老陌
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老陌
Marketing Advisor｜#Airdrop｜Share first-line news！ #实话实说爆光内幕！
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#BTC
$85 billion wiped out, BTC falls back to 77K, and ETH breaks above 2400. It’s the same story again—US-Iran tensions. Every time, it’s the same script.
But what’s different this time is that gold and BTC are both dropping. The “hard assets” narrative is being slapped in the face; the market is trading inflation expectations, not safe-haven demand.
Once oil prices surge, interest rates can’t come down. That’s the real thing BTC is afraid of.
$85 billion wiped out, BTC falls back to 77K, and ETH breaks above 2400. It’s the same story again—US-Iran tensions. Every time, it’s the same script.
But what’s different this time is that gold and BTC are both dropping. The “hard assets” narrative is being slapped in the face; the market is trading inflation expectations, not safe-haven demand.
Once oil prices surge, interest rates can’t come down. That’s the real thing BTC is afraid of.
#BTC #ETH
$42.4 billion sounds quite impressive, but on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, it’s actually just a small portion.
What’s really interesting is that this year, the Fed has been “drip-feeding” liquidity to the market through regular bond purchases and repo operations.
Just in the past week alone, it injected several tens of billions through various channels.
This is what you should pay attention to—the direction is shifting, and liquidity is gradually turning more accommodative.
$42.4 billion sounds quite impressive, but on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, it’s actually just a small portion.
What’s really interesting is that this year, the Fed has been “drip-feeding” liquidity to the market through regular bond purchases and repo operations.
Just in the past week alone, it injected several tens of billions through various channels.
This is what you should pay attention to—the direction is shifting, and liquidity is gradually turning more accommodative.
#BTC #NVDA #VST
Price gets hammered at the start of the month and pulled up by the end—this script is just too smooth. I don’t think it will necessarily play out this way.
A VIX move to 25–30 is possible, but the timing of the pullback may not be at the end of the month. Liquidity in the market is worse than it was in the past few months, so the repair/adjustment cycle could take longer.
I’m going to be more cautious. I won’t rush to go all-in at the beginning of the month. I’d rather be half a step late than bet on the exact timing of a rebound.
Price gets hammered at the start of the month and pulled up by the end—this script is just too smooth. I don’t think it will necessarily play out this way.
A VIX move to 25–30 is possible, but the timing of the pullback may not be at the end of the month. Liquidity in the market is worse than it was in the past few months, so the repair/adjustment cycle could take longer.
I’m going to be more cautious. I won’t rush to go all-in at the beginning of the month. I’d rather be half a step late than bet on the exact timing of a rebound.
#BTC
The golden cross is definitely coming—I don’t deny that it’s a historically effective signal. But there’s one detail that many people don’t mention: in past cases, the golden cross has usually appeared after the price has already bounced up quite a bit from the bottom. This time is the same too—BTC rose from 62K to 81K, and the golden cross only arrived late. The signal is real, but the best entry point may already be gone. I’m more inclined to wait for a pullback and confirmation before taking action, rather than chasing this golden cross itself.
The golden cross is definitely coming—I don’t deny that it’s a historically effective signal. But there’s one detail that many people don’t mention: in past cases, the golden cross has usually appeared after the price has already bounced up quite a bit from the bottom. This time is the same too—BTC rose from 62K to 81K, and the golden cross only arrived late. The signal is real, but the best entry point may already be gone. I’m more inclined to wait for a pullback and confirmation before taking action, rather than chasing this golden cross itself.
#BTC
There is indeed a “breakthrough” occurring, and the bears have reasons as well. But I’m not that pessimistic.
It didn’t get through three times—that’s true, but it doesn’t mean it has to be driven straight down to 48K. There is also a consolidation zone in between; it won’t just fall freely all the way down.
I tend to first watch how it performs around 64K. We’ll deal with what comes next once we get there.
There is indeed a “breakthrough” occurring, and the bears have reasons as well. But I’m not that pessimistic.
It didn’t get through three times—that’s true, but it doesn’t mean it has to be driven straight down to 48K. There is also a consolidation zone in between; it won’t just fall freely all the way down.
I tend to first watch how it performs around 64K. We’ll deal with what comes next once we get there.
#BTC #ETH
Just smashed through a round—BTC broke 77K, and ETH broke 2400. And right on time, the US and Iran started clashing. The timing is just too perfect.
In one hour it cleared over 100 million—mostly longs chasing. Leverage: if you’re right, you feast; if you’re wrong, you get swept away in one wave.
