$BTC Market Sentiment Thermometer: Fear and Greed Index 64 (Greed), up 5 from yesterday. A newbie’s burning question: How is this index calculated? The Fear and Greed Index is calculated primarily by observing Bitcoin and is used to represent the mood of the overall crypto market. It’s only an approximation. The Fear and Greed Index changes once a day; my mood changes every minute. Indicators can fail, but risk management can’t take a day off: Decide in advance what you’ll do if you’re wrong—it matters more than guessing correctly.
The result of staying up all night watching the charts: $LUMIA 1 hours, -16.27%, plus a pair of panda eyes 🐼 The drop is so steep, even the candlesticks are taking my breath away. Current price: 0.1125. After emotions have run their course, prices often need time to recover.
The news belongs to everyone, but my heartbeat is my own, so I’ve decided to steady my emotions first. Here’s what happened: Analysis: Bitcoin has seen 10 three-sigma extreme moves this year, more than in all of 2018. $BTC 82760.01, keep an eye on whether futures open interest suddenly changes in response to this.
A personal reflection: I came across the headline “LONGX launches actively managed basket product; its first offering, AI Nexus, goes long on AI leaders and shorts QQQ as a hedge,” and it reminded me of when I first got into the market. Back then, whenever I saw news, I wanted to jump in. More than once, I bought halfway up and sold near the bottom. These days, my routine is to read the original article first, then see how money is positioning itself, and only then decide whether to act. I’ll do the same this time with $ETH . At the end of the day, the easiest mistake to make isn’t getting the call wrong—it’s letting a single headline dictate your timing. Have you had similar experiences?
The market can change in an instant, so don’t rush to conclusions.
📌 $PIXEL : Breakdown of the price surge 15 minutes: +6.43% 24h: +38.27% Current price: 0.00813, 24h trading volume: $10.23 million The 24h gain is larger than this latest move, so the trend has been underway for some time. Are you more focused on price gains or trading volume?
【Term Explanation】How do Bitcoin and Ethereum differ in the way they record balances? With an Ethereum externally owned account, the nonce increases by 1 with each transaction. Transactions must be executed in nonce order, and each nonce can only be used once. The account model is more like an ordinary bank account: the balance is easy to understand, and writing smart contracts is more convenient. The trade-off is that transactions from the same account must be queued and executed in nonce order. $BTC uses the UTXO model. The balance shown in a wallet is actually the sum of multiple unspent outputs. Current price: 82580.01. Only put in money you can afford to lose.
$XPL 5-minute trading volume surged 32.3-fold, the price rose 0.82%, and the current price is 0.08611. If the price barely moves after a surge in volume, it means buyers and sellers are evenly matched. Whichever side gives way first, the price will move in the other direction. A genuine breakout is usually accompanied by a surge in volume, while a false breakout often isn’t. This is one of the indicators I pay close attention to.
Just my personal take—it may not be accurate, so please use your own judgment.
💡 $CARV October 11 (tomorrow), 38.78 million tokens will be unlocked, worth approximately $1.62 million and accounting for 5.85% of the circulating supply. Most will be released to the team and early investors. Current price: 0.04246, 24h: -3.67%. Don’t let a headline lead you astray—the answer is hidden in the original. What do you think?
The story that’s got me thinking most today: The U.S. Department of Justice is reviewing whether Binance has complied with its 2023 settlement agreement, which involved over $4.3 billion in fines and forfeitures. My first reaction was a little uneasy, but moments like this are exactly when I try not to rush into any trades. I’ll wait for the emotions to settle. $BNB is at 742.27 now—just noting it down. How do you usually handle situations like this?
In highly volatile markets, manage your risk first.
📌 Trending × Crypto · Topic: Musk says money may no longer matter in the future · Platform: Toutiao (No. 50) · Related: $DOGE (Musk) · Current price: 0.08479 There’s a layer of capital between trending topics and crypto prices.
Make your own decisions when buying or selling—don’t follow the crowd.
🐳 A whale’s-eye view: “A Ledger user was reportedly robbed after depositing 7 million USDT, potentially the largest single loss in this incident.” After a security incident, I usually watch three on-chain signals: · Where the affected funds go: through a mixer or directly to a centralized platform · Whether related platforms see a concentrated wave of withdrawals · Whether other projects in the same sector are also being sold off $BTC 24h trading volume: $1.335 billion. Worth adding to the watchlist.
🔢 Today's key takeaway: recovery phrases The password you set in your wallet is only used to unlock it on this device. To restore your wallet on another device, you'll need your recovery phrase. Write your recovery phrase by hand on paper and store it offline. Don't take a photo of it or save it to cloud storage. Don't take photos of your recovery phrase, and never store it in cloud storage. The coin mentioned above: $BTC is quoted at 82596.01 (24h +0.86%).
Friends around me ask whether they should get in, and my answer is: wait a bit. $US has moved above the 0.033 level. This price level has capped the price more than once before. Whether it can break through this time depends on trading volume.
【Intraday update】Bitcoin miner CleanSpark reports selling 702 bitcoins in September · The outlook is bullish, but beware of the positive news being priced in early. · The key thing to watch next is whether there will be any further official explanation. · $BTC , up 1.02% intraday
A lighthearted news flash: “S16 has its own AI mini-drama” is trending, and everyone online is talking about it. When regular folks see it trending: click to see what the fuss is about. When crypto folks see it trending: first check whether there’s a coin that could ride the wave. The one that came up this time: AI-themed token $WLD (24h -4.11%). Reflexes—we can’t help it 😂 Tell us in the comments: what was the first thing you thought when you saw this?
$KAIA broke through the 0.06 level. The last time it was here was 236 days ago. I usually don’t change my plan because of a single move, unless it really develops into a pattern.
【Key takeaway】Barclays raised its price target for shares of Bitcoin treasury company Strategy from $160 to $175 · Sentiment: Neutral · Source: Cailian Press · Related: $BTC (24h -0.46%) · What to watch: How the market moved when similar events happened before
#BTC
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
One more thing: $ONDO at 0.49—the comments section has been waiting for this for ages. It’s finally moved above that level. At levels like this, I usually don’t focus on whether it breaks through briefly; I watch to see if it can hold above the level at the close. I’ve seen too many false breakouts that surge past and then fall back. Let’s all keep an eye on what happens next.
No jokes today: a 60-year-old man was deceived by a cryptocurrency scam and lost over 21 million yuan in half a year. After a security incident comes out, users of the same ecosystem protocol are usually a bit nervous too. These kinds of negative news are often amplified by emotions; it’s better to look at them more rationally. $BTC intraday -0.61%