律动BlockBeats

Source: (Meanders in the Sky of Mayflies) podcast program
TL;DR:
Casual chat in Bhutan: CZ said he’s no longer the busiest, but he still replies whenever he sees the messages. No matter the progress—only keep the ones who push themselves forward. In his head, he only keeps a handful of things he needs to do.
If we were to rebuild the global trading platform: from day one, we wouldn’t touch U.S. users. Contracts and financial products would arrive earlier and be more complete, and some regions would be shielded as well. (Binance’s life) What the book can’t fully convey is the mood at the time.
The two most pressure-filled chapters: the opening crash of IC0, and the more than ten months stuck in the U.S.—what truly weighed on everything was uncertainty.

BlockBeats news. On August 30, today a suspected address associated with crypto KOL @XXAntiWar chased the rally and bought 17.56 million “NiuLai” when the market cap was about $86 million. A few hours later, Binance announced that the “NiuLai” contract would be listed soon. At one point, its unrealized profit was over 47%, with a peak unrealized gain of $860k. Its position cost was about $1.514 million. Looking back, the suspected address associated with @XXAntiWar has previously made multiple successful trades to secure large profits:
Trading TRUMP: unrealized gains of over $10 million. On January 18, 2025, it used 25.8k SOL (about $6 million) to buy 701k TRUMP tokens at an average price of around $8.5. It then sold 221k tokens within three hours at an average selling price of about $19.1, with total realized and unrealized profit at the time totaling approximately $10.19 million. Subsequently, other on-chain analysts provided a higher estimate: its total sales were about $34.8 million, with profits exceeding $27 million.

BlockBeats message: On August 30, next week’s market will see the release of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, the G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors, and the Federal Reserve’s publication of the Beige Book. In particular, the U.S. August employment report released on Friday will be the last nonfarm data before the Fed’s September policy meeting on September 16, and will become a key checkpoint for assessing expectations of a September rate hike.
A Reuters survey shows that markets expect U.S. August nonfarm payrolls to increase by 58,000, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% and average hourly earnings rising 0.2% month over month. If employment data continues to weaken, markets may reassess the urgency of a September rate hike; if the data indicates that the jobs market remains resilient, expectations for rate hikes may further solidify. Currently, market pricing shows the probability of a September rate hike has risen to nearly 60%, with the probability of a rate hike before December exceeding 90%.

BlockBeats news: On August 30, according to CME “FedWatch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in September is currently 43%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 57%.
Previously, on Friday evening in Jackson Hole, Waller’s speech was more hawkish than market expectations. Waller said that if policymakers cannot be confident that inflation is falling “at a clearly and sufficiently fast pace” back to 2%, the Federal Reserve “still has work to do.” This suggests that if price pressures do not improve, the Fed could raise rates next.
Ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting in September, there will be a Non-Farm Payrolls report and a CPI inflation report, along with some other smaller data releases in between. Given that recent U.S. employment reports have failed to meet expectations and the gaps have been substantial, any further signals of weakness could severely undermine market expectations for a September rate hike.

BlockBeats report, August 30: Economists expect that the monthly employment report to be released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics this Friday will show that August nonfarm payrolls increased by 55,000, following an unexpected decline in employment in July. If so, the result would roughly match the average monthly increase seen so far this year. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.1%. Analyst Anna Wong said that Waush’s hawkish remarks at Jackson Hole increased the likelihood of a rate hike in September and changed market expectations for how next week’s data should be interpreted.
The August nonfarm payrolls report is still headline data, but the expected weak performance may not have as decisive an impact as usual. Waush describes the labor market as being in good health and notes that the slowdown in job growth is often a demographic/structural issue rather than a recessionary one. (Jin10)

BlockBeats message: On August 30, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin monitoring, “Big Brother Maj” Huang Licheng’s high-leverage rollover strategy is highly dependent on a one-way upward market. Once the market shifts to consolidation or a decline, even minor downward fluctuations may trigger stop-losses and forced de-risking, leading to continuous account depletion.
In the past few days, both BTC and ETH have been trading in a high-range consolidation, with little overall price change. However, Big Brother Maj’s account funds have fallen from $11.15 million to $8.80 million, a decrease of about $2.35 million, mainly due to frequent stop-loss triggers and de-risking during periods of slight price pullback.

BlockBeats message: On August 29, Robinhood chain meme coin COPPERINU’s main promoter him stated that he plans to emulate ANSEM token’s model to conduct manual airdrops to the community. “In the end, I will distribute almost all of my supply.”
As of press time, according to GMGN market data, COPPERINU’s market cap has raced through $20 million, now at $20.36 million.
Previously, it was reported that the token developer transferred 40% of the tokens to a crypto KOL him’s wallet. him subsequently publicly stated that he is willing to develop the token with functions including staking, claiming, and burning, and is also willing to use this portion of the tokens for community airdrops.