RISKK TAKER

The market cap of tokenized stocks has reached a new all time high, according to Token Terminal, with BNB Chain, Ethereum and Solana accounting for roughly 70% of the market.

What stands out is how quickly this market is growing. Tokenized equities are giving investors blockchain based access to exposure linked to traditional stocks, while opening the door to around the clock trading and deeper integration with onchain finance.

BNB Chain is currently leading by market cap, followed by Ethereum and Solana. That competition matters because the networks attracting the most assets could gain an advantage as tokenized securities expand into more trading and DeFi applications.

$GRAM
$BNB

BITCOIN MAY BE FORMING AN OCTOBER BOTTOM

October hasn’t been a straight ride up for Bitcoin. High bond yields, expensive oil, slowing ETF inflows and leveraged liquidations have all weighed on market sentiment.

But some on chain signals are starting to look more constructive.

Exchange BTC reserves remain low, Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand has recovered sharply from deeply negative levels, and whale holdings have climbed to around 3 million BTC, remaining elevated through the recent correction.

The macro picture is also worth watching. Brent crude has eased from nearly $110 to around $103, while markets are pricing in an 18% chance of an October Fed rate hike. With the U.S. midterms approaching on November 3, political uncertainty could also influence how investors position themselves.

Still, a potential bottom isn’t a confirmed reversal. Sustained ETF inflows, stronger U.S. spot buying and continued demand recovery are needed to strengthen the bullish case.

Uptober doesn’t have to mean nonstop green candles. Sometimes, the correction comes before the recovery. $GRAM
$NEAR

Bitcoin is hovering around the average investor’s break even point, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, with the current setup resembling market conditions seen in late 2025.

The $80,500 level represents the capital weighted cost basis, where the market roughly sits between unrealized profits and losses. When BTC trades around this zone, uncertainty can increase as investors decide whether to hold, accumulate or sell.

For bulls, holding above this level could help strengthen market confidence. But losing it could put more holders underwater and increase selling pressure.

The key question: can Bitcoin turn $80,500 into solid support, or will history repeat itself?

$BTC
$SOL
$LUMIA

Circle USDC circulation has declined by $800 million over the past seven days, as redemptions outpaced new issuance.

According to Circle latest transparency data, $10.5B in USDC was redeemed against $9.7B newly issued. Over the past year, circulation has also fallen by a net $2.5B.

This matters because stablecoins are a key source of liquidity across crypto markets. A shrinking USDC supply can reflect investors converting digital dollars back into fiat, moving capital elsewhere, or reduced demand for USDC.

But it doesn’t automatically mean $800M has left crypto entirely. Some capital may have moved into other stablecoins or different assets.

The key thing to watch is whether this becomes a sustained contraction or just a short term fluctuation in stablecoin demand.

$USDC
$LUMIA

🚨 ONE YEAR AGO TODAY, CRYPTO SUFFERED ITS BIGGEST LIQUIDATION EVENT IN HISTORY

On October 10, 2025, more than $19.1 billion in leveraged crypto positions were wiped out in one of the most brutal days the market has ever experienced.

Traders who were heavily positioned for further gains suddenly found themselves on the wrong side of a violent sell off.

As prices dropped, leveraged positions were automatically liquidated, creating additional selling pressure and accelerating the crash.
The event exposed one of crypto’s biggest risks, leverage can turn a market correction into a full scale wipeout.

A year later, the lesson remains the same. You can get the market direction right and still lose everything by taking on too much leverage.

In crypto, surviving the volatility matters just as much as catching the rally. $NEAR
$SOL

The XRP Ledger has activated PermissionDelegationV1_1, allowing account owners to assign specific tasks to other accounts without sharing their primary keys.

The feature lets businesses delegate functions such as payment processing and customer approvals while keeping their main signing keys offline. Permissions can also be updated or revoked, giving account owners greater control over who can act on their behalf.

This could be particularly useful for banks, stablecoin issuers and institutions managing tokenized assets, where security and separation of responsibilities are critical.

One important caveat, XRPL advises users not to delegate the PaymentBurn permission until a separate fix is activated, due to a known issue.

Better security controls could make the XRP Ledger more attractive to institutions moving financial operations onchain. $XRP

$ATOM /USDT Watching for a Potential Retracement Before the Next Move

ATOM has made a strong recovery on the 15-minute chart, climbing toward the $2.08 region before encountering selling pressure. The latest rejection has pushed price back toward $2.027, and the market may need to revisit a lower demand area before another attempt at the highs develops.

The zone I’m monitoring sits around $1.95–$1.965. This area is important because it represents the marked demand region on my chart. If price retraces into it and buyers defend the zone, we could see renewed bullish momentum and a possible move back toward $2.08.

