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佬K看盘
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佬K看盘

用大白话讲清楚复杂行情|适合新手也能看懂的市场分析|每篇干货,拒绝废话。一个熬夜看K线的普通人|记录每一次判断对错|行情有涨跌,思路要清晰。专注加密市场行情分析|多维度拆解趋势与筹码结构|理性看盘,拒绝喊单,仅供参考不构成投资建议。
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00:00, BTC closed at 63,581, hugging the 24h low at 63,451. This isn’t a drop that was driven lower—it’s that nobody stepped in to catch it. Turnover was 946 million, only a fraction of the 20-day average volume. MACD is hanging with a bearish bias, with DIF = -174.47. RSI is 35.3: weak, but not yet oversold. All the indicators point one way—they’re saying bearish. And yet price has just been drifting down to the 24h low while volume has shrunk to this level. Is it the indicators that should matter, or the volume and price action? A low-volume selloff, no heavy dumping—yet there’s also no real bid. I don’t believe it can reverse on its own; I think a dead-cat bounce would be even more dangerous. MA5 = 63,891, MA20 = 64,042, with price sitting below both moving averages. The Bollinger band width is only 2.3%. Liquidity is thin again in the early morning—getting stops swept on both sides shouldn’t be surprising. Above 64,515 is today’s high, below 63,451 is today’s low—there’s only that much room in the early hours. My plan is: place a sell order near 63,890 on the rebound. Stop loss at 64,100, first target 63,451. If it reaches there, take most of the position first; only chase if there’s a breakout with increased volume. These levels are calculated from the moving averages and prior lows/highs—you should recalculate them yourself before deciding whether to place the order. Tonight, I won’t chase any short entries. #BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
00:00, BTC closed at 63,581, hugging the 24h low at 63,451.

This isn’t a drop that was driven lower—it’s that nobody stepped in to catch it.

Turnover was 946 million, only a fraction of the 20-day average volume.

MACD is hanging with a bearish bias, with DIF = -174.47.

RSI is 35.3: weak, but not yet oversold.

All the indicators point one way—they’re saying bearish.

And yet price has just been drifting down to the 24h low while volume has shrunk to this level.

Is it the indicators that should matter, or the volume and price action?

A low-volume selloff, no heavy dumping—yet there’s also no real bid.

I don’t believe it can reverse on its own; I think a dead-cat bounce would be even more dangerous.

MA5 = 63,891, MA20 = 64,042, with price sitting below both moving averages.

The Bollinger band width is only 2.3%. Liquidity is thin again in the early morning—getting stops swept on both sides shouldn’t be surprising.

Above 64,515 is today’s high, below 63,451 is today’s low—there’s only that much room in the early hours.

My plan is: place a sell order near 63,890 on the rebound.

Stop loss at 64,100, first target 63,451.

If it reaches there, take most of the position first; only chase if there’s a breakout with increased volume.

These levels are calculated from the moving averages and prior lows/highs—you should recalculate them yourself before deciding whether to place the order.

Tonight, I won’t chase any short entries.

#BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
This small bearish candle has short upper and lower shadows. Trading volume is 908 million USDT, as if the market isn’t even interested. In the past, I would have tried to dig out some hidden meaning from it. I always felt that losing money was because I wasn’t smart enough. Later I figured out the opposite. It’s because I’m too smart. I’m fixated on finding the optimal solution. Buy at the lowest point, sell at the highest—no desire to take even a single pullback. It filters out all simple opportunities. $BTC today 64,027, down 1.17%. That’s the extent of the movement, yet with such a small volume. Even a quick poke-through isn’t bothered with. The simplest approach is to not touch it. But I can’t do that. I always think that the next K-line might be hiding gold. This small bearish candle swayed all day. Actually, it already said it—there’s no need to make a move today. #BTC #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #ETH
This small bearish candle has short upper and lower shadows.
Trading volume is 908 million USDT, as if the market isn’t even interested.
In the past, I would have tried to dig out some hidden meaning from it.

I always felt that losing money was because I wasn’t smart enough.
Later I figured out the opposite.
It’s because I’m too smart.

I’m fixated on finding the optimal solution.
Buy at the lowest point, sell at the highest—no desire to take even a single pullback.
It filters out all simple opportunities.

$BTC today 64,027, down 1.17%.
That’s the extent of the movement, yet with such a small volume.
Even a quick poke-through isn’t bothered with.

The simplest approach is to not touch it.
But I can’t do that.
I always think that the next K-line might be hiding gold.

This small bearish candle swayed all day.
Actually, it already said it—there’s no need to make a move today.

#BTC #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #ETH
After dinner, I took a quick look around. The most aggressive part was those pin-prick little coins. ETH isn’t on the list; it keeps hovering around 1,885. Total turnover for the whole day was 371 million, only about four-tenths of the average daily volume over 20 days. With this kind of volume, even the buy/sell order book within a small range can’t be fully “fed.” Price is pinned between MA5 and MA20: 1,888 is capping overhead, while 1,880 is acting as support. RSI is at 60.7—slightly strong, but not at the kind of heat that pulls people in. MACD has flipped bullish, but DIF is still at -2.539, staying below the zero line; with momentum limited. The Bollinger Band bandwidth is only 3.3%. Price is above the midline, but the direction hasn’t come through. In plain terms, this is a sentiment-driven market, not real money. A slight drop on shrinking volume means selling pressure isn’t big; but a rebound on shrinking volume also lacks follow-through. Whether it can continue tomorrow morning depends on whether volume can make up. If it puts volume back and stands above 1,888, then we can look higher; if it keeps this volume going, 1,868 will likely have to be tested again. Chasing long right now is most afraid that volume won’t be replenished by tomorrow morning, and you get “stuck” down to 1,868 first. That’s the prior low—break it and a bunch of stop-loss orders will trigger. 1,938 is the prior high; if it truly reaches there, selling pressure will show up. My plan is to try a long-biased move. Enter on dips between 1,880 and 1,885, place the stop-loss at 1,865. If it breaks the prior low, I’ll exit. First target: 1,932. When it hits, reduce half the position. If there’s more volume afterward, then we can look at 1,938. These levels are drawn based on MA20 and the prior high—double-check them yourself before acting. With this volume, if it doesn’t replenish tomorrow morning, it’s basically fake. #ETH #涨幅榜 #山寨币 #币圈 #BTC
After dinner, I took a quick look around. The most aggressive part was those pin-prick little coins.

