养金鹅

Public signal trading after the beta test, follow up early, no entry barrier. $ETH

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning Brief · September 10
Warsh Era’s inaugural central bank week kickoff, **Dove vs. Eagle duel**: Bowman testifies + CCAR stress test appearing on the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies to Congress — reiterates bank capital/regulatory framing, bearish for risk assets
2. 04:00 the next day CCAR/DFAST stress tests — big banks’ expected CET1 at 11–12%, a level that shocks bank stocks if breached
3. All-day delay on 6/19 for the weekly report resubmission (7 releases including H.4.1) — temporary disruption to U.S. Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Key numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · 7/28–29 maintained at ≈95% · terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, including 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh leaning hawkish = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields relatively strong; BTC/ETH upside faces pressure.
Watch Bowman’s remarks at 22:00; if he emphasizes “capital adequacy/anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs short-term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— The following are detailed notes for reference ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP estimates)
| FOMC | -25 | Hold | +25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA conversation | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testifies | 🔴 ↑See “What to watch today” |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress test | 🔴 ↑See “What to watch today” |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS credit officers survey | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Last decision highlights (still in effect)
· FOMC unanimously keeps 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median at 3.8%, ↑40bp indicating another rate hike within the year
· PCE/GDP/inflation wording adjustments: remove “inflation gradually receding”
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rates have risen to 7.18%; the market is repricing another year-end rate hike for the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ Sep 10, 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · for reference only
```

📊 Crypto market snapshot (Sep 10, 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $78,198.01 | -0.64% |
| ETH | $2,465.84 | — |
| SOL | $101.11 | — |
| BNB | $720.53 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08564 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $1.14B
```

```
📰 Goose Quant AI Morning News · September 9
Warsh Era’s first inaugural central bank weekly opens, **Dove and Hawk duel**: Bowman testifies + CCAR stress testing appear on the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies to Congress — reiterates bank capital / regulatory framework language, bearish risk assets
2. The next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress test — large bank CET1 expectations 11–12%, breaches the threshold and hits bank stocks
3. All day 6/19 deferred weekly report re-issue (7 items including H.4.1, etc.) — temporary disruption to U.S. Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Key numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · Maintain ≈95% for 7/28–29 · Terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, incl. 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh hawkish tilt = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields skew strong, BTC/ETH face upward pressure.
Keep an eye on Bowman’s remarks at 22:00; if he emphasizes “capital adequacy / anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— For detailed reference below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP calculation)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑See today’s must-watch |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress test | 🔴 ↑See today’s must-watch |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS credit officers investigation | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Key points from the last decision (still valid)
· FOMC unanimously holds 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, up 40bp implying one more rate hike within the year
· PCE/GDP/inflation wording updates: delete “inflation gradually declining”
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rate rises to 7.18%; the market is repricing for another rate hike in the Warsh era within the year.
```
```
⏰ September 9, 09:30 (CST) · Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto market quick overview (September 9, 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $78,702.00 | -0.82% |
| ETH | $2,490.56 | — |
| SOL | $103.44 | — |
| BNB | $750.83 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08998 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $1.51B
```

💎R6 - Follow the market maker’s operations $USELESS ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Coin: $USELESS
🔢 Price: 0.28528
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Timeframe: Minute-level
🕐 Time: 2026-09-09 00:15
📡 Signal combination: R6M_momentum_long
The above is the follow-trade operation based on an AI monitoring of market-maker address on-chain anomalies using historical records; validity is within 3 minutes—skip if outdated
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ After the signal is received, volume indicates: 3.6x
🔢 Stop-loss: 0.28052
✅ Suggested take-profit: TP0: 0.293838｜TP1: 0.300257
“ This is an intraday compounding signal; position size is not recommended to exceed 10%. Follow in steps 1, 3, 5. There may be a 15-second delay from when the system gets the signal to when the order is placed—confirm first. After BN publish time, subsequent optimization will be made.”
--- Golden Goose Quant

