Bitcoin 77.5K'ya düştü ve makro taraf bugün iyice karıştı. 🚨 Bugün olanlar: - ECB 25 bp faiz artırdı. - ABD yıllık ÜFE %5,4 geldi; beklenti %5,3'tü. - ABD 30 yıllık tahvil faizi %5,35'e çıkarak 2007'den beri en yüksek seviyeyi gördü. - Gelecek hafta Fed'den 25 bp faiz artırımı ihtimali ~%76'ya çıktı. - Bitcoin ETF'lerinden -$120M çıktı. 🚨 Ve yarın ABD TÜFE geliyor. Günlük $BTC yön beklentim: NEGATİF Bence yarınki CPI bu haftanın en önemli verisi olacak. Yarın hareketli olabilir. 👀 Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
Bitcoin yeniden eski fiyat bölgesinin içine girdi ve petrol 100$'ı aştı. 🚨 Bugün piyasada takip ettiğim tablo: - Brent petrol $100+ - Fed 25 bp faiz artırımı ihtimali ~%60 - Bitcoin ETF'lerinde çıkış var - 🇺🇸 Yarın ABD ÜFE geliyor. Ve cuma: ABD TÜFE 🚨 Bitcoin tarafında ise geçen haftaki kırılım şimdilik başarısız görünüyor. $BTC 82K'yı gördükten sonra yeniden eski range'in içine girdi ve şu anda 78.7K civarında. 📍 Günlük yön beklentim: NÖTR-NEGATİF Bugün BTC'den bile önemli olan şey petrolün 100$ olması. Çünkü petrol burada kalırsa cuma günkü enflasyon verisi ve Fed'in gelecek haftaki kararı çok daha kritik hale geliyor. Bu hafta volatilite daha yeni başlıyor. 👀 Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
Liquid Network'ten 4.000 $BTC Çekildi: 320 Milyon Dolarlık “White-Hat” Olayı Liquid Network'ün Federation cüzdanından yaklaşık 4.000 BTC çekildi. Kendilerini white-hat olarak tanımlayan kişiler 320 milyon dolarlık Bitcoin'i geri vermeyi planladıklarını söylüyor. Ayrıntılar: https://bitcoinkralicesi.com/haberler/liquid-networkten-4-000-btc-%C3%A7ekildi-320-milyon-dolarl%C4%B1k-white-hat-olay%C4%B1/
Bitcoin yeni haftaya 79K'nın üzerinde kalmaya çalışarak başladı. Ama balinalardan önemli bir sinyal geldi. 🐋⤵️ Glassnode verilerine göre Bitcoin yatırımcılarının tamamı haziran başından beri ilk kez net satış tarafına geçti. Satışa öncülük edenler ise 1.000+ $BTC tutan balinalar. Üstelik 83K BTC'nin önünde ciddi bir duvar olarak kalmaya devam ediyor. 🔴 Ek olarak: - Brent petrol yeniden 97$ üzerinde - Eylül Fed hike ihtimali yaklaşık %58 🚨 11 Eylül'de ABD CPI açıklanacak. 📍 Günlük yön beklentim: NÖTR-NEGATİF Bu hafta Bitcoin için hangi seviyeleri göreceğimizin cevabını cuma günkü ABD enflasyon verisi verecek. 👀 Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
Bitcoin is closing the week just below 80K. So what happened in crypto this week? 👀 - U.S. employment came in at +162K, well above expectations, and the odds of a Fed rate hike rose again. - After hitting 82K, Bitcoin pulled back sharply to the $79K area. - Strategy bought another 4.603 $BTC. - BitMine added 53.501 $ETH. - Standard Chartered opened spot trading for BTC and ETH to its institutional clients in the UAE. - Russia’s new comprehensive crypto regulations came into effect. - The G20 supported creating clearer global regulatory paths for digital assets and stablecoins. - Attention for the CLARITY Act shifted to the critical Senate process on September 15. - Ways for Hyperliquid to enter the U.S. in a regulated manner are being discussed. - $XRP took the field in American college football through the Ripple agreement with the University of Florida. And Bitcoin is currently in a very critical zone. 📍 My daily direction expectation: NEUTRAL Next week’s main event is the U.S. inflation data on September 11. If strong employment is followed by high inflation, the Fed’s hand for a rate hike could become even stronger. Not investment advice.
It was an interesting week. On Friday, U.S. employment data came in nearly 3 times above expectations (Expectation: ~56K | Actual: 162K), and $BTC dropped from 81K to below 79K within minutes. Because: Strong economy = The Fed may raise interest rates. Today, Bitcoin is testing 80K again. All eyes are on next week’s U.S. inflation data. 📍 My daily directional expectation: NEUTRAL-SLIGHTLY POSITIVE Right now, two sides are fighting in Bitcoin: Fed fear (negative side) vs. ETF demand (positive side) And next week, CPI data will determine which one wins. Not investment advice.