ETH isn’t on the list; it keeps hovering around 1,885.

Total turnover for the whole day was 371 million, only about four-tenths of the average daily volume over 20 days.

With this kind of volume, even the buy/sell order book within a small range can’t be fully “fed.”

Price is pinned between MA5 and MA20: 1,888 is capping overhead, while 1,880 is acting as support.

RSI is at 60.7—slightly strong, but not at the kind of heat that pulls people in.

MACD has flipped bullish, but DIF is still at -2.539, staying below the zero line; with momentum limited.

The Bollinger Band bandwidth is only 3.3%. Price is above the midline, but the direction hasn’t come through.

In plain terms, this is a sentiment-driven market, not real money.

A slight drop on shrinking volume means selling pressure isn’t big; but a rebound on shrinking volume also lacks follow-through.

Whether it can continue tomorrow morning depends on whether volume can make up.

If it puts volume back and stands above 1,888, then we can look higher; if it keeps this volume going, 1,868 will likely have to be tested again.

Chasing long right now is most afraid that volume won’t be replenished by tomorrow morning, and you get “stuck” down to 1,868 first.

That’s the prior low—break it and a bunch of stop-loss orders will trigger.

1,938 is the prior high; if it truly reaches there, selling pressure will show up.

My plan is to try a long-biased move.

Enter on dips between 1,880 and 1,885, place the stop-loss at 1,865. If it breaks the prior low, I’ll exit.

First target: 1,932. When it hits, reduce half the position. If there’s more volume afterward, then we can look at 1,938.

These levels are drawn based on MA20 and the prior high—double-check them yourself before acting.

With this volume, if it doesn’t replenish tomorrow morning, it’s basically fake.

#ETH #涨幅榜 #山寨币 #币圈 #BTC
Last Tuesday at this time, BTC was still consolidating around 63,200. Now it’s 64,198—the weekly focus has shifted upward. But today it didn’t push higher again. High 64,711, low 63,806, closed at 64,198. On a daily basis, the bias is still slightly bullish. Price is above the MA20, which is around 63,700. The daily MACD has a bullish crossover, and the red histogram hasn’t shrunk. RSI is 54—not overbought, not oversold. The Bollinger middle band is at 63,900, and today’s low just happens to tag the crossover area between it and the MA20. This 63,800 level is a hard support. If it breaks, the long positions’ stop-loss orders will likely get triggered and cascade out, weakening the daily trend. Resistance above: 64,700. Today it was tested twice and pushed back down—that’s a dense prior trading zone from the past few days. Above that is the prior high at 65,200. The hourly chart is fighting with the daily chart. Hourly MACD has a bearish crossover, so the short-term still needs to grind. But this bearish crossover was produced on reduced volume, so its impact is limited. Today’s trading value is 913 million, down by about a third from yesterday. On a pullback with reduced volume, it can’t break down into a big move—but we also haven’t seen incremental capital rushing in. When the daily and hourly charts are twisted against each other, I choose to trust the daily trend, provided that 63,800 isn’t smashed through. ETH is holding up better than BTC today. High 1,898, low 1,868, now 1,890—moving in sync with the market, but it’s falling less. Funds are buying ETH at lower levels and don’t look like they want to exit. The strongest performer today is UNI—it’s up nearly 6%. Money suddenly drilled into DEXs—this logic is visible. But I’m not chasing a move this big. A 6% jump in one day, giving back half the next day is pretty common. My plan: buy a little around 64,200. If it breaks below 63,750, I’ll admit the mistake. If it reaches 64,700, I’ll trim. These three levels aren’t pulled out of thin air; I drew them at the price-volume boundary—check the data yourselves and you’ll see. What’s most worth watching tomorrow is whether the 64,700 level can expand volume enough to fully absorb it. I’ll keep 40% of my position overnight; the rest I can’t risk it. #BTC #ETH #行情复盘 #币圈
Last Tuesday at this time, BTC was still consolidating around 63,200.
Now it’s 64,198—the weekly focus has shifted upward.
But today it didn’t push higher again.
High 64,711, low 63,806, closed at 64,198.
On a daily basis, the bias is still slightly bullish.
Price is above the MA20, which is around 63,700.
The daily MACD has a bullish crossover, and the red histogram hasn’t shrunk.
RSI is 54—not overbought, not oversold.
The Bollinger middle band is at 63,900, and today’s low just happens to tag the crossover area between it and the MA20.
This 63,800 level is a hard support.
If it breaks, the long positions’ stop-loss orders will likely get triggered and cascade out, weakening the daily trend.
Resistance above: 64,700. Today it was tested twice and pushed back down—that’s a dense prior trading zone from the past few days.
Above that is the prior high at 65,200.
The hourly chart is fighting with the daily chart.
Hourly MACD has a bearish crossover, so the short-term still needs to grind.
But this bearish crossover was produced on reduced volume, so its impact is limited.
Today’s trading value is 913 million, down by about a third from yesterday.
On a pullback with reduced volume, it can’t break down into a big move—but we also haven’t seen incremental capital rushing in.
When the daily and hourly charts are twisted against each other, I choose to trust the daily trend, provided that 63,800 isn’t smashed through.
ETH is holding up better than BTC today.
High 1,898, low 1,868, now 1,890—moving in sync with the market, but it’s falling less.
Funds are buying ETH at lower levels and don’t look like they want to exit.
The strongest performer today is UNI—it’s up nearly 6%.
Money suddenly drilled into DEXs—this logic is visible.
But I’m not chasing a move this big. A 6% jump in one day, giving back half the next day is pretty common.
My plan: buy a little around 64,200. If it breaks below 63,750, I’ll admit the mistake. If it reaches 64,700, I’ll trim.
These three levels aren’t pulled out of thin air; I drew them at the price-volume boundary—check the data yourselves and you’ll see.
What’s most worth watching tomorrow is whether the 64,700 level can expand volume enough to fully absorb it.
I’ll keep 40% of my position overnight; the rest I can’t risk it.

