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“Only a fool trips on what’s behind them.” — Iceberg Slim ◢ Founder, CEO, Asymmetric Financial & Asymmetric Information
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Worst in 100 years
The 10-year rolling return on US Treasuries is now -1%, below the lows of December 1959 and September 1981, the latter of which marked the start of the greatest bond bull market in history:
Worst in 100 years
The 10-year rolling return on US Treasuries is now -1%, below the lows of December 1959 and September 1981, the latter of which marked the start of the greatest bond bull market in history:
The 10-year rolling return on US Treasuries is now -1%, below the lows of December 1959 and September 1981, the latter of which marked the start of the greatest bond bull market in history:
IEFETF-0.06%
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Massive downside for oil
CTA downside convexity in oil is the definition of asymmetry.
Massive downside for oil
CTA downside convexity in oil is the definition of asymmetry.
CTA downside convexity in oil is the definition of asymmetry.
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Quite the perfect rounding bottom in $TLT on the daily and potentially setting up for sideways action for a monster cup and handle.
Quite the perfect rounding bottom in $TLT on the daily and potentially setting up for sideways action for a monster cup and handle.
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How to trade Brazil on the Monday open:
Short $NU and $EWZS (Brazil small caps)
Long $VALE (they earn in US Dollars so the 10% and service in Reals so the drop in the Real doesn’t impact them directly, it helps them)
Vols will be thru the roof so selling call spreads on any bounce is a better trade than buying puts outright.
Not financial advice.
Never take financial advice from anyone, anywhere at any time.
How to trade Brazil on the Monday open:
Short $NU and $EWZS (Brazil small caps)
Long $VALE (they earn in US Dollars so the 10% and service in Reals so the drop in the Real doesn’t impact them directly, it helps them)
Vols will be thru the roof so selling call spreads on any bounce is a better trade than buying puts outright.
Not financial advice.
Never take financial advice from anyone, anywhere at any time.
Short $NU and $EWZS (Brazil small caps)
Long $VALE (they earn in US Dollars so the 10% and service in Reals so the drop in the Real doesn’t impact them directly, it helps them)
Vols will be thru the roof so selling call spreads on any bounce is a better trade than buying puts outright.
Not financial advice.
Never take financial advice from anyone, anywhere at any time.
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Election cycles - just stay long after midterms it seems.
Election cycles - just stay long after midterms it seems.
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On the heels of the Brazilian election, $EWZ is down 17.84%.
If it opens down that much or worse Monday morning it will be the single largest gap down (or up) in $EWZ history.
On the heels of the Brazilian election, $EWZ is down 17.84%.
If it opens down that much or worse Monday morning it will be the single largest gap down (or up) in $EWZ history.
If it opens down that much or worse Monday morning it will be the single largest gap down (or up) in $EWZ history.
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The anti-data center propaganda is finally getting real.
The anti-data center propaganda is finally getting real.
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Pretty remarkable: British Columbia elects Conservative majority government for first time in nearly 100 years.
Pretty remarkable: British Columbia elects Conservative majority government for first time in nearly 100 years.
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If you are just now evaluating a software factory you are way the f*ck behind.
This should be your top priority.
At a minimum, every night run the Claude security plugin and @vercel’s deepsec on a dedicated machine with a dedicated user (not root) using the latest frontier model and also create a cascading “ladder” of models with the most advanced at the top of the ladder. This should be a launchd or cron task.
In addition, you need a realtime bot listening for / tracking all CVEs and it immediately provides patches and/or notifies you of a pull request for the patch and any operator actions (think DevOps). @grok @bot is the best at this because the CVEs propagate on X.
Then you can add, more nightly runners for performance, testing, documentation, feature drift, etc.
But security should be at an absolute minimum.
What are your best practices?
If you are just now evaluating a software factory you are way the f*ck behind.
This should be your top priority.
At a minimum, every night run the Claude security plugin and @vercel’s deepsec on a dedicated machine with a dedicated user (not root) using the latest frontier model and also create a cascading “ladder” of models with the most advanced at the top of the ladder. This should be a launchd or cron task.
In addition, you need a realtime bot listening for / tracking all CVEs and it immediately provides patches and/or notifies you of a pull request for the patch and any operator actions (think DevOps). @grok @bot is the best at this because the CVEs propagate on X.
Then you can add, more nightly runners for performance, testing, documentation, feature drift, etc.
But security should be at an absolute minimum.
What are your best practices?
This should be your top priority.
At a minimum, every night run the Claude security plugin and @vercel’s deepsec on a dedicated machine with a dedicated user (not root) using the latest frontier model and also create a cascading “ladder” of models with the most advanced at the top of the ladder. This should be a launchd or cron task.