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning News · September 8
Warsh era’s first-ever central bank week opens with a **hawk vs dove duel**: Bowman testifies + CCAR stress testing hit the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies before Congress — reiterates bank capital/regulatory framework; a hawkish bias raises the risk of sell-off in risk assets
2. The next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress tests — large banks’ expected CET1 at 11–12%; this level could jolt bank stocks
3. All-day 6/19 post-weekly report resubmission (7 items such as H.4.1, etc.) — temporary disruption to U.S. Treasury and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Key numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · maintain ≈95% for 7/28–29 · terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh leaning hawkish = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields skew stronger, putting pressure on BTC/ETH upside.
Watch Bowman’s wording at 22:00—if he emphasizes “capital adequacy / resilience against inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details for reference below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP estimates)
| FOMC | -25 | Hold | +25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller’s remarks / Barr ↔ CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testifies | 🔴 ↑See “What to watch today” |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress testing | 🔴 ↑See “What to watch today” |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS credit officer survey | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Last decision key points (still in effect)
· FOMC unanimously holds 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, up 40bp—implies another rate hike within the year
· PCE/GDP/inflation wording adjustment: remove “inflation gradually returning to lower levels”
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rates rise to 7.18%; the market is re-pricing another rate hike within the year in the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ 09/08 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto market snapshot (09/08 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $79,367.96 | -0.69% |
| ETH | $2,501.03 | — |
| SOL | $104.24 | — |
| BNB | $741.96 | — |
| DOGE | $0.09125 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $829.4M
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning Brief · September 7
The first Fed week of the Warsh era kicks off, with a hawk-vs-dove showdown: Bowman testimony + CCAR stress tests both land on the same day.
```
```
🎯 Today’s Must-Watch
1. 22:00 Bowman congressional testimony — reiterates bank capital/regulatory stance, hawkish and negative for risk assets
2. 04:00 next day CCAR/DFAST stress tests — major banks’ CET1 expected at 11–12%, a threshold-breach shock to bank stocks
3. All day: delayed weekly report releases for 6/19 (7 reports including H.4.1) — temporary disturbance to U.S. Treasury and dollar liquidity
```
```
📊 Key Numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · 7/28–29 maintained at ~95% · median terminal rate 3.8% (↑40bp, including 1 hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto View
SEP terminal rate revision upward + Warsh hawkish tilt = stronger DXY and Treasury yields, pressuring BTC/ETH upside.
Watch Bowman’s wording at 22:00; if he emphasizes "capital adequacy/anti-inflation," avoid chasing strength short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details for reference ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-Year Probability Matrix (CME futures + SEP estimate)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ------- | ------ | -------- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This Week’s Schedule (Beijing Time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑See Today’s Must-Watch |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress tests | 🔴 ↑See Today’s Must-Watch |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS senior loan officer survey | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Key points from the last decision (still in effect)
· FOMC unanimously kept rates at 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot 2026 median terminal rate 3.8%, ↑40bp suggests one more hike this year
· PCE/GDP/inflation wording adjusted: removed "inflation is gradually easing"
```
```
ℹ️ The 30-year mortgage rate has rebounded to 7.18%; the market is repricing for another rate hike later this year in the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ September 7 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto Market Snapshot (September 7 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $79,916.57 | -0.01% |
| ETH | $2,503.86 | — |
| SOL | $105.44 | — |
| BNB | $746.79 | — |
| DOGE | $0.09003 | — |