#BTC #ETH #行情复盘 #币圈
This peak at 64,940 might be the only thing to hold onto for tonight. As soon as BTC touched 64,940, it was pushed back to 64,200. The intraday high and low are only about $1,100 apart. Price is still above MA5=64,292 and MA20=64,101, so the moving averages haven’t been broken, but the bulls clearly don’t have enough strength anymore. MACD is still in the bullish territory, but DIF is only -81.8 and it’s sliding down close to the zero line. RSI is 60.3—neither strong nor weak. It’s neither overbought nor fearful. Basically, it’s just grinding. Spot volume is 906 million USDT, only 0.7x of the average volume—so volume is contracting. An up move on light volume at this level suggests not many new buyers are coming in; it’s mainly old longs propping it up. The key support below is 63,806, today’s low, and S2 is hovering around 63,830. With these two supports stacked together, it’s temporarily safe. Above that, 64,950 and 65,474 are the dense zone of last week’s trapped longs. Without a breakout on volume, it likely can’t get through. My idea: pull back to around 63,900 to pick up some, set a stop-loss at 63,600. If it breaks, then look for a short. First target: 64,950—trim there. The remainder can be watched toward 65,400. If tomorrow continues with the same amount of volume, a push toward 65,000 is probably fake. Be careful of a slow grind lower on shrinking volume—dropping $200–$300 every day feels ten times worse than a single big bearish candle. What’s your entry price? Are you daring enough to use the same stop-loss as me? #BTC #行情复盘 #币圈 #加密货币 #ETH
This peak at 64,940 might be the only thing to hold onto for tonight.

As soon as BTC touched 64,940, it was pushed back to 64,200. The intraday high and low are only about $1,100 apart. Price is still above MA5=64,292 and MA20=64,101, so the moving averages haven’t been broken, but the bulls clearly don’t have enough strength anymore.

MACD is still in the bullish territory, but DIF is only -81.8 and it’s sliding down close to the zero line. RSI is 60.3—neither strong nor weak. It’s neither overbought nor fearful. Basically, it’s just grinding.

Spot volume is 906 million USDT, only 0.7x of the average volume—so volume is contracting. An up move on light volume at this level suggests not many new buyers are coming in; it’s mainly old longs propping it up.

The key support below is 63,806, today’s low, and S2 is hovering around 63,830. With these two supports stacked together, it’s temporarily safe. Above that, 64,950 and 65,474 are the dense zone of last week’s trapped longs. Without a breakout on volume, it likely can’t get through.

My idea: pull back to around 63,900 to pick up some, set a stop-loss at 63,600. If it breaks, then look for a short. First target: 64,950—trim there. The remainder can be watched toward 65,400.

If tomorrow continues with the same amount of volume, a push toward 65,000 is probably fake. Be careful of a slow grind lower on shrinking volume—dropping $200–$300 every day feels ten times worse than a single big bearish candle.

What’s your entry price? Are you daring enough to use the same stop-loss as me?

#BTC #行情复盘 #币圈 #加密货币 #ETH
Waited a whole day for a volume spike, but it never came. Under the lamp, I flipped through Zhuangzi. The four words “the usefulness of what is useless” caught my eye. Everyone knows there is a “usefulness in what is useful,” but no one knows there is “usefulness in what is useless.” — “Human World” (Ren Jian Shi), Zhuangzi These four words are exactly what my empty position is today. $ETH is sitting at 1,889; over the past 24 hours it’s down 1.4%, with trading volume of 405 million USDT. This little bit of volume is like not having eaten at all. With a chart like this, doing anything is wrong. Don’t act. Turns out, that’s the right thing. An empty position looks like you did nothing. But an empty position is itself a form of positioning. During the hours you don’t move, the market filters out the noise for you. The cash and judgment you’ve saved by staying in an empty position aren’t available to the people who rush in. This slightly more-than-a-bit slow downward drift today is a living example of “the usefulness of what is useless.” No one needs you to prove anything for a market like this. When real opportunities arrive, the ones who stayed empty can take the deal. 1,889—my position is an empty position. #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
Waited a whole day for a volume spike, but it never came.

Under the lamp, I flipped through Zhuangzi. The four words “the usefulness of what is useless” caught my eye.

Everyone knows there is a “usefulness in what is useful,” but no one knows there is “usefulness in what is useless.” — “Human World” (Ren Jian Shi), Zhuangzi

These four words are exactly what my empty position is today.

$ETH is sitting at 1,889; over the past 24 hours it’s down 1.4%, with trading volume of 405 million USDT.

This little bit of volume is like not having eaten at all.

With a chart like this, doing anything is wrong.

Don’t act.

Turns out, that’s the right thing.

An empty position looks like you did nothing.

But an empty position is itself a form of positioning.

During the hours you don’t move, the market filters out the noise for you.

The cash and judgment you’ve saved by staying in an empty position aren’t available to the people who rush in.

This slightly more-than-a-bit slow downward drift today is a living example of “the usefulness of what is useless.”

No one needs you to prove anything for a market like this.

When real opportunities arrive, the ones who stayed empty can take the deal.

1,889—my position is an empty position.

#ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
7:00 PM, ETH bounced back to 1,886. From today’s low at 1,868, that’s an 18-point move. The most striking part is the volume ratio of 0.0. $392 million USDT in trading, while price is crawling up—volume looks like it’s gasping. MACD is bullish and above the zero line. RSI is 68.7, just one breath away from overbought. MA5 is 1,883 and MA20 is 1,878 beneath it. MA50 at 1,902 presses down from above. Bollinger upper band 1,920, lower band 1,836; price is hugging the upper band, with bandwidth at 4.5%. In a narrow channel, it’s compressing and pushing up on reduced volume—no volume is being added. If there’s a pullback, it will come quickly. ETH RSI is 68.7, BTC is 65.2, and the exchange rate is 0.02935. Slightly stronger, but it won’t let you take the rhythm. Support to watch is 1,868—today’s low. If it breaks below, there’s no step to stand on. Resistance: first 1,920, the Bollinger upper band; then 1,932/1,938, the prior high zone. My plan is to test a long position on a pullback to 1,878–1,880 as long as it doesn’t break. Stop loss at 1,865. Trim at 1,920 first. If volume surges and it stands above 1,938, then hold. This is only my own plan. I remind myself: if volume isn’t following through, don’t get carried away. #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
7:00 PM, ETH bounced back to 1,886.

From today’s low at 1,868, that’s an 18-point move.

The most striking part is the volume ratio of 0.0.

$392 million USDT in trading, while price is crawling up—volume looks like it’s gasping.

