The River Mid-Autumn Festival merch arrived. Thanks, Boss Liang! @Crypto_Luang
Kind of a funny mix-up: the first package got messed up, so Boss Liang sent me another one. I feel pretty bad about it.
I’ve been with River for quite a while. I just searched the keyword, and all the top articles were mine—now that’s true love. Here’s hoping I’ll come across another project with the same vision as @River4fun. @RiverdotInc
Just tried out the points tasks on @primus_labs. Formerly known as PADO, it raised $6.5 million in a round led by VanEck and was incubated by YZi Labs.
It does zkTLS privacy verification. You can use it to prove you have a certain account or asset without revealing the specific data.
You can farm points now, and there might be an airdrop. Just leave a little ETH on Base to pay for gas.
There are three main types of tasks: - Identity verification (link accounts like X, TikTok, Spotify, and GitHub) - Platform data (follower count, contribution history) - Agent-related (Polymarket, Hyperliquid, and others)
Install the official extension, choose a task, and complete the verification—it only takes a few minutes per task. New verifications are added every week, too.
Kaito is currently in its second season, with a separate prize pool for the Chinese-speaking community. The community lead plans to write something about it.
$PREDICT was listed on Binance pre-market futures today, at around 1.5U, implying an FDV of roughly $1.5 billion.
Based on the usual pace of Binance pre-market listings, it generally takes one to two weeks to move from pre-market trading to an official launch, so TGE will most likely be around early November.
At this price, there’s not much value in entering on the secondary market. Aspecta was valued at an $800 million FDV in pre-market trading, while Aster peaked above $5 billion and then settled at $1.7–2.2 billion. Now Binance has set this one at $1.5 billion, and market sentiment is clearly running hot.
On Polymarket, the odds of its opening FDV exceeding $800 million are decent, but the odds of it topping $1.5 billion are considerably lower.
There’s an expectation gap between the pre-market price and the official launch price. Too bad there wasn’t a lower entry point—otherwise, I could’ve taken a position on both sides.
As for $PREDICT itself, it’s really positioned more as “the leading prediction market within the Binance ecosystem.”
Its core advantage isn’t how innovative the product itself is, but Binance’s native access point and user traffic.
Do people in crypto have résumés? I’ve never had a regular job, so I’ve never actually put one together.
I highly recommend that anyone in Web3 looking for a job or collaboration fill out Lighthouse’s form.
Taking this opportunity, I’ve also organized my Web3 experience into a résumé.
I’m now open to all kinds of Web3 business development, BD, marketing, and community partnerships. Quality projects and brands are welcome to DM me anytime.
🧩The TermiX Kaito S1 rankings are out I ranked ninth in the CN region—not bad. Looks like the competition wasn’t too fierce. I’ll keep writing and aim for a good result in S3 too.
This time, I want to talk about an angle I haven’t covered before: What’s the biggest bottleneck for Agents doing business?
Most people would say it’s limited AI capabilities or high inference costs. But once you’ve actually run one, you’ll know the real issue is capital efficiency.
An Agent takes on a $50 job. The usual process is: deposit USDC → lock it in escrow → wait for delivery → approve → release the funds.
If it takes on dozens of jobs a day, most of its capital is stuck in various escrow contracts and unavailable for use.
TermiX’s AACP has a Vault Extension. An Agent can deposit funds into a persistent vault and draw from it directly when taking on a job, without making a separate deposit each time.
Once the job is settled, the funds automatically flow back, greatly improving capital utilization.
This design is especially important for an Agent economy with low-value, high-frequency transactions. That’s because the Agent economy isn’t built on a handful of big deals. The average task is worth $53, with hundreds or even thousands of transactions a day.
If every transaction has to go through the full deposit-lock-release process,
Gas and time costs will eat up most of the profit.
I also took a look at DefiLlama’s data recently. TermiX generated over $17K in protocol revenue on Base alone in the past 7 days. It ranked #24, ahead of many established DeFi projects. And on BNB Chain, its 7-day and 30-day revenue both rank first in the AI Agent sector.
