Ashley Storey UEPM
Open Trade
Occasional Trader
4.6 Years
1.2K+ Following
111 Followers
7 Liked
3 Shared
All
Quotes
Translate
已加入
$BTC
Once you enter the cryptocurrency world, it's as deep as the ocean, and from now on, we will spend our years in the land of peach blossoms☯️
Welcome to all heroes and talents to join us! ❤️
Let’s rise from decline to glory together! ❤️
Create a space that belongs to us! ❤️
桃源 The chat room welcomes everyone! ❤️
Once you enter the cryptocurrency world, it's as deep as the ocean, and from now on, we will spend our years in the land of peach blossoms☯️
Welcome to all heroes and talents to join us! ❤️
Let’s rise from decline to glory together! ❤️
Create a space that belongs to us! ❤️
桃源 The chat room welcomes everyone! ❤️
Translate
关注
The trigger point for the "Cycle of Bull to Bear"
During an internal seminar at the institution, the boss asked me: How likely do you think it is that BTC will enter a deep bear market this time? Although I mentioned some personal opinions, I knew they contained my subjective wishes. After the meeting, I kept thinking about how to explain this issue with objective logic and data.
I think "investor price sensitivity" can be one basis. Its core is to quantify the "psychological pressure" or the "degree of pain" experienced by different investor groups when the BTC price falls, i.e., the price sensitivity.
It presents a cyclical pattern spanning more than a decade and clearly reveals the key triggering factors that led BTC to eventually fall into a deep bear market during past cycles - whenever the price sensitivity of Long-Term Holders (LTH) (blue line) exceeds that of Short-Term Holders (STH) (red line) and continues to rise, it means the probability of entering a deep bear market soars (as shown in the figure).
So, by carefully observing the evolution of past cycles in the figure, it is not difficult to find that there seems to be such a process:
1. At first, it is just a normal correction in a bull market, during which only the STH sensitivity increases, the red line rises alone, and LTH experiences almost no loss, with price sensitivity at zero.
2. Subsequently, as the price drops, the red line reaches a certain threshold and then decreases instead of rising, indicating that the trapped positions at high levels begin to cut losses and exit the market, causing a decrease in short-term cost basis and thus leading to a decrease in sensitivity.
3. Finally, as more LTHs who entered at high levels become more sensitive to price, the blue line exceeding the red line indicates that the market has already stepped one foot into the deep bear market.
Back to the current situation...
The blue line has already begun to rise, but it has not exceeded the red line, indicating that the current decline is still mainly due to short-term investors being more sensitive to price. A similar situation occurred in August 2024, but not in April 2025, indicating that August 2024 felt more like a "bear market" emotionally, although the correction was not deep, but the time span was very long (7 months).
Of course, compared to the past, at least the current LTH sensitivity has not reached a level of imminent crisis (the curve has been smoothed using relative market value), but it is an undeniable fact that risk is rising. So under what conditions will the probability of "risk" turning into a "crisis" rise rapidly?
$BTC #加密市场观察
{future}(BTCUSDT)
During an internal seminar at the institution, the boss asked me: How likely do you think it is that BTC will enter a deep bear market this time? Although I mentioned some personal opinions, I knew they contained my subjective wishes. After the meeting, I kept thinking about how to explain this issue with objective logic and data.
I think "investor price sensitivity" can be one basis. Its core is to quantify the "psychological pressure" or the "degree of pain" experienced by different investor groups when the BTC price falls, i.e., the price sensitivity.
It presents a cyclical pattern spanning more than a decade and clearly reveals the key triggering factors that led BTC to eventually fall into a deep bear market during past cycles - whenever the price sensitivity of Long-Term Holders (LTH) (blue line) exceeds that of Short-Term Holders (STH) (red line) and continues to rise, it means the probability of entering a deep bear market soars (as shown in the figure).
So, by carefully observing the evolution of past cycles in the figure, it is not difficult to find that there seems to be such a process:
1. At first, it is just a normal correction in a bull market, during which only the STH sensitivity increases, the red line rises alone, and LTH experiences almost no loss, with price sensitivity at zero.
2. Subsequently, as the price drops, the red line reaches a certain threshold and then decreases instead of rising, indicating that the trapped positions at high levels begin to cut losses and exit the market, causing a decrease in short-term cost basis and thus leading to a decrease in sensitivity.
3. Finally, as more LTHs who entered at high levels become more sensitive to price, the blue line exceeding the red line indicates that the market has already stepped one foot into the deep bear market.
Back to the current situation...
The blue line has already begun to rise, but it has not exceeded the red line, indicating that the current decline is still mainly due to short-term investors being more sensitive to price. A similar situation occurred in August 2024, but not in April 2025, indicating that August 2024 felt more like a "bear market" emotionally, although the correction was not deep, but the time span was very long (7 months).
Of course, compared to the past, at least the current LTH sensitivity has not reached a level of imminent crisis (the curve has been smoothed using relative market value), but it is an undeniable fact that risk is rising. So under what conditions will the probability of "risk" turning into a "crisis" rise rapidly?
$BTC #加密市场观察
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Translate
牛
Brothers make a small profit and share! #美联储降息
Translate
周末愉快
Happy weekend
Good night everyone 🙃🌌
🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁
#美联储降息 #ETH走势分析 📊
Good night everyone 🙃🌌
🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁
#美联储降息 #ETH走势分析 📊
666
DOGE over $100? $13 trillion market value will reshape global finance and social order
#Dogecoin When the price of DOGE reaches $100, its $13 trillion market value (calculated based on a circulating supply of 130 billion coins) will no longer be a celebration within the crypto circle, but rather a systemic change capable of shaking the global landscape—this scale is equivalent to the annual GDP of the world's third-largest economy, which will directly rewrite the underlying logic of financial rules, wealth distribution, and geopolitical games.
