Ade_Krypt

$BTC Market Outlook

Bitcoin is steadily grinding higher and has now reached a key decision zone around 65k.

The last time price traded at this level, it was rejected and moved lower. I'm leaning toward a similar outcome unless $BTC can break and hold above the 65.2k–65.6k range.

A confirmed breakout above that resistance would invalidate the current bearish outlook, shift market structure to bullish, and likely trigger a wave of short liquidations. If that happens, BTC could rally toward the 67k–68k area over the coming days.

For now, I'm maintaining my short positions with clearly defined stop-loss levels above resistance. If price is rejected from this zone again, I expect increased volatility and a move toward 61.3k.

In short, Bitcoin is sitting at a major decision point. The next move will likely determine whether we see a drop to 61.3k or a breakout that pushes price into the 67k–68k mFVG zone.
#ChinaLaunchesBroadestTradeRetaliationOnUSFirms #ADPJulyPrivatePayrollsMissedExpectations

$BTC is still struggling around the $77.75k resistance zone.

At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.

Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.

Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.

If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.

For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.

#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed

$SNDK closed below the channel at the NASDAQ close, confirming a clear breakdown.

The move also pushed price below the 0.382 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe, with the candle closing beneath it as well.

There’s a significant gap sitting around $1,300, making that the key downside target from here if the breakdown continues.

For now, the structure remains bearish. I’d only turn bullish again if $SNDK reclaims and holds above $1,610.

Until then, rallies could face selling pressure.

Raymond James has raised its price target for Nvidia $NVDA to $352 from $330, while maintaining a Strong Buy rating.

The firm highlights Nvidia’s growing CPU business, which is expected to increase from roughly 3% of total revenue today to around 5% by 2028. While still a single-digit portion of Nvidia’s sales, the CPU segment is projected to become the company’s fastest-growing business, adding another major growth driver to the AI giant’s long-term outlook.

$BTC is getting very close.

Historically, a higher high above the previous 3-month candle has often confirmed a major reversal. These reversal moves can be explosive, frequently producing 70%+ gains and catching the market off guard.

We’ve also seen another strong reaction from the HTF support band that has historically marked major bear-market bottoms.

That’s why I pushed back on the lower targets. Not because they were impossible, but because losing that macro support would have changed the entire picture.

Instead, the support zone provided a clear area to take calculated macro risk with strong R:R.

And once again, it delivered a powerful reaction.

Now, we’re just one step away from the confirmation I’ve been waiting for.

Almost there.

#KOSPI200NightFuturesFall1.77% #ZECBreaksKeyResistanceUp75.5%

Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury just crossed a major psychological threshold.

$BTC reclaimed $77K, up roughly 20% in 48 hours, pushing Strategy’s 840,447 BTC holdings back above its average acquisition cost of around $75,385.

That puts the treasury roughly $450M in unrealized YTD profit.

But the bigger number I’m watching sits below the market.

Glassnode data shows 3.44M BTC has a realized cost basis between $58K and $67K, with 2.23M BTC accumulated over the past 11 weeks.

That represents about 11% of total supply and could provide strong support if the rally pulls back.

Strategy also sold 1,690 BTC earlier this month to fund a $108.6M preferred-stock repurchase.

With $BTC now above its treasury cost basis, the balance-sheet picture looks very different.

Could $75K become the new floor for Strategy and the broader Bitcoin market?

#BitcoinRises23.6%Weekly #AIHardwareStocksFallPreMarketAAOIDown11.66%

Bitcoin’s Real Test Is Here

$BTC is back near the $80K resistance zone after a strong recovery from recent lows.

While many traders are focused on price, the bigger signals to watch are:

• Trading volume
• Market liquidity
• Institutional demand

In my view, $80K is the key level separating a relief rally from a potential trend continuation.

A high-volume breakout could bring fresh buyers into the market. But rejection at this level could trigger more volatility before the next major move.

Candles show the move. Confirmation shows whether it can last.

NFA. DYOR.

#BitcoinOpenInterestFallsToTwoMonthLow #BitcoinRises23.6%Weekly

$BTC

My Current Market Thesis:

After the massive upside move that squeezed a large number of shorts, BTC is now forming a range.

On the downside, there’s plenty of liquidity to target, especially from late longs who entered during the pump.

However, before we see that downside move, I think there’s a strong possibility BTC sweeps the highs once again.

We’re already seeing shorts build up within this range, with many likely placing their SLs above the current high around $79.5K or near the poor high at $78.8K.