MACD is bullish and above the zero line.

RSI is 68.7, just one breath away from overbought.

MA5 is 1,883 and MA20 is 1,878 beneath it.

MA50 at 1,902 presses down from above.

Bollinger upper band 1,920, lower band 1,836; price is hugging the upper band, with bandwidth at 4.5%.

In a narrow channel, it’s compressing and pushing up on reduced volume—no volume is being added. If there’s a pullback, it will come quickly.

ETH RSI is 68.7, BTC is 65.2, and the exchange rate is 0.02935. Slightly stronger, but it won’t let you take the rhythm.

Support to watch is 1,868—today’s low. If it breaks below, there’s no step to stand on.

Resistance: first 1,920, the Bollinger upper band; then 1,932/1,938, the prior high zone.

My plan is to test a long position on a pullback to 1,878–1,880 as long as it doesn’t break.

Stop loss at 1,865.

Trim at 1,920 first. If volume surges and it stands above 1,938, then hold.

This is only my own plan.

I remind myself: if volume isn’t following through, don’t get carried away.

#ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
Some people in the comments say that trading is just each other digging into each other’s pockets—if you profit, someone else must be losing. I only got half of that right. Today, $ETH dropped to 1,887; over the past 24 hours it’s down -1.66%, with trading volume of 390 million U. Who’s taking whose pocket? No one is taking anything. The market is just breathing on its own. In *Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance*, it says that real maintenance isn’t fixing the bike—it’s fixing the mind. When I keep watching the chart until the end, all technical analysis fades away, and there’s only one thing left: **watch quietly—don’t rush to explain.** Let the candlesticks jump; let your emotions jump too. That’s not you trading—that’s the noise manipulating you. At 1,887 it hasn’t broken down or bounced yet. The 390 million volume is just enough for it to catch its breath. There’s really nothing much to analyze here—like the breeze on your way home from work. No need to find meaning in it. Wait until 10 p.m., after this daily candle closes—then think about it. #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
Some people in the comments say that trading is just each other digging into each other’s pockets—if you profit, someone else must be losing.

I only got half of that right.

Today, $ETH dropped to 1,887; over the past 24 hours it’s down -1.66%, with trading volume of 390 million U. Who’s taking whose pocket?

No one is taking anything. The market is just breathing on its own.

In *Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance*, it says that real maintenance isn’t fixing the bike—it’s fixing the mind. When I keep watching the chart until the end, all technical analysis fades away, and there’s only one thing left: **watch quietly—don’t rush to explain.**

Let the candlesticks jump; let your emotions jump too. That’s not you trading—that’s the noise manipulating you.

At 1,887 it hasn’t broken down or bounced yet. The 390 million volume is just enough for it to catch its breath. There’s really nothing much to analyze here—like the breeze on your way home from work. No need to find meaning in it.

Wait until 10 p.m., after this daily candle closes—then think about it.

#ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
Unlock your phone—ETH is still hovering around 1,880, down 2.21%, with trading volume of 390 million. What’s most worth watching today isn’t the drop, it’s the moving averages. MA5 and MA20 are both stuck around 1,877. The Bollinger Bands are closing in and pressing the price—this is the shape that indicates a directional choice. RSI is 51.6—not overbought, not oversold, slightly bullish. The MACD histogram has turned red again, but the DIF is still -7.2, staying below the zero line. This kind of “bullish” move is more like a rebound within a bearish trend, not a reversal. Volume has shrunk to about half the average—this is the key. A slow decline on lower volume suggests selling pressure isn’t heavy, but no one wants to step in and take it, so it just keeps grinding here. Support to watch is 1,868, today’s low. If it breaks, it will trigger a round of stop-losses. Resistance is at 1,938—the top of the last rebound. Trapped positions are pressing down; without volume, it can’t get through. My plan: take a light long position near 1,875. If it falls to around 1,860, I’ll admit my mistake—that’s within my own risk tolerance. Take half off at 1,930, and then the remaining play is between 1,930 and 1,938. Tomorrow, it’s likely to keep ranging and grinding between 1,868 and 1,930. The risk is if it breaks below 1,868 on increased volume—then the long positions must be closed. If 1,868 doesn’t leak, do you dare to hold it until 1,938? #ETH #行情复盘 #币圈 #加密货币 #BTC
Unlock your phone—ETH is still hovering around 1,880, down 2.21%, with trading volume of 390 million.

What’s most worth watching today isn’t the drop, it’s the moving averages. MA5 and MA20 are both stuck around 1,877. The Bollinger Bands are closing in and pressing the price—this is the shape that indicates a directional choice.

RSI is 51.6—not overbought, not oversold, slightly bullish. The MACD histogram has turned red again, but the DIF is still -7.2, staying below the zero line. This kind of “bullish” move is more like a rebound within a bearish trend, not a reversal.

Volume has shrunk to about half the average—this is the key. A slow decline on lower volume suggests selling pressure isn’t heavy, but no one wants to step in and take it, so it just keeps grinding here.

Support to watch is 1,868, today’s low. If it breaks, it will trigger a round of stop-losses. Resistance is at 1,938—the top of the last rebound. Trapped positions are pressing down; without volume, it can’t get through.

My plan: take a light long position near 1,875. If it falls to around 1,860, I’ll admit my mistake—that’s within my own risk tolerance. Take half off at 1,930, and then the remaining play is between 1,930 and 1,938.

Tomorrow, it’s likely to keep ranging and grinding between 1,868 and 1,930. The risk is if it breaks below 1,868 on increased volume—then the long positions must be closed.

If 1,868 doesn’t leak, do you dare to hold it until 1,938?

#ETH #行情复盘 #币圈 #加密货币 #BTC
64,136, I'm biased to the upside. The reason is simple: the daily chart is shrinking in volume while falling, and the volume ratio is only 0.3—selling pressure really isn’t big. The MACD is still bullish. RSI is 51.6 above 50, yet the price has been pushed down below the MA20. It looks contradictory, but it isn’t. A pullback on reduced volume suggests not many people are willing to cut their losses at this level. 15-minute RSI is 58.9, and 1-hour RSI is 54.9—both are higher than the daily. Funds at the smaller timeframe have started to come back. MA50 is at 63,389, and support is relatively close. Above, 66,956 is the 24-hour high and also the first resistance. I plan to go long around 64,000. Stop loss at 63,380. If it breaks MA50, I’ll admit I’m wrong. First target 66,740. Once it hits, I’ll take off half; the remainder will try for 66,956. That previous low at 57,800 is too far away, so I’m not looking at it for now. The Bollinger Band width is only 4.5%, and both the upper and lower bands are compressed. Of course, this isn’t financial advice—if you lose money, don’t blame me. I’m placing a buy order at 64,000 and waiting for it. #BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
64,136, I'm biased to the upside.

