The Benner model, published by George Tritch in 1872. Data is statistically collected from 1780 and interpolated according to the global economic cycle. Applied to the S&P500 index, not BTC.
LarkDavis
--
150 years ago, a farmer from Ohio published this chart on when to make money
This chart has proven to be remarkably accurate in the past
It told us to exit the markets in 2007, right before the 2008 crash
Now, it's indicating that 2026 will be the "year of good times" and probably a great time to sell & take profits
Does that mean this cycle extends to 2026, and we'll see a new Bitcoin ATH next year?
🈯️ 9 key signs to predict when the bull market will reach its peak.
📢👇👇
9 key signs to predict when the bull market will reach its peak.
I've looked at them all... and I'm SHOCKED
They're showing us something a lot of people might not want to hear
Ignore if you like... but I wouldn't 👇🧵
Trying to guess the market peak from a single chart is tough.
I've been in crypto for years and learned how to exit at just the right time, not too early or too late.
Here's what I watch for ⬇️
1. The Altcoin Season Index:
➔ Indicates when altcoins begin to outperform BTC, often signaling a peak point level.
➔ A higher value up to 75 suggests the market may have reached its peak.
2. 22-Day RSI:
➔ Historically, a 22-day RSI exceeding 90 has frequently aligned with market highs.
➔ Typically, the market reaches its peak within 3 to 6 weeks after such readings.
3. 4-Year Moving Average Deviation:
➔ This metric measures how much the current price diverges from its four-year moving average.
➔ Significant deviations, often marked by red or orange circles on charts, indicate potential peak moments
4. MVRV Z-Score:
➔ This metric assesses the valuation of Bitcoin against its 'real' value.
➔ Historically, when the MVRV Z-Score exceeds 3, it has aligned with Bitcoin’s cyclical peaks, signaling a time to closely monitor the market conditions.
5. Pi Cycle Top Indicator:
➔ Known for its remarkable accuracy, the Pi Cycle Top indicator has successfully identified Bitcoin's cycle highs three times.
➔ It functions by pinpointing when the 111-day moving average crosses above twice the value of the 350-day moving average
6. NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss):
➔ This indicator reflects the overall market sentiment.
➔ When the NUPL reaches or exceeds 75%, it suggests that the market may be approaching its peak.
7. Composite Business Cycle Indicator:
➔ Typically rises above the 50-52 range before the market reaches its peak.
➔ This increase can signal an impending high in the business cycle.
8.Mayer Multiple:
➔ This metric compares Bitcoin's current price to its 200-day moving average.
➔ Historically, the market has peaked when this ratio exceeds 2.4.
➔ Currently, the prices are well below this threshold, indicating potential for growth.
9. BTC Rainbow Chart
➔ This chart tracks Bitcoin's price trends and gives signals to buy, hold, or sell based on market sentiment.
➔ Right now, it indicates we're in the accumulation phase, suggesting it's a good time to collect more Bitcoin.
➔ Additionally, when everyone around you begins talking about investing in crypto and speculates about further gains, it often indicates that the market might be nearing its peak.
➔ This heightened enthusiasm and greed can be a clear signal that we are at a critical high. #BTCNextATH #analysis #Write2Earn #TexasBTCReserveBill #MarketPullback $BTC
Unlock by day. Look at the unlock chart... The ground lies right in front of you
Trading Insight_DN
--
$WLD still has one more segment sideways to break up, can't we just try harder? If it breaks out of the boundary now, it's certain to go back to 4-5, splitting again.
Why is it so weak, I don't know anymore. The lowest price of all time seems to be $0.88, but there may be a lower bottom coming.
It would be more reasonable if WLD sideways around the range of $1-1.3 for about another month and then breaks to go up to $2.5 and $5. But perhaps we need to be mentally prepared for the possibility of prices lower than all-time lows and splitting at any moment.
The emoluments prohibit the president from receiving financial support from foreign governments, but do not prohibit receiving support from individuals abroad. Moreover, at that time he was not yet president!
5NEWs CRYPTO
--
🔥 President Donald Trump may be sued for memecoin TRUMP
The organization Public Citizen has filed a complaint with the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Office of Government Ethics (OGE), requesting an investigation into President Donald Trump's promotion of the memecoin TRUMP just before his inauguration on January 20th. They warn that this memecoin could be a "backdoor" for Trump to receive money from foreign entities.
Specifically, Trump is accused of: 🔹 Violating campaign finance laws: Trump is accused of exploiting the memecoin TRUMP to solicit funding indirectly and opaquely. 🔹 Receiving money from abroad through blockchain: Transactions involving the TRUMP token do not require KYC, opening up the possibility for foreign entities to fund anonymously without oversight.
If found intentionally facilitating the flow of foreign money into the memecoin $TRUMP, Trump could violate the Emoluments Clause, a law prohibiting U.S. presidents from receiving financial benefits from foreign governments.
However, as president, he may have immunity from prosecution if the court considers the promotion of $TRUMP as part of presidential duties.$TRUMP
Looking at its daily unlock schedule like this... I'm sure you know what's going on.
Toàn Roy
--
If BTC rises, Altcoin drops. What do you all predict for tomorrow? I have exited the arb at the level of 0.735. Expected to drop to 0.69, then I will start accumulating. 0.69 = 20% 0.67 = 30%. Wait for it to break through the level of 0.64 and then monitor further: if it rebounds to 0.66, it will be all in at 50%, if the price continues to drop, wait until it recovers at the 4-hour candle, increasing around 5% before going all in. What about you guys, I would like your opinions.
