Crypto心诚

$BTC fell from 82000 to 67500

$牛来 is still at 0.06; not only has it not fallen, it's actually rebounding

When Bitcoin falls, the bull market moves sideways; when Bitcoin moves sideways, the bull market rebounds 💹

I think this is the strongest MEME coin this cycle. I told everyone to get in at 0.05, and there's still a profit now. Unlike Bitcoin, which has been losing money no matter when you bought in over the past few days 💰
$牛来

$BTC
The market right now is slowly bleeding everyone dry, getting all those so-called experts to catch falling knives〽️ Glad I’m no expert 😂

Back when we were at 86,700, I told everyone to reduce their positions. I did try going long a few times along the way, but kept getting burned, so I decided to give up and sit it out.

Based on past market behavior and experience, this level still seems like it needs one more wick down. But that wick has yet to come—that’s the cleverness of the market makers. They keep wearing down the resolve of people trying to buy the dip, then lure you in and drive the price straight down with one sharp wick. You panic-sell, and once you’re out, the market starts bouncing back.

So at this point, don’t focus only on the price. More importantly, manage your position size, keep a level head, and wait.

I also said last night that as long as the price drops below 70,000, you can enter in batches. Just build your position gradually using a pyramid approach. The next target is 67,000.

Because no market can only fall without rising, or only rise without falling〽️💹 It has to go through a cycle of yin and yang.

Follow me—I’ll keep helping you buy the dip and sell the top ✊✌

Gold is now in an important range, from 3870 to 4200. As long as it doesn’t break below 3870, it will continue moving within this range. The first target is 4200.

A little later, at this level, I think we can enter a long position, with targets at 3980, 4060, and 4140, and a stop loss at 3850.
$XAUT
$XAU
#XAUT完成毕马威审计获无保留意见

Why is the crypto market paying the price for Jensen Huang stepping down as CEO? ❓

Nov 13 $BTC Comprehensive Market Analysis

💰 News:

Nvidia CEO turmoil: News of Jensen Huang’s resignation and related board developments triggered a sharp sell-off in tech stocks, with risk aversion spreading from equities to crypto. Bitcoin and tech stocks came under pressure in tandem.

Other factors: MSCI removed Strategy from relevant indices, weakening the “corporate buyers” narrative for Bitcoin. Combined with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and other factors, overall risk appetite declined.

💰 Fund flows:

Net outflows of approximately $299.9M on Nov 11

Cumulative outflows of approximately $1.44B over the past five days and approximately $1.88B so far in November

BlackRock’s IBIT accounted for the bulk of the outflows.
Stablecoin supply contracted slightly, and there was little appetite for new money to enter. Institutions have mainly been reducing their positions, with little dip-buying to provide support.

💰 Sentiment:

The Fear and Greed Index has reached 21, indicating fear. A reading below 20 signals extreme fear, so we’re now at the threshold.

💰 Technicals:

The daily RSI has entered oversold territory (around 22–30), so a short-term technical rebound is possible. However, the MACD, moving average alignment, and other indicators still show that bears are in control.

The downtrend is still in place. Let’s wait patiently for signs of stabilization. I won’t say much about this level—wait for my signal!

Next, watch to see whether 70,500 can hold. If it doesn’t, 67,000 is the next level below. Either way, once it breaks below 70,000, you can enter.

$BTC
#黄仁勋辞任CEO，英伟达战略走向受关注

Crypto is starting to crash〽️

It’s finally come down. Now we’ll see whether 70,500 can hold; if not, it’ll have to drop to 66,700.

How are those who went long midway doing❓Most of the liquidations were longs.
$145 million was liquidated in just one hour. There are still plenty of rich people around—I’m just not one of them 😂
$BTC

Jensen Huang really did resign as NVIDIA's CEO, president, and director.

Now that NVIDIA has lost its superstar, will its stock price slump without the leather jacket?