The reason is simple: the daily chart is shrinking in volume while falling, and the volume ratio is only 0.3—selling pressure really isn’t big.

The MACD is still bullish. RSI is 51.6 above 50, yet the price has been pushed down below the MA20.

It looks contradictory, but it isn’t.

A pullback on reduced volume suggests not many people are willing to cut their losses at this level.

15-minute RSI is 58.9, and 1-hour RSI is 54.9—both are higher than the daily.

Funds at the smaller timeframe have started to come back.

MA50 is at 63,389, and support is relatively close.

Above, 66,956 is the 24-hour high and also the first resistance.

I plan to go long around 64,000.

Stop loss at 63,380. If it breaks MA50, I’ll admit I’m wrong.

First target 66,740. Once it hits, I’ll take off half; the remainder will try for 66,956.

That previous low at 57,800 is too far away, so I’m not looking at it for now.

The Bollinger Band width is only 4.5%, and both the upper and lower bands are compressed.

Of course, this isn’t financial advice—if you lose money, don’t blame me.

I’m placing a buy order at 64,000 and waiting for it.

#BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
I changed my mind—I’m no longer stuffing every last cent into the position. Before, I always thought that staying on the sidelines was a loss. Now I watch $ETH get slammed by a bearish candle down to 1877. In the past 24 hours, it’s down 2.66%. Only 380 million in trading volume—very quiet. With just this little movement, how much principal quietly disappears. This price action just makes one thing clear. Principal is your ticket to the table, not ammo. But some people treat it like ammunition. They burn it all up. If there really is a chance later, you can only lie outside the window and watch. Nothing to do for you. Staying alive matters more than anything. Leave some principal in reserve. At least then you can still stay at the table to observe. After you’ve been watching long enough, only then will it be your turn to act. When opportunities come, I’ll still be at the table. #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
I changed my mind—I’m no longer stuffing every last cent into the position.

Before, I always thought that staying on the sidelines was a loss.

Now I watch $ETH get slammed by a bearish candle down to 1877.

In the past 24 hours, it’s down 2.66%.

Only 380 million in trading volume—very quiet.

With just this little movement, how much principal quietly disappears.

This price action just makes one thing clear.

Principal is your ticket to the table, not ammo.

But some people treat it like ammunition.

They burn it all up.

If there really is a chance later, you can only lie outside the window and watch.

Nothing to do for you.

Staying alive matters more than anything.

Leave some principal in reserve.

At least then you can still stay at the table to observe.

After you’ve been watching long enough, only then will it be your turn to act.

When opportunities come, I’ll still be at the table.

#ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
The vegetable market after lunch is still full of hawkers calling out, and nobody really pays. ETH 1,876, it’s the same flavor. A trade of 378 million, only two tenths of the average volume over 20 days—money is all waiting on the sidelines for a direction. The price is stuck between the MA5 and MA20; 1,876 versus 1,878—only a couple of dollars apart. RSI 54, direction depends on volume. The MACD red histogram is still there, with the DIF capped at -8.11, below the zero line. Even if the bars turn red again, it’s only a rebound inside a downtrend. The Bollinger Band is slightly biased upward, with a bandwidth of 5%—there’s no room yet. The people holding at 1,927, and those bottom-fishing at 1,868, will both close out at 1,931. 1,931 looks like resistance, but actually it’s the combined exit point for two groups of people. 1,868 is the lifeline. If it breaks, everyone who entered today turns into an unrealized loser, and the stop-loss orders smash a crater out of it. I plan to short one lot at the rebound to 1,931, with a stop loss at 1,942, targeting 1,868. If it breaks above 1,938, I’ll admit I’m wrong. Plans are plans—I’m only responsible for my own position. A rebound without volume means chasing high is just lifting the cart for the trapped-to-be-unwound positions. #ETH #涨幅榜 #币圈 #加密货币 #BTC
The vegetable market after lunch is still full of hawkers calling out, and nobody really pays.

ETH 1,876, it’s the same flavor.

A trade of 378 million, only two tenths of the average volume over 20 days—money is all waiting on the sidelines for a direction.

The price is stuck between the MA5 and MA20; 1,876 versus 1,878—only a couple of dollars apart.

RSI 54, direction depends on volume.

The MACD red histogram is still there, with the DIF capped at -8.11, below the zero line.

Even if the bars turn red again, it’s only a rebound inside a downtrend.

The Bollinger Band is slightly biased upward, with a bandwidth of 5%—there’s no room yet.

The people holding at 1,927, and those bottom-fishing at 1,868, will both close out at 1,931.

1,931 looks like resistance, but actually it’s the combined exit point for two groups of people.

1,868 is the lifeline.

If it breaks, everyone who entered today turns into an unrealized loser, and the stop-loss orders smash a crater out of it.

I plan to short one lot at the rebound to 1,931, with a stop loss at 1,942, targeting 1,868.

If it breaks above 1,938, I’ll admit I’m wrong.

Plans are plans—I’m only responsible for my own position.

A rebound without volume means chasing high is just lifting the cart for the trapped-to-be-unwound positions.

#ETH #涨幅榜 #币圈 #加密货币 #BTC
ETH has fallen back to 1,878. At this time last Tuesday, it was still hovering above 1,930. Now it hasn’t even managed to hold 1,880. I’m in cash—no positions. I’ll wait for a rebound to 1,900–1,905 before shorting again. Stop-loss at 1,940. Target 1,868. If it breaks down, watch for 1,840. The moving averages are stuck together. MA5 is at 1,876, MA20 at 1,878, and price is caught in the middle. Up top, MA50 is at 1,904. If the pullback can’t clear it, then it’s still a bearish setup. RSI is 57 and looks not weak, but the volume ratio has already dropped to zero. Across the whole market, only 378 million U has traded. The MACD red histogram is being supported on decreasing volume. Bollinger Bands are tightening, with a bandwidth of 5%. The middle band is exactly 1,878, and price is riding on the middle band. One bearish candle can wipe everything out. 1,868 is the low for today. Once that breaks, stop orders will likely get pushed lower. Looking down to 1,831, the lower Bollinger Band. 1,938 and 1,932 are the prior highs, with the upper Bollinger Band at 1,925 that price is sticking close to. A rebound to 1,900 is already very close to the resistance zone. Overall signals are bearish. Three signals—two of them are on the bearish side. My plan is to short around 1,900. If price stands above 1,904, I’ll admit I’m wrong. I’m even losing money and I don’t understand why—don’t take it too seriously. I’ll leave 20% of the position; I’ll only act once it reaches 1,905. #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
ETH has fallen back to 1,878.

