k.

Have a great start into the new week and see you soon!
$BTC We currently have massive passive selling pressure in the area between 66k and 70k. At the same time, buyers have been getting more active again, trying to defend the 62k area. This is the same zone I highlighted previously as the most important support right now. Overall, still bearish. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC We currently have massive passive selling pressure in the area between 66k and 70k.

At the same time, buyers have been getting more active again, trying to defend the 62k area.

This is the same zone I highlighted previously as the most important support right now.

Overall, still bearish.
I’m shocked that the $BTC 4-year cycle is repeating almost exactly once again. If you still can’t make money from a pattern this obvious, nobody can help you. I've made this indicator myself, you can claim it in the comments.
I’m shocked that the $BTC 4-year cycle is repeating almost exactly once again.

If you still can’t make money from a pattern this obvious, nobody can help you.

I've made this indicator myself, you can claim it in the comments.
Partly True
$XRP is now at its most oversold levels ever. - Down 72% from its ATH. - It has hit a 2-year low near $1 last month. - Monthly RSI is now more oversold than during the 2020 COVID crash. Do you think the bottom is in? {future}(XRPUSDT)
$XRP is now at its most oversold levels ever.

- Down 72% from its ATH.
- It has hit a 2-year low near $1 last month.
- Monthly RSI is now more oversold than during the 2020 COVID crash.

Do you think the bottom is in?
Bitcoin Short-term bull thesis: →1/2 targets hit. Stalled at the mid-range. A bit choppy here. → As long as we're below, a deeper correction toward the range low is still in play. → Flip the mid-range, eyes on 70k. {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin Short-term bull thesis:

→1/2 targets hit. Stalled at the mid-range. A bit choppy here.

→ As long as we're below, a deeper correction toward the range low is still in play.

→ Flip the mid-range, eyes on 70k.
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