The news wiped hundreds of billions of dollars off its market value, significantly increasing short-term uncertainty.〽️

However, NVIDIA still leads in AI; it just needs a transition period.💰 Let's see whether 🇨🇳 gets a chance to overtake it on the bend.🚗
$NVDAB
$NVDA
#黄仁勋再被曝与下属婚外情，或遭董事会罢免

Every major red candle in this BTC downturn feels like a coincidence to me〽️👇

📅 10/29 Binance hacked for ~6.3 billion

→ BTC fell below 79k, panic selling set in, and ETFs saw $640 million in outflows in a single day

📅 11/04 Nasdaq -5.5%

→ Risk assets moved in sync, and BTC retested 75k

📅 11/08 Jensen Huang affair scandal

→ BTC flash-crashed from 75.6k to 73.5k in 10 minutes

📅 11/10 CPI came in above expectations (headline 0.4% / core 0.3%)

→ Rate-hike expectations were revised upward, and BTC broke below 73k, probing 72.7k

📅 11/11 MSTR dropped from the MSCI index

→ The corporate buying flywheel slowed, with expectations of passive selling weighing on prices

Five pressures converging: a crisis of confidence × macro tightening × cracks in the AI narrative × institutional retreat

It’s no coincidence—the same marginal liquidity is being withdrawn, one source at a time.

📌 The more the drop looks like a string of freak events, the more it shows that a bottom is formed by a confluence of forces. Don’t bet on a single-point reversal; wait for the pressures to clear one by one.

Be patient and wait for an opportunity to build a position on the right side of the chart 💰

$BTC
$ETH
$NVDAB
#黄仁勋再被曝与下属婚外情，或遭董事会罢免

$BTC
Nov 12 $BTC Comprehensive Market Analysis

💹 News:

Some mining companies continue to sell (such as MARA's recent sell-off), regulatory uncertainty persists after the midterm elections, and companies are making purchases to hedge (Strategy and others are still buying). Overall, hawkish macro signals are dominant, clearly weighing on the market in the short term.

💹 Fund Flows:

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see net outflows. Net outflows were about $95M, following -$201M on Nov 9, about -$412M on Nov 6, and about -$430M on Nov 5. Cumulative outflows for November have reached about $1.5B–$1.6B, with BlackRock's IBIT leading redemptions. Although corporate purchases provide a partial hedge, institutional ETF redemption pressure remains the main drag.

💹 Sentiment:

The market Fear & Greed Index is at 29, in the fear zone. This is a marked decline from the higher readings in mid-to-late October, reflecting increased risk aversion amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

💹 Technical Analysis:

Price is testing support around the key $73,000 level (a psychological threshold, and also near the 200-day moving average at around $73,100–$73,140). Yesterday's close held this area, but a lower high has formed, suggesting a weak short-term structure.
Support: $73,000 (a breakdown could point to the $71,500 and $70,000 areas).
Resistance: $75,000, followed by $76,300–$76,500.
The daily RSI is around 34–38, nearing oversold territory but not at an extreme; price is below the short-term moving averages but is holding above the 200-day moving average for now.

Strategy continues to accumulate approximately 1,036 BTC—has it bottomed yet? ❓

Will Double 11 bring a major price promotion? 〽️

November 11 $BTC Comprehensive Market Analysis

💰 Market News:

U.S. October CPI came in hotter than expected: +0.4% month over month (vs. 0.3% expected), while core CPI rose +0.3% (vs. 0.2% expected). After the data was released, the market’s probability of a Fed rate hike in December rose significantly (from about 77% to 85%), putting pressure on risk assets.

Traditional safe-haven assets such as gold performed relatively strongly, diverging from BTC.

💰 Fund Flows:

Spot BTC ETFs continued to see net outflows: approximately $201M on November 9. Cumulative outflows in November were about $1.48–1.5B, following approximately $1.28B in outflows the previous week—the largest weekly outflow since June. Institutional risk appetite is clearly weak, with funds continuing to be redeemed.

💰 Sentiment:

The Fear & Greed Index is around 29, indicating fear.

💰 Technical Analysis:

A textbook downtrend—wait patiently for signs of stabilization.
A structure of lower highs and lower lows has formed.
Daily RSI is around 34–38, near oversold territory, but there are no strong reversal signals; momentum indicators are bearish.
Support: 72500-70500
Resistance: 74600-75000
$BTC
#CPI高于预期，美股与BTC再度承压

At today's U.S. market open, all three major stock indexes opened lower: the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.48%, the S&P 500 fell 0.66%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.83%.

Among popular stocks, Apple rose 0.51%, Nvidia fell 2.77%, Microsoft fell 0.59%, Alphabet-A rose 0.11%, Amazon rose 0.01%, TSMC rose 0.02%, SpaceX fell 2.83%, Meta fell 0.44%, Broadcom fell 0.43%, Tesla fell 1.53%, SK Hynix fell 2.52%, AMD fell 0.86%, Micron Technology fell 2.54%, ASML fell 0.29%, Cisco fell 1.03%, Oracle fell 2.11%, Intel fell 2.16%, and Dell Technologies-C fell 2.69%.