At this time last Tuesday, it was still hovering above 1,930. Now it hasn’t even managed to hold 1,880.

I’m in cash—no positions.

I’ll wait for a rebound to 1,900–1,905 before shorting again. Stop-loss at 1,940. Target 1,868. If it breaks down, watch for 1,840.

The moving averages are stuck together.

MA5 is at 1,876, MA20 at 1,878, and price is caught in the middle.

Up top, MA50 is at 1,904. If the pullback can’t clear it, then it’s still a bearish setup.

RSI is 57 and looks not weak, but the volume ratio has already dropped to zero.

Across the whole market, only 378 million U has traded. The MACD red histogram is being supported on decreasing volume.

Bollinger Bands are tightening, with a bandwidth of 5%.

The middle band is exactly 1,878, and price is riding on the middle band.

One bearish candle can wipe everything out.

1,868 is the low for today. Once that breaks, stop orders will likely get pushed lower.

Looking down to 1,831, the lower Bollinger Band.

1,938 and 1,932 are the prior highs, with the upper Bollinger Band at 1,925 that price is sticking close to.

A rebound to 1,900 is already very close to the resistance zone.

Overall signals are bearish.

Three signals—two of them are on the bearish side.

My plan is to short around 1,900. If price stands above 1,904, I’ll admit I’m wrong.

I’m even losing money and I don’t understand why—don’t take it too seriously.

I’ll leave 20% of the position; I’ll only act once it reaches 1,905.

#ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
MACD is bullish, yet the price has fallen below the MA20—who’s selling off? I only understand half of what’s happening on this chart. All the moving averages are pressing down. Price: 63,936, down 1.89% in the last 24 hours. MA5 64,032; MA20 64,183; MA50 64,713—all are above. The bullish MACD hasn’t finished, but the price is still inching downward. RSI 51.5, slightly strong—but I don’t believe this strength. Volume ratio 0.2; trading volume 8.76 billion, with nobody willing to make a big move. A slow grind lower on shrinking volume: rebounds have no follow-through, and the selloff isn’t showing a volume spike. Bollinger Bands are contracting. Upper band: 65,322; lower band: 63,045. Price is sitting below the middle band, with a bandwidth of 3.5%. Bias is bearish. If price gains volume and holds above 65,474, then this trade is not for me. Key support: 63,806, the 24-hour low. If it breaks below, then it’s the lower Bollinger Band at 63,045. Key resistance: 65,391 to 65,474. This is the 24-hour high and the dense prior-high zone. My plan is to look to short around 65,390 on a rebound. Stop-loss: 65,550. Target: 63,806—reduce some position first. These levels come from the 24-hour high/low, moving averages, and the prior high area. Recalculate them yourself. After 63,806 breaks, will you still hold the short? #BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
MACD is bullish, yet the price has fallen below the MA20—who’s selling off?

I only understand half of what’s happening on this chart.

All the moving averages are pressing down.

Price: 63,936, down 1.89% in the last 24 hours.

MA5 64,032; MA20 64,183; MA50 64,713—all are above.

The bullish MACD hasn’t finished, but the price is still inching downward.

RSI 51.5, slightly strong—but I don’t believe this strength.

Volume ratio 0.2; trading volume 8.76 billion, with nobody willing to make a big move.

A slow grind lower on shrinking volume: rebounds have no follow-through, and the selloff isn’t showing a volume spike.

Bollinger Bands are contracting.

Upper band: 65,322; lower band: 63,045.

Price is sitting below the middle band, with a bandwidth of 3.5%.

Bias is bearish.

If price gains volume and holds above 65,474, then this trade is not for me.

Key support: 63,806, the 24-hour low.

If it breaks below, then it’s the lower Bollinger Band at 63,045.

Key resistance: 65,391 to 65,474.

This is the 24-hour high and the dense prior-high zone.

My plan is to look to short around 65,390 on a rebound.

Stop-loss: 65,550.

Target: 63,806—reduce some position first.

These levels come from the 24-hour high/low, moving averages, and the prior high area. Recalculate them yourself.

After 63,806 breaks, will you still hold the short?

#BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
A成交 of 3.67 billion, and in the whole morning it still hasn’t found a direction. Staring at the order book is annoying; my mind is filled with thoughts of doubling. When I look back, the more I obsess about doubling, the easier it is to get chaotic. ETH is now at 1,874, down 2.58% over the past 24 hours. You say it’s weak—it’s still holding. You say it’s strong—it’s afraid to push up. That’s how the market is: you force it, and it goes against you. When you drop the pressure, it actually makes way for you. The biggest enemy in trading isn’t the market. It’s the chains you put on yourself. Always thinking about this doubling, yet you can’t even protect your principal. Slow down a bit—then you’ll actually go farther. No one knows whether it’ll turn sour in the afternoon. #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
A成交 of 3.67 billion, and in the whole morning it still hasn’t found a direction.
Staring at the order book is annoying; my mind is filled with thoughts of doubling.
When I look back, the more I obsess about doubling, the easier it is to get chaotic.
ETH is now at 1,874, down 2.58% over the past 24 hours.
You say it’s weak—it’s still holding.
You say it’s strong—it’s afraid to push up.
That’s how the market is: you force it, and it goes against you.
When you drop the pressure, it actually makes way for you.
The biggest enemy in trading isn’t the market.
It’s the chains you put on yourself.
Always thinking about this doubling, yet you can’t even protect your principal.
Slow down a bit—then you’ll actually go farther.

No one knows whether it’ll turn sour in the afternoon.

#ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
In 24 hours, it dropped $63; ETH is now at $1,877. Volume ratio is 0.1, with $365 million in trading—selling volume is shrinking, and it’s drifting down. The Bollinger Bands closed between 1,931 and 1,837. Band width is 5.0%, and the price is sitting below the middle band at 1,884. MA5 is sticking to 1,878; MA20 is at 1,884; MA50 is capping at 1,906. RSI is 49.7—not oversold, not overbought—just weak. The MACD golden cross is still hanging on, but this volume can’t support it. 1,868 is the key for today. The final layer of buy-side orders is resting here. If it breaks below 1,868, stop-losses on longs will be triggered one after another. Next stop is the lower Bollinger Band at 1,837. For the pullback, first watch 1,884, then the prior high at 1,938. If it can’t get back above MA20, even that counts as a weak rebound. The easiest mistake is seeing a MACD golden cross and rushing in to go long. If it doesn’t rebound with volume and retakes 1,884, then a bounce up to here is basically giving short-sellers “meat.” At this level I’m leaning bearish; I’ll wait for 1,868 to break before following. Place the stop-loss above 1,884; the target is 1,837. Same at 1,877—some people are going long, others are going short; isn’t it just a difference in entry cost? Whether this trade is right or wrong depends on whether 1,868 breaks or not. #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
In 24 hours, it dropped $63; ETH is now at $1,877.

Volume ratio is 0.1, with $365 million in trading—selling volume is shrinking, and it’s drifting down.

The Bollinger Bands closed between 1,931 and 1,837.

Band width is 5.0%, and the price is sitting below the middle band at 1,884.

MA5 is sticking to 1,878; MA20 is at 1,884; MA50 is capping at 1,906.

RSI is 49.7—not oversold, not overbought—just weak.

The MACD golden cross is still hanging on, but this volume can’t support it.

1,868 is the key for today.

The final layer of buy-side orders is resting here.

If it breaks below 1,868, stop-losses on longs will be triggered one after another.

Next stop is the lower Bollinger Band at 1,837.

For the pullback, first watch 1,884, then the prior high at 1,938.

If it can’t get back above MA20, even that counts as a weak rebound.

The easiest mistake is seeing a MACD golden cross and rushing in to go long.

If it doesn’t rebound with volume and retakes 1,884, then a bounce up to here is basically giving short-sellers “meat.”

At this level I’m leaning bearish; I’ll wait for 1,868 to break before following.

Place the stop-loss above 1,884; the target is 1,837.

Same at 1,877—some people are going long, others are going short; isn’t it just a difference in entry cost?

Whether this trade is right or wrong depends on whether 1,868 breaks or not.

#ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
Someone in the group is shouting that 64,000 is a solid bottom and that long positions are already in. This is an illusion. 64,130 is below all moving averages. MA5 64,314, MA20 64,832, MA50 64,408. All three moving averages are pressing down overhead. This isn’t a spring; it’s a ceiling. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to 2.7%. Upper band 65,710, lower band 63,954. Price is hugging the lower band, only 176 dollars away from 63,954. Up and down 1,756 dollars—convergence can’t hold back the move. RSI 32.8; it’s just one breath away from the oversold line. The MACD bearish crossover hasn’t finished; a rebound is like handing over bullets. Volume ratio is 1.0, and in 4 hours only 869.0 million USDT has traded. No panic selling, and no buyers stepping in. Slow drifting down on shrinking volume is the most torturous—like boiling a frog in lukewarm water. ETH is even weaker: RSI 32.2, with the drop at about 0.66 percentage points more. Exchange rate 0.029325—this isn’t a bottom; it hasn’t fully flushed out yet. Resistance: 65,474, with today’s high capping it. Support: 62,300, the previous dense trading zone. I plan to place short orders between 65,391 and 65,474. Stop loss: 65,700—I won’t hold through it. Target 62,300: reduce to half position, and we’ll see what happens with the rest. This is the margin for error I can personally tolerate. Wait until 8 tonight to see the Bollinger Bands open up before deciding. #BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
Someone in the group is shouting that 64,000 is a solid bottom and that long positions are already in.

This is an illusion.

64,130 is below all moving averages.

MA5 64,314, MA20 64,832, MA50 64,408.

All three moving averages are pressing down overhead.

This isn’t a spring; it’s a ceiling.

The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to 2.7%. Upper band 65,710, lower band 63,954.

Price is hugging the lower band, only 176 dollars away from 63,954.

Up and down 1,756 dollars—convergence can’t hold back the move.

RSI 32.8; it’s just one breath away from the oversold line.

The MACD bearish crossover hasn’t finished; a rebound is like handing over bullets.

Volume ratio is 1.0, and in 4 hours only 869.0 million USDT has traded.

No panic selling, and no buyers stepping in.

Slow drifting down on shrinking volume is the most torturous—like boiling a frog in lukewarm water.

ETH is even weaker: RSI 32.2, with the drop at about 0.66 percentage points more.

Exchange rate 0.029325—this isn’t a bottom; it hasn’t fully flushed out yet.

Resistance: 65,474, with today’s high capping it.

Support: 62,300, the previous dense trading zone.

I plan to place short orders between 65,391 and 65,474.

Stop loss: 65,700—I won’t hold through it.

Target 62,300: reduce to half position, and we’ll see what happens with the rest.

This is the margin for error I can personally tolerate.

Wait until 8 tonight to see the Bollinger Bands open up before deciding.

#BTC #比特币 #币圈 #行情分析 #ETH
In those $378 million worth of trades just now, some are selling hard, while others are taking it. $ETH sits at 1880, down 1.86% in 24 hours. It’s stuck there, rubbing and grinding—enough to make your heart go cold. I say: the opposite is the movement of the Way. When it rises to the extreme, the fall gets buried inside it. When it drops to the point where nobody even bothers to talk, the seeds of the rise start pushing up through the soil. It’s not mysticism. All cyclical markets work this way. With today’s trading volume, it shows some people are still rushing to get out, while others are quietly catching. Wait until one day people can’t even be bothered to curse, wait until the exchange group chats are only left with machine-bot notifications, and then the turning point is actually not far off. For now, it’s just back and forth grinding. Both bulls and bears feel miserable. Grind it until both sides get sick of it. The seeds are already in the soil. #ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
In those $378 million worth of trades just now, some are selling hard, while others are taking it.

$ETH sits at 1880, down 1.86% in 24 hours.

