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Over 971K Wallets Hold at Least 1 $BTC — Only 4 Hold More Than 100,000 Bitcoin ownership remains extremely top-heavy at the very highest levels while the base of whole-coin holders continues to expand. Current distribution snapshot: > More than 971,000 wallets hold at least 1 BTC. > Only 4 wallets control more than 100,000 BTC each (these are typically large exchange cold storage or major custodial addresses). > Addresses with 10,000+ BTC number around 89–90. > The broader 1+ BTC cohort represents a meaningful and growing layer of holders. This contrast underscores two realities at once. A tiny number of the largest addresses still control a significant share of supply and can influence markets. At the same time, nearly a million wallets now sit at or above the full-coin threshold, creating a wider ownership base that is harder to shake out in a single move. Addresses do not equal unique individuals (exchanges, multi-wallets, and custodians inflate the counts), yet the gap between the extreme top and the expanding wholecoiner cohort remains striking. The network is still concentrated at the apex, but distribution further down the stack continues to broaden. Does the growth of the 1+ $BTC holder base make the market more resilient over time, or does the extreme concentration at the very top still dominate the risk profile? #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC Price Analysis# $SOL #Macro Insights#

On-chain data shows a clear divergence between the largest Bitcoin holders and retail. Key numbers: > Wallets holding 10,000+ $BTC have climbed to 90 — a six-month high (up 6 addresses, or about 7.1%, over the past eight weeks), according to Santiment.
> Larger cohorts (10–10,000 BTC range) have accumulated roughly $1.5 billion worth of BTC since late July.
> In some datasets, addresses above 10,000 BTC absorbed more than 46,000 BTC over a recent 60-day window — nearly double the prior March peak.
> Meanwhile, smaller “micro” wallets have been steadily shrinking as retail reduces exposure.

The catalysts behind the retail selling include the Coldcard hardware wallet exploit and ongoing delays around the Clarity Act, both of which have fueled fear and uncertainty. This is the classic transfer of coins from weaker, more reactive hands to stronger, longer-term holders. Historically, similar divergences have often preceded meaningful upside moves once the selling pressure from retail exhausts. The concentration among a small number of large wallets continues to increase while millions of smaller holders exit. Are you reading this as smart-money accumulation into fear, or do you still want more confirmation that the bottom is in?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Macro Insights#

CZ Says: Bitcoin Is a Deflationary Asset Binance founder Changpeng Zhao highlighted Bitcoin’s tightening supply dynamics in a recent post. Key points from CZ: > More than 20.07 million BTC have already been mined as of August 2026. > Only about 4.4% of the total 21 million supply remains to be issued. > He estimates that 10–20% of the existing coins are lost, stuck, or permanently unrecoverable. This combination means the effective circulating supply is meaningfully lower than the headline mined figure. With new issuance slowing after successive halvings and a non-trivial portion of coins effectively removed from circulation, Bitcoin’s available float continues to shrink over time. The numbers align with long-standing estimates from on-chain analysts who track dormant and inaccessible supply. As issuance approaches its terminal phase, the deflationary pressure becomes more pronounced. CZ’s framing reinforces the core scarcity narrative that has underpinned Bitcoin since inception. Does the combination of near-complete issuance and lost coins change how you view long-term supply dynamics, or is the impact already priced in? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Bullish

@Liberdus is built around a simple idea: decentralization should change who has the power to decide what happens next when one company runs the infrastructure, that company can become the point of failure, the gatekeeper and the final authority a decentralized network spreads that responsibility across independent participants if one node goes down, the whole system doesn't have to go with it if one operator wants to censor someone, they don't automatically control the entire network and if more people can participate in securing the infrastructure, control doesn't have to stay concentrated in a few hands that's why i find decentralization more interesting when it's applied beyond finance with Liberdus, the same principle is being applied to communication instead of putting messaging behind centralized servers, Liberdus uses a distributed validator network designed for resilience and censorship resistance, while messages are protected with end-to-end and quantum-resistant encryption so decentralization isn't just about removing a middleman it's about making sure one party doesn't get to become the middleman for everything. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Macro Insights# $BTC $SOL #Liberdus #Solana flip Ethereum?#