$AAPLB
$MSFTB
$NVDAB

$牛来 had just finished speaking and then started pulling

$牛来 Niu Lai, I'm back again 😆

The market is falling across the board, but Niu Lai has held steady. This shows there's buying support at this level 💰

When the market cap was over 200 million, I told everyone to exit, because it was already near the top then—people were mostly just gambling, and the risk-reward ratio was poor ❌

Now that it's at $50 million, I'm here telling everyone to get in ✈️ It's bottoming out across all timeframes at this level. Resistance is at 0.063–0.072; once it breaks through, it'll take off

After the bearish CPI data came out, a pin bar formed. Does this count as a double-bottom with two pin bars?❓

$BTC

21:30 CPI data is out 👇

Headline: 0.4% (forecast: 0.3%); core: 0.3% (forecast: 0.2%). Combined with stronger-than-expected ADP, everything beat expectations—proof of a fake dove, real hawk 🦅

BTC fell in response, entirely reasonably. Sticky core inflation kills hopes of a dovish pivot; a 25 bp hike in December is now the baseline, and liquidity is being repriced ✊

Tai Chi response (yin in control):

❌ Defend: The 74.5k floor is being tested. If it breaks, reduce exposure without hesitation; next support is 68–70k.

❌ Avoid: Don’t chase shorts or buy the dip. With no fresh inflows (ETF outflows, stablecoin supply shrinking), catching the falling knife on the left side is dangerous.

✅ Wait: Let panic-driven volume exhaust itself; revisit a reversal once yin gives way to yang and the market stabilizes.

Manage risk strictly, hold the line, and wait for the new cycle 💹

$BTC

CPI at 21:30 tonight: BTC’s short-term direction switch 💹〽️

Three scenarios👇

🟢 Dovish (core ≤0.2%): rate-hike expectations ease → rebound to 78.8k, testing 81k

🟡 In line with expectations (headline 0.3%/core 0.2%): 80% rate-hike odds unchanged → choppy trading between 75k–78k, sweeping stop-losses

🔴 Hawkish (core ≥0.3%): rate-hike expectations revised upward → break below 74.9k, testing 68–70k

The current hand we're playing: ETF outflows continue, stablecoin volumes are shrinking, fear index at 28 — a zero-sum game; without fresh inflows, don't fantasize about a V-shaped reversal.

📌 Don't bet on direction ahead of the data; bet on risk management ✊

#CPI前瞻，12月利率走向迎关键考验 $BTC

Has the market finished its wick, or is it just getting started?❓

Nov 10 $BTC Comprehensive Market Analysis

✊ News:

Large ETF outflows are driving lower risk appetite: On Nov 9, net outflows totaled about $468M in a single day, with cumulative outflows of about $1.32B over seven days. Outflows the previous week were about $1.28B, the largest weekly outflow since June, with BlackRock’s IBIT accounting for the largest share. Institutional risk appetite is clearly weak.

Clear divergence from gold: Gold broke above $4,100 as funds flowed into traditional safe-haven assets, while BTC came under downward pressure. The market remains cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. CPI/PPI data and potential regulatory developments, with overall sentiment toward risk assets turning bearish.

✊ Fund flows:

Persistent net outflows from institutional funds are the main drag. Cumulative flows since ETF launches are still positive (about +$55–56B), but the recent trend has shifted to ongoing redemptions. On-chain whale activity shows some addresses moving toward distribution, while spot-market buying is not strong enough to absorb the pressure from ETF redemptions.

✊ Sentiment:

The Fear & Greed Index is at 30, in fear territory.

✊ Technicals:

Indicators: Daily RSI is around 34–37, near oversold territory, but there are no strong reversal signals; MACD and other momentum indicators remain bearish. Some models indicate that the price is trading at a discount to its long-term fair value, but short-term technicals have not yet confirmed a bottom.

Trend structure: Clearly downward in the short term, with price below several key moving averages. Wait patiently for a base to form.

Support: 73500–74000
Resistance: 75800–76700

$BTC

BTC price movements on Singles’ Day
2016 up
2017 down
2018 down
2019 down
2020 up
2021 down
2022 down
2023 down
2024 up
2025 down
2026 __

$BTC