财道
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财道
Web3自媒体博主、两情相悦体系缔造者！退休计划发起人！长期定投BTC和纳指！136交易体系教学！微脉：cdkevin B站：财道先生 推特：@VC_kxs 币安邀请码：C32IRJK0
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Pull it up directly—if there’s nothing there, don’t go touch it. We’ll let it pull. The cost-effectiveness of chasing the rise isn’t that high. Let’s see whether the previous high at this level breaks into a new spike. In particular, make sure the 4-hour chart also prints the green. Once the 4-hour turns green, when it comes near the previous high and spikes again, then you can start patiently waiting for a pullback-to-short signal. If you already have a position, you can lock in profits after you’re in the green. At the previous high—especially when it spikes—take profit!
If this position at 2460 can hold today, it will likely come again one more time. Right now, the one-hour support line has been broken, and the intraday trend is shifting from long to short. On the 15-minute cycle, when the first long signal forms, it’s better to avoid entering at that moment—let the long trade be stopped out with breakeven after protection if it gets hit. Then wait around 2460 for a signal and follow it with a 136 long. The target is still around the previous high near 2540. Ideally, it can break the previous high and print a new spike; then the main focus will be on selling on pullbacks from the high!
An hour-cycle for refueling hasn’t come out yet. For longs, enter on the 15-minute cycle—be sure to break even and cut losses. Next, we’ll see if it reaches the previous high, breaks it, and then you can take profit with a new needle. Be patient and wait for an hour to successfully refuel, and then 2540 can be your take-profit point. If it doesn’t go, lock in the profit!
Many old coins are at the bottom. Coins like this get pretty wild once the market turns. Back when LUNC was once so glorious—just like Xu Da!
The one-hour lifeline support is still effective. Wait for the signal to emerge in 15 minutes, then go long according to 136. Don’t rush ahead; patiently let the signal confirm itself first. If it hasn’t emerged, it can still keep falling at any time. Just remember not to enter when volume surges. As long as the confirmation is mild, there’s no problem. Keep following and learning, and you’ll discover the difference between true and false signals, which one we want, and which one we wait for to repair itself!
Focus on the 2478 level. As long as this level is not broken, the chance for a continuation move to the upside will come. The entry signal is to go to the 15-minute timeframe to see whether a mutually agreed golden cross is formed for confirmation. Once the signal is confirmed, you can start entering to catch the continuation long. If it is not confirmed, and 2478 is broken, then you still need to skip one signal and wait for the second one before you can trade the bottom rebound!
The first signal has emerged. Let this position repair itself. If it directly breaks below support, then don't short yet. Wait for the bullish continuation after a one-hour red candle, then go long. If the support level is not broken, first let it rise, then wait for the second mutually confirming death cross signal. Then you can enter short according to 136. For now, just wait for the market to repair until the signal we want appears!
Continue waiting for it around 2540 for now. The one-hour timeframe is currently rising. What we need to watch intraday is the high-level pullback short signal after it turns at the previous high. The first resistance on the 15-minute chart has been broken. If it reaches the high-level pullback short area and you want to take the pullback, you need to avoid the first signal when it forms, and wait for the second signal to appear before entering short according to 136. After the pullback comes down, that is when we wait for the add-fuel long signal to go long. For now, do not chase longs; just wait for the price to arrive and the signal to arrive!
If you have time, lock in profits; if you don’t, don’t chase it. Let it rebound. Focus on the 2500 resistance level. If this resistance is not broken and a death cross bearish signal appears, then enter a short position. If it breaks above 2500 directly, still wait for a pullback short signal around 2540. When a signal appears on the 15-minute chart, short according to 136. The closer it gets to the previous high, the less we should buy; mainly look to short on highs. Especially if it reaches the previous high and prints a new high spike!
The current move is just to keep waiting and let the market play itself out. Wait for it near the previous high. When a bearish reversal pullback signal appears around the current high at 2540, you can enter according to 136 to take the pullback short. If conditions are not met, wait patiently. After the long-side profit-loss stop is hit, I won’t enter longs at this position anymore. The main focus is on waiting for pullback short signals! Ideally, let the one-hour cycle print red again, then have a “mutual attraction” death cross signal on the 15-minute chart!
