#BreakingNews 🇧🇷With Flávio Bolsonaro unexpectedly taking the lead in Brazil’s election, around $100 billion was added to the Brazilian stock market in the 90 minutes after markets opened.
📊 Markets see him as more business-friendly than Lula.
🌐Global markets started the week with a mixed outlook
💵With the likelihood of the Fed keeping its policy rate unchanged this month exceeding 80%, the odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike in December are priced at 95%
📊Investors are turning to riskier assets, expecting the bank to pause its hawkish moves this month
🛢Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to keep markets uneasy
₿ BITCOIN 📈 Bitcoin started the new week with a strong look above the $86,000 level. The increase over the past week is around 3.4%. 💰 In the U.S., institutional capital flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are among the key topics for markets. ⚠️ However, rising Treasury yields, oil prices, and a slowdown in ETF inflows are among the headlines that could pose risks for Bitcoin.
🔵 ETHEREUM ⚡ Ethereum is trading around the $2,700 level. The broader market recovery is also supporting ETH.
📊 ALTCOINS 🔥 Flows continued into Solana ETFs last week, but they slowed significantly compared to previous weeks. 👀 XRP, SOL, and other major altcoins are being closely watched for Bitcoin’s direction and market liquidity.
🏦 CORPORATE FRONT 📈 Expectations for the next 12 months for Bitcoin and Ethereum have been revised upward. In the market, ETF flows, institutional interest, and macroeconomic developments are coming to the forefront.
⚠️ WHAT TO FOLLOW IN CRYPTO THIS WEEK ₿ Bitcoin $86,000 $ zone 🔵 Ethereum $2,700 $ zone 🏦 ETF money inflows-outflows 🏛️ Fed rate expectations 🛢️ Oil prices 🌍 Geopolitical developments 💵 Dollar and Treasury yields
🔥 A new week has begun in crypto… Volatility is high, all eyes on Bitcoin!
📈 BIST 100 closed last week at the 12,270 point level. The weekly decline was approximately 4.88%. 👀 In the new week, global markets, interest rate expectations, geopolitical developments, and company news will be in investors’ focus. ⚠️ In Borsa Istanbul, some measures applied to certain stocks today are set to end.
🇪🇺 EUROPEAN STOCK MARKETS
📊 European markets finished the last trading day of the week mostly higher. 🇩🇪 DAX: 25,231 🇫🇷 CAC 40: 7,897 🇬🇧 FTSE 100: 10,462 🇮🇹 FTSE MIB: 50,483 📈 Investors in Europe are keeping an eye on energy prices, inflation, interest rate expectations, and geopolitical developments.
🌍 MARKETS WATCHING IN THE NEW WEEK
💵 US data 🏦 Central banks 🛢️ Oil prices 📈 Europe and Borsa Istanbul 🌍 Geopolitical developments
🔥 The new week has started… A busy week awaits us in the markets.
🔴 The Parliament begins working again in the new legislative term with an intense agenda. 🔴 Economy, social supports, and the “Terror-Free Türkiye” agenda items are on the agenda. 🔴 Developments in Mersin are being closely followed. 🔴 Europe’s new regulations in the automotive sector are important for Türkiye.
🇪🇺 EUROPE AGENDA
🌍 Political and economic developments in Europe are being followed. 🔥 Weather conditions in the region and fires are on the agenda.
⚽ SPORTS AGENDA
🇹🇷 The excitement of Turkey’s matches continues today as well. 🏀 Important matches will be played in the basketball league.
🌦️ WEATHER
🌧️ Heavy showers are expected in some parts of Türkiye. ⚠️ Care should be taken in areas where locally heavy rainfall may occur. 🌡️ While temperatures vary by region, on the first day of the week, rainy weather will be effective in places.
🖤 A quick start to the week with the agenda, sports, and the weather...
🟠 Activity in Bitcoin ETFs in October! In the first days of October, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded total net inflows of $134.4 million. 📈
🚀 3X leveraged products for Bitcoin and Ethereum on the agenda! The way has been cleared for the listing of 3x leveraged Bitcoin and Ethereum products in the U.S. 🔥
📈 A new target for Bitcoin! The 12-month Bitcoin price target has been raised to the $113,000 level. The target for Ethereum was announced as $3,028.