Bitcoin’s “Last Shakeout” Pattern Is Showing Up Again The long-term monthly chart highlights a recurring structure that has preceded major bull-market expansions. Historical sequence: > 2015: Final shakeout near the end of the multi-year triangle before the 2016–2017 bull run
> 2019–2020: Another shakeout at the bottom of the ascending structure before the 2020–2021 rally
> Current setup (2026): Price is testing the lower boundary of a similar multi-year ascending pattern, with the latest low marked as the potential “last shakeout”

In each prior case, the final dip flushed remaining leverage and weak hands before a sustained breakout to the upside. The current chart shows Bitcoin consolidating near the $64k area after a prolonged correction from the previous cycle high, sitting at a comparable technical location relative to the long-term trendline. While past performance is never a guarantee, the structural rhyme is clear: prolonged consolidation → final shakeout → expansion. The chart is asking the same question it has asked before at these levels. Are you treating this as the final washout before the next major leg higher, or do you still need more confirmation that the bottom is in?

#BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $ETH #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

There’s a bigger issue behind the growth of any DeFi ecosystem: liquidity can grow slower than the number of tokens. TON can keep adding new projects, new tokens and new DEXs, but that doesn't automatically create deep markets. You can have a token with plenty of attention and still have a poor trading experience if its liquidity is spread too thin. The chain usually looks like this: More projects → more tokens More tokens → more liquidity sources More liquidity sources → more fragmentation More fragmentation → higher price impact and weaker execution This is where aggregation starts to matter. STONfi built Omniston around this problem, connecting liquidity from multiple DEXs and professional market makers so a swap can be matched against more than one source. And this has already moved beyond simply finding another pool. Omniston can combine routes across different DEXs in a single swap. For example, one part of a trade can use STONfi liquidity while another uses DeDust or another connected venue, giving the trade access to a deeper liquidity surface. That matters more as TON gets bigger. The goal shouldn't just be having more tokens listed. It should be making the liquidity behind those tokens easier to access and more competitive to trade against. That's a much more important part of how TON DeFi scales. Explore STONfi:https://app.ston.fi/swap Read and explore more about STONfi here:blog.ston.fi/ #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Solana flip Ethereum?#

Strategy remains the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder with approximately 840,447 BTC, currently valued at around $53 billion. The company has sold several thousand $BTC in recent weeks to fund preferred dividends, build its USD reserve (now ~$4.65 billion), and repurchase its own securities. These sales have reduced holdings slightly from earlier peaks but still leave Strategy with roughly 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist. The bigger near-term question is index eligibility. MSCI has opened a new consultation on rules that would exclude “non-operating companies” from its major equity indexes. The proposed test looks at whether operating assets make up more than 50% of total assets and applies five financial ratios. Companies that fail four of the five ratios would be removed. Under current data, Strategy would fail the screen. Feedback is open until September 30, with any changes potentially taking effect in the November 2026 index review. An earlier crypto-specific exclusion proposal was shelved earlier this year. What an exclusion would actually do: > Passive funds tracking MSCI indexes would be forced to sell MSTR shares.
> JPMorgan previously estimated potential outflows of around $2.8 billion from MSCI alone (and higher if other providers follow).
> This would pressure the stock price, not directly force Strategy to sell Bitcoin.

There is no automatic mechanism that requires Strategy to liquidate its BTC holdings solely because of index exclusion. Any secondary selling pressure on Bitcoin would depend on how the company and the market react to a lower share price and tighter capital-markets access. The risk is real for the equity, but the Bitcoin treasury itself is not automatically on the chopping block. Do you see index exclusion as a material catalyst for broader $BTC selling pressure, or mainly a stock-specific event? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $XRP

$BTC Continues to Follow the Pattern — Next Leg Looks Clear The daily chart is printing a textbook sequence of lower highs and progressive breakdowns. Here’s the structure step by step: > After the May peak near $82k–$85k, each subsequent rally has failed at a lower high (marked by the red arrows).
> Green arrows highlight the prior support zones that produced temporary bounces.
> The ascending trendline that had been guiding price for weeks has now been broken.
> The most recent yellow circle captures the latest rejection in the mid-$64k area, confirming another lower high.
> Price is currently trading in the $62.8k–$63k zone.

