CryptoBLACK

1. Introduction: The 'mystery number' that affects your wallet has arrived
Last night, were you staring at the candlestick chart or boasting in the group?
Just when everyone was debating whether BTC will break new highs or retrace to 68,000, the United States across the ocean released data that could change this year's script - 'U.S. Retail Sales Data'.
Many newcomers might ask: 'Dude, does it matter if Americans buy bread or iPhones at the supermarket for the Bitcoin in my account?'
This is a big deal! In the crypto world, we often say, 'Bull markets are made from piles of money.' And where does this money come from? It largely depends on the macro policies of the United States. Last night's data showed that U.S. retail sales in January were flat month-on-month (0.0%), far below the market expectation of 0.4%.

If you've recently seen someone spreading rumors like 'Binance is insolvent', 'a big player has run away', or 'technical faults are actually a soft exit' on X and various social platforms, don't panic just yet. I've used AI to deeply trace the sources of this information and found that this is not a spontaneous 'market concern', but rather an organized smear campaign with a script, schedule, and even budget.
1. AI solves the case: Who is behind the keyboard casting 'spells'?
To understand how this wave of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) was ignited, I used AI to capture the timestamps, IP distribution, and language habits of tens of thousands of negative posts on social media in recent times. The results are chilling:

Many friends who have just entered the market stare at the 5-minute K-line every day. They get excited when it rises and curse the market makers when it falls. But I tell you, if you do not understand 'macro liquidity' and do not know the trends of American Tech Funds, you will forever be 'blindfolded' in this market.
Today, I won't talk about vague indicators; instead, let's discuss the 'ultimate driving force' behind your account balance—the net inflow of American Tech Funds. This article is recommended for collection, as it may be the most practical content you can find in Binance Square that combines macroeconomics with practical operations.

1. Breaking! Mining difficulty 'plummets', what happened?
In the past few days, a piece of data has gone viral in the crypto circle: Bitcoin mining difficulty has been reduced by 11.16%!
Many newcomers may be confused: isn't a decrease in difficulty a good thing? Mining has become easier, isn't that a positive?
Don't rush to conclusions. Let's first explain what 'mining difficulty' is in simple terms.
You can imagine the Bitcoin network as a 'fully automated money printing machine'. Satoshi Nakamoto set a strict rule when writing the code: an average of one block (gold) is produced every 10 minutes.

Do veteran traders also fear 'black swans'?
As a newcomer to the cryptocurrency world, do you also have this kind of anxiety?
'What if the exchange runs away?'
'If hackers steal my coins, who do I cry to?'
'Even though Binance is a big platform, what if something goes wrong?'
In this uncertain cryptocurrency market, Binance has long provided us with a 'massive commercial insurance'. Today, let's break down Binance's SAFU fund in simple terms—it's the 'last line of defense' that allows you to sleep soundly, knowing there's someone to support you when you fall.

1. Current Situation: Gold Hits New Highs, Why Should People in the Cryptocurrency Circle Be Anxious?
Recently, the performance of gold (XAU) and silver (XAG) can only be described as 'outrageous.' Gold surged to the $5000 mark in early 2026, and silver was not to be outdone, leaving many veteran investors astonished with its sharp rise.
But looking back at our 'digital gold' Bitcoin (BTC), it has been fluctuating between $80,000 and $90,000, even experiencing a 'late cold snap' at the end of January.
Newbie's Doubt: "Wasn't it said that Bitcoin is a safe-haven asset? Why isn't it rising with gold? Is it a lost cause?"

1. Incident Timeline: From 'Hard Stance' to 'Cutting Losses'
In early February 2026, the cryptocurrency market faced a deep freeze. Ethereum (ETH) plummeted from its high, breaking through the psychological barrier of countless individuals. Yi Lihua, who had once publicly expressed bullish sentiments and heavily invested through his Trend Research fund, became the focal point of attention across the entire network.
High-Stakes Betting on ETH: Yi Lihua engaged in cyclical lending through DeFi protocols (such as Aave), mortgaging ETH to borrow stablecoins and then buying back ETH. This strategy yields enormous profits in a bull market but is suicidal in a bear market.
On the Edge of Liquidation: As the price of ETH fell below the $2000 mark, Yi Lihua's liquidation price was closely monitored by the entire network. To avoid forced liquidation by the platform, he had no choice but to enter a prolonged 'stop-loss mode.'

People often say, 'When the cannon fires, gold will flow,' but in the crypto world, every instance of geopolitical 'difficulties' could be the spark that ignites the market. Recently, Iran clearly rejected the U.S. proposal for 'zero enrichment' during negotiations in Oman. In plain language: the trump card has not been revealed enough, and the risk of talks collapsing is rising. As a trader, you must understand the asset linkage logic behind this.
1. Why is 'zero enrichment' an insurmountable deadlock?
Simple science: 'zero enrichment' means requiring Iran to completely abandon uranium enrichment activities. For Iran, this is not only a matter of energy rights, but also the only leverage on the negotiating table.