Bitcoin birkaç dakika içinde 81K'dan 79K'nın altına düştü. 🚨 Sebebi belli ABD istihdam verisi piyasayı şaşırttı. Beklenti yaklaşık +56K idi. Gerçekleşen: +162.000 yeni istihdam! Üstelik işsizlik de beklendiği gibi yükselmedi: %4,1'de kaldı. Piyasanın okuması daha önce bahsettiğim gibi çok basit bir mantığa dayanıyor: Güçlü istihdam gelirse, Fed faiz artırabilir. Eylül faiz artırım ihtimali yeniden %60'ın üzerine çıktı! 📍 Günlük $BTC yön beklentim: NÖTR-NEGATİF Bence şimdi en önemli soru şu: Gelecek hafta enflasyon nasıl gelecek? Çünkü güçlü istihdamın üzerine güçlü CPI gelirse Fed'in faiz artırımı için eli ciddi şekilde güçlenir. Sizce BTC bu düşüşü satın alır mı? 👀 Yatırım tavsiyesi değildir.
Bitcoin today rocketed from 77K to above 81K. 🚀🚀🚀 So what happened? ⤵️ The real catalyst came from the Fed. Fed Board member Christopher Waller said he could support keeping interest rates unchanged in September if inflation continues to fall. And the market priced it in instantly: 📉 The chance of a rate hike in September dropped from about 70% to 48%. 📉 US Treasury yields fell. 📉 The US dollar index slipped below 99. 🚀 Bitcoin broke past $81,000 On top of that, $BTC today also reclaimed the 50-week moving average around $81,041. THE DEVELOPMENT THAT EXCITES ME THE MOST: A Golden Cross is approaching on the technical side. After similar signals in 2012 and 2020, BTC rose by about 300% . 📍 My daily directional outlook: POSITIVE Tomorrow, the week’s most critical data comes out: US non-farm payrolls. 🚨 If the report comes in strong, some of today’s rally could be given back. This is not investment advice.
ABD–İran Gerilimi Bitcoin’i Vurdu: $BTC 77 Bin Doların Altında ABD-İran saldırılarının yeniden başlamasıyla Brent petrol 95 doları aşarken Bitcoin 77 bin doların altına geriledi. BTC ETF'lerinden 236 milyon dolar çıktı. Ayrıntılar: https://bitcoinkralicesi.com/haberler/abdi%CC%87ran-gerilimi-bitcoini-vurdu-btc-77-bin-dolar%C4%B1n-alt%C4%B1nda/
Bitcoin fell below $77,000 and in just 1 hour, long positions worth $115 million were wiped out. 🚨 The reason again is that the U.S. and Iran have started trading renewed strikes at each other. Brent crude surpassed $95 during the day, and fears of inflation increased. Market snapshot: 🛢️ Oil rose 📈 Inflation risk increased 📈 Bond yields rose 💵 The dollar rose AND ₿ pressure on Bitcoin increased! In addition, yesterday there were about $236 million outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. But today an important counter-signal also came: 🇺🇸 ADP private sector employment came in at only +38K. The expectation was +47K. In other words, the economy side is telling the Fed, “Don’t be so fast to raise rates.” 📍 Daily $BTC direction expectation: NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE 🚨 If 75.5K is lost, the broad range breakdown would have occurred, and the probability of a deeper correction would increase significantly. For now, this isn’t my main scenario. This week, we’re monitoring not only the Fed, but also Iran and oil just as closely as the Bitcoin chart. Do you think we’ll see below $75K again? 👇 Not investment advice.
Robinhood Chain Hits the Peak in Revenue: $ARB Rose 30% More In the last 24 hours, Robinhood Chain topped the blockchain rankings with $1.92 million in revenue. While speculative token activity increased, Arbitrum ARB rose by more than 30%. Details: https://bitcoinkralicesi.com/haberler/robinhood-chain-gelirde-zirveye-%C3%A7%C4%B1kt%C4%B1-arb-30-y%C3%BCkseldi/
The Fed is talking about raising interest rates, but it keeps money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs. 👀 Today there are two completely opposite stories in the market: 🔴 Fed Board member Barr: If inflation doesn’t cool down, rate hikes may be needed. + Eurozone inflation beat expectations and rose to 3.3%. 🟢 But... Bitcoin ETFs received +$217 million, Ethereum ETFs received +$88 million. The positive streak for $ETH ETFs is now 11 trading days. And there’s also a Robinhood Chain frenzy—let’s pay attention to that too: The network climbed to the top among blockchains with $1.92M revenue in 24 hours, and $ARB is up 30%+. The funny part, do you know what it is? Robinhood Chain was built for tokenized stocks, but its revenue is currently largely driven by memecoin trading. 😂 📍 My daily directional outlook: I’m still neutral/cautious today. Macro is still against BTC, but it’s important that ETF demand continues. 🔴 If 77–77.5K is lost: the 76K risk will regain strength. For me, the most important signal today isn’t the price: while $BTC is consolidating, institutions are still buying. Now all eyes are on Friday’s U.S. employment data. 👀 Not investment advice.
