The target to be achieved has already been met. What remains is to patiently wait for the final downward fluctuation. It will come; the time just has not arrived yet.
$BTC Although the monthly candlestick was up 27%, Monday was still not a particularly good day for BTC.
Almost every move up into Monday has ultimately been retraced.
As we head into next week, I’ll keep that in mind, especially considering that BTC just swept the $82K level and has already pulled back below the highs.
If we maintain a bearish structure on Monday, it’s very likely we’ll see another move lower.
However, if we instead dump hard on Monday, that’s when things get interesting. In the few rare cases, those Monday sell-offs may have marked a turning point low.
But based on experience, these ranges usually accumulate a lot of liquidity at both the highs and the lows before any major sweep occurs.
That said, before we test the 70K low, I think it is quite likely that we continue to hold the upper part of this range and accumulate more liquidity.
This is the scenario I am currently highly confident in.
So for now, I will continue looking for continuation long opportunities, while using my unrealized PnL to gradually increase exposure to bitcoin:native.
BTC Big Cycle: The Cycle of Rising, Reversing, and Support
From left to right, this chart is essentially one big cycle. First, BTC rises steadily from a low point and climbs to a high. After that, it starts to fluctuate. After each upward move, there will be a pullback. When the pullback reaches the blue area, people buy again, so the price can move up. But as the price gets higher and higher, there are fewer and fewer people willing to chase the price. Meanwhile, the people who bought earlier start selling, and eventually the upward move gradually comes to an end. After the price peaks, it keeps falling all the way down. In the beginning, when it starts dropping, many people still think it’s just a normal pullback, so some are willing to step in and buy. But once it falls more and more, market sentiment turns worse—those who originally wanted to buy stop doing so, and those who had positions start selling. As a result, the decline speeds up.