股惑仔

$UNITREE Smack🈳

$ONDS 2026年October 12, 2026, Ondas and Palantir established Regna AI, focused on “sovereign AI.” Ondas reported Q2 revenue of $83.8 million, up 67% quarter over quarter and more than 13-fold year over year; new orders totaled $175 million, backlog stood at $613 million, cash was approximately $1.4 billion, and financing exceeded $1.8 billion. Regna AI is based on open-weight models and combines customer data with Palantir AIP to deploy fine-tuned models in customers’ sovereign environments. Sovereign entities control the technology stack, without needing to build frontier models themselves. Ondas is its first customer and is also relying on its SkyWeaver C4I partnership. The company’s strategy is shifting from hardware sales to a high-margin, high-retention AI platform, while acquisitions such as DZYNE are helping it build a “system of systems”; pro forma backlog is approximately $757 million. Analysts’ consensus is “Strong Buy,” with a price target of $18.88 versus the current price of $6.73, implying roughly 180% upside. The sovereign AI market is projected to grow from $15.6 billion in 2025 to $54.4 billion by 2033. Risks include reliance on financing for acquisitions, shareholder dilution, long sales cycles, and execution uncertainty. Ondas is evolving from a drone defense company into a potential creator of sovereign AI infrastructure. It merits research, but is not risk-free. This is not investment advice.

$UNITREE From a structural perspective, the current asset is in a sustained downtrend, with short-term resistance at 66 and a longer-term target of 50. Overall, the primary downtrend is expected to continue. It is not advisable to chase the decline by opening short positions at new lows. After a string of declines, the asset is oversold in the short term, and a corrective B-wave rebound could occur at any time. Shorting at low levels risks being stopped out by a sharp rebound. A more prudent approach would be to wait for the price to rebound into the 66.03 resistance zone, then look for bearish signals such as a failure to gain further ground or long upper shadows before positioning short in the direction of the trend.

For risk management, if the price establishes itself above 66, the original interpretation of the downtrend wave structure is invalidated, and the B-wave rebound may develop into an upward impulsive wave. In that case, you must exit promptly and cut your losses. Fundamentally, the company has yet to deliver sufficient near-term results, putting its valuation under pressure. However, news related to the humanoid robotics sector could spark sharp rallies and disrupt technical patterns. Elliott Wave analysis involves subjective wave-counting and should be used for technical reference only; this is not investment advice. Short selling carries extremely high risk.

$CRML.US CRML (Critical Metals Corp)'s equity incentives are primarily governed by the 2024 Incentive Award Plan, which was substantially amended in October 2025. The plan added 15 million shares; together with automatic increases, the total reserve is approximately 21.17 million shares. Incentive instruments include performance stock options granted to executives and consultants, which vest in tranches only after the share price reaches $16.25, $20.31, and $25.39 and remains at each level for 20 trading days, with an exercise price capped at $25.39; and restricted stock units, which vest in equal annual installments over three years for executives, all at once on November 1, 2026 for non-executive directors, and on January 1, 2026 for advisory committee members. In October 2025, approximately 15.52 million shares in compensatory awards were approved. Earlier, in April, directors received annual equity awards vesting after one year, and CEO Tony Sage received 500,000 common shares. The plan aligns management's interests with market-capitalization growth, but the additional shares put pressure on shareholders through dilution. Given the high exercise price, the market has raised concerns that the targets may be difficult to achieve, and the share price fluctuated and declined after the announcement.

$CRML CRML (Critical Metals Corp)’s equity incentives are primarily governed by the 2024 Incentive Award Plan, which was substantially amended in October 2025. The plan added 15 million shares, bringing the total reserve to approximately 21.17 million shares after automatic increases. Incentive instruments include performance stock options granted to executives and consultants, which vest in tranches only if the share price reaches $16.25, $20.31, and $25.39 and remains at each level for 20 trading days; the exercise price is capped at $25.39. Restricted stock units vest in equal annual installments over three years for executives; in a single installment on November 1, 2026, for non-executive directors; and on January 1, 2026, for advisory committee members. Approximately 15.52 million compensatory awards were approved in October 2025. Previously, in April, directors received annual equity awards vesting one year later, and CEO Tony Sage received 500,000 common shares. The plan aligns management’s interests with growth in market capitalization, but the additional shares create dilution pressure for shareholders. Given the high exercise price, the market is concerned that the targets may be difficult to achieve, and the share price fluctuated downward after the announcement.

$ONDS Four-Star Command Headquarters and $74 Billion: ONDS’ Strategic Moment

On September 30, the U.S. Secretary of Defense announced the establishment of a four-star “Autonomous Operations Command” to oversee drones, AI, and command systems, and requested $74 billion to support drones and counter-drone efforts. This means autonomous warfare has moved from a lab exercise to a standing line item in the defense budget.

The logic isn’t complicated: on the Russia-Ukraine battlefield, $500 FPV drones have been used to knock down air-defense missiles worth millions of dollars—bringing the war back to an “arithmetic of unit kill cost.” And after the DJI ban, the Pentagon’s self-developed substitutes cost 8–14 times more; the Green UAS list has become the only domestic replacement window.

ONDS is perfectly positioned in this window. Its Optimus is a hangar-style drone certified by the FAA in the U.S., and it just secured a $14.3 million defense contract in Q2. Iron Drone Raider focuses on countermeasures and has already completed government pilot programs across Europe and Asia. In Q3, revenue surged roughly 6x year over year, setting a record as it expands U.S. domestic production capacity and hires to attract retired officers and tap defense-sector connections.

The risks are equally clear: small-cap high volatility; the $74 billion is a budget request rather than an allocated funding amount; the Green List is still under application; and Anduril is eyeing the space. This article does not constitute investment advice.

