Crypto心诚

🚀 BTC Market Help Community

Focus on real-time Bitcoin updates, market analysis, and sharing trading ideas!

From time to time, there are technical discussions, opportunity shares, and risk alerts. All rational discussions and mutual learning are welcome.

Wishing everyone smooth trading and continuous wealth—~

How long has it been since you last saw a rainbow chart? 😇

Although Bitcoin has risen from 57,800 to 87,300—an exact 50% increase—according to the rainbow chart, it is still in the special sale zone. Based on the cycle from 2021, this kind of position is typically when you would buy. But does the rainbow chart still apply to the current market? If you have done any research, please feel free to discuss.
$BTC
$ETH

#AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会

SNDK suddenly pulled a big bullish candle; the direct trigger was Rosenblatt Securities initiating coverage and issuing a Buy rating

SNDK mainly does key components for the upgrade from consumer storage to AI infrastructure. AI inference generates massive amounts of data, driving a surge in demand for high-density, high-performance NAND flash, and enterprise SSDs are starting to be in short supply

Because AI is taking up NAND capacity, combined with tighter industry supply, SNDK is gaining stronger pricing power. Analysts expect memory supply tightness may last until 2027–2028, which is extremely beneficial for SNDK, a pure-play NAND company

$SNDKB
$SNDK

#AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会

I think within the AI sector, $MUB $MU Micron still has a lot of potential

Because MU is the most scarce link in AI infrastructure—high-bandwidth memory and server memory. The potential comes mainly from supply-demand imbalances, not from storytelling

🇨🇳China reiterates virtual currency regulatory requirements again, banning related business and any linkage to RMB stablecoins

Don’t panic—this is just a policy reaffirmation, not a new round of major crackdowns

What’s happening now is one set of rules for the mainland and another for Hong Kong. If they say “China Hong Kong,” and Hong Kong is compliant, then why wouldn’t the mainland be allowed?

$BTC

#比特币突破5月高点逼近8.6万美元

There are still three or four months left this year. I feel that there is still a chance to see prices in the 60s and 70s in the coming year. Don’t even think about 30s or 40s.

$BCH this thousand-year turtle has started moving, and when he appears it usually means the doomsday war machine

#AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会

I think the next Semiconductor Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) $TSM has a chance, because TSMC charges tolls: NVDA, AMD, TPU, and even self-developed accelerators, as well as advanced process technology and CoWoS—all of them ultimately have to go through it. Customers can switch chip brands, but it’s hard to bypass the foundry

There are only three reasons it can rise—capacity is still tight, each chip is getting more expensive, and the N2/packaging ramp hasn’t finished yet. As long as cloud companies’ capex in 2027 doesn’t show a collective reduction in orders, this logic still holds

From a technical standpoint, the daily trading bottom and top are gradually lifting. So even if it pulls back further down, as long as it doesn’t break below 420 USD, I think it could gain momentum and move up toward around 480

The altcoin season index has reached 62—does that mean a full-scale altcoin surge is about to break out? Based on historical data and an overall analysis:

Values ≤ 25 indicate Bitcoin season
Values between 26–74 are neutral / transitional
Values ≥ 75 confirm altcoin season

Now the value is 62, which suggests about 60% of top altcoins have outperformed BTC over the past 90 days, while 40% have not yet; only breadth is improving. CoinMarketCap has also emphasized: above 50 does not equal altcoin season—75 is the threshold.

So I think 62 right now is in the midst of a season transition, not a switch that signals a broad-based altcoin breakout is imminent.

$BTC
$ETH

Today Binance USDe flash-dropped to 0.92, then returned to around 1 within a few minutes. On-chain and with other venues, it basically hasn’t broken away.

In the short term, it may have accidentally affected positions on Binance that use USDe as margin; in the medium term, it will lead institutions to apply a higher haircut to synthetic dollars. Systemic risk is currently limited—just monitor redemption volumes and how the index is priced.

In one sentence: what comes loose is Binance’s price, not necessarily USDe’s peg; the impact is limited
$ENA
#USDe

$MARSCOIN previously, around 0.11, I recommended it to everyone

I think now the upward trend will become even more clear. For the more aggressive among you, at this level you can already enter and pay attention in the app. Tomorrow, whether it can hold above 0.12—if it holds above 0.12, a pullback to 0.12 will be the opportunity

What we’re betting on at this point is a daily chart pullback. On the 4-hour timeframe, as long as the MACD reaches above the zero line, this move will be very clear. The resistance overhead will be around 0.19 to 0.24

Yesterday I set up a poll for everyone, and 1,561 people voted.

42% of people said they missed the move
38% are waiting for a callback, which also means they missed part of their position
Only 20% are fully invested.

I set up this poll yesterday mainly to gauge the market sentiment and see whether everyone in this round really made money. After the poll ended, I found that most people had missed the move. So based on that, the short-term market probably won’t drop so easily. Because investing requires contrarian thinking. The trader spent so much time and cost to push it to such a high level—he won’t easily turn downwards. He needs a major negative catalyst and a specific timing/turning point. It’s all about having the right time, place, and people.

$BTC

9.21 Bitcoin ETF Capital Flow Summary: Market Sentiment Heats Up!

Yesterday, the overall data for spot Bitcoin ETFs finally broke out of a sluggish trend. Total net inflow for the day reached $46.6824 million. Across the market, there was no significant selling pressure, and on-exchange liquidity clearly warmed up.