Just in the past few days, the U.S. CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) quietly updated a Staff Letter (25-40), directly naming: National Trust Banks can act as compliant issuers and issue payment stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar.
1. Who exactly did the CFTC move with this action?
In the past, the stablecoin market was dominated by native crypto companies like Circle (USDC) and Tether (USDT). Although they are also regulated, they are still seen as a 'makeshift operation' in the eyes of traditional financial giants.
The core point of this expansion of CFTC rules is:

In recent days, Lao Yi's remarks on 'liquidation' have gone viral in the community.
Many people panic when they see the words 'liquidation,' thinking that the industry is about to cool down. Are the big players about to run away? If you think this way, you are likely to miss the next opportunity for a doubling.
As seasoned investors, we need to understand the underlying logic behind the big players. Yi Lihua's core viewpoint can be summarized in one sentence: entering a bear market is the best time for ordinary people to reposition themselves for a comeback.
1. Why is 'liquidation' considered the highest-level layout?
The 'liquidation' mentioned by Yi Lihua does not mean despair for the industry, but rather a reallocation of assets.

1. Data Breakdown: The "easy question" behind the probabilities
First, let's look at this batch of freshly released data:
Probability of a 50 basis point rate cut: 32.5% (this is currently the "basic scenario")
Probability of a 75 basis point rate cut: 25.9% (this is a "small surprise")
No rate cut at all? The probability is only 5.4% (almost negligible)
Translated into plain language: In 2026, the Federal Reserve's "easing" is almost a certainty. The difference is only whether the faucet is opened wide or narrow. The current interest rate level of 3.5%-3.75% makes many institutions and whales feel "anxious." Once the interest rate cut cycle begins, the U.S. dollars that were originally lying in banks earning interest will, like hungry wolves, seek higher-yielding assets.

Have you all noticed? The whole world has been searching for 'Bitcoin' these past few days.
Just recently (early February 2026), Google Trends showed that the global search volume for 'Bitcoin' has experienced a dramatic surge, akin to a 'bamboo shoot after a rain.' For our friends at Binance Square, this usually signals something extremely strong.
1. Why is everyone searching? (The three major driving forces behind it)
The surge in search volume is by no means coincidental; it typically indicates that 'offshore funds' are peeking in at the door.
The 'eye-catching effect' of extreme market conditions

When will BTC actually rebound? A must-read guide for beginners to avoid pitfalls and "buying the dip"
"Feeling anxious from the drop, exhausted from checking the account, when will it finally end?"
This is the question I received the most in private messages on Binance Square recently.
This year's market has indeed taught a lesson to many newcomers. Watching BTC fall from its peak, many people have begun to doubt life: Is Bitcoin going to zero? Is the bull market completely over?
Don't worry, we won't discuss those metaphysical technical lines. Today, I'll break down for everyone with the most down-to-earth logic: When will BTC rebound? What should we do now?

In the past few days, friends in the crypto world probably feel like their hearts are shattered. Watching the red numbers bouncing in their accounts, many are asking: "I bought Bitcoin, not Microsoft or Google. Why are my coins crashing along with the tech stocks in the US?"
The market's start in 2026 has indeed been a bit "heart-wrenching". Bitcoin has dropped from last year's crazy high of $126,000 in October, breaking through the psychological barrier of $65,000, with a decline of nearly 50%. What exactly happened? How should newcomers operate to stop the bleeding? Today, let's avoid those complex financial terms and break it down in the most straightforward way.

Why do you always end up bottom fishing halfway up the hill? It’s because you didn’t understand these three signals.
Many newcomers have been asking the most recently: "Hey brother, when can we bottom out? Is this the bottom now?"
Watching your account shrink, I understand that feeling of 'afraid of falling yet afraid of missing out' too well. But in the crypto world, bottom fishing is not based on 'I feel' or 'mood.'
1. The number one misconception about bottom fishing: always wanting to buy at the lowest point
Many brothers have an obsession: they must buy at that exact peak.
Case analysis: Looking back at the market in 2024, many people hesitated to act when Bitcoin fell to $58,000, insisting on waiting for the so-called $48,000. As a result, when the market rebounded to $65,000, they started to regret and chase the highs. This is a typical case of 'penny wise, pound foolish.'

In the past few days, the smell of gunpowder from the Middle East has wafted over through the screen again. The US-Iran confrontation has escalated, drones have been intercepted, and various rumors about nuclear facilities are circulating... While everyone is scrolling through the news, the coins in their hands must be trembling as well.
Many newcomers ask me: 'Bro, isn't Bitcoin referred to as 'digital gold' that can hedge against risks? How come when a war breaks out, it drops harder than anyone else?'
Today, we won't delve into those profound macroeconomic theories; let's use the most down-to-earth logic to break down how we retail investors should protect our wallets in the face of this confrontation.

1. What happened? The 'trigger' for this rebound
Just this week, due to rising U.S. Treasury yields and market concerns about Federal Reserve policy, the cryptocurrency market experienced one of the most severe fluctuations since the FTX incident in 2022. Bitcoin has fallen nearly half from last year's high of $126,000.
But why did it suddenly rebound sharply last night?
Physiological response to oversold rebound: After a continuous decline, the short selling power is exhausted, and a large number of buy orders (technical support) waiting at the $60,000 mark were activated.
'Smart money' is in action: The rebound of U.S. tech stocks has boosted risk appetite, and the resilience shown by Wall Street institutions (such as MicroStrategy) during the plunge has given retail investors a sense of reassurance.