fear_greed

Today's News‼️
⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: +$175.62M (BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley);
⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: +$24.84M (Fidelity, Grayscale);
🔴 Volatility markets are showing a peak in interest today;
🔴 Bitcoin is holding above the STH (Short-Term Holder) cost basis, the 200-day moving average, and the yearly moving average. This represents a very powerful set of structural support levels;
🔴 Bitcoin holdings on crypto exchanges continue to decline, potentially creating conditions favorable for further price growth, according to CryptoQuant analysis;
🔴 According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts estimate that approximately $50 billion has flowed into Bitcoin and digital assets this year;
🔴 On X, Reddit, and Telegram, there are 2.05 "bullish" comments on $ETH for every "bearish" one; sentiment clearly indicates FOMO;
🔴 Currently, the number of OUSD holder addresses across four blockchains exceeds 1,100, an increase of ~1,780% compared to a month ago. Tempo leads with 607 addresses, followed by Base (244), Solana (135), and Ethereum (123);
🔴 Most trading of tokenized stocks on Solana and BNB Chain takes place outside of standard US stock market hours, reports Cointelegraph;
🔴 Total Value Locked (TVL) in Lighter on Robinhood Chain has surpassed $100 million. TVL surged by 1,000% — from $10 million in July to $110 million in October 2026;
🔴 The Chinese yuan reached its highest exchange rate against the US dollar since June 2022.

$BTC today‼️
The price is consolidating in the absence of negative news, just as I anticipated. I am trading today within the boundaries of a rough ascending channel on the 1-hour (1H) timeframe.
The $82,900 level is acting as strong support. Driven by rising interest, the Bitcoin price is likely to break out in the coming hours. I was mistaken yesterday in assuming that ETF outflows would decrease; let's see what happens today. Outflows have been observed for over 10 days now, but I expect them to pause temporarily, provided the news landscape doesn't deteriorate.
As before, I do not believe the Bitcoin price will undergo a significant correction prior to the election.

I am currently holding a long position. The target is marked on the price chart.
I am trading with a dynamic stop-loss.
I will hold the long position until the target is reached unless I see a high volume of selling; otherwise, I will switch to a short trade ($82090).

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

$BTC today‼️
The trade based on the previous forecast yielded a profit of at least 20%. Had a long position been opened from the upper boundary of the hypothetical downtrend channel after the post was published, the profit would have been at least 10%.
The target of $83,900 has been reached.

Selling pressure is evident right now; however, in my opinion, this selling represents standard price spoofing. A major player is effectively preventing the price from rising above the indicated levels.
I do not foresee a surge of negative news before earnings reports are released, which allows bulls to capture short-term profits.
Clear signs of buying activity are visible at the $83,500 level.

I intend to open a long position targeting a price of $84,550. I am adjusting my stop-loss. Not financial advice. Do your own research.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

Today's News‼️
⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$65.4M (BlackRock);
⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$85.4M (BlackRock, Grayscale);
⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$0.7M (VanEck);
⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$2.3M (Bitwise);
🔴 Bitcoin sellers dominated again on Monday. Over the past 24 hours, 36,800 BTC were transferred to exchanges. Net taker volume turned negative again, indicating that aggressive selling is outweighing buying demand;
🔴 Analysts: The 100-day moving average has crossed above the 200-day moving average. In 8 out of 9 previous instances, the Bitcoin price rose one month later, with a median gain of 13.2%;
🔴 Bitcoin Magazine: Bitcoin funding rates have turned negative for the first time in three months, a trend historically associated with price increases;
🔴 The ETH/BTC ratio fell below 0.03 for the first time since August 19, according to OKX market data;
🔴 Ethereum is showing steady network activity and growth in the number of smart contracts despite price fluctuations;
🔴 Over the weekends of the third quarter, USDC trading volume on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) totaled $40.2 billion, with an average weekend trading volume of $1.37 billion;
🔴 Last week, the notional trading volume on Polymarket US reached $2.72 billion, surpassing the figure of $60.8 million recorded during the first full week of January;
🔴 Trading volume in single-stock options is approaching record levels, trailing only the "meme-stock mania" of 2021;
🔴 JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo are set to release their latest quarterly results today. Other major companies scheduled to report include Johnson & Johnson and UnitedHealth;
🔴 Last week, hedge funds sold off financial stocks at the fastest pace since March.

$BTC today‼️
Today, I am trading the levels of the hypothetical downtrend channel shown on the price chart. Recent setups have yielded over 30% profit.
I plotted a similar pattern on the chart a few weeks ago; if you recall, the price reached $87,000.
The targets are modest, as always—10% profit per trade. I am trading off the upper boundary of the hypothetical trading channel (the trade might already be closed by the time this is published).