However, the reaction at demand will be more important than the zone itself. A strong bullish response could support the recovery scenario, while weak price action or a decisive breakdown below the zone would invalidate that idea and leave room for additional downside.

For now, I’m not treating the projected path as a certainty. I want to see how price behaves around the marked area before drawing a stronger conclusion. Waiting for confirmation and managing risk are more important than trying to predict every candle.

What matters next is whether ATOM can establish support and continue its recovery, or whether the current rejection develops into a deeper correction.

$SUI has experienced a strong bearish displacement after losing the $1.12–$1.14 supply area, with price falling rapidly toward the $1.02 region. The rebound that followed has brought price back to approximately $1.0595, but the recovery has not yet invalidated the broader bearish structure visible on the chart.

The zone between $1.12 and $1.135 is the area I am watching most closely. It represents a potential location for price to retrace into previous supply before sellers attempt to continue the move lower. If price returns to this region and prints clear bearish rejection, it could provide a more favorable opportunity to evaluate a short setup.

The downside objective is the recent low near $1.02. If that level fails to hold, the market could extend lower, although the next move will depend on how price reacts at support and resistance. There is no need to enter prematurely while price is still trading below the projected entry area.

For now, my bias remains bearish, provided the supply zone continues to cap price and the market fails to establish a sustained bullish structure above it. A decisive reclaim of the marked zone would require reassessing the setup.

This is a conditional technical outlook, not a certainty. I will prioritize confirmation, disciplined execution, and risk management over anticipation.

$MINA /USDT Bearish Continuation Scenario on the 30-Minute Chart

MINA is currently trading around $0.0788 following a significant sell off from the $0.0840 area. Although price has entered a consolidation phase, the chart has yet to show a convincing recovery that would invalidate the broader bearish structure.

The repeated fluctuations around the $0.0780–$0.0800 region suggest that the market is still searching for direction after the initial decline.

The main area to watch is the supply zone between approximately $0.0826 and $0.0837. This zone represents a potential resistance area where sellers could regain control if price retraces upward. My projected scenario is a move toward this region, followed by a rejection and renewed downside pressure. If that reaction occurs, the recent lows around $0.0750–$0.0760 become important downside reference levels.

However, the bearish outlook depends on price respecting the supply zone. If MINA breaks above the zone and holds there, the projected continuation lower would become less convincing. Until that happens, I will be watching for a clear rejection rather than assuming the next move is guaranteed.

This is a technical market scenario, not a certainty. Manage risk carefully and wait for confirmation before making any trading decision.

Telegram is rolling out Money, a non custodial wallet powered by Gram, to its massive user base. The wallet lets users store and send tokens, purchase gifts and trade collectible usernames directly within the Telegram ecosystem.

The big advantage is accessibility. Users can access digital assets through an app they already use daily, without needing to navigate a separate crypto platform.

For crypto adoption, this could be significant. Telegram already has a huge global audience, and bringing wallet functionality directly into that environment could introduce more users to onchain transactions and digital collectibles.

A billion plus potential users. Crypto is moving closer to everyday messaging. $GRAM

Hedera has announced Agent Accounts, non custodial spending accounts that allow AI agents to make payments using HBAR, USDC and other Hedera tokens.

The key feature is the built-in spending controls. Users can set daily budgets, per transaction limits and approved recipients, with the rules enforced by smart contracts. AI agents can make payments autonomously without gaining access to the user’s private keys.

This could make it easier for AI agents to pay for APIs, access paid services and settle invoices without requiring human approval for every transaction.

AI agents are moving beyond answering questions.

$HBAR
$ZEC

Institutional money is pulling back from crypto, with digital asset ETFs recording $311.9 million in net outflows in a single session.

The withdrawals come as Bitcoin and Ethereum funds face renewed selling pressure, raising questions about whether institutional demand is weakening after September’s recovery.

ETF outflows don’t automatically mean investors have lost confidence in crypto, but sustained withdrawals can reduce an important source of buying demand.

The key question now is whether this is short term profit taking or the beginning of a broader institutional exit.

More than $1 billion in leveraged crypto positions have been wiped out in the past day, putting traders through another brutal market shakeout.

The timing is raising eyebrows, too. The largest liquidation event reportedly happened almost exactly one year ago, bringing back memories of how quickly excessive leverage can turn a market move into a full scale wipeout.

When prices move sharply against crowded positions, exchanges automatically close leveraged trades, adding more buying or selling pressure and accelerating volatility.

But the real question is whether this is simply a massive leverage reset or the start of another deeper correction. $ZEC
$XDP

$XDP is approaching an important decision zone on the 30-minute timeframe, and the current structure suggests that another bearish leg remains possible.