No more pretending—I might be the first player in @predictdotfun S2 to get wiped out and come back three times.
I was comfortably in fourth place, but got an itch to play a few more rounds and get wiped out again.
I’ve used up all four chances, so I can only look forward to the next competition 😂
I saw Ah Huang @ricardogee write an article about common misconceptions around Predict.
Here are a few things I’d like to add.
First, capital efficiency. I took part in the Predict Prophet Challenge S2, using 100U of starting capital to trade five-minute BTC price moves. I got it up to 600U at one point. Each round lasts five minutes—that’s 12 rounds an hour, 288 a day—and the same money can be rolled over again and again.
So measuring prediction markets by TVL really doesn’t make sense. The money isn’t locked in the protocol; it’s constantly circulating at high speed.
The leaderboard’s second-place finisher, JJJJ, has made nearly $980,000 from sports markets, with $59 million in trading volume. Meanwhile, I’ve made 7,000U on Predict while racking up a million points—earning as I farm.
These are all real users making real trades.
Now, revenue: the protocol generates over $300,000 in fees a day. Since integrating with Binance—and especially after the World Cup wave ended—those users have mostly been real users.
The TGE should be coming soon. Events like Binance’s “Oracle” campaign are also building a pool of prediction-market users. Predict isn’t just a standalone prediction platform on BSC; Binance is also guiding users’ trading habits toward prediction markets. This is an important part of the ecosystem’s main battleground. Even after the airdrop, it won’t be over—they’ll keep promoting it.
Predict is primarily providing the underlying technical infrastructure here, embedding prediction into everyday trading scenarios.
Exercising every day really makes me happy. My body feels great, and all my aches and pains are gone.
I spend five days a week at cafés with beautiful views, chatting online, checking messages, writing articles, and studying—keeping up my Duolingo streak.
A good environment is so important. At home, I’d just lounge around and binge-watch shows.
The boss has failed again and lost money. The road to breaking even feels endless—whatever you do, don’t go all-in like me 🩸🩸
I followed a parlay on Bagel’s prediction market yesterday and lost big. It seems I always end up getting burned after a bunch of small wins. I can’t help thinking something’s a sure thing, then placing a big bet to make a small profit.
Following the experts above can work if you manage your position sizes properly, but you absolutely have to manage your risk. Ideally, stick with one person and follow every bet they make, keeping an eye on how much they wager relative to their total bankroll. I recommend following @worldtree526 and @chessxyz.
Bagel has now launched a Kaito campaign, so interested KOLs can also join the prize pool.
After writing so many posts about TermiX, here's a final summary Kaito Epoch 2 is almost over
━━━━━━━━━━
▎Starting point
Founded by MaxxLFG, a PhD graduate from Zhejiang University Built a protocol called AACP It tackles the challenge of how Agents can assign tasks to one another and interact while solving trust issues
▎Product
http://Agent.family — a marketplace for Agent jobs Register a service → get hired → complete tasks → settle on-chain An Evaluator arbitration mechanism handles disputes Fees: 1–3% (compared with 20% on traditional platforms)
▎Metrics
· 430K+ Agents registered · 370K+ Jobs completed · Over $19.6M in cumulative settlements · $62K in protocol revenue over 30 days · Ranked #1 in 7-day and 30-day revenue among AI Agent projects on BNB Chain · Ranked #24 in 7-day revenue on Base
▎Ecosystem
Native deployment across three chains: BNB Chain / Base / RH Chain SDKs: TypeScript / Python / Go
Selected as one of 9 teams out of 260+ for BNB Chain Set and Earn
▎Funding
$1M seed round from YZi Labs (Binance)
▎TGE
Expected around November Kaito prize pool: 0.30% of the total supply, fully unlocked at TGE Now we just have to see if the TGE can deliver a good price
Help me get some votes for my bro on Binance Square! It’s the Binance Top 100 Creators voting campaign. @wiseinvest513 is a highly motivated creator born in the 2000s. He puts a lot of effort and energy into creating content, and deserves to be seen by more people.
