Rex的投研手记

Structure Overview｜$JCT
1 hour +10.82%, 4h +0.41%, 24h +131.7%
A rise is good, but whether it can continue depends on whether volume can keep up.

#JCT

How is capital voting?
Binance to launch perpetual contracts for 4 stocks, including Bank of America and Interactive Brokers
Keep an eye on large deposits into exchanges—they often mean someone is preparing to sell. Short-term traders often rush in to take advantage of good news first; only afterward can we see the true demand. Do you think the market has fully priced it in?
$BNB Latest: 741.42.

#BNB

$TRUMP ｜Fell below the 1.8 level
Before looking at fund flows, first get clear on the key price levels.
One pattern is that resistance levels that are decisively broken often become support levels later on; support levels that are decisively broken downward often become resistance levels later on.
When prices repeatedly cross back and forth near a key level, stop-losses on both sides can easily be triggered. Until the direction becomes clear, it may be better to stay on the sidelines or trade less.
Reading indicators isn’t difficult; the hard part is sticking to your plan when emotions are at their most extreme.

#TRUMP

🔢 Today's lesson: Megadrop
Megadrop's first project is BounceBit (BB), a Bitcoin restaking chain.
Redeeming a fixed-term product early, before it matures, often means forfeiting the earnings accrued so far. Before subscribing, consider whether you'll need this BNB during the term.
Only invest what you can afford, and leave yourself a way out.
$BNB Subscribing to a fixed-term product is one way to earn Megadrop points. Currently: 742.57.

#BNB

🐋 $CTR 1-hour plunge of 7.06%, with 24h trading volume of $61.66 million.
Where money flows in quickly, it usually leaves just as quickly. Don’t chase the hottest wave.
The downtrend hasn’t stopped yet. If you want to buy the dip, spread your purchases out—don’t go all in at once.

#CTR

Here we go again—the headlines are stirring things up!
👉 Goldman Sachs: Hedge funds are cutting their tech holdings at the fastest pace since 2016, with semiconductors bearing the brunt of concentrated selling.
Not exactly encouraging news, though there are plenty of examples of stocks rebounding after falling on bad news.
Can $BTC hold up?

⏰ $SOL breaks below the 105 level!
Don’t get carried away just yet—understand the key price levels first 👇
Support and resistance are more like price zones than precise single-point levels, and it’s normal for prices to seesaw within these zones.
Reading indicators is easy; the hard part is sticking to your plan when the market gets especially volatile.

One of the hottest discussions on the Square right now: “Google updates crypto ad rules in the UAE,” associated with $BTC (-0.7%). What do you think the next hot topic will be?

#谷歌更新阿联酋加密广告规则

$ZEC ｜A ZEC whale holding over $15 million in assets bought a total of 3.69 million MASK over three days
Whether capital is flowing into major coins or spreading across smaller ones reveals the market’s appetite. Positive news is all well and good; the key is how much of it is already priced in.

Bottom line first: the news is just a catalyst; structure is what matters.
Stablecoin payment volume is up 45%—which layer of fee revenue are card networks competing for? - Link
$BTC currently at 82079.79, 4h +0.29%, 24h -0.52%.
Neutral news does little to change the trend; just stick with the original outlook.

📣 According to PANews: The Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) submitted a comment letter to the U.S. SEC on October 19, supporting its proposed 《Crypto Asset Regulatory Rules》 and offering five amendments: formally recognize qualifying airdrops in the rules, and clarify that claiming them and complying with the rules do not constitute consideration;
Overall, mildly positive. $BTC is currently at 82040.47.
The headline is just the starting point; the market’s reaction is the real answer. Is this news bullish or bearish?

#BTC

This pace is a bit fast—it’s already gotten to this point in the time it takes to take a sip of water!
$SIREN 5 minutes and it shot straight up +4.9%🆙🤩
Current price: 0.02262. Are the bears still alive?
Trading volume is starting to pick up. The sharper the rise, the more likely we are to see profit-taking. Do you think this rally is being driven by big money or retail traders?

📊 Trending #7: Jensen Huang and Elon Musk’s version of “Goodnight, Miss”
Related: Musk → $DOGE (-0.63%)
If it’s still trending the next day, then it’s worth spending more time looking into it.

📈 Just in: Analyst says Bitcoin’s rise could revive buying interest in crypto treasury companies, but a financing frenzy across the board is unlikely to return.
This news is encouraging, but don’t go all in! Overall, it’s a positive development—just remember that markets don’t always move according to the news.
$BTC Current price: 81585.74

That’s brutal!
$SOL had $994,000 worth of long positions liquidated! 💥
The bulls took a heavy hit, with the price hovering around 103.6324.
Futures trading is no joke—don’t go all in!
Sudden spikes and drops usually target areas where leveraged positions are clustered.

Here we go again—the news is heating up!
Blockchain Association: Comments on the implementation rules for the GENIUS Act, urging clarity on the boundaries of responsibility for stablecoin businesses
A bit bearish, but we’ll have a clearer picture in a day or two of whether the market has overreacted.
$BTC 81698.39, stay steady and keep leverage in check!

#BTC

I was killing time and came across “Man City could be deducted points and relegated” trending, so I took a quick look at $CHZ (24h +0.073%).
There’s a lot of money between a trending story and the price, so don’t equate the two. Spend enough time in this market and you’ll realize there’s also a layer of sentiment between the news and the price.

Daily self-check: What good habits can you share?
Before placing an order, glance at the error list.
$SOL reports 104.47 (24h +2.37%)

#SOL

Let’s break down this ecosystem news from a capital-flow perspective: $SOL
ZeroHash launches AUTH, enabling on-chain asset transfers without a wallet address.
After good news breaks, there are often two kinds of money in the market: fast money chasing the news, and tokens held by those who got in early and are waiting to exit. The market can sustain its momentum only when the former outnumber the latter.

🐳 Where’s the money going? $ETH falls below the 2,400 level
There are usually clusters of limit orders around price levels like this, and big players love to make their moves here: either push the price below the level to trigger stop-losses on long positions, then pull it back up, or break through and keep moving in the same direction. To tell which is happening, watch which way the large orders above and below the price are clustering.