So overall, $BTC could still push higher, take out those short positions, and then reverse lower to hunt the liquidity sitting beneath the range.

The two major zones I’m watching for a potential retracement are:

• $70K–$71K — Imbalance / Single Prints
• $66K–$68K — Perfect retest zone / Major support

If you saw my previous post, I also shared my alpha on the timing and how I believe this setup could play out.

For now, this remains my HTF thesis for BTC.
#SP500FuturesFall #BrentDrops1.87%

$BTC is holding firm above the $77K zone despite short-term selling pressure.

Bitcoin is currently trading around $77,025, with a 24H range of $76,510–$78,831. The key question now is whether bulls can reclaim higher levels or if BTC enters another consolidation phase.

Key levels to watch:

• $76,500 → critical short-term support
• $78,800–$79,000 → immediate resistance
• A breakout above $79K could fuel fresh bullish momentum
• Losing $76.5K could open the door to a deeper pullback

Volume remains healthy, but bulls need stronger follow-through to push BTC into the next breakout zone.

The next move could determine the short-term trend.

Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
#USCanadaTradeTalksCollapseCanadaVowsRetaliation #SP500EndsWeeklyWinStreak

$BTC is showing strong momentum.

Price is hovering around $77K after a sharp breakout, with $79.5K standing as the key resistance from the 24H high.

A clean break and hold above $79.5K could open the door to $80K quickly.

That said, after such a strong move, a pullback toward $75K–$76K wouldn’t be surprising. The key question is whether buyers can defend the breakout zone.

Momentum remains bullish, but chasing the pump comes with risk.

Disclaimer: This is market analysis, not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#USDollarFallsToThreeMonthLow #TeslaHitsMonthlyHigh

Bitcoin has surged above $76,000 for the first time since May, adding nearly $14,000 in less than five days.

$BTC is now up more than 20% this week, marking its strongest weekly performance since February 2024.

The explosive move has also boosted Bitcoin’s market cap by approximately $280 BILLION.

Momentum is heating up fast. 🚀

#USJoblessClaimsFallTo206000 #WalmartFalls7%

$SPCX is down more than 6% as its second insider lockup expiration takes effect today, making up to 319M shares eligible for trading.

That’s roughly 7% of shares held by early investors and employees, adding a significant wave of potential supply to the market.
#USJoblessClaimsFallTo206000 #WalmartFalls7%

$BTC pushing back above $68K wasn’t driven by crypto alone.

The Treasury doubling long-duration bond buybacks helped revive risk appetite across markets, and that move was enough to wipe out more than $1.4B in BTC shorts.

But the flow data is what really stands out.

Spot $BTC ETFs have already seen roughly $951M in net inflows this August, including $189M in a single session this week. ETH ETFs added another $70M+. That looks more like institutional allocation than retail FOMO.

Still, the picture isn’t entirely bullish.

VanEck’s capitulation model currently has 8 of 12 indicators triggered, a setup that has historically been followed by weaker 3–6 month periods.

DeFi also quietly suffered a $13B drawdown in April, largely from yield strategies breaking under pressure rather than outright exploits.

So what wins from here?

The growing ETF and banking infrastructure supporting crypto, or the historical signals warning that a quieter stretch may be ahead?
#CFTCSeeksInputOnComputeDerivatives #EliLillyRises5.3%ToRecordHigh

$ETH may show its next major move more clearly against $BTC than against the dollar.

ETH/BTC has remained in a multiyear downtrend, so a simple bounce isn’t enough to confirm a genuine reversal.

A decisive breakout followed by higher lows, higher highs, and rising volume would signal real capital rotation rather than temporary ETH outperformance.

That matters because ETH has often acted as a bridge between Bitcoin dominance and broader altcoin risk.

If ETH/BTC reverses while liquidity and onchain activity strengthen, the setup becomes far more compelling.

Does ETH finally gain sustained relative strength against BTC, or is this another failed reversal?
#USStorageStocksExtendLosses #US30YearYieldHitsHighestSince2002

Bank of America views $NVDAB as one of the most attractive ways to gain exposure to the AI buildout, maintaining a $350 price target.

Nvidia is leveraging its massive free cash flow to secure key inputs across chips, land, power, and data-center capacity. With GPU rental rates holding firm and compute remaining scarce, the company continues strengthening its position.

As hyperscalers invest further in custom silicon, Nvidia’s infrastructure expansion could create another growth engine. BofA believes the market may be overstating the risks.
#BTCPerpFundingRateHits20MonthHigh #StrategySellsStockToRepurchasePreferred

$BTC

We flipped our longs into shorts right here. Can we make it three W’s in a row?