And then the Robinhood Chain craze started—let’s pay attention to this too: In 24 hours, it rose to the top among blockchains with $1.92M in revenue, and $ARB is up 30%+. Want to know the funny part? Robinhood Chain was built for tokenized stocks, but its revenue is currently largely generated by memecoin trading. 😂
In the Fed, it’s no longer talk of interest rate cuts—we’re talking about an INTEREST RATE HIKE. And Bitcoin is holding at 78K. 👀 Today the market is quite mixed: - At Polymarket, the probability of a 25 bp rate hike at the September meeting has risen to 56%. - On the Fed funds futures side as well, the chance of a rate hike is around 58%. - Brent crude has surpassed $90 as the US-Iran conflict risks escalating again. - Despite all that, BTC is still holding around the 78K zone. And institutional buying continues. 🟠 Strategy → 4,603 $BTC / $369.7M 🔵 BitMine → bought tokens worth 53,501 $ETH / ~ $131M. So we have a very interesting equation: Macro pressure is increasing, but institutional crypto demand continues. 📍 My daily directional expectation: Today, I’m on the neutral/cautious side. I think it’s a very strong show of strength that BTC can stay at 78K despite $90+ oil, a strong dollar, and expectations of a rate hike. ⚠️ IMPORTANT: The US employment data coming this Friday is now far more critical. Do you think the Fed will really raise rates in September? 👇 This is not investment advice.
Bitcoin has bounced back to 79K after today’s 77K drop. 👀 Key developments over the weekend: - Michael Saylor shared “We’re Back.” Strategy may be preparing to resume Bitcoin buying after a two-month break. - About $40 million worth of $BTC was moved from a six-Bitcoin wallet that has been inactive for 10+ years. However, most of the BTCs weren’t sent to exchanges. - Trump said that the U.S. strategic oil reserves will be refilled with Venezuelan oil again. - Charles Schwab is preparing to add trading support for SOL, AVAX, and LINK following BTC and ETH. - Major banks are pushing forward a joint stablecoin project. 📍 Daily direction expectation I’m pulling today back from neutral to slightly positive. The main bullish confirmation for me is still a breakout above the 80–81K zone. If Saylor truly bought BTC again, tomorrow could get even more interesting!!! Do you think Bitcoin can break above 80K in the new week? Not investment advice.
This week Bitcoin was rejected at 81K, and we’re entering the weekend in a critical zone. Today, three important developments I’m following: 1- The 9-day streak of inflows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs ended. On Friday, there was approximately $202 million in net outflows. 2- Fed Chair Kevin Warsh sent a message saying there’s “work to do” on inflation. Rate-hike expectations in the market strengthened. 3- About $40 million worth of $BTC was moved from six Bitcoin wallets that haven’t moved in 10+ years. But an important detail: most of the BTCs were not sent to exchanges. So I don’t read this directly as a “whale sell.” 📍 My daily directional outlook: Today I’m neutral-to-bearish / cautious. Do you think 80K will be reclaimed over the weekend? 👇 Not investment advice.
Bitcoin was rejected once again from the 81K level and fell back to 78.7K after the Warsh speech. Now we are in a critical zone. 👀 Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh sent a message saying, “We still have work to do” regarding inflation. After Warsh’s speech, bond yields rose, and $BTC retreated to the 78.7K area. In addition, the approximately 81,700 Bitcoin options worth $6.4 billion expired today. 📊 My daily direction expectation For today, I’m shifting my outlook to neutral-negative. There was no dovish message from Warsh, and the short-term bullish structure on the 1-hour chart has been broken. So for me today, it’s less about 80K and more about whether 77.7–78K can hold. Do you think Bitcoin will enter the weekend above 80K or below it? 👇 Not investment advice.
Iran–Oman Hormuz Talks: What Does It Mean for Bitcoin and Oil? Iran and Oman are continuing negotiations for the Strait of Hormuz. The possible agreement could have positive effects on oil, inflation, and $BTC.