👇5-10) Friday’s net ETF inflow is only $+223m, compared to | 10xResearch on Binance Square

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👇5-10) Friday’s net ETF inflow is only $+223m, compared to $+332m on Wednesday. This is a concern, as it could signal saturation from ETF buyers. 

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Bitcoin Bear Market? Reassessing the evidence. 👇1-15) Unlike the prolonged 2021/2022 bear market, we now see a pattern of shorter, mini-bear cycles punctuated by sharp rallies. Our research’s value lies in clearly signaling when to adopt a bullish, bearish, or cautious outlook, guided by our disciplined investment framework. 👇2-15) This process integrates data-driven insights across on-chain metrics, market structure, macro trends, technical indicators, and more. We rely on trend signals as an independent tool to separate market reality from wishful thinking and alert us to potential trend shifts—an approach we believe adds significant value. 👇3-15) This is why we emphasized the importance of the $95,000 support level—once it broke, it triggered liquidations below $92,800 (average short-term holder entry price). This not only confirmed the Diamond Top formation (see our February 4 report, “Ethereum: Falling into the Abyss of Irrelevance”) but also activated the ascending broadening wedge breakdown (see our February 25 report, “Bitcoin: Textbook Correction?”), setting off a series of key bear market signals. Trying to catch short-term bottoms remains tempting, as there are opportunities to capitalize on quick gains. 👇4-15) Our call for caution heading into March/April 2024 was just as contrarian as our extremely bullish stance in late September 2024. While maintaining a bullish outlook leading up to Trump’s inauguration, we swiftly reversed that view as conditions changed. 👇5-15) However, Bitcoin’s recent decline stems from a different set of dynamics, raising the critical question: is the Bitcoin in a bear market? 👇6-15) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/bitcoin-bear-market-reassessing-the-evidence Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co ------

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HYPE Reloaded: Is the Dip a New Entry Point? 👇1-14) March has historically been a turning point for asset prices, and last year was no exception. While consensus remained bullish, we turned cautious in March 2024, correctly anticipating the start of an eight-month consolidation phase. Although we raised similar concerns in December, Bitcoin’s renewed attempt to break above $108k briefly signaled upside potential—until the structure collapsed amid Trump’s escalation of tariff rhetoric. The meme coin frenzy unraveled following the $TRUMP coin controversy, widely viewed as an insider-driven exit strategy targeting retail investors. 👇2-14) While the Fed has primarily sidestepped direct responsibility for the 10% decline in equities and Bitcoin’s 25% correction, its policy stance has undoubtedly been a key driver. Notably, as Bitcoin entered a prolonged consolidation in March, platforms like Pump. fun surged, fueling the meme coin craze. Although the chance is low, this week’s Fed meeting could prove pivotal. 👇3-14) Still, in the meantime, crypto markets are shifting focus to a new emerging trend: whale tracking on Hyperliquid, where traders are increasingly attempting to trigger liquidations on significant leveraged positions and volumes are gravitating to DEXs. The Hyperliquid token, HYPE, is actively traded across multiple exchanges—check live prices here. 👇4-14) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/hype-reloaded-is-the-dip-a-new-entry-point… Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co ---

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Trust Me Bro – Liquidity Will Erase Your Losses, or NOT? 👇1-16) The stakes are higher than ever. Savvy traders have been aggressively selling altcoins and shifting capital into Bitcoin, initially helping to stabilize its price and driving Bitcoin dominance back above 60% (see our January 14, 2025, report: ‘Are Smart Traders Hedging Bitcoin with Altcoin Shorts?’). However, over the past month, Bitcoin has also begun to decline, indicating a more profound shift in market dynamics beyond simple capital rotation. 👇2-16) Many have overlooked the impact of hedge fund basis trade unwinding, which has been a key factor in Bitcoin’s recent weakness (see our February 24, 2025, report: ‘Bitcoin & MicroStrategy: The New Favorite Assets for Hedge Funds’). As traders search for an explanation, many have turned their focus back to global money supply, attributing Bitcoin’s decline to a drop in liquidity—a narrative that, while convenient, may not fully capture the bigger picture. 👇3-16) While this data point offers a convenient narrative, our macro-quant analysis suggests it may be a false hope—an oversimplification of Bitcoin’s liquidity drivers. There is no consistent linear relationship between liquidity and Bitcoin, and contrary to popular belief, a different key driver is influencing price movements. Instead of focusing solely on the global money supply, traders should monitor a different, more precise liquidity metric to understand the fundamental forces at play. 👇4-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/trust-me-bro-liquidity-will-erase-your-losses-or-not Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co