After the profit and loss from multiple long positions is taken out, exit first and wait and see. When it falls on increased volume, do not rush to short. If it can steadily recover back up and then move out again with a mutual-death cross confirmation, that is the time to short according to 136. Do not be broken by a sudden surge in volume. Remember, on the intraday upside, an increase in volume is not a real drop. It is likely just a temptation!
Multiple attempts to test the previous high have failed to break through; this is not a good sign. If another new high wick appears on the daily level, then all long positions can be closed. Short positions on pullbacks should start being planned! The lifeline support below is 2065, which is a bit far from the current level, so once a pullback happens, the move will not be small. Be sure to pay attention to risk! There is no change to the intraday plan; we will still wait steadily at the four positions we need!
Lock in profits on the long positions now. Next, see whether it can be pushed up to 2540. If it reaches that level, then take profits on the longs, and then start watching for signals to short on a pullback. If it can reach 2540, then that will be a high-level pullback shorting area. When a signal appears on the 15-minute chart, skip the first one and wait for the second signal to form before entering the short according to 136!
Today, throughout the whole day, there hasn't been much volatility, but the trend is still upward. At this point, it has risen a bit. If you're long, move your stop-loss to breakeven and hold. If it can keep rising, then lock in profits. If it falls back, there won't be much risk. After locking in the principal, let it ride overnight. If it can rise smoothly, there will be a chance to short on a pullback tomorrow!
The one-hour cycle has started turning green. Next, keep waiting. When three green candles have formed, be sure to lock in more of the profit. The next rebound target is 2483. If this level can be reached, start locking in profits. Without liquidity, this level will not be broken through, and it will turn back down!
There is currently inconsistency at the third level, and it is oscillating here repeatedly. Long positions should pay attention to one move: set the stop loss at 2425. If it does not break below, hold the long position all the way and lock in profits after it becomes profitable. If it breaks below, combined with the four-hour death cross and decline, there may be a larger drop. At that time, you can look for a bottom rebound long at a lower position. So no matter how much the position size is, bring the stop loss up and hold it; leave the rest to the market itself!
After the first golden cross is confirmed, those who are still holding the first layer of long positions should keep holding. The next step is to deal with the key moment in the market. There are many green bars on the 15-minute chart, but it has not risen, so the next thing to watch for is the signal of the second golden cross confirmation after the red bars appear. Before the one-hour golden cross is confirmed, once the second signal is confirmed, you should add to your position and set a stop loss. The resistance level above is the target of the first rebound. Only after it is broken will there be a chance to capture the profit space from three green bars on the one-hour chart. If you are still flat now, wait for the second mutually confirmed golden cross and go long according to 136!
After a direct sharp drop on heavy volume, when you encounter this kind of heavy volume move, shorts can take profit directly without hesitation, then wait for a new opportunity again. Watch whether 2440 holds as support and forms a fuel-added long setup. When the 15-minute two-way favorable golden cross is confirmed, then enter long according to 136. Do not jump the gun; if 2440 does not hold as support, you need to skip one signal before you can enter long!
Although it has been pulled up, there is still no green after an hour; it is confirmed as a reversal dead cross after that, so we are still holding a full position layer without adding, and we won't add to the position. We'll be patient and wait for an hour to get a signal, then add back with a stop-loss. I hope it can reach around 2566 before turning around!
In a one-hour cycle, several red candles have already formed, but there’s still no pullback. This position is prone to a reversal. Then, during the push, it turns green. By then, the first layer of the position is already closed—I'm short from the 15-minute signal entry. After that, I won’t add to the position. For the next add, wait until the one-hour chart pushes up and turns green again, then add again when the dead cross is confirmed, with a stop loss. The price for the subsequent add ideally should generate a signal around 2566. This area isn’t a place for “adding longs in mid-air”—it’s too far from the生命线 (life line). So I won’t go long. Only after it pulls back will there be a chance for adding longs!
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