BTC 24h volume $746.2M
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quantitative AI Morning Report · Sept 6
The first central bank week of the Warsh era kicks off, with a **dove-vs-hawk showdown**: Bowman testimony + CCAR stress tests on the same day.
```
```
🎯 Today’s Must-See
1. 22:00 Bowman congressional testimony — reiterates bank capital/regulatory stance, hawkish and bearish for risk assets
2. Next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress tests — major banks’ CET1 expected at 11–12%, threshold breach hits bank stocks
3. All day: delayed weekly report releases from 6/19 (7 reports incl. H.4.1) — temporary disruption to U.S. Treasury and dollar liquidity
```
```
📊 Core Numbers
Rates 3.50–3.75% · 7/28–29 hold ≈95% · terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, incl. 1 hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto View
SEP terminal rate revised up + Warsh hawkish = stronger DXY and U.S. Treasury yields, pressuring BTC/ETH upside.
Watch Bowman’s wording at 22:00; if he emphasizes "capital adequacy / anti-inflation," avoid chasing long positions in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details below for reference ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-Year Probability Matrix (CME futures + SEP estimate)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ------- | ------- | -------- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This Week’s Schedule (Beijing Time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ----- |
| Mon 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Mon 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑see Today’s Must-See |
| Tue 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress tests | 🔴 ↑see Today’s Must-See |
| Thu 02:00 | SCOOS Senior Loan Officer Survey | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Key Points from the Last Decision (still in effect)
· FOMC unanimously kept rates at 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot 2026 terminal median 3.8%, ↑40bp implies one more hike this year
· PCE/GDP/inflation wording adjusted: removed "inflation gradually eases"
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rates have risen back to 7.18%; the market is repricing for another hike within the year in the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ 09/06 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quantitative AI · for reference only
```

📊 Crypto Market Snapshot (09/06 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $79,922.01 | +0.31% |
| ETH | $2,493.99 | — |
| SOL | $103.56 | — |
| BNB | $765.70 | — |
| DOGE | $0.09050 | — |

BTC 24h volume $726.5M
```

💎R6 - Follow the market maker's action $BULLA ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Token: $BULLA
🔢 Price: 0.068637
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Timeframe: Minute-level
🕐 Time: 2026-09-05 17:55
📡 Signal combo: R6M_momentum_long
The above is a follow-through trade based on AI analysis of historical records of abnormal on-chain activity; validity is within 3 minutes; skip if outdated
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Volume performance after signal received: 4.1x
🔢 Stop loss: 0.066921
✅ Suggested take profit: TP0: 0.069667｜TP1: 0.070696
"This signal is an intraday compounding signal, and position size is not recommended to exceed 10%; follow entries at 1, 3, and 5; there may be a 15-second delay from signal generation to publication, so please confirm before entering; the BN publishing delay will be optimized later"
---Golden Goose Quantitative

💎R6 - Follow the whale's operation on $AKE ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Symbol: $AKE
🔢 Price: 0.017603
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Timeframe: Minute-level
🕐 Time: 2026-09-05 15:00
📡 Signal Combination: R6M_momentum_long
The above is a follow-up trade based on abnormal on-chain activity monitoring by AI, analyzed from historical records. Validity is within 3 minutes; please skip if expired
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Volume performance after receiving the signal: 5.3x
🔢 Stop loss: 0.017162
✅ Suggested take-profit: TP0: 0.017867｜TP1: 0.018131
"This signal is an intraday compounding signal; position size is not recommended to exceed 10%. Follow in 1, 3, 5 increments. There may be a 15s delay from signal generation to release, so please confirm before entering. The BN release delay will be optimized later"
--- Golden Goose Quant

💎R6 - Follow the house trading signal $AKE ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Coin: $AKE
🔢 Price: 0.020473
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Timeframe: Minute-level
🕐 Time: 2026-09-05 12:12
📡 Signal combo: R6M_momentum_long
The above is a follow-trade operation based on AI analysis of historical records for on-chain abnormal monitoring. Validity: within 3 minutes; skip if outdated
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ Volume performance after signal: 3.4x
🔢 Stop loss: 0.019961
✅ Suggested take profit: TP0: 0.02078｜TP1: 0.021087
"This signal is an intraday compounding signal; position size is not recommended to exceed 10%; follow entries in 1, 3, 5 increments. There may be a 15s delay from signal generation to publication, so please confirm before entering. BN publishing latency will be optimized later"
---Golden Goose Quantitative