Sellers dominated during today's Asian session. Although it is effectively a holiday in the US, market activity is picking up noticeably. Corporate earnings reports due tomorrow are likely to be moderate.

For now, I am watching the hypothetical resistance level at $83,900—a point where the bulls are looking to establish a foothold.

We are keeping an eye on ETF flows today; I anticipate buying activity. Not financial advice.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

Today's News‼️
🔴 JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo plan to release their earnings reports on Tuesday, followed by Bank of America and Morgan Stanley on Wednesday. Investors are also awaiting key inflation data: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) for September are set to be released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively;
🔴 Crypto analyst Willy Woo has estimated the probability of a Bitcoin signature hack occurring within the next two years at 1.3%;
🔴 Bitcoin is approaching a bullish crossover of the 111-day and 200-day SMAs. BTC is trading above both moving averages, and the trend recovery is gaining momentum;
🔴 The market capitalization of RWA (Real World Assets) on Ethereum has grown by $553.1 million over the past 7 days. Breakdown: zkSync Era: $126.1 million; BNB Chain: +$68.7 million. Ethereum's growth was more than four times that of the next leading network;
🔴 The number of long positions on $ETH at Bitfinex has reached a four-year high;
🔴 Today, Evernorth is listing on Nasdaq via a SPAC under the ticker XRPN. The company plans to acquire a significant amount of XRP tokens for its balance sheet and has already purchased nearly 500 million XRP;
🔴 SUI is investing $30 million in the AI ​​training protocol DATA Network. DATA Network is fully migrating to the Sui platform;
🔴 The rapid decline in the return on capital of leading tech giants, set against the backdrop of a surge in capital expenditures and debt burdens, is becoming a major issue for the AI ​​industry.

$BTC today‼️
My forecast from October 10th has yielded at least 25% profit, and the trade I shared in my last post has generated at least 15%. A higher-risk trade opened on a prediction market is showing over 60% profit—proof is available in the channel feed.
Positive sentiment in the commodities market (specifically oil and petroleum products) acted as the catalyst for this rally. I wrote to you about this yesterday; any purchases in the cryptocurrency market would have yielded significant gains. (Not financial advice.)

Barring any critical breaches of agreements regarding commodity markets, I believe Trump’s promise to distribute $5,000 to every American will serve as an additional driver for cryptocurrency market growth. Essentially, the "money printer" could be turned on to rapidly replenish fuel reserves.
But that is the positive side.

The negative side lies in the large number of political opponents to this strategy—which aims for stable commodity prices and the resolution of geopolitical issues through diplomacy.

Given these emotional political flare-ups, I strive to analyze them deeply and react by opening either long or short positions. I share this information with you; one needs to trade both directions.

Remember, the most important objective is to close the week above the $83,000 level.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

Today's Perspectives‼️
Bitcoin has entered a phase where selling pressure has clearly intensified.

This refers not to actual selling pressure, but to hypothetical pressure. The "Seller Exhaustion" indicator combines supply from profit-takers with volatility (returns) to identify phases of risk and stability.

It is a useful indicator for the short term.

Following the rebound that pushed $BTC above the $85,000 mark, the indicator is signaling a phase where selling pressure is expected to increase.
The movement was quite sudden, particularly among short-term holders (STHs).

I don't get too hung up on the exact figures, as volatility tends to subside over time, but the trend is clear.

We have just reached a threshold comparable to levels that signaled local tops earlier in this cycle.

It remains to be seen whether demand can strengthen and contain a potential correction as volatility cools—a scenario that would help the indicator return to normal levels-opinion.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

Today's News‼️
⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: +$21M (BlackRock+, Fidelity-);
⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$56.51M (BlackRock);
⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$3.8M (Bitwise);
⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: $0M;
🔴 XRP ETFs were the only cryptocurrency ETFs to record a net inflow on Thursday, attracting $8 million;
🔴 Thailand will launch trading for spot BTC and ETH ETFs on its stock exchange starting October 16;
🔴 El Salvador purchased another BTC yesterday for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve; its holdings now total 7,800 BTC;
🔴 The "Altcoin Season Index" has peaked. Historically, following such peaks, some liquidity tends to flow back into Bitcoin and stablecoins. This helps explain why certain altcoins experienced sharper declines than BTC during the recent market drop;
🔴 Ethereum leads in stablecoin market cap growth over the last 7 days. Ethereum: +$243.4 million; Arbitrum One: +$108.6 million;
Base: +$51.1 million. Combined, the stablecoin market capitalization across these three chains grew by $403.1 million over the week;
🔴 B3, Brazil's largest stock exchange, is preparing to launch a trading platform for tokenized assets in the first half of next year;
🔴 The AI boom is turning into a debt boom, and credit markets are starting to get nervous. Oracle 5-year CDS are trading near a record high of 261 basis points, implying a 20.4% probability of default. SpaceX: 16.5%. Even Nvidia: >7% (I am watching these figures very closely).

