Peggy Newbern HomK

Prediction markets put CLARITY Act 2026 odds at 15%. Polymarket traders assign only a 15% chance the bill becomes law this year. The contract tracks passage by both chambers and a presidential signature by December 31. Trading volume exceeds $11 million. Kalshi shows higher odds for later timelines. It prices a 30% chance by mid-2027 and 50% by early 2028. House Financial Services Chairman French Hill highlights the bill in a recent hearing. A Senate cloture motion is set for September 15. The vote needs 60 votes to advance. Traders remain skeptical despite ongoing legislative efforts. Markets watch the next procedural step closely. $BTC $ARB $SUI #prediction #predictionmarketsputclarityact2026oddsat15%