I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now it’s playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115K–116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K. I’m still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, I’ll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125K–128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasn’t changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Monday’s price action will give a clearer direction.
🔸 Weekly: BTC touched the long-term trendline again → clear rejection happened. 👉 Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
🔸 Daily: Price is inside the 110K–125K supply zone. Structure is weak. If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
📊 My Trade:
✅ First target 105K hit Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you guys I’m bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now it’s trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. I’m still bearish.
I’ve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If you’re still holding longs, I’d strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Don’t get trapped by hype like “Bitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.” That’s just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
For months, I kept saying $82K was the major resistance and that I needed to see a proper weekly close above it before changing my view.
Now BTC is trading around $84.5K and has reclaimed the $82K area. More importantly, price is above the weekly 50 EMA and 99 EMA.
So again, I’m not going to force the old bearish thesis.
$82K is now the level I’m watching most closely.
If BTC holds above $82K and continues to build above the breakout, then the next areas I’ll watch are $90K-$95K, followed by $100K.
But if this breakout fails and BTC loses $82K, especially the $78K-$79K weekly EMA zone, then I would expect a deeper retest toward $70K-$72K.
Below that, the bigger support remains around $54K-$60K.
The important part now is simple:
Above $82K = strength needs to prove itself.
Below $82K = breakout needs to be questioned.
I’m not chasing BTC here. After everything that happened, risk management matters more than being right.
Let BTC show us what it wants to do, then we react. $BTC
Crypto Skull Signal
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Bearish
🔥 BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS
Five months ago, I told you $82K was a major resistance.
Five months later, $BTC is still fighting the same level.
From $82K, we already saw a $20K+ downside move, and now price is back here again. The level is still doing its job.
My plan is still the same.
📍 $82K = major resistance 📍 Daily close above $82K = first warning 📍 Weekly close above $82K = real confirmation for me
Until BTC gives me that confirmation, I’m still holding my short.
My liquidation is around $86K, so I know the risk is real. At this point, it’s simple:
Liquidation or targets. One of them will come.
What makes this move interesting is the recent FOMC decision. The market had reasons to react lower, yet BTC pushed higher instead. That tells me there may be heavy short positioning above, and this move could be forcing those shorts out.
$TAO is now up around 80% from the setup. 👀🔥 The move is playing out, but the key now is to break and hold above the falling trendline. If TAO can turn that resistance into support, the next leg higher could get interesting. 📈
Crypto Skull Signal
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$TAO is sitting on a major weekly demand zone after a long correction. As long as this support holds, the bigger bullish structure remains intact, and a breakout above the descending trendline near $330 could trigger a strong recovery toward higher levels. 📈🚀
A weekly close below support, however, would invalidate this setup
⚠️ BITGET UPDATE: PROTECTION FUND VALUED AT OVER $464M
Following the hot wallet incident, Bitget estimates that approximately $351.6M was affected. The exchange says the loss falls within the coverage of its Protection Fund, and that customer account balances remain accurate and user assets are protected.
The fund holds BTC, so its USD value moves with the market. Bitget publishes its fund information and wallet details for on-chain checks: Protection Fund.
If you trade on Bitget, stay calm and follow its official updates. Withdrawals are temporarily paused while the security review continues. $BTC
ONDO has finally broken out of its long downtrend and is showing a clear shift in structure.
The key area to watch now is the $0.30–$0.36 zone. As long as ONDO holds above this area, the breakout structure remains bullish.
If price continues to hold above support and builds higher highs, the next major levels to watch are $0.60 → $0.78 → $1.00+, with $1.30 as a longer-term target.
A sustained move back below $0.30 would weaken the structure and put the breakout at risk.
For now, the long-term setup remains bullish as long as the breakout holds. 🔥
$ONDO 🚀
Crypto Skull Signal
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Bullish
$ONDO is sitting right on a major weekly support zone after a long downtrend. This area has acted as a strong base before, so it's an important level to watch.
The first hurdle is the descending trendline, followed by the 50 EMA and 99 EMA. If price can reclaim those levels and hold above them on the weekly timeframe, it would be a strong sign that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls.
As long as this support holds, the recovery setup remains valid. But if the weekly support breaks and price closes below it, expect more downside before any meaningful reversal. Patience is key here—the weekly close will matter much more than short-term moves.
$TST is looking bullish as long as price continues holding above both EMAs around $0.013–$0.014.
We’re seeing a strong base forming after a long correction. The key move now is a clean breakout above the $0.020 resistance and descending trendline. If TST breaks and holds above that area, I expect a higher bounce with upside opening toward $0.040, followed by $0.080+.
As long as the EMA support holds, I’m staying bullish on TST. 🚀
$0.013 = key support | $0.020 = breakout zone | $0.040 → $0.080 = upside targets
I’M REALLY SORRY TO EVERYONE WHO FOLLOWED MY BTC SHORT. 🙏
My BTC position got liquidated today. Completely washed out.
I’ve been in crypto for more than 8 years, and honestly, this liquidation hurts badly. I made a mistake, and I paid for it.
But I’m not someone who will sell my house, car, or everything I own to trade. I lost money, I’m upset, and I need some time to step back and think.
What hurts most is knowing how much study, work and effort went into this. It feels like everything went into the water today.
But I’ve also made serious money from Bitcoin shorts before.
I shorted from around $122K and kept warning about the downside. Below $100K, I was looking for the $98K–$99K area to add. Then when BTC returned to $82K, I warned again.
BTC eventually dumped more than $20K from $82K.
Overall, Bitcoin has fallen more than $60K from the highs.
This time, I got the trade wrong. I accept that.
For now, I’m taking a little break from trading and watching the market.
My levels from here:
📍 $80K–$79K: important area to watch 📍 Hold $79K–$80K → $90K–$92K / $95K possible 📍 Lose $79K → $75K 📍 Lose $75K → $70K 📍 $86K–$88K: major area I’ll be watching for rejection
These are my levels, not a signal to blindly long or short.
I’m disappointed, but I’m not finished.
I’ve made mistakes before. I’ve recovered before. I’ll rebuild slowly and do it properly this time.
And again, I’m truly sorry to everyone who followed my short and took a loss. ❤️
I’M REALLY SORRY TO EVERYONE WHO FOLLOWED MY BTC SHORT. 🙏
My BTC position got liquidated today. Completely washed out.
I’ve been in crypto for more than 8 years, and honestly, this liquidation hurts badly. I made a mistake, and I paid for it.
But I’m not someone who will sell my house, car, or everything I own to trade. I lost money, I’m upset, and I need some time to step back and think.
What hurts most is knowing how much study, work and effort went into this. It feels like everything went into the water today.
But I’ve also made serious money from Bitcoin shorts before.
I shorted from around $122K and kept warning about the downside. Below $100K, I was looking for the $98K–$99K area to add. Then when BTC returned to $82K, I warned again.
BTC eventually dumped more than $20K from $82K.
Overall, Bitcoin has fallen more than $60K from the highs.
This time, I got the trade wrong. I accept that.
For now, I’m taking a little break from trading and watching the market.
My levels from here:
📍 $80K–$79K: important area to watch 📍 Hold $79K–$80K → $90K–$92K / $95K possible 📍 Lose $79K → $75K 📍 Lose $75K → $70K 📍 $86K–$88K: major area I’ll be watching for rejection
These are my levels, not a signal to blindly long or short.
I’m disappointed, but I’m not finished.
I’ve made mistakes before. I’ve recovered before. I’ll rebuild slowly and do it properly this time.
And again, I’m truly sorry to everyone who followed my short and took a loss. ❤️