I’ve compiled the most realistic capital details—so you can understand the main players’ moves at a glance👇

✅ Major inflows (core longs)
ARKB: net inflow of $35.628 million in a single day
Yesterday’s ARKB was the absolute main force, capturing most of the buy-side orders. The institution’s absorption strength was very solid.

✅ Secondary funds continue to add positions
MSBT (JPMorgan): +$7.6038 million
BITB: +$2.6619 million
GBTC: +$0.4067 million
BTC: +$0.3820 million

The remaining BTCO/EZBC/BTCW funds were flat, with no unusual activity.
BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC had no updated data yesterday.



Key Market Takeaways

1. In the early part of last week, there were continuous redemptions and sentiment was weak; on Friday, a net inflow of $433 million by ultra-large orders successfully reversed the week’s overall pattern.
2. This Monday continued with net inflows from the whole market, with zero large-scale outflows—suggesting that near-term institutional selling pressure has basically been used up.
3. Smaller and mid-sized funds are watching from the sidelines, while top institutions quietly added positions—this is a classic bottom-accumulation pattern.

In short:
There was no crazy surge on the price chart, but the capital base at the bottom has become increasingly stable, and bearish momentum has kept weakening.

Next to watch closely:
Whether BlackRock and Fidelity—the two leading ETF giants—restore large-scale inflows. If both giants return to the market, the next leg of the rally is highly likely to begin.

$BTC

The 9th meeting between the heads of state of China and the United States will be held in September 2026, with a state visit to the United States taking place from September 23 to 25

I think part of the latter half of this market run was driven by this kind of news stimulus. Since the leaders’ meeting isn’t necessarily about reaching any major breakthrough agreement, it’s more about reducing the tail risk of conflict between major powers. Once news of the meeting came out, it signaled that communications would be eased. As a result, global risk-averse sentiment cooled down, which led to more capital flowing from safe-haven assets back into equities. That’s also why the market environment hasn’t really moved much in recent days, while crypto assets have continued to move upward.

So here’s the question: when the leaders meet on the 23rd to the 25th, will good news already be “priced in” — or will it turn into a negative for the market?

$BTC
$ETH

$PONS I'm here again to recommend Pons to everyone

I found a pattern with it: when the big coin is rising, it doesn't move, and when the big coin isn't moving, it starts to go upward. Right now, the big coin has begun to pull back. Let's take a look at Pons from a technical perspective. From the technical side, on the four-hour timeframe, this area has a rebound potential. Also, the MACD has already formed a golden cross, showing a bottoming formation. On the one-hour timeframe, at this same area, it has also formed a multi-bottom pattern. So at the moment, as long as the MACD forms a golden cross above the zero line on the one-hour timeframe, the next move should be up. Office workers will still see it trade in the range of 0.67 to 0.76.

The AI sector mentioned in issue 19: $TAO —I’ve provided both the ideas and the reasoning for everyone, and I also told everyone to focus on the first target at 320. And now 320 has already been reached—comfortably up about 20%.

The AI sector is definitely a key focus for future development. As for U.S. stocks, AI has already made a big move. So next, we need to see whether crypto AI can continue the bullish momentum in the risk market.

Next, if there’s an opportunity for a pullback back toward the area around 280, it can still be entered. Overall, the direction isn’t a big problem. In this bull run, aiming for a gain of 1,000 USD shouldn’t be a big issue either. For short-term support and resistance, you can refer to the image below from me 👇
#Aİ

September 22日 $BTC 行情分析

US stock risk appetite rebounds, market trading boosts rate-cut expectations, and capital rotates from the AI sector back into crypto assets; the US dollar index weakens, which is favorable for the pricing of risk assets

From a technical perspective, the current trend has strong bullish momentum. The bullish alignment is still in place. At this moment, absolutely do not short. If you are going to short, wait until the daily timeframe’s MACD shows a confirmed top divergence. There is currently such an expectation, so we need to see whether it can continue to drive upward with large bullish candles.

The most important intraday support is 84500. As long as 84500 holds and is not broken, price still has room to move higher. In summary, the bias remains mostly long. Once a trend is formed, it usually doesn’t change so quickly.

However, you should pay attention to one indicator right now: fear and greed. The Fear & Greed Index has already reached 78, which falls into the “extreme greed” zone. So personally, for this wave of market action: if you already have a position, you can hold it for now and wait for me to publish the top signal before exiting. If you currently have no position, you can wait a bit longer until market sentiment eases slightly, and then enter.

Bold predictions: in this bull market, how high do I think these tokens will rise to?

BTC—266600 USD
ETH—12000 USD
SOL—820 USD
HYPE—500 USD
UNI—40 USD
BNB—4000 USD
SUI—10 USD
ONDO—5 USD
AAVE—600 USD
DOGE—1 USD
XLM—2.5 USD

$ONDO

$UNI

$SUI

#比特币突破8.5万美元

$PONS Morning 0.6 reminder to everyone: go in. Even with 20x leverage, I’ve already doubled. The first target 0.64 has been reached. Next target is 0.76

Wait patiently for a big bullish candle. If you entered in the morning, you can first reduce your position a bit; keep your stop-loss at break-even.