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The $TRUMP Dump: When the Hype Fades, Reality Hits 👇1-4) A clear example is the $TRUMP coin, where insiders and those with early access at the Washington crypto ball could buy in before the public, while exchanges rushed to list the token as it soared past $60. After briefly topping near $70, $TRUMP has now collapsed to $10, leaving retail traders with billions in losses. This pattern mirrors the 2021 NFT bubble, where hype-fueled speculation gave way to severe retail losses, reinforcing that each cycle, while different in the narrative, ultimately follows the same structural flaws. 👇2-4) The $TRUMP coin, saw its price collapse 50% within a week of launch. On-chain data revealed that early buyers quickly dumped their holdings, using retail traders as exit liquidity. The sheer scale of these losses effectively killed the Solana meme coin casino, which had been a major driver of market activity in recent months. 👇3-4) It’s crucial to look beyond just price action and monitor shifts in revenue trends and momentum loss in high-beta tokens tied to dominant narratives. For example, Raydium’s RAY token, a key automated market maker (AMM) and Solana's liquidity provider has plunged by 70% in just 30 days. Meanwhile, Jupiter’s JUP token, a decentralized exchange (DEX) within the Solana ecosystem, has dropped by 42%, and Solana’s SOL token dropped by 41% over the same period. 👇4-4) Pump. fun the leading meme coin launch platform, has facilitated 8.4 million meme coin launches over the past year, with activity peaking right after Trump’s inauguration. Since then, daily launches have plunged from 62,000 to 24,000, signaling a sharp decline in interest. Between Christmas and Trump’s inauguration, an astonishing 1.7 million meme coins were launched. However, activity has since dropped significantly, even as Solana’s price collapse has made meme coin creation cheaper. Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co

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Crumbling Down Under $TRUMP 👇1-15) This is a critical time when risk management, recognizing historical parallels, analyzing chart patterns, and closely monitoring market structure becomes essential. Having the right information is key, as losses can accelerate quickly in deteriorating conditions. 👇2-15) There are striking parallels between the end of the last crypto bull market and the current one. The loudest promoters coined catchy slogans, fueling promises of unlimited upside—only for volatility to be later reframed as a feature when prices collapsed, with patience preached as the cure. Institutions then arbitrated the spreads between DeFi and TradFi interest rate markets. This time, the playbook has shifted to exploiting the spread between BTC spots and futures, yet the underlying pattern remains the same. 👇3-15) It’s not just the macro backdrop that feels familiar—where the Fed turned hawkish near the peak of the Bitcoin cycle—but also the micro dynamics, as key narratives fade. Retail traders come to grips with an unwinnable game. In 2017, Ripple’s XRP surged to become the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, yet in the 2021 Bull Run, it failed to reclaim that position. 👇4-15) A similar pattern is emerging with Ethereum this cycle, as market narratives have evolved from payments in 2017 to DeFi/NFTs in 2021 and now to meme coins in 2025—each cycle bringing a new hype wave, shifting from Ripple to Ethereum to Solana. 👇5-11) Full report: https://mail.10xresearch.co/p/crumbling-down-under-trump… Want to see how we are trading this market? Follow us! Subscribe to our premium analysis and alerts at the link below: https://mail.10xresearch.co #sol #Ray #JUP

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