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning Report · September 5
The first central bank week of the Warsh era opens, with a dovish-vs-hawkish showdown: Bowman testimony + CCAR stress test on the same day.
```
```
🎯 Must Watch Today
1. 22:00 Bowman congressional testimony — reiterates bank capital/regulatory stance, hawkish tone bearish for risk assets
2. Next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress test — large banks expected CET1 at 11–12%, a threshold breach could hit bank stocks
3. All day: delayed weekly report releases from 6/19 (H.4.1 and 7 others) — temporary disturbance to U.S. Treasury and dollar liquidity
```
```
📊 Key Numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · 7/28–29 held at ≈95% · terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, including 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto View
SEP terminal rate revised up + Warsh hawkish tilt = stronger DXY and Treasury yields, creating pressure on BTC/ETH upside.
Watch Bowman’s wording at 22:00; if he emphasizes "capital adequacy / anti-inflation," avoid chasing long positions in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details for reference below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP estimates)
| FOMC | -25 | Hold | +25 |
| ----------- | ---- | ------ | ---- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Mon 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Mon 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑See Must Watch Today |
| Tue 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress test | 🔴 ↑See Must Watch Today |
| Thu 02:00 | SCOOS credit officer survey | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Key points from the last decision (still in effect)
· FOMC unanimously held at 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot 2026 terminal median 3.8%, ↑40bp suggests one more rate hike this year
· PCE/GDP/inflation wording adjusted: removed "inflation is gradually easing"
```
```
ℹ️ The 30-year mortgage rate has risen back to 7.18%; the market is repricing for another rate hike this year in the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ September 05 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto Market Snapshot (September 05 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $79,668.93 | -1.46% |
| ETH | $2,455.15 | — |
| SOL | $102.05 | — |
| BNB | $722.42 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08486 | — |