Following the sharp decline from the $0.01930 region, price experienced a strong but volatile rebound from the $0.01815 area. Despite this recovery, the market has not yet demonstrated a convincing break above the previous supply zone, which sits around $0.01920–$0.01940. This area could become a key resistance level if price returns to test it.

The scenario I am watching is a short-term push higher into supply, followed by a rejection that brings sellers back into control. If that reaction is confirmed by bearish price action, the recent low near $0.01815 becomes a potential downside target.

The setup depends on how price behaves at resistance. If buyers reclaim the supply zone and hold above it, the bearish thesis would need to be reassessed. Until then, the recovery could remain corrective rather than represent a confirmed trend reversal.

Patience and confirmation matter more than prediction. The chart provides a possible path, but price action must validate it before any trading decision is made.

#FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause

On the 15-minute chart, Bitcoin has experienced a strong bearish move, falling from the $82,600–$82,750 region toward approximately $80,550.

Price has since recovered to around $81,735, but the structure suggests that the current upward movement could be a temporary retracement rather than a confirmed bullish reversal.

The main area I am watching is the $82,450–$82,750 supply zone. If BTC retraces into this region and sellers defend it, the market could resume its downward movement toward the $80,550 low. A break below that low could open the door to further downside, although additional confirmation would be needed to establish the next target.

On the other hand, if Bitcoin breaks above the supply zone and holds above it, the bearish scenario becomes less convincing and the market may attempt a broader recovery.

My focus is on the reaction at resistance, not simply the fact that price is bouncing. I will be watching for rejection signals and a possible bearish continuation before drawing stronger conclusions.

Key resistance: $82,450–$82,750
Potential downside target: $80,550
Invalidation signal, a decisive breakout and sustained acceptance above the supply zone.

This is a conditional technical projection, not a certainty. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation before making a trading decision.

#IMFSaysTokenizedMarketsSmall

🚨 BITCOIN DROPS BELOW $81K

Bitcoin has fallen below $81,000, triggering a massive wave of leveraged position closures across the crypto market.

The reported liquidation figure is approaching $500 million, showing just how quickly leverage can amplify a BTC sell off. Recent market data has already shown hundreds of millions in leveraged positions being wiped out as Bitcoin loses key support levels.

This is where things can get dangerous. Forced selling pushes prices lower, which can trigger more liquidations and create a cascading move.

The important part now is whether $81K becomes resistance or buyers reclaim it quickly.

Nearly $500M wiped out. Bitcoin just lost another key level.

Bitcoin has fallen below $82,000, triggering another wave of forced liquidations across the crypto market.

More than $200M in leveraged long positions have reportedly been wiped out, adding further selling pressure as traders are forced to close bullish bets.

The move comes after BTC failed to hold the higher levels reached earlier this week. Broader market pressure is also weighing on risk assets, with oil above $100 and the U.S. 10 year yield around 5.3%. 

$82K is now under pressure. If buyers don’t step in, the next move could get even more volatile.

Bitcoin briefly fell to around $83,560, triggering roughly $550M in crypto liquidations over the past 24 hours, with longs taking most of the hit.

But there’s another detail traders are watching closely.

Just before the drop, four newly created wallets opened 40x BTC shorts on Hyperliquid, taking positions on roughly 148.5 BTC worth $12.5M. The timing has sparked speculation, although there’s no confirmation that these traders knew the move was coming.

For now, BTC is sitting around a key support area near $83K–$84K. Losing that zone could open the door toward $80K, while reclaiming higher levels would suggest the liquidation was more of a leverage flush than a deeper trend reversal.$HYPE

Large Bitcoin holders are now back in profit after briefly falling below their cost basis during the June sell off.

What stands out is the smaller-wallet cohort. Holders with less than 1 BTC stayed above their roughly $48K cost basis even at the June low, while sharks and whales slipped underwater.

That’s a major difference from the 2022 bear market, when Bitcoin fell below the cost basis of every major holder group.

So far, the 2026 correction looks more like a deep reset than a full market-wide capitulation.$ADA
$PUMP

🔥 JUST IN: ROBINHOOD ADDS $25M IN BITCOIN TO ITS BALANCE SHEET

Robinhood has added $25 million worth of Bitcoin to its corporate balance sheet, according to the company’s crypto chief Johann Kerbrat.

The purchase is relatively small compared with Robinhood’s roughly $100B market value, but the signal is much bigger.

Robinhood says the move is meant to show its commitment to Bitcoin and the broader crypto ecosystem as the company continues expanding its crypto business.

With Robinhood also pushing deeper into Robinhood Chain, tokenized stocks and crypto derivatives, the BTC purchase fits into a broader strategy of making digital assets a bigger part of its business.

$25M may not move Bitcoin, but it shows where Robinhood wants to position itself.

$PUMP
$GTC