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Yesterday's $BTC profile put POC at 84,588.30 and value area from 84,482.70 to 84,862.87, with trade now at 85,160.80 above that range. Yesterday's $ETH profile put POC at 2,681.29 and value area from 2,675.29 to 2,684.63, with trade now at 2,698.90 above that range.
On $BTC options flow, call buys were $2.91M, put buys were $518K, and block trades made up 0.68 of the flow, with the largest buy a $4.00M call block at 70000 expiring 30OCT26. It is measured by recorded call and put buy premium, plus the block share and the largest block print. It shows where options premium concentrated, but it is a flow reading and not a directional signal.
At block height 969789, 1.94M $BTC was exposed, equal to 9.63% of all bitcoin by value on our own node. The Satoshi era P2PK watch set covered 34,124 coins, and no watch set coins moved; exposure is an output type property, not a timeline prediction.
$BNB posted the biggest OI build at 8.03% with 0.0073% funding and 2.4% price gain, which reads as fresh long positioning. OI stacking in $BNB , $DOGE at 3.19% with 0.0045% funding, LTC at 2.25% with 0.01% funding, BTC at 2.19% with 0.003% funding and SOL at 1.55% with 0.01% funding usually leaves the level to decide, while ADA at -3.3% and AVAX at -2.38% read as position unwind.
Jupiter Perps week 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-04, top trader per market by realized PnL: $SOL EX8A…GXqD realized $145K on $12.1M volume; $ETH 8eKN…X55M realized $23K on $5.7M volume; $BTC 5TdT…NLYU realized $36K on $10.3M volume.
Open interest from the custody accounts: $SOL $62.3M long / $13.1M short, $ETH $4.8M long / $1.3M short, $BTC $15.2M long / $7.9M short (79% long overall). 24h volume $53.8M, JLP pool $948.0M at 8.4% APR.
Hyperliquid top-300 whales: 45% of notional long across 289 accounts.
Weekly ranking by realized PnL; recorded, not a recommendation.
$BTC was recorded at 85220. The nearest liquidity sat at 85526 above and 84731 below, with a second cluster at 87812 above and 81948 below. The recorded path stays boxed between those levels for now. A move through 84731 would invalidate the near term read.
$BTC was recorded at 85220, with 85526 above and 84731 below. A break through 84731 would invalidate the near term read.
Recorded whale notional was $5.27B in the last 24h, with a 51.4% buy share and a two sided tape. $BTC had the most whale notional at $3.60B, and $ETH had the largest single print at $22.27M.
At $BTC , resting bids within 2% of mid total $163.6M versus $153.3M on asks, a 3.3% imbalance with bids heavier. The largest bid wall is $37.6M at $85,181.09, 0.05% below mid, and the largest ask wall is $38.1M at $85,266.31, 0.05% above mid. Compared with 24 hours earlier, 2% bid liquidity is lower and 2% ask liquidity is higher; this is a snapshot, not a prediction.
Recorded insurance funds across Binance, Bybit, OKX, Gate, MEXC, Bitfinex, Crypto.com, Delta Exchange, dYdX and Paradex total $7.75B, up +0.18% in 24 hours and +$14.1M, with OKX the largest at $3.09B. OKX moved the most in 24 hours at +0.35%, and the covered venues hold 15.15% of the perpetual open interest we track.
Nothing was recorded in the last 24 hours; 56 dated futures contracts expire in the next 7 days, with the nearest on Oct 5 at Bullish for 1 $BTC contract. Footnote: venues with expiries, 11; option contracts in the next 7 days, 3,323.
$BTC is up 0.53% to $85053 while the Coinbase Premium sits at -0.01% for a 29 day streak, so US bids are still behind the global price even as sentiment reads 65. That keeps the key positioning split on $BTC between Coinbase and global venues, with $BNB also showing leverage building as open interest rose 7.9% and price 3.1%. If the premium remains negative, that gap stays the main condition to watch.
Recorded $BTC call premium bought was $4.0M versus put premium bought at $484K. The biggest print was a buy of a $4.0M 70,000 call expiring Oct 30, 2026, and blocks were 59% of flow.
Since 2021, days in this very low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=397, base +0.2%, 5y of records). History, not a forecast.
$TRX printed the most extreme funding at negative 0.0395 with 24h OI down 1.35, so shorts are paying to hold. Deeply negative funding with $ADA at negative 0.0121 and OI down 2.27, plus $DOGE at negative 0.0039 with OI up 2.26, leaves a crowded short mix across the book.
Since 2019, days in this low band saw a median +0.4% BTC move over the next 7d (n=510, base +0.4%, 7y of records). History, not a forecast.
$BTC options flow showed $3.97M in call buys and $498K in put buys. The reading is measured by daily premium paid, with 60% of flow in blocks and the largest print a $4.00M call buy for 30OCT26 at 70000. That shows where premium concentrated, but options premium is a flow reading rather than a directional forecast.
$BTC recorded -0.013% today, meaning US buyers are bidding below the global price, for a 29 day same sign streak. The 7 day average is -0.034%, and the annualized quarterly carry is +4.74%.
Since 2017, days in this low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=661, base +0.5%, 9y of records). History, not a forecast.
The median USDT borrow APR across venues was 3.96%, with OKX cheapest at 3.5% and Binance dearest at 4.99%. Recorded best carry was $DOT on Binance at 10.24%, from 10.95% funding APR and 0.71% borrow APR.
Recorded $BTC hashrate is 880 EH/s, down -8.3% over 7 days, with difficulty at 132.72T. Recorded block fee is 2.0 sat/vB and miner revenue is 444.5 BTC.
Since 2017, days in this very high band saw a median +0.1% BTC move over the next 7d (n=624, base +0.5%, 8y of records). History, not a forecast.
Recorded $551K in liquidations, with 54% longs / 46% shorts and 77 contracts hit. $SOXL led at $87K, and the largest single print was $63K in $MU . Recorded liquidations were down 98% from $27.45M on Oct 2.