BTC 24h volume $1.49B
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning News · September 4
Warsh era’s first central bank week kick-off: **dove vs. eagle showdown** — Bowman testifies + CCAR stress test hit the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies to Congress — Reiterates bank capital / regulatory framework; risks for assets sensitive to hawkishness
2. Next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress test — Big banks’ expected CET1 at 11–12%; a breach of thresholds hits bank stocks
3. All day 6/19 delay carryover for the weekly report release (7 items including H.4.1) — Temporary disruption to US Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Key numbers
Rate 3.50–3.75% · Hold ~95% for 7/28–29 · Terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 additional hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised up + Warsh leaning hawkish = DXY and US Treasury yields stronger; BTC/ETH face upward pressure.
Watch Bowman’s remarks at 22:00—if he emphasizes “capital adequacy/anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— The following are details for reference ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP estimates)
| FOMC | cut 25 | hold | hike 25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| --------------| ------------------------------- | ------ |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA talk | 🟡 Mid |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑ See “What to watch today” |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress test | 🔴 ↑ See “What to watch today” |
| Thursday 02:00| SCOOS credit officer survey | 🟡 Mid |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Last decision highlights (still valid)
· FOMC unanimously holds 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, ↑40bp suggests another hike within the year
· PCE/GDP/inflation language adjustment: delete “inflation gradually easing”
```
```
ℹ️ The 30-year mortgage rate is up to 7.18%; the market is re-pricing another in-year rate hike in the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ Sep 04 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto market snapshot (09/04 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $80,852.00 | +4.38% |
| ETH | $2,505.69 | — |
| SOL | $103.55 | — |
| BNB | $720.19 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08703 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $1.61B
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning News · September 3
The Warsh era’s first central bank week opening: **Dove vs. Hawk showdown**—Bowman testifies + CCAR stress test hit the same day.
```
```
🎯 Must-See Today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies before Congress — Reiterates bank capital/regulatory definitions, risks for hawkish pressure on risk assets
2. Next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress tests — Big banks’ CET1 expectations at 11–12%, knocking at the threshold hits bank stocks
3. All-day 6/19 postponement to issue the weekly report (7 reports including H.4.1, etc.) — Temporary disruption to U.S. Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Key Numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · 7/28–29 maintained ≈95% · Terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto Perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh hawkish tilt = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields relatively strong; BTC/ETH face upward pressure.
Watch Bowman’s wording at 22:00—if he emphasizes “capital adequacy/anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Detailed check below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP estimates)
| FOMC | Cut25 | Hold | Hike25 |
| ----------- | ------ | ------ | -------- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This Week’s Schedule (Beijing Time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ------ |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller remarks / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testifies | 🔴 ↑See Must-See Today |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress tests | 🔴 ↑See Must-See Today |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS credit officers survey | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Last Decision Highlights (still effective)
· FOMC unanimously maintained 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, ↑40bp suggests one more rate hike within the year
· Adjustments to PCE/GDP/inflation wording: remove “inflation gradually falling back”
```
```
ℹ️ The 30-year mortgage rate rebounded to 7.18%; the market is repricing another potential rate hike within the Warsh era this year.
```
```
⏰ September 03 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto Market Snapshot (Sep 03, 09:30 CST)
```
| Currency | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $77,460.20 | +0.38% |
| ETH | $2,392.85 | — |
| SOL | $100.37 | — |
| BNB | $691.09 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08253 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $1.01B
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning News · September 2
Warsh Era’s first-ever central bank week kick-off: **Dove vs. Hawk face-off** — Bowman testifies + CCAR stress test on the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies to Congress — reiterates bank capital / regulatory definitions, bearish risk assets with a hawkish tilt
2. 04:00 the next day CCAR/DFAST stress tests — big banks’ expected CET1 at 11–12%, a break-through threshold that hits bank stocks
3. All day 6/19 follows through to release the delayed weekly report (7 items including H.4.1) — temporary disruptions to U.S. Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Core numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · maintain ≈95% for 7/28–29 · terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh leaning hawkish = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields stay firm; BTC/ETH upside faces pressure.
Watch Bowman’s remarks at 22:00—if he emphasizes “capital adequacy / anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details to review below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP estimates)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ------- | ------ | -------- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ------ |
| Mon 21:00 | Waller’s speech / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Mon 22:00 | Bowman testifies | 🔴 ↑See what to watch today |
| Tue 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress test | 🔴 ↑See what to watch today |
| Thu 02:00 | SCOOS credit officers investigation | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Key points from the last decision (still in effect)
· FOMC unanimously holds 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, ↑40bp implying one more rate hike within the year
· Adjustments to PCE/GDP/inflation wording: remove “inflation gradually cooling”
```
```
ℹ️ The 30-year mortgage rate has risen to 7.18%; the market is repricing the possibility of another rate hike in the Warsh era within the year.
```
```
⏰ Sep 02, 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto market quick overview (Sep 02, 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $77,140.10 | -1.65% |
| ETH | $2,408.70 | — |
| SOL | $99.51 | — |