A sharp drop usually comes quickly and goes quickly too—the key is whether 77K can be reclaimed.
Just smashed through a round—BTC broke 77K, and ETH broke 2400. And right on time, the US and Iran started clashing. The timing is just too perfect.
In one hour it cleared over 100 million—mostly longs chasing. Leverage: if you’re right, you feast; if you’re wrong, you get swept away in one wave.
A sharp drop usually comes quickly and goes quickly too—the key is whether 77K can be reclaimed.
$BTC
Now it’s not a matter of guessing whether you can make it; it’s about getting ready for what to do once you’ve made it.
If it’s a real breakthrough, people with slower reactions will find it extremely painful to keep up.
Now it’s not a matter of guessing whether you can make it; it’s about getting ready for what to do once you’ve made it.
If it’s a real breakthrough, people with slower reactions will find it extremely painful to keep up.
$BTC
57K is it really a bottom?
From the data, yes.
The only remaining argument against it is: "It hasn’t gone this way before."
But the market isn’t a mathematical formula.
This time, it might be different.
57K is it really a bottom?
From the data, yes.
The only remaining argument against it is: "It hasn’t gone this way before."
But the market isn’t a mathematical formula.
This time, it might be different.
$BTC
What is there besides the Bitcoin cycle?
It’s just that the US dollar keeps getting weaker.
The money printer won’t stop.
Just hold BTC.
What is there besides the Bitcoin cycle?
It’s just that the US dollar keeps getting weaker.
The money printer won’t stop.
Just hold BTC.
$ETH
The pressure has been released; ETH saw a net outflow of $580 million in the second quarter.
On-chain, there are also large amounts of ETH being transferred to exchanges.
But on the other side, the ETF is still accumulating.
At this level, both bulls and bears have reasons to back their view. I’m not in a rush to take sides.
The pressure has been released; ETH saw a net outflow of $580 million in the second quarter.
On-chain, there are also large amounts of ETH being transferred to exchanges.
But on the other side, the ETF is still accumulating.
At this level, both bulls and bears have reasons to back their view. I’m not in a rush to take sides.
$BTC
As long as I'm still on this line, I only look in one direction.
Up.
Short-term noise doesn't matter.
As long as I'm still on this line, I only look in one direction.
Up.
Short-term noise doesn't matter.
$BTC
The weekly fake breakout is already complete.
The monthly fake breakout is still in progress.
The September monthly-opening trap is slowly taking shape.
It’s not over yet. The monthly timeframe is higher than the weekly, so the pullbacks will be bigger too.
Bearish for September.
Not because of historical statistics, but because of the chart structure.
The weekly fake breakout is already complete.
The monthly fake breakout is still in progress.
The September monthly-opening trap is slowly taking shape.
It’s not over yet. The monthly timeframe is higher than the weekly, so the pullbacks will be bigger too.
Bearish for September.
Not because of historical statistics, but because of the chart structure.
$BTC
100K this year is probably unlikely.
The pace hasn’t reached that stage yet.
Either pause near 80K first, or raise it and then come back down.
The odds of a direct breakout are not high.
100K this year is probably unlikely.
The pace hasn’t reached that stage yet.
Either pause near 80K first, or raise it and then come back down.
The odds of a direct breakout are not high.
$BTC
The规律 of a ten-year cycle has not yet been disproven.
In 1,064 days it goes up, and in 365 days it goes down.
This time, it won’t be able to escape either.
We’ll see it bottom out in October, then start the next cycle.
The past records are there—just wait for verification.
The规律 of a ten-year cycle has not yet been disproven.
In 1,064 days it goes up, and in 365 days it goes down.
This time, it won’t be able to escape either.
We’ll see it bottom out in October, then start the next cycle.
The past records are there—just wait for verification.
$ETH
2600 is the ceiling. Only after breaking it counts as a real strength shift.
Around 2300 is the first buy-the-dip area.
2100 is the final line of defense.
Range-bound consolidation—wait for direction.
2600 is the ceiling. Only after breaking it counts as a real strength shift.
Around 2300 is the first buy-the-dip area.
2100 is the final line of defense.
Range-bound consolidation—wait for direction.
$BTC
Here we go again.
A real breakout—high consolidation. It can’t be held, and then it starts to fall.
Same script, different round of people chasing.
That wall at 82.8K hasn’t even been reached yet, and it already keeps people out.
Here we go again.
A real breakout—high consolidation. It can’t be held, and then it starts to fall.
Same script, different round of people chasing.
That wall at 82.8K hasn’t even been reached yet, and it already keeps people out.
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