$BTC right now‼️
Unexpectedly positive sentiment has hit the markets. A short-term normalization in the refined oil products market will provide a slight boost to the prices of high-risk assets.
I’ve already opened a long position with a stop-loss.
The target is closer to $83,900. I’m also considering adding to the position if the price pulls back to $81,800. Not financial advice.

Wishing everyone profits💰💪

Today's News‼️
⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: -$244.1M (BlackRock, Fidelity, Bitwise, ARKB, Grayscale);
⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$72.5M (BlackRock, Bitwise, Grayscale, 21Shares);
⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$4.8M (Bitwise);
⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: -$9.7M (21Shares);
🔴 Bitcoin recorded its second-highest daily realized profit figure of 2026. Holders locked in profits totaling approximately $1.03 billion, just shy of the year's high of $1.04 billion. This massive wave of profit-taking followed the recent surge in the BTC price above the $87,000 mark;
🔴 If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) comes in higher than expected on October 14, expectations for rate hikes will return, putting Bitcoin under pressure;
🔴 Bitcoin's hashrate is recovering, which recently triggered a "Hash Ribbons" buy signal;
🔴 The public keys for one-third of all Bitcoin are exposed to public view—amounting to 7.1 million BTC, or roughly $589 billion. If the ECDSA algorithm were to be compromised, attackers could seize these coins, leaving owners unable to intervene;
🔴 JPMorgan estimates year-to-date inflows into the crypto market at approximately $50 billion (an annualized rate of about $66 billion). This exceeds the bank's May estimate of $52 billion but remains roughly half of last year's annual total;
🔴 According to Polymarket, there is currently a 59% probability that the Bitcoin price will exceed $90,000 this year; ETH: Open interest has dropped by 11.7%—the lowest level since June 2026;
🔴 Aptos has updated its tokenomics: 210 million APT tokens will be permanently locked, and staking rewards will be cut in half;
🔴 Altcoins are moving in the opposite direction to Bitcoin. The 14-day average correlation between altcoins and BTC has turned negative, reaching its lowest level since July 30, 2025—a rare market divergence, given that prices usually move in sync.

#DataUpdate ‼️
According to a Goldman Sachs analysis, daily equity turnover has reached unprecedented highs, while the market's "cushion" (resilience) has fallen to an all-time low.

The bulk of trading activity is driven by derivatives, options, and leveraged funds—instruments that consume liquidity rather than create it.

This imbalance renders the financial system extremely fragile and vulnerable to sharp price swings should negative catalysts emerge.

Consequently, any significant selling pressure could instantly deplete remaining reserves, turning a standard correction into a massive market crash.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

$BTC today‼️
Let’s revisit the price action analysis I shared in my previous post regarding the hypothetical bullish trend support line. Based on market data, I had suggested that major players were distributing Bitcoin within the $87,000–$85,000 range. The subsequent price correction yielded over 60% in profit. Proof is in the channel feed.

Here’s my take. Look how convenient it is: first, you quietly load up a massive Bitcoin long position in the derivatives market. At the same time, you use your billions to aggressively inject liquidity into your own spot ETFs—orchestrating a covert self-buyback (like Amazon sellers do at launch) to manufacture massive trading volumes.
The crowd of "degens" sees those green candles, gets hit with intense FOMO, and you smoothly get them on board—not at $75,000, but at the $85,000 highs—promising a quick moonshot to $90,000+.
Once you’ve offloaded your long position onto these "hamsters," you flip the script: you open a huge short position and—voilà!—start dumping ETF shares in an avalanche. The market panics and plummets, while you rake in billions in profit from the short.

Yesterday, I secured an 8% profit, realizing there was a catalyst for a correction in the market. However, I didn't short because I wasn't at my terminal; I couldn't even post the news.

It is crucial for the bulls to close Friday above the $83,000 level. Otherwise, I’ll be putting on my "bear suit" again.

Wishing everyone profits💰💪

$POL today‼️
The token price corrected to just below 10 cents, right down to the psychological support level of $0.095.

I bought some tokens at this price. I anticipate the price could drop even lower, but I make it a point to add to my portfolio whenever the price dips below 10 cents. I’m already seeing a profit now, albeit a small one.

I’m not even sure if I need to mention this coin's potential.
The project has a long track record and powers one of the largest prediction markets.
Not financial advice.