⚠️ Binance under the spotlight in Europe! Binance’s operations and licensing practices in Europe are on regulators’ radar.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Tensions on the US–Iran line are back on markets’ radar. Trump said today that a decision is being made regarding Iran. Iran, meanwhile, stated that additional points to the US’s proposal will be communicated and especially that the security of the Strait of Hormuz is important. This headline is critical for oil, gold, and risky assets.
🇹🇷 Earthquake agenda in Turkey: In Adana Saimbeyli, earthquakes of 4.8 and 4.9 occurred, followed by one in Osmaniye Sumbas with a magnitude of 5.2.
🔥 BIST 100: The index closed last week down 4.88% at 12,270.18 points. That’s why the opening of the new week will be important.
₿ Bitcoin: Around $85,219 in the evening hours, with a daily change of 0.44%. Ethereum is about $2,697, while Solana is at $121.5.
🌍 In global markets, risk appetite and rate expectations are being tracked following US employment data. Next week, especially, expectations for the Fed, the dollar, Treasury yields, and US–Iran developments could be decisive for the direction of markets.
🚨 Global food prices reached their highest level in 4 years.
📈 The UN’s food price index jumped to 136 points in September, the highest level since November 2022.
📈 While sugar prices rose for the 3rd consecutive month by 6.1%, grain prices surged by 5.1% as disruptions in the Black Sea and the Strait of Hormuz restricted supply.
📊 If this continues, economies dependent on imported food and energy will be in real danger.
🇺🇸 Trump said he is "in the decision-making phase" regarding Iran
U.S. President Donald Trump said he is in the decision-making phase regarding Iran and said, "Now is the time to decide on Iran. The only question is this: Will we handle this process the easy way or the hard way?"
📅 OCTOBER 5, MONDAY 🇺🇸 US Services PMI 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI 🪙 ENA token unlock
📅 OCTOBER 6, TUESDAY 🇺🇸 US Trade Balance 📊 Important for the dollar and risk appetite.
📅 OCTOBER 7, WEDNESDAY 🇺🇸 FED MEETING MINUTES 🏦 📌 The Fed's interest rate policy and messages about the upcoming period may trigger volatility in BTC and altcoins.
📅 OCTOBER 8, THURSDAY 🇺🇸 Weekly Unemployment Claims
📅 OCTOBER 9, FRIDAY 🇺🇸 Michigan Consumer Confidence 📌 Inflation expectations and the consumer outlook will be watched.
🔥 THE 3 MAIN HEADLINES OF THE WEEK FOR CRYPTO 1️⃣ 🇺🇸 Fed Minutes 2️⃣ 📊 US Services PMI / ISM 3️⃣ 🪙 ENA Token Unlock
₿ BTC • ETH • ALTCOINS 🌍 The dollar, bond yields, and Fed messages will be critical for determining the week's direction.
₿ Bitcoin is trading above the 85,000-dollar level. The market is still searching for direction. 📈
♦️ Ethereum is trading in the 2,700-dollar range. Activity continues on the ETH side as well.
🏦 In Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana ETFs, significant outflows were seen on the last trading day of September.
🇺🇸 Crypto products are on the agenda in the US: developments regarding the launch of leveraged products for Bitcoin and Ethereum are being followed. ⚠️
💰 Citigroup has announced a 12-month price target of $113,000 for Bitcoin and $3,028 for Ethereum.
🔥 TODAY’S FOCUS ₿ BTC — 85,000 $ level ♦️ ETH — 2,700 $ range 🏦 ETF fund flows in and out 🇺🇸 US crypto regulations 🌍 Global risk appetite
🔴 Trump said he is at a decision point regarding Iran. He stated that he has presented Iran with the options of “easy way or hard way.”
🚢 Tensions are ongoing in the Strait of Hormuz. While the security risk remains for commercial vessels, energy transportation is being closely monitored.
🛢️ Iraq managed to ship about 2 million barrels of crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz. The strait has not been completely closed, but the risk is high.
⚠️ Iran is signaling that it could respond more harshly if the U.S. carries out a new attack.
📊 Key headlines for markets: 🛢️ Oil ⬆️ If tensions increase, there is a risk of upside 🥇 Gold ⬆️ Demand for safe-haven assets 💵 Dollar ↔️ Sensitive to geopolitical developments
🚨 Summary: Tensions are high in the Strait of Hormuz. The move Trump makes and Iran’s response will be one of the most important topics on today’s market agenda. 🌍🔥 #Oil #Dollar #GeopoliticalRisk #BreakingNews