In three months we will form the fund and finally we will ride a new bullish cycle. See the red line of the possible fractal that we will make in 2026!
The year 2025 is coming to an end, it was one of the worst years for the crypto market defying all expectations of extreme greed, so we will follow the following strategy.
🔴FIRST SEMESTER: 📈Trades: we have been making purchases during this downturn and will carry out trades during the upswings until June (after that, it will depend on the tax rules).
📉 Investments (long-term): Since we are likely to start the year with more declines and a bear market, we will focus on accumulating stronger cryptocurrencies from the top 25. The other altcoins we will keep what we have already purchased, but at most 25% of the portfolio.
🟢SECOND SEMESTER: Depending on the new tax rules, we will suspend short-term trades and only maintain holds (long-term investments).
Futures have been impractical to operate for several years, for those who like to stay within the law, so our strategy will be to focus only on purchases in the second semester of 2026 onwards, until there is a change in laws or realization of significant future profits, whether in Brazil or in other more attractive countries.
Thus, there is enough time to take that English/other language course and focus on saving unnecessary expenses to prioritize purchases. Eliminating debts and fixed bills will also be my goal to accumulate more Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, AvAx, Tron, Link, Sui, CRO, LTC, Near, as examples, but obviously, we will re-study these and other projects over the following months.
ARBITRUM WANTS TO BOOST USDG WITH 100 MILLION ARB: OPPORTUNITY OR WARNING FOR INVESTORS
The crypto market is entering an increasingly important contest: having a fast, low-cost blockchain is no longer enough. Networks need to attract liquidity, users, and applications capable of generating real economic activity. And Arbitrum is betting on that approach. 💰 What’s happening? ArbitrumDAO has opened a discussion on a strategy to allocate an additional 100 million ARB in incentives to grow USDG, a stablecoin issued by Paxos. The initiative also includes measures to support liquidity, attract protocols, and strengthen the stablecoin’s presence in the ecosystem.
ALTCOINS: IS IT ALMOST TIME TO ACCUMULATE AMID THE PAIN?
What if the most important time to accumulate altcoins is precisely when nobody wants anything to do with them anymore? The crypto market has a cruel characteristic: when everything is going up, everyone wants to buy. When prices plunge, sentiment shifts. Euphoria fades, investors lose patience, and many abandon their positions right after major drops. This is the kind of situation we need to start paying attention to. 📊 WHAT IS THE ALTCOIN SEASON INDEX TELLING US?
Despite the criticism, $TRX is forming a bull flag and is nowhere near losing the uptrend line at 0.2. A pullback to 0.12 is healthy in the Fibonacci retracement. It can easily do 10x in the bull cycle.
Google Trends: Lack of interest in Bitcoin precedes the best entry points and future rallies
If you look at the Google Trends chart today, you’ll see a scenario that alarms the less attentive: search interest in “Bitcoin” is at one of its lowest levels in the past five years. Many people interpret this as “Bitcoin is dead” or “liquidity has dried up.” But anyone who has lived through a few cycles knows the story is different. The silence in search activity is often the sound of smart money positioning itself. 📊 History repeats itself: Low search interest = Accumulation Observe the chart’s behavior. In 2023, when BTC was still in the $20,000 range.
M2 Global YoY at 7.7%: is there still room to rise?
M2 Global is on an uptrend within a parallel channel. Right now, we are again close to the top of this channel. Historically, when the M2 Global hits this region, we have two paths: 🔴 Reversal: the M2 loses strength and falls, along with periods of contraction/tighter liquidity. Liquidity is drained from the market, and risk assets like Bitcoin suffer and drop significantly. Investors move into safe passive income. 🟢 Continuation: the M2 follows or breaks the channel for longer, which may mark a prolonged period of liquidity expansion and a bull market.
Historic liquidation move, there’s still more up to 100k and 120k. But first we could see a bounce below 60k. The fight between bulls and bears is big right now, and we little fish will take advantage of the leftovers.