The projected path on the chart points toward a continuation lower, with the next logical magnet sitting in the mid-to-low $50,000s (around the $55k area). This would represent a measured move consistent with the prior swing structure. This is the same step-by-step distribution pattern that has defined the downtrend this cycle: rally into resistance → rejection → lower high → breakdown. So far the market has respected it cleanly. The chart leaves little room for ambiguity on the direction of the next major move if this structure holds. Are you treating the mid-$50k zone as the high-probability target, or do you expect an even deeper flush before any meaningful bottom forms?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL

#Bitcoin Now More Likely to Hit $50K Before $100K Kalshi traders have flipped the odds: there is now a 59% chance Bitcoin reaches $50,000 before it hits $100,000. The market has seen a sharp recent move higher in the “$50k first” probability (up 8.2 points), with roughly $195,000 in volume on the contract. This reflects growing skepticism about a near-term return to six figures. With BTC currently trading in the low-to-mid $60,000s, the crowd is pricing a higher probability of a deeper correction before any sustained rally back toward previous cycle highs. Prediction markets have been consistently cautious on the $100K timeline throughout 2026. Does a 59% chance of $50k first change how you’re positioning, or do you still see $100K as the more likely next major milestone?

#BTC Price Analysis# $BTC #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

Prediction Markets Hit With Court Order and City Lawsuit on the Same Day. A Washington state court has ordered Kalshi to halt most of its prediction market offerings in the state. Around the same time, Baltimore filed a separate lawsuit naming both Kalshi and Polymarket. Washington Court Action King County Superior Court Judge John McHale issued a preliminary injunction requiring Kalshi to stop offering, accepting, or facilitating wagers on sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, tech, science, and certain “mentions” contracts for Washington residents. The company must implement IP and residency-based geofencing by August 19, followed by a more robust multi-source system by September 2. Some categories (commodities, climate, economics, and finance) can continue. Baltimore Lawsuit The City of Baltimore sued Kalshi and Polymarket, alleging they are operating unlicensed sports betting under the label of prediction markets and violating local consumer protection rules. The Kalshi case also names Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull as distribution partners that route order flow into the platforms through their apps. These simultaneous actions highlight the growing tension between federally regulated prediction markets and state/local gambling enforcement. Legal pressure is expanding beyond the venues themselves to the brokers and apps that facilitate access. Kalshi faces a Washington injunction limiting most of its markets, while Baltimore sues both Kalshi and Polymarket — and pulls in Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #Macro Insights#

Whale Opens $126M 40x $BTC Short on Hyperliquid A large trader on Hyperliquid is running one of the biggest active Bitcoin shorts on the platform. Position details (from the latest data): > Address: 0xff84dd…8f1d
> Side: Short
> Size: 2,000 BTC
> Notional value: ~$126.37 million
> Leverage: 40x (cross)
> Average entry: $63,581.50
> Current unrealized PnL: +$797,000
> Funding earned: +$140,000
> Liquidation price: $63,535

At the time of the snapshot, Bitcoin was trading around $63,183 — only about $350 above the liquidation level. A modest bounce would put the entire position at risk of being wiped out. This wallet has been actively scaling the short over recent days, previously adjusting size multiple times while managing close calls near liquidation. High leverage and a tight buffer leave very little room for error. Would you hold a position this large with that little distance to liquidation, or is this pure high-conviction risk-taking?

#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $HYPE #BTC Price Analysis#

Bitcoin Perps: Shorts Dominating as Open Interest Spikes CryptoQuant data shows a clear shift in trader behavior and leverage as Bitcoin trades near the low-$63,000 area. From the Trader Behavior Dominance chart: > Recent sessions have been marked by increasing short positions (red markers)
> Earlier in the month, long positions and short covering were more prominent during the push higher
> Long profit-taking and liquidations appeared as price rolled over from the mid-$64K zone

At the same time, aggregate open interest across all exchanges has climbed sharply, approaching multi-week highs near 375,000 BTC while price has drifted lower. Rising open interest on a declining or consolidating price often signals fresh leveraged positioning. The recent dominance of shorts suggests many traders are now leaning bearish after the failed attempts to hold above $64K–$65K. This combination — higher OI + short-heavy flow — typically increases the potential for sharp moves in either direction once a catalyst appears. Are you reading this as short buildup that could fuel a squeeze higher, or as confirmation of further downside pressure? #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