FTM (fantom) has been renamed to S, while the old chart has been completely discarded. Those who do not pay attention will not have a complete view; even the old pig trough has been forgotten.
Bạn hãy cắt nhanh đi, ngay đi, để nó còn bay chứ !
Tìm Lại Chính Mình9x
--
#BIO I invested all in at the price of 0.34$ because I thought it would recover. However, it is showing signs of decline and I am currently down about 1/5 of my assets. Please give me advice on whether to hold or cut losses.
In figure 2, after sweeping the upper liquidity, make a stick to sweep the lower liquidity. CZ, is the bot upgrade insane like that?
Ha_invest
--
$BTC $TRUMP
+ How much BTC is available for trading?
The higher the price, the scarcer the BTC on exchanges. Currently, there are only 2.4 million BTC on exchanges (image 1). ETF funds and exchanges have been competing to gather everything since the beginning of 2024. They are not releasing it (because if they do, others will come hunting). So when will they hold on until? Who will be the first to let go? Perhaps there will be no more winter in the crypto environment. At that time, altcoins will freely soar until they crash. The price of BTC will only fluctuate significantly during geopolitical earthquakes or crises!
+ What will the market be like on the day Trump is sworn in?
In the past 24 hours, the combined Short orders seem thick (image 2). The heat map appears dense in the price range of 105.84k to 106.48k.
+ Is 500 million $ a lot or a little?
In image 3, taken within 24 hours, the bookmaker has earned 653.77 million $ from Long/Short services. Of this amount, Binance earned 244.93 million $. With this revenue, do they have to pay VAT?
The first cold wind of winter begins to blow in. Flocks of birds start to migrate southward. Signaling an icy winter is approaching. Stay warm!
Lăng Nghiêm
--
$ARB so delicious... can be targeted ==> market capitalization too high ... current market cap 3.2 billion ==> down to 0.2 and 0.1 market cap around 500 million can enter the market ==> minimum target market cap 12 billion If market cap does not drop to at least 600 million ==> can skip, do not invest
Specifically with ARB ==> minimum target ==> x20 ... otherwise do not skip, do not invest
The higher the price, the scarcer the BTC on exchanges. Currently, there are only 2.4 million BTC on exchanges (image 1). ETF funds and exchanges have been competing to gather everything since the beginning of 2024. They are not releasing it (because if they do, others will come hunting). So when will they hold on until? Who will be the first to let go? Perhaps there will be no more winter in the crypto environment. At that time, altcoins will freely soar until they crash. The price of BTC will only fluctuate significantly during geopolitical earthquakes or crises!
+ What will the market be like on the day Trump is sworn in?
In the past 24 hours, the combined Short orders seem thick (image 2). The heat map appears dense in the price range of 105.84k to 106.48k.
+ Is 500 million $ a lot or a little?
In image 3, taken within 24 hours, the bookmaker has earned 653.77 million $ from Long/Short services. Of this amount, Binance earned 244.93 million $. With this revenue, do they have to pay VAT?
Has he-CZ come to Vietnam to control the money flow?
Dogobinhminh
--
A bunch of Trump system coins are sucking up all the net money. Jumping in to buy is scary. Longs are making big profits. Shorts are continuously burning in just a few seconds. This year, there's a high possibility that you will lose your Tet celebration $
Phá mọi kỷ lục trong thời gian tới, kể cả việc khoan vào lòng đất !
Pura Contra
--
WHAT APPLICATION DOES TRUMP MEME COIN HAVE!? As of 8:50 today, according to analysis from blockchain expert Conor, Donald Trump's team has sold about 500 million dollars worth of the newly launched TRUMP token and still holds 85% of the total supply. "Based on on-chain data, Trump has sold about 500 million dollars worth of tokens so far," Conor said, while emphasizing that all circulating tokens have been sold or provided as liquidity. Will Mr. TRUMP flood the investors soon?
Đã Có thể DCA bio rồi nhé Linh vừa Dca Bio để trung bình giá. Ai it vốn có thể dca x2 lệnh vào nếu vào 2u thì DCA 4U Linh vào thêm 10U tại giá này để trung bình lệnh cũ
Nhưng nó là dự án thương mại hoá khoa học phi tập trung. Vài bữa nữa dev đổi tên và vẽ thêm vài nét "kết hợp AI" nữa là lại FOMO ngay. Giờ thì chờ đáy mới hàng ngày!
Kisha Perugini zz34
--
$BIO chấp nhận phán sản vì con chó bầy đàn CZ anh em VN bị chúng lùa trắng tay
Chuyển = mạng nào thì vào trình duyệt của mạng đó, tìm đến giao dịch xem đã nhận đc chưa, nếu nhận đc rồi thì chuyển ngược lại (mất phí). Hỏi thêm đội ngũ hỗ trợ của sàn.
Lovie Sturm DcEy
--
$TRUMP mn ơi ai biết cách nào chỉ e với e chuyển nhầm trump từ ví phantom sang sàn mà sàn chưa có spot thì lấy lại kiểu gì đc ?
Lệnh mua 3m có phải là của bạn không ? Nếu không phải thì đó có thể là của nhiều người cùng mua giá đó, hoặc của 1 người nhưng phải khớp làm nhiều lệnh nhỏ, hoặc bot của sàn,...
cá mập ốm
--
$USUAL lệnh mua ở 0.5571 3m nhưng khi xem lệnh khớp thấy có gì đó sai sai