It’s stuck there, rubbing and grinding—enough to make your heart go cold.

I say: the opposite is the movement of the Way.

When it rises to the extreme, the fall gets buried inside it.

When it drops to the point where nobody even bothers to talk,

the seeds of the rise start pushing up through the soil.

It’s not mysticism.

All cyclical markets work this way.

With today’s trading volume, it shows some people are still rushing to get out, while others are quietly catching.

Wait until one day people can’t even be bothered to curse,

wait until the exchange group chats are only left with machine-bot notifications,

and then the turning point is actually not far off.

For now, it’s just back and forth grinding.

Both bulls and bears feel miserable.

Grind it until both sides get sick of it.

The seeds are already in the soil.

#ETH #投资哲学 #交易心态 #币圈 #BTC
The harshest move in the early session was ETH—one bearish candle plunged to 1868 and then snapped back. Now it's at 1877, down 1.98%, hovering right at the 24-hour low. MA5 is at 1876, with MA20 pressing down at 1891; price is trapped in the middle range. RSI is 25.5, which is oversold. MACD is bearish; DIF is -10.9, and it hasn’t turned yet. The Bollinger Bands lean slightly upward, but the bandwidth is only 5%, so the directional signal is discounted. Volume is only half of the 20-day average—oversold and falling on reduced volume. 1868 has been defended twice, as if there’s capital watching it, but the defense isn’t aggressive. 1868 is today’s low; breaking it will trigger a chain of sell pressure. 1931 is the 24-hour high—any rebound needs to first reclaim this level. I plan to short near the 1931 area on the rebound, with a stop-loss above 1940 and a target at 1868. Whether 1868 can hold or not is uncertain—that’s my trial-and-error tolerance zone, not a call for exact prices. The biggest risk in chasing a short early in the session is that after RSI becomes oversold, it could suddenly bounce. The stop-loss must be in place. Watch for RSI dulling—25.5 isn’t a bottom. #ETH #涨幅榜 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
The harshest move in the early session was ETH—one bearish candle plunged to 1868 and then snapped back.

Now it's at 1877, down 1.98%, hovering right at the 24-hour low.

MA5 is at 1876, with MA20 pressing down at 1891; price is trapped in the middle range.

RSI is 25.5, which is oversold.

MACD is bearish; DIF is -10.9, and it hasn’t turned yet.

The Bollinger Bands lean slightly upward, but the bandwidth is only 5%, so the directional signal is discounted.

Volume is only half of the 20-day average—oversold and falling on reduced volume.

1868 has been defended twice, as if there’s capital watching it, but the defense isn’t aggressive.

1868 is today’s low; breaking it will trigger a chain of sell pressure. 1931 is the 24-hour high—any rebound needs to first reclaim this level.

I plan to short near the 1931 area on the rebound, with a stop-loss above 1940 and a target at 1868.

Whether 1868 can hold or not is uncertain—that’s my trial-and-error tolerance zone, not a call for exact prices.

The biggest risk in chasing a short early in the session is that after RSI becomes oversold, it could suddenly bounce. The stop-loss must be in place.

Watch for RSI dulling—25.5 isn’t a bottom.

#ETH #涨幅榜 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
A gradual sell-off with weakening prices is more uncomfortable than getting hit with a heavy sell order on high volume. ETH current price on the 4-hour chart is 1878, with Bollinger Band width at 4%, trading right along the lower band at 1873. RSI is 30.7, only a little away from the oversold line. MACD is in a bearish arrangement—there isn’t even a single golden-cross hint. MA5 is 1885, MA20 is 1910, MA50 is 1895, and the price is below all three moving averages. Every leg of the rebound is still pressure. Volume ratio is 0.5, and the trading amount is only 382 million. This is a shrinking-volume downward drift—not because nobody is selling, but because nobody is stepping in to buy. RSI looks like it’s about to oversold, but MACD hasn’t turned. In this kind of oversold rebound, it’s very easy for price to get pushed back down. I’m in no rush to catch a falling knife. If it rebounds up to 1895–1900, I’ll open a short, stop-loss at 1920, and watch the target at 1830. 1895 is MA50, 1900 is the psychological round-number level, and 1920 is above MA20. Around 1830 is a dense support zone, and the prior low at 1829 is also nearby. These levels are all calculated from prior highs/lows and moving averages—you can draw them yourself and confirm. Resistance looks at 1943, the 24-hour high. If it breaks through, the pre-break bearish momentum rhythm should remain unchanged. Support looks at 1837 and 1829; if 1830 breaks, then it becomes the acceleration zone. Chasing a short at 1878 isn’t worth it—it's too close to support, and the risk/reward isn’t good. A low-volume rebound—don’t treat it as a reversal and chase. #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
A gradual sell-off with weakening prices is more uncomfortable than getting hit with a heavy sell order on high volume.

ETH current price on the 4-hour chart is 1878, with Bollinger Band width at 4%, trading right along the lower band at 1873.

RSI is 30.7, only a little away from the oversold line.

MACD is in a bearish arrangement—there isn’t even a single golden-cross hint.

MA5 is 1885, MA20 is 1910, MA50 is 1895, and the price is below all three moving averages.

Every leg of the rebound is still pressure.

Volume ratio is 0.5, and the trading amount is only 382 million.

This is a shrinking-volume downward drift—not because nobody is selling, but because nobody is stepping in to buy.

RSI looks like it’s about to oversold, but MACD hasn’t turned.

In this kind of oversold rebound, it’s very easy for price to get pushed back down.

I’m in no rush to catch a falling knife.

If it rebounds up to 1895–1900, I’ll open a short, stop-loss at 1920, and watch the target at 1830.

1895 is MA50, 1900 is the psychological round-number level, and 1920 is above MA20.

Around 1830 is a dense support zone, and the prior low at 1829 is also nearby.

These levels are all calculated from prior highs/lows and moving averages—you can draw them yourself and confirm.

Resistance looks at 1943, the 24-hour high. If it breaks through, the pre-break bearish momentum rhythm should remain unchanged.

Support looks at 1837 and 1829; if 1830 breaks, then it becomes the acceleration zone.

Chasing a short at 1878 isn’t worth it—it's too close to support, and the risk/reward isn’t good.

A low-volume rebound—don’t treat it as a reversal and chase.

#ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析 #BTC
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