Let’s send him to Dubai to receive his award!
If you have a vote to spare, please support him. Search 🔍wiseinvest513 on Binance Square, visit his profile, and tap Vote. You can vote once a day, and votes in different categories don’t affect each other. Thanks, everyone!
Things are pretty lively on Twitter. When interests are at stake, only a few people can truly treat others with kindness. Recognizing this can make betrayal less of a surprise.
This Square campaign really broke through to a wider audience. Ying was so thoughtful this time—when he noticed I hadn’t made the nomination list, he even asked whether I’d submitted the wrong information. That was really considerate.
Honestly, Square is much more focused on crypto than Twitter.
Binance has 300 million users, so Square is naturally a huge pool of crypto traffic.
You can find real traders here, because the profit rankings and trade posts are based on live trading data and are hard to fake.
I joined Square on its very first day, and now I have over 30,000 followers. In the early days, there were a few content creation campaigns each month, each paying a few hundred dollars. Later, the Creator Task Hub helped support a whole group of KOLs, and content mining provided another way to earn ongoing commissions.
Binance spotlighting the top 100 creators is also a way to reward people who put real effort into creating content and building influence.
It’s a shame I’m too lazy to livestream, but Square livestreams really are a great way to build a loyal following—especially now that you can trade live together.
Compared with Twitter’s broad, less targeted traffic, Square is a better fit for people who want to grow through content and build a genuine trading community.
Regardless, it’s pretty generous of NeoSoul to compensate StandX users with $DNA .
I’m also a StandX user and took part in the interactions. I ranked in the hundreds, so it’s a shame there wasn’t a TGE.
I’ve also signed up on the NeoSoul Discord. Every little bit helps, so if you participated in StandX, remember to sign up!
I just saw that the official account, @NeoSoulAI, has added another 100,000 $DNA tokens to the airdrop.
Share your personal experience with StandX or on-chain activities and quote this post. They’ll pick 5 people based on their personal stories, then randomly draw 2 winners. Hope I get picked 🧑💼
Big things just keep coming today—@predictdotfun $predict is now on Aster @Aster_DEX. These expectations are a little scary. Let me work out how much I could get from the airdrop. The chart is by @moranweb3, based on a $4B valuation and calculated using different airdrop allocations.
Duck $microduck is taking off, but I've already cut my losses. I know any hype around Nvidia, Jensen Huang, or robots arriving could bring attention back, but it's been shaken out way too hard.
Binance’s Prediction Pro event is definitely going to be huge. I recommend everyone give it a try—the prize pool is enticing, and it’s free 🆓. It’s basically an official free prediction market. Binance is up to something 🤪
The rules are simple: complete tasks to earn points, then use them to make predictions. Get predictions right to rack up points, and share 1 million USDC among the leaderboard winners. If you run out of points, you can claim a daily top-up.
I’m competing on Predict right now, and this event is also powered by @predictdotfun ⬇️
Here’s my strategy:
1. Check in daily, post in the Square, and trade 50U to complete all the points tasks. That’s a steady way to build up points—play it safe and you can outperform most people.
1. The 5-minute BTC up-or-down market is the most exciting. People near the top are probably already using bot strategies. I’ve seen scores of over 100,000—scary! If you’re a beginner, don’t go all in right away. Start by testing the waters with a small number of points.
2. Sports markets are a good place to steadily earn points. Strong teams in competitions like the Champions League and NBA give you a solid basis for making predictions.
4. No worries if you lose—there’s a daily top-up of up to 100 points so you can keep playing.
The prize pool has three tiers: - Season leaderboard: 500,000 U (top 20,000) - Weekly: 100,000 U × 4 weeks (top 8,000) - Participation rewards: 100,000 U (shared among people who checked in for ≥5 days but didn’t make the leaderboard; max 5U per person)
Go to: Search “Prediction Pro” in the Binance app Event ends: November 16