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Gold 4480 arrives as scheduled
Trading view from 4650 onward

The big target 77400–76800 is also in place
But it initially spikes up to 81500 and then pulls back—here we first look for a rebound

A break of the channel doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a real break!
$BTC
$XAU

This plan has a lot of value!

The “big pie” $BTC dropped back to 77600 and then rose to 81500.

Gold $XAU also moved from 4650 to 4560.

Today’s “big pie” showed a signal that the rally might be weak—after pushing higher it pulled back—but we still go low to buy.

Watch what the host says tonight (Vosh’s speech); the macro information will be more important.

Gold is adjusting at a high level; in the short term, the one-way uptrend should be over.

It’s also getting close to the recent high we saw around 4770–4840.

So the long-term long plan will be paused for now—let’s wait for the pullback.

The road is long, but if the direction is right, you won’t be afraid!

Tonight, Wosh will speak
Go long or go short?
$BTC $XAU

Brothers, have you taken profit on your short order for $XAU ?

The clearest way to recall $XAU

Short selling: see two levels at 4540–4480

Let’s talk about the trading plan:
Mainly it’s intraday—the trend is pretty obvious.
That earlier surge came out of nowhere; both the bears and the bulls were caught off guard.
Since July, we’ve been reminding everyone that 57K is the bottom—we’ve kept repeating the idea of favoring longs and buying on dips.
The main direction being bullish is correct; it shouldn’t cause my brothers and sisters who follow me to make a big mistake.

Right now, the short-term market is consolidating at high levels after a rapid surge. This kind of consolidation doesn’t suggest trying to “top-tick.”
If you really want to bet on the downside, then try to go short after each rapid new high—but this also depends on timing.
There are several situations where you can test and make mistakes, but this kind of left-side trading has pros and cons. (No further elaboration.)

Today, my BTC plan is to go long on a pullback around 774–768.

Gold shows an hourly-level reversal. In the near term, shorts are still the main focus; breaking to new highs is the stop-loss.

On the macro side, conditions are currently favorable. There’s no major negative news for now. The short-term negative is providing an opportunity for a pullback—it’s not a “top reversal” opportunity.
The only potential downside risk this week is the Fed Chair Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference for the first time, on Friday.

For the swing trade: if it pulls back to 73K–72K, that would be another chance to get back in on BTC.

[The above is only my personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice]
$BTC $XAU

Jump like a pro:
In this round, the high point of $BTC should reach 95-97K
Along the way, 72-73K is a pullback low point

The start or turning point of the next market move this week lies in the Fed Chair’s speech at Jackson Hole:
The focus is not on whether he emphasizes a dovish or hawkish stance,
but on whether, within the meeting, the Fed might change its inflation strategy to help the government with fiscal needs.
If they would, then it’s a bullish sign and a new restart point.
If they wouldn’t, then the market will see a turning and a pullback.
$BTC
$XAU

It’s still the early stage of an uptrend, because many bearish market short-selling mindsets haven’t flipped yet.
There’s always an idea of timing the top to short.
But will the market give you that opportunity?
$BTC

A recap of the market rally over the past two days (the key is the last sentence):
If you attribute this “bull is coming” surge to the U.S. government stepping in to intervene and drive down long-term Treasury yields—improving long-end liquidity and lowering financing costs—then next week you should focus on the speeches at the Jackson Hole (the annual global central bank conference) and on statements by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. These will重新 determine how the market prices inflation, interest rates, and fiscal intervention.
This also directly affects whether the move continues higher, or whether it “shakes out the shorts” before turning into further long positions.

After the market surged rapidly this afternoon, it showed the first instance of high-level turnover during the recent two-day upswing. It’s expected that we should take advantage of the weekend to adjust at these high levels and wait for signals next week.

If you can’t understand the fundamental signals next week, then just watch the U.S. dollar. Even though this rally is meant to intervene in long-term Treasuries, the dollar falling is a direct negative-correlation reaction. If next week’s signals feed through into a stronger dollar, then BTC and gold are likely to pull back. Conversely, if Warsh continues to support or accommodate the Treasury’s intervention, then BTC and gold should keep rising.

Technically, the current uptrend is already on the 4-hour timeframe. So the safest approach over the weekend is to look for a safe pullback level to go long, then hold and wait for next week’s signals. But both BTC and gold have already swept liquidity at the daily timeframe’s high zone. For BTC, be strict about whether it can hold above 78K. For gold, watch whether the daily candle closes with its body above 4600.
For the safest retracement entry zones, look at 73K–74K to go long. For gold, watch the two support levels at 4480 and 4380.

Summary: The main direction we repeatedly reminded you about earlier—buying the dips—has delivered a violent rally and paid off. Going forward, there’s no need to shift the focus to new longs at the same center of gravity. Instead, pay attention to when the up move ends, or wait for an opportunity where there is a stronger support to extend the rally.
$BTC

U.S. debt surpasses $40 trillion

Just in interest alone, it’s $1.2 trillion!

$BTC Do you see this and really want to short?
But you have to hold it in!
This is just a high-level position switch!
The signal to short needs to wait
(If you peel the skin back, just pretend I didn’t say it)

$BTC

Good market conditions arrived early in August.
But the directional reminder is correct: the main focus is on low buying—looking good for BTC and gold.
This is thanks to a sudden boost from Trump and the U.S. Treasury yesterday.
It surged by 6,000 points in one move, breaking 70,000 directly.

Now we’ve come up to the 71–73K threshold.
After that, as long as it holds steady in the 67–72K range, we’ll continue pushing toward the third-stage peak.

The market is picking up!

Brothers, I'm back!

Morning, brothers
$SPCX earnings report exceeded expectations
Just hit the set 130 take-profit

On the 6th there will be a large amount of unlocks—watch the sell pressure!

Regarding the Iran-Iraq negotiations, right now besides Qatar, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, and some unknown third-party media that reported it,
there are still two crucial figures who haven’t spoken: Iran and Trump
Can Iran pretend to deny it just a little
so my short positions can all come out tonight
Tomorrow I’m also driving myself—I want to drive in peace
If it really doesn’t work
then I’ll have to close out and take a rest

spcx went from 109 to 120, that’s enough
and the financial report doesn’t matter much either
The big bet and gold shorts are still the main direction
but the entry price is still a bit too early and uncomfortable
I might reduce my position first, then feel at ease holding and waiting for the rebound to end
$SPCX
$XAU
$BTC

$XAU brothers, after this you can enter my gold's empty position
Unexpected rebound at 4107—add a bit there

BTC's 63900 is also a good spot

Does your finance minister’s words work?

Talking nonsense here

If you had something to say, why didn’t you say it earlier?
If what you said doesn’t work, don’t say it
CNM

My crude oil short position opened at 81 didn’t move for more than half an hour
After I had been shorted for over half an hour, it started accelerating into a sell-off
Right after that, you came out and started talking

You already set up your short position
Right?
$CL