Wishing everyone profits💰💪

Today's News‼️
⭕️ Total BTC ETF flow: +$118.8M (BlackRock);
⭕️ Total ETH ETF flow: -$201.9M (BlackRock);
⭕️ Total SOL ETF flow: -$3.8M (Grayscale);
⭕️ Total HYPE ETF flow: +$3.0M (Grayscale, Bitwise);
🔴 For $BTC, Tuesday has consistently been the worst-performing day over the last six months;
🔴 Net Bitcoin flow on exchanges, based on a 30-day moving average, remains deeply negative, indicating that more BTC has recently been leaving exchanges than entering them;
🔴 The US government continued transferring cryptocurrency: 834 $BTC and 40,285 $BNB. Of these, the 834 $BTC were deposited into Coinbase Prime;
🔴 BTC rose by 24.5%, 44.9%, and 92.3% in the 12 months following the US midterm elections in 2014, 2018, and 2022, respectively — CryptoQuant;
🔴 Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee stated at Token2049 that cryptocurrency is at the beginning of a supercycle and that the majority of assets managed in traditional finance will be tokenized over the next 10 years, BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Robinhood are building related infrastructure on Ethereum (ETH);
🔴 Sentiment: Cardano "whales" have awakened; ADA's market capitalization has risen by 42% since September 16;
🔴 The Winklevoss brothers have filed an application with the SEC to launch a spot ZEC ETF; the name reflects the asset's anonymity—"Winklevoss Zcash ETF";
🔴 The volume of deposits within the Robinhood app's lending market currently exceeds $1 billion, with USDG alone accounting for more than 50%;
🔴 The market capitalization of tokenized stocks has reached a new all-time high of $3.8 billion. Assets issued by Ondo lead the sector with a market cap of $1.0 billion, followed by xStocks ($929.7 million) and Binance bStocks ($886.1 million); together, they account for approximately 74% of the market;
🔴 The number of holders of stocks issued via Backpack on Solana has surpassed 300,000. Tokenized stocks can help blockchain-based businesses attract more users and reshape how the market values ​​their growth potential.

$BTC update‼️
The previous forecast yielded a profit of at least 20% if you incorporated it into your trading. I previously outlined the reasons for the correction.

The price dropped to a liquidity pocket around the $83,850 level and is now—following a wave of liquidations—testing the boundary of a resistance line near $84,380.

I am looking to open a long position with a stop-loss, taking into account the concentration of stop-loss orders below the $84,000 mark.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

$BTC update‼️
The previous forecast yielded a profit of at least 10% for those who used it in their trading. On my channel, I showcase the results of my daily 1–2 trades based on Bitcoin price movements, targeting a 10% profit. Proof is available in the channel feed. Controlling greed and fear equals trading discipline—a principle proven over years. Not financial advice.

Analyzing today's market situation, I observe a trend where major players are simultaneously holding and distributing Bitcoin within the $85,000–$87,000 range.
I have just opened a short position to test the idea of ​​a potential price correction, given the evident buyer weakness and the bulls' inability to hold the price above the implied 1-hour (1H) uptrend line.

My decision to short is based on the deteriorating geopolitical situation in the East—leading to high inflation risks—as well as indicators suggesting a short-term decline in purchasing power.

This data allows me to react quickly to market sentiment and execute long or short trades with a 10% take-profit target.

Wishing everyone profitable trades💰💪

Today's News‼️
🔴 Bitcoin has posted its largest quarterly gain since Trump's election victory;
🔴 Bitfinex: Approximately 867,000 BTC were purchased at a price of ~$84,000—the exact level where the price is currently trading. Above this level, about 75% of the supply is in profit. Below, the $77,000–$81,500 zone comes back into focus;
🔴 According to Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin exceeding $90,000 this month currently stands at 59%;
🔴 Open interest in futures and options has subsided. Demand for spot ETFs has cooled but remains high. On-chain activity is high. The sell-side pressure seen in futures last week has significantly decreased;
🔴 Chainalysis, citing its own data, reported a sharp rise in the number of wallets participating in P2P stablecoin trading in China, despite ongoing cryptocurrency restrictions;
🔴 Decrypt reports on DvP—an open-source program designed to enable banks to settle transactions on the Solana network with the level of certainty expected in traditional financial markets;
🔴 The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds has reached 5.7% for the first time since 2002; Many at the Bank of Japan are wary of an interest rate hike in October—monitoring.

#DataUpdate‼️
Some experts are highlighting the current disconnect between a calm US stock market—where the S&P 500 index is hovering near record highs—and mounting stress in other segments of the financial system.

The macroeconomic landscape reveals a sharp rise in bond market volatility and credit stress, even as traditional indicators of stock market panic remain extremely low. Institutional traders are actively shifting risk into fixed-income instruments and ETF options, disregarding the stock index as a gauge of actual economic conditions.

Central banks are grappling with persistent inflation that exceeds targets, depriving them of the ability to pursue the accommodative monetary policies used to counter financial shocks over the past decade.

The cryptocurrency sector is also showing mixed dynamics: Bitcoin maintains a positive outlook following historical mid-term election cycles, while Ethereum is experiencing localized spikes in network fees amidst cautious activity by large investors.

Wishing everyone profit💰💪