USDC Dominates Stablecoin Card Top-Ups in July 2026. USDC card top-ups surged 46% month-over-month to $218 million in July, more than doubling USDT’s $95 million and exceeding the combined volume of all other stablecoins. This comes as total stablecoin card top-up volume crossed $1 billion for the first time, reaching about $1.08 billion and marking a clear acceleration in real-world usage. Why USDC Is Winning Here Despite USDT’s much larger overall supply and dominance in trading and cross-border payments, card programs are increasingly defaulting to USDC for settlement. Circle’s stronger regulatory positioning, transparency standards, and deeper integration with consumer payment products (including Visa-linked cards) appear to be driving the preference. Data also shows USDC capturing a larger share of actual card spending volume in recent months, while the broader market continues to shift toward dollar-backed stablecoins for everyday transactions. Bottom line: USDC is cementing its role as the preferred stablecoin for consumer-facing payment cards, even as USDT remains the liquidity king elsewhere in crypto. USDC card top-ups hit $218M in July — more than double USDT and leading the category. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Macro Insights#

Telegram is getting closer to having a native non-custodial Gram Wallet. The interesting question isn't only what users will do with it. It's what builders will build around it. Once a self-custodial wallet is sitting inside Telegram, the gap between opening a chat and interacting with a DEX, trading product, launchpad or other onchain service becomes much smaller. We've already seen projects moving in this direction. WenLong, Gram Store and DTrade are building different types of Telegram-native crypto products, and each one gives a different idea of what this next wave could look like. That's what we'll be discussing on August 20 at 15:00 UTC. We'll look at: → what these teams are building → how users interact with their products → what builders expect from the Gram Wallet → where STONfi infrastructure fits into this growing ecosystem There will also be a live community poll, so the discussion won't be limited to the speakers. The community gets to weigh in too. And if you're interested in TON DeFi, Telegram Mini Apps, or simply where the next wave of users might come from, this is one worth following. 📅 August 20 — 15:00 UTC Join the live session and see what builders are preparing for the next stage of Telegram-native crypto. Read and explore more about STONfi here:blog.ston.fi/ #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $HYPE #TON ecosystem, here to discover the latest projects#

#TRON Closed Q2 With Record Stablecoin Activity Messari’s State of TRON Q2 2026 report shows the network continuing to dominate stablecoin settlement. Key figures: > Circulating USDT on TRON ended the quarter at $87.9 billion — the largest of any blockchain, ahead of Ethereum’s $78.7 billion
> Total stablecoin market cap on the network hit a record $89.2 billion (USDT made up 98.5%)
> The network processed $2.1 trillion in USDT transfers during the quarter
> Average daily USDT transfer volume rose 4.3% quarter-over-quarter to $22.8 billion

Network usage also reached new highs, with average daily transactions at 11.8 million and daily active addresses at 3.6 million. Fees rose 15.9% to $699.4 million, reversing prior declines. TRON remains the primary settlement rail for USDT, especially in high-volume, low-fee payment corridors. Does this level of stablecoin dominance make TRON more resilient in a prolonged risk-off environment, or is the activity still too concentrated in a single asset?

#BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights# $BTC $TRX

The Clarity Act Is on Life Support Prediction markets and analysts have sharply downgraded the odds of the Clarity Act becoming law in 2026. > February peak: around 82% chance of passage > Current reading: roughly 10–17% (Galaxy Research now at 10%; Polymarket has traded as low as 13%) Senate Majority Leader John Thune has queued a procedural vote for September 15 after the August recess. That is widely viewed as the last realistic window before midterm politics take over the calendar. The bill still needs 60 votes to clear a filibuster. Republicans hold the majority, so roughly seven Democratic senators must cross over. A group of seven Democrats has repeatedly said the current text falls short on ethics rules, consumer protections, and enforcement language. Negotiations on those points remain stalled. What started the year with broad “bipartisan support” messaging is now hanging by a thin legislative thread. Does this collapse in odds change how you’re positioning for the rest of 2026, or are you still expecting a late push? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH

@ston_fi 's position in TON DeFi is becoming harder to overlook. The latest public figures from STONfi show more than $3.7B in all-time swap volume and 5.3M+ swappers, while its press materials report more than $6.3B in trading volume across the broader STONfi and Omniston infrastructure. But raw volume doesn't tell the whole story. STONfi isn't only operating as a DEX where users come to swap tokens. Its infrastructure now reaches deeper into TON's liquidity layer through Omniston. Omniston pulls quotes from multiple liquidity sources, including TON DEXs and RFQ resolvers, then compares them to find a competitive route for the trade. That distinction matters. A swap executed through an app using Omniston doesn't necessarily mean the liquidity came from a STONfi pool. The order can access liquidity from other connected sources as well. So when looking at STONfi's role in TON DeFi, I'd look beyond the usual DEX rankings. The bigger story is the infrastructure sitting around the swaps: → a major TON DEX → liquidity aggregation across multiple sources → RFQ-based execution → SDKs and APIs for other TON products → cross-chain infrastructure expanding beyond TON TON DeFi is getting bigger, but fragmented liquidity becomes a bigger problem as the ecosystem grows. The ability to connect that liquidity and make it accessible through one execution layer could become just as important as the number of DEXs operating on the network. That's where STONfi and Omniston are becoming particularly interesting to watch. Explore STONfi:https://app.ston.fi/swap Read and explore more about STONfi here:blog.ston.fi/ #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Solana flip Ethereum?#

Perp DEXs Are Expanding Beyond Crypto Over the past 90 days, traditional assets have pushed deep into the top ranks of perpetual DEX trading volume, according to CryptoRank data. While $BTC and $ETH remain the two largest markets, several non-crypto contracts now sit among the highest-volume assets: > SPCX (SpaceX): $84.6 billion
> SKHX (SK Hynix): $31.1 billion
> CL (Crude Oil): $29.1 billion
> XAU (Gold): $28.5 billion
> SP500: $26.9 billion

These five markets alone generated more volume than many major crypto pairs. Non-crypto assets accounted for roughly 17% of volume among the top 10 contracts. Most of this activity is concentrated on Hyperliquid through its HIP-3 builder markets, which allow permissionless listing of equities, commodities, and indices with 24/7 leveraged trading. Perp DEXs are shifting from pure crypto venues into a broader universal trading layer for liquid traditional assets. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #Macro Insights#

Ondo Perps Lists HYPE for RWA-Backed Leveraged Trading Ondo Perps has listed Hyperliquid’s native token $HYPE as a perpetual futures market, expanding its RWA-backed derivatives platform. Key details: > Traders can go long or short HYPE with up to 10x leverage
> Trading is available 24/7
> Institutional-grade RWA collateral (Ondo’s tokenized equities) can be used as margin instead of only stablecoins
> Users keep the yield exposure from the tokenized assets while taking leveraged positions on the Hyperliquid ecosystem

This move lets traders gain exposure to one of the leading high-performance L1s without first converting their RWA holdings into cash. It also extends Ondo Perps beyond traditional stocks, commodities, and indices into crypto-native tokens. A practical bridge between tokenized real-world assets and on-chain perpetual markets. Do you see this as a meaningful source of new demand for $HYPE , or mainly a convenience feature for existing Ondo users? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC #HyperLiquid

Solana SIMD-0553: Higher Fees for Heavy Txs, Bigger SOL Burns SIMD-0553 would replace Solana’s flat 5,000-lamport base fee with a split structure: > 2,500-lamport inclusion fee paid to the leader > Resource fee based on requested compute units, burned 100% Resource-heavy transactions become more expensive. Efficient ones (votes, oracles) can get cheaper. Estimated daily SOL burn jumps from ~648 SOL to 7,500–9,000 SOL at the full rate. Supporters say it properly prices network resources and strengthens tokenomics. Some validators and users push back over higher costs for complex activity and potential yield impacts. The proposal is advancing through governance with mixed support. Do you think the extra burn is worth the higher fees on heavy transactions? #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $SOL #Solana flip Ethereum?#