| BNB | $683.56 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08106 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $1.09B
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning Brief · September 1st
Warsh Era’s first central bank week kickoff—**Pigeon vs. Hawk showdown**: Bowman testifies + CCAR stress testing hits the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to Watch Today
1. 22:00 Bowman testifies before Congress — reiterates bank capital/regulatory standards, bearish for risk assets (hawkish bias)
2. 04:00 the next day CCAR/DFAST stress tests — big banks’ CET1 expected at 11–12%, breaching the threshold jolts bank stocks
3. Full-day 6/19 delay—weekly report resubmission (7 items, incl. H.4.1, etc.)—temporary disruption to US Treasuries and dollar liquidity
```
```
📊 Key Numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · Maintain ≈95% for 7/28–29 · Terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto Perspective
SEP terminal rate revised up + Warsh hawkish tilt = DXY and US Treasury yields relatively strong; BTC/ETH face upward pressure.
Watch Bowman’s 22:00 remarks—if he emphasizes “capital adequacy / anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs short-term; wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Detailed reference below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP implied)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This Week’s Schedule (Beijing Time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Mon 21:00 | Waller remarks / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Mon 22:00 | Bowman testifies | 🔴 ↑ See “What to Watch Today” |
| Tue 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress test | 🔴 ↑ See “What to Watch Today” |
| Thu 02:00 | SCOOS credit officer investigation | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Last Decision Key Points (keeps validity)
· FOMC unanimously holds 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, ↑40bp indicating one more hike within the year
· Adjustments to PCE/GDP/inflation wording: delete “inflation gradually receding”
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rate rises to 7.18%; the market is repricing for an additional rate hike in the Warsh era this year.
```
```
⏰ 09/01 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto Market Snapshot (09/01 09:30 CST)
```
| Asset | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $78,378.01 | +0.75% |
| ETH | $2,458.51 | — |
| SOL | $102.85 | — |
| BNB | $691.19 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08263 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $1.18B
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning News · August 31
The Warsh era’s inaugural central bank week gets underway. **Dove and Hawk duel**: Bowman testifies + CCAR stress tests land on the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman testimony to Congress — reiterates bank capital/regulatory framing, slightly bearish for risk assets
2. The next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress tests — big banks’ CET1 expectations at 11–12%, pressuring bank stocks if the threshold is breached
3. All-day 6/19 follow-up weekly report resubmission (7 items including H.4.1, etc.) — temporary disruptions to U.S. Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Core numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · 7/28–29 maintained at ~95% · terminal midpoint 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh leaning hawkish = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields biased stronger, putting pressure on BTC/ETH upside.
Keep an eye on Bowman’s remarks at 22:00—if he emphasizes “capital adequacy/anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short run and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details for reference below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP implied)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA dialogue | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑See “What to watch today” |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress tests | 🔴 ↑See “What to watch today” |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS credit officer investigation | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Last decision key points (still effective)
· FOMC unanimously maintains 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal midpoint 3.8%, ↑40bp implying another rate hike within the year
· Adjustments to PCE/GDP/inflation wording: remove “inflation gradually easing”
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rates have risen back to 7.18%; the market is re-pricing another rate hike within the year for the Warsh era.
```
```
⏰ August 31 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto market snapshot (August 31, 09:30 CST)
```
| Coin | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $77,777.00 | -0.32% |
| ETH | $2,419.56 | — |
| SOL | $101.95 | — |
| BNB | $685.40 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08208 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $767.4M
```

```
📰 Golden Goose Quant AI Morning Brief · August 30
Warsh Era’s first Central Bank week opens: **Dove vs. Hawk**—Bowman testifies + CCAR stress tests land on the same day.
```
```
🎯 What to watch today
1. 22:00 Bowman Congressional testimony — reiterates bank capital / regulatory framework; hawkish-leaning—risk of headwinds for risk assets
2. Next day 04:00 CCAR/DFAST stress tests — big banks’ CET1 expected at 11–12%; passing the cutoff could jolt bank stocks
3. All-day 6/19 delayed weekly report re-issue (7 releases including H.4.1, etc.) — temporary disruption to U.S. Treasuries and USD liquidity
```
```
📊 Core numbers
Interest rate 3.50–3.75% · Maintain ≈95% for 7/28–29 · Terminal median 3.8% (↑40bp, includes 1 rate hike)
```
```
🪙 Crypto perspective
SEP terminal rate revised higher + Warsh more hawkish = DXY and U.S. Treasury yields stay firm; BTC/ETH face upward pressure challenges.
Keep an eye on Bowman’s remarks at 22:00—if he stresses “capital adequacy/anti-inflation,” avoid chasing longs in the short term and wait for a pullback.
```
```
—————————— Details for further reference below ——————————
```
```
💹 Full-year probability matrix (CME futures + SEP implied)
| FOMC | Cut 25 | Hold | Hike 25 |
| ----------- | ----- | ------ | ----- |
| 7/28–29 | 3% | **95%** | 2% |
| 9/15–16 | 2% | 50% | **48%** |
| 10/27–28 | 10% | 45% | **45%** |
| 12/8–9 | 20% | **55%** | 25% |
```
```
📋 This week’s schedule (Beijing Time)
| Time | Event | Level |
| ------------ | ------------------------------ | ---- |
| Monday 21:00 | Waller speech / Barr CDBA discussion | 🟡 Medium |
| Monday 22:00 | Bowman testimony | 🔴 ↑ See “What to watch today” |
| Tuesday 04:00 | CCAR/DFAST stress tests | 🔴 ↑ See “What to watch today” |
| Thursday 02:00 | SCOOS credit officers investigation | 🟡 Medium |
| 07/08 02:00 | FOMC June meeting minutes | 🔴 High |
```
```
🔴 Key points from the last decision (ongoing)
· FOMC unanimously holds 3.50–3.75%
· Dot plot: 2026 terminal median 3.8%, up 40bp—implies another rate hike within the year
· Adjustments to PCE/GDP/inflation wording: remove “inflation gradually cooling”
```
```
ℹ️ 30-year mortgage rate rises to 7.18%; the market is re-pricing another rate hike in the Warsh era within the year.
```
```
⏰ August 30 09:30 (CST) · Golden Goose Quant AI · For reference only
```