$BTC 怎么走到 90,123（红色虚线）

Current positioning

Your teacher (Waves Theory Study) 9/29 latest assessment:

• The purple line adjustment has progressed to the third segment (c wave end)

• As long as the green line is not broken: 80,026 → only a blue 5-2 pullback → then blue 5-3/5-4/5-5

• If the red dashed line at 90,123 is broken: the purple line can’t form a pushing wave → limited downside space → further confirms it’s (1) the path

Three-step path

Step 1: Blue 5-2 wrapping up (now ~84,400)

• The purple line’s c wave completes; stabilization in the 84,000–85,000 area is enough

• Absolute limit: it must not break 80,026; once broken, it would invalidate the entire Blue 5 structure

• Signal: 2H MACD red histogram contracting (currently DIF 7.18 / DEA -146.83 has just formed a golden cross), and KDJ is low

Step 2: Blue 5-3 main rise (84,400 → 88,000–89,000)

• Break above the prior high 87,395 is the confirmation signal

• Blue 5-1 rises from 74,968 to 87,395 = 12,427 points; Blue 5-3 is usually not shorter than that

• Counting from 84,000, the first target is 88,000–89,000; the interim liquidation zone at 87,904 (3.63600e8 short positions) will be absorbed

Step 3: Blue 5-4 pullback + Blue 5-5 sprint (→ 90,123)

• Blue 5-4 is a normal retracement of Blue 5-3’s 0.382 (about 86,000–86,500)

• Blue 5-5 rallies on exhaustion, ultimately topping out near the red dashed line at 90,123

Key confirmation / invalidation
Status | Meaning | Action
Hold 84,000–85,000 | Continue rising | Blue 5-2 ends; hold longs
Break 87,395 | Confirm Blue 5-3 | Add more; target 90,123
Rise above 90,123 | The purple line can’t form a pushing wave; downside is limited | Take profit/trim, but there’s no need to panic
Break below 80,026 | Blue 5 ends; enter a major correction (0.2–0.618) | Set a stop-loss and wait to re-enter at 78,500/75,000

One sentence

Hold 80,026 → purple c wave finishes → Blue 5-3 breaks 87,395 → Blue 5-5 surges to 90,123. Breaking above 90,123 is actually good (the purple line fails to form a pushing wave, so the subsequent drop won’t be deep); only if 80,026 is broken should you run. The above is a wave projection and does not constitute investment advice.

$USAR USA Rare Earth (USAR): The strategic core carrier of the full rare-earth industry chain in the United States

USA Rare Earth (NASDAQ ticker: USAR) is the only vertically integrated rare-earth company in the United States, covering the entire chain from mining, to separation and refining, to magnet manufacturing. It serves as a core strategic platform for the U.S. to advance autonomous and controllable rare-earth supply chains. At the beginning of 2025, it entered the NASDAQ after a reverse merger.

The company is deeply tied to U.S. industrial policy. In 2026, it received up to $1.6 billion in funding support under the CHIPS and Science Act, and the U.S. government holds a 10% stake. That same year, it completed the acquisition of the Brazilian Serra Verde rare-earth project, directly securing established operating capacity and cash flow, while also adjusting its management to fit global business integration. In terms of capacity, it has formed a “global raw-material security + domestic deep processing” setup: upstream includes operating mines in Brazil, the Round Top reserve mine in the U.S., and a joint venture project in Australia; midstream advances domestic refining and rare-earth metal capacity development to fill gaps in the domestic industry; downstream magnet operations will begin production starting in 2026, with plans to reach a domestic magnet capacity at the ten-thousand-ton scale by 2028.

The company is still in the capacity construction phase. In Q2 2026, revenue scale is relatively small and it continues to incur losses. However, cash reserves can support medium-term construction. Its total market capitalization is approximately $5.4 billion. Its core value lies in policy endorsement and the scarcity of end-to-end integration across the full industry chain. Over the long term, it is set to benefit from the trend of Western rare-earth capacity shifting. Key risks are concentrated in project implementation progress, the profitability cycle, and volatility in rare-earth prices.

$TSLA 【US to lower vehicle fuel efficiency standards; fuel consumption and emissions may rise】US officials said on Saturday that the US Department of Transportation will finalize regulations on Monday that significantly lower vehicle fuel economy standards, applicable through 2031. This means the US will reverse the policy pursued during the Biden administration to push automakers to produce more electric vehicles. President Donald Trump said he has approved new fuel economy standards for cars and trucks and said the new rules will lower the price of new vehicles. US Transportation Secretary Duffy said, “American auto workers will see a major victory on Monday.” According to the Department of Transportation’s own estimates, the new standards will reduce the cost of new cars, but fuel consumption and carbon dioxide emissions over the coming decades will increase.

$SAMSUNG Samsung Electronics wave-based accumulation analysis (about 250 words)

From a structural perspective, Samsung Electronics completed a five-wave advance earlier, followed by a two-wave correction, forming a W-X-Y composite corrective pattern. Projections suggest that the current rebound phase is most likely wave B, with an upside target around $230.

In terms of execution, a phased accumulation plan is used. You can initiate a small trial position when the pullback stabilizes, then add more once the price holds above a key resistance level. The rebound in wave B has a clear ceiling; in essence, it is a corrective-repair rebound rather than the start of a new primary uptrend. Set a strict stop-loss: if there is a valid breakdown below the low of wave Y, the wave B assumption is invalidated—exit immediately to avoid a larger decline at a higher level.

Samsung Electronics benefits from the AI memory cycle, but the semiconductor sector is extremely volatile. Wave analysis is purely a technical projection, and there is a risk of deviation across multiple waves. Trade carefully, control position size, and manage gains and losses properly.

Risk warning: The above is only a theoretical technical discussion and does not constitute any investment advice. Market volatility involves uncertainty.