After that solid push higher finally gave the longs room to breathe and hit the main target, the longs are now closed except for a few runners. From here, the focus is entirely on the shorts.

The multi-day bias remains bearish in my view. Ever since $BTC tapped $66K and reversed, the higher-timeframe structure has continued to favor downside.

Add the weekly open, a green Monday, and the current boring consolidation. With price sitting near the upper end of the local range, I’m expecting another move lower.

Our internal long target at $64.4K has been cleared, so there’s no reason for me to keep looking for longs right now. The plan is simple: stay short and look for further downside through the rest of the week.

Local confirmation is building, absorption is appearing, and outside of potential spikes, I believe most of the upside move is already behind us.

Sentiment is another factor I’m watching closely. Everyone suddenly seems extremely confident that the bottom is in. Funny how quiet those voices were when BTC was trading below $60K.

Now let’s see if we can make them sweat again.

Action:

“Never trust anyone if there are no stakes shared.”

That remains one of my core principles. I share my actions throughout the day, so you already know where I stand:

Short III from the previous winstreak.
Short I from the current winstreak.
And the final long has now been rotated into a fresh short.

Leverage is displayed.

From here, we move from position mode into monitoring mode.

Let’s see how this plays out. See you on the other side.

#DollarHits3MonthLow #VIXFallsTo2026Low

U.S. investors have been pulling back from Bitcoin for three consecutive months, and the reasons extend far beyond crypto.

The Coinbase Premium has stayed negative for nearly three months, signaling weak U.S. demand for $BTC .

And honestly, it’s understandable.

The CLARITY Act continues to face delays, geopolitical tensions remain elevated, and inflation, while cooling, is still above the Fed’s 2% target.

That leaves investors uncertain about the Fed’s next move and where interest rates are headed.

With so many major uncertainties still unresolved, investors aren’t eager to take on additional risk.

Until the broader macro picture becomes clearer, I believe restoring strong U.S. demand for Bitcoin will remain challenging.

#ChinaJulyOutputRetailInvestmentAllMiss #CardanoSplitsDijkstraUpgradeIntoTwoPhases

$BTC is starting the week with a corrective move higher, but my plan remains unchanged: we’re still compressing, and my bias is still bearish.

Bitcoin is currently testing the $63.8K area, making the $64K region an interesting scalp-short POI.

We’ve now had two consecutive weekly inside bars, which continues to signal higher-timeframe compression.

That makes trades within this range slightly riskier, but there are still valid setups.

A rejection around $64K could offer a scalp short toward the equal lows at $62.3K.

If $BTC sweeps the $64.5K equal highs, I’d look for a short after confirmation, targeting the same $62.3K area.

If you took the hedge-long around $63K as mentioned last week, taking partial profits and moving the rest to breakeven makes sense.

The NY session should provide more clarity.
#ChinaJulyOutputRetailInvestmentAllMiss #SECCancelsCryptoRulemakingMeeting

$BTC short-term update 📉

Not much has changed over the past few days. Bitcoin is still trading on relatively low volume, which has resulted in slow and uneventful price action.

For now, we remain in a short-term neutral range between $62.5K and $65K. The next strong move should become clearer once either level breaks with conviction.

Historically, August and September tend to be weaker months for Bitcoin, so I’m still leaning bearish over the coming weeks, especially while price remains below major macro resistance.

The market may feel boring right now, but these quiet periods are often when staying focused matters most. The biggest opportunities usually come to those who remain patient when everyone else loses interest.
#BNBChainToActivatePasteurHardFork #USJulyRetailSalesFall0.6%

$BTC

Price broke down to $62.8K, hitting the OB and a major level for longs, and we’re seeing a strong rejection from there.

A lot of late shorts also got trapped around this area, so a move back toward the $64.5K–$65K OB is very possible.

That zone is also a key area to watch for potential shorts.

If BTC pushes through $65.4K and holds above it, the next target could be the $67K–$68K mFVG.

On the downside, the $62.2K EQLs remain untouched. That’s a major liquidity zone and could still get swept soon.

For the LTF, I’m leaning bullish, so a low-risk long from here makes sense.

However, on the HTF, I still expect $61.3K to be reached eventually.

My plan: take profit on longs around $64.5K, then watch for short setups from that zone.
#RedditToJoinSP500 #EthereumFoundationDropsPoseidonForL1