📊 Crypto market snapshot (August 30, 09:30 CST)
```
| Asset | Price | 24h |
| ---- | ------- | ------ |
| BTC | $78,016.17 | +0.30% |
| ETH | $2,454.18 | — |
| SOL | $105.14 | — |
| BNB | $690.73 | — |
| DOGE | $0.08494 | — |

BTC 24h trading volume $538.4M
```

💎R6 - Dealer operation follow $BEAT ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Coin: $BEAT
🔢 Price: 0.1334
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Level: Minute timeframe
🕐 Time: 2026-08-29 22:05
📡 Signal combination: R6M_momentum_long
The above is a follow trade operation generated by an AI monitoring tool based on on-chain abnormal activity, analyzed from historical records; valid within 3 minutes. Skip if outdated.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ After you receive the signal, volume amplification reflects: 22.4x
🔢 Stop loss: 0.13
✅ Suggested take profit: TP0: 0.135401｜TP1: 0.137402
“ This signal is an intraday compounding signal; position size is not recommended to exceed 10%. Follow in steps 1, 3, 5. There may be a 15s delay from when the system receives the signal to when it places the order—please confirm. After BN release time, we will optimize further later.”
--- Golden Goose Quant

💎R6 - Dealer Operation Follow $ROBO ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Coin: $ROBO
🔢 Price: 0.01301
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Level: Minute-level
🕐 Time: 2026-08-29 21:59
📡 Signal combination: R6M_momentum_long
The above is an on-chain anomaly monitoring AI follow-trade operation based on historical records provided by the dealer community; effective within 3 minutes. If it’s outdated, please skip.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ After the signal is received, volume should show: 28.6x
🔢 Stop-loss: 0.01268
✅ Suggested take-profit: TP0: 0.013205｜TP1: 0.0134
“ This signal is an intraday compounding signal. Position size is not recommended to exceed 10%. Follow in steps of 1, 3, and 5. There may be a 15s delay from when the system receives the signal to when the order is placed—please confirm. After BN publishing time is identified, improvements will be made.”
---Golden Goose Quant

💎R6 - Follow the Operator’s Trades $TUT ｜R6M_momentum_long
🎯 Coin: $TUT
🔢 Price: 0.03192
🟢 Direction: Long
⌛️ Timeframe: Minute-level
🕐 Time: 2026-08-29 20:02
📡 Signal combination: R6M_momentum_long
The above is an on-chain anomaly monitoring AI follow-trade operation based on historical records; time window is within 3 minutes—skip if outdated
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✅ After receiving the signal, volume should reflect: 8.3x
🔢 Stop loss: 0.03112
✅ Recommended take profit: TP0: 0.032399｜TP1: 0.032878
“ This signal is an intraday compounding signal. Positions are not recommended to exceed 10%; follow in steps 1, 3, and 5. The system may have a 15s delay between receiving the signal and placing the order—please confirm. After the BN publish delay is optimized, this will be improved further.”
--- Golden Goose Quant