In addition, you need a realtime bot listening for / tracking all CVEs and it immediately provides patches and/or notifies you of a pull request for the patch and any operator actions (think DevOps). @grok @bot is the best at this because the CVEs propagate on X.
Then you can add, more nightly runners for performance, testing, documentation, feature drift, etc.
But security should be at an absolute minimum.
What are your best practices?
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The Gamma Rotation Gap is still incredibly wide between $SPY and $TLT
The Gamma Rotation Gap is still incredibly wide between $SPY and $TLT
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Next week, expect some volatility.
39% of the S&P 500 reports Q3, with sector highs of Real Estate 59%, Telecom 57%, Consumer Discretionary 51%.
It runs straight into the Oct 28 FOMC, so the bulk of Q3 prints and the Fed land in the same week.
Next week, expect some volatility.
39% of the S&P 500 reports Q3, with sector highs of Real Estate 59%, Telecom 57%, Consumer Discretionary 51%.
It runs straight into the Oct 28 FOMC, so the bulk of Q3 prints and the Fed land in the same week.
39% of the S&P 500 reports Q3, with sector highs of Real Estate 59%, Telecom 57%, Consumer Discretionary 51%.
It runs straight into the Oct 28 FOMC, so the bulk of Q3 prints and the Fed land in the same week.
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"If you can't take losses, you don't deserve the gains."
-- Socrates, probably
"If you can't take losses, you don't deserve the gains."
-- Socrates, probably
-- Socrates, probably
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Short term bottoming indicator fired today.
VIX9D / VIX ratio
When the 9 day VIX to spot VIX ratio is greater than or equal to 1.05, it typically suggests very immediate term fear/hedging has peaked.
For the past several months this has been a great short term buying indicator, but maybe this time is different.
Short term bottoming indicator fired today.
VIX9D / VIX ratio
When the 9 day VIX to spot VIX ratio is greater than or equal to 1.05, it typically suggests very immediate term fear/hedging has peaked.
For the past several months this has been a great short term buying indicator, but maybe this time is different.
VIX9D / VIX ratio
When the 9 day VIX to spot VIX ratio is greater than or equal to 1.05, it typically suggests very immediate term fear/hedging has peaked.
For the past several months this has been a great short term buying indicator, but maybe this time is different.
28
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Do or Die for $SOXX
Price is now testing the 200 day moving average for the first time since June 2025
Do or Die for $SOXX
Price is now testing the 200 day moving average for the first time since June 2025
Price is now testing the 200 day moving average for the first time since June 2025
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South Korea’s KOSPI is the tail wagging the Nasdaq.
The KOSPI is only down 1.5% and overnight trading has semis, memory and the AI basket all up
South Korea’s KOSPI is the tail wagging the Nasdaq.
The KOSPI is only down 1.5% and overnight trading has semis, memory and the AI basket all up
The KOSPI is only down 1.5% and overnight trading has semis, memory and the AI basket all up
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Trending Topics
BitcoinSlipsBelow$80KAgain
1,161 views
29 Discussing
BTC Is Bleeding While the Whale W Move Out — Stacked Against a Corporate Bid
Seven days of downside, and it wasn't retail that drove.
The: BTC closed ~79,796 on Oct27, down ~2.6% over 7 days and ~5.2% over 30 days. Daily RSI(12) sits at 39.8. The week's range: high ~84,377 (Oct 22), low ~79,220 (Oct 24). No capitulation candle. No reclaim of 84K. Just grind.
The supply side is doing the talking. Dormant wallets moved 2,571 BTC (~$206.5M) toward institutional exchanges. That is supply arriving at the venue, not leaving it. Treasury appetite also cooled — Strategy redirected $204.9M into share buybacks instead of BTC.
The bid underneath is corporate, not speculative. Strive acquired 6,182 BTC (~$511.4M); public firms added 6,200+ BTC combined. That is a real floor argument near $79.7K — but it is a floor, not a breakout catalyst.
Momentum is not on the bulls' side. MACD histogram at −23.99, price under the 99 EMA. Upside is capped below ~$80.5K until that structure fl.
Positioning is mildly bullish, not euphoric. Square community poll: 2,116 bullish vs 1,714 bearish of 3,830 votes A limited sample — worth knowing, not worth trading on alone.
My read: this is distribution into a corporate bid. The floor is real; the momentum is not there. Watching whether the 79.2K–79.7K zone absorbs the exchange inflow is the whole story this week.
#BitcoinSlipsBelow$80KAgain
_Mr_Singh_
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