1. Financial System: A disruptive leap from 'marginal supplement' to 'core reconstruction'
Cryptocurrency will completely break free from the label of 'niche investment' and rise to become a core category of global finance. The $13 trillion scale not only allows DOGE to far exceed the current global cryptocurrency total market value of $1.2 trillion, but it also stands alongside the combined market value of Apple and Microsoft, becoming a must-have asset for institutions like pension funds and sovereign wealth funds. This change will compel countries to accelerate the improvement of regulatory frameworks: the United States will continue the policy logic of (guiding and establishing the U.S. stablecoin innovation bill), incorporating DOGE into the federal regulatory system, clarifying issuance compliance, reserve requirements, and information disclosure standards; the United Kingdom will focus on 'property rights confirmation' to provide legal support for scenarios such as inheritance and mortgages, while traditional asset management giants will launch DOGE-related ETF products.
1. Financial System: A disruptive leap from 'marginal supplement' to 'core reconstruction'
Cryptocurrency will completely break free from the label of 'niche investment' and rise to become a core category of global finance. The $13 trillion scale not only allows DOGE to far exceed the current global cryptocurrency total market value of $1.2 trillion, but it also stands alongside the combined market value of Apple and Microsoft, becoming a must-have asset for institutions like pension funds and sovereign wealth funds. This change will compel countries to accelerate the improvement of regulatory frameworks: the United States will continue the policy logic of (guiding and establishing the U.S. stablecoin innovation bill), incorporating DOGE into the federal regulatory system, clarifying issuance compliance, reserve requirements, and information disclosure standards; the United Kingdom will focus on 'property rights confirmation' to provide legal support for scenarios such as inheritance and mortgages, while traditional asset management giants will launch DOGE-related ETF products.
Translate
🇵🇰47
#Pakistan_and_Binance_2025
#WhaleWatch
#Binance_market_unpridictable
🆔Relationship between Pakistan and Binance ... especially recent developments in 2025 regulatory and collaboration news.
✨ 1. Major New MoU on Tokenisation (Dec 2025)
Pakistan signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Binance to explore tokenising up to $2 billion worth of sovereign and real-world assets (like government bonds, treasury bills, and commodity reserves). This is aimed at boosting liquidity, transparency, and attracting global investors using blockchain tech — a first step toward deeper digital-asset integration.
✨ 2. Regulatory Progress & Licensing Pathway
The Pakistan Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (PVARA) has given No Objection Certificates (NOCs) to Binance (and another exchange, HTX).
These are initial regulatory clearances that let Binance begin compliance processes and prepare for full operating licenses.
This is not yet a full license, but it signals Pakistan’s shift toward formal regulation of crypto exchanges.
✨ 3. Large Crypto Adoption in Pakistan
Pakistan is one of the most active crypto markets in the world. According to recent industry data, it ranked third globally in crypto adoption, especially among retail traders — highlighting why exchanges like Binance matter for local users.
✨4. Binance Leadership Involvement in Pakistan
Earlier in 2025, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) was appointed as a strategic adviser to the Pakistan Crypto Council, indicating a close advisory relationship with the government on crypto strategy and future policy.
✨5. Legal Status of Binance in Pakistan
Binance is not banned in Pakistan and remains accessible to Pakistani users.
Pakistan’s central bank clarified that cryptocurrencies themselves are not illegal, though formal licensing and regulation for exchanges like Binance are still being rolled out.
#Follow_Like_Comment
stay blessed 😇
love you all 💕 🌻
#StaySafeCryptoCommunity
#WhaleWatch
#Binance_market_unpridictable
🆔Relationship between Pakistan and Binance ... especially recent developments in 2025 regulatory and collaboration news.
✨ 1. Major New MoU on Tokenisation (Dec 2025)
Pakistan signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Binance to explore tokenising up to $2 billion worth of sovereign and real-world assets (like government bonds, treasury bills, and commodity reserves). This is aimed at boosting liquidity, transparency, and attracting global investors using blockchain tech — a first step toward deeper digital-asset integration.
✨ 2. Regulatory Progress & Licensing Pathway
The Pakistan Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (PVARA) has given No Objection Certificates (NOCs) to Binance (and another exchange, HTX).
These are initial regulatory clearances that let Binance begin compliance processes and prepare for full operating licenses.
This is not yet a full license, but it signals Pakistan’s shift toward formal regulation of crypto exchanges.
✨ 3. Large Crypto Adoption in Pakistan
Pakistan is one of the most active crypto markets in the world. According to recent industry data, it ranked third globally in crypto adoption, especially among retail traders — highlighting why exchanges like Binance matter for local users.
✨4. Binance Leadership Involvement in Pakistan
Earlier in 2025, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) was appointed as a strategic adviser to the Pakistan Crypto Council, indicating a close advisory relationship with the government on crypto strategy and future policy.
✨5. Legal Status of Binance in Pakistan
Binance is not banned in Pakistan and remains accessible to Pakistani users.
Pakistan’s central bank clarified that cryptocurrencies themselves are not illegal, though formal licensing and regulation for exchanges like Binance are still being rolled out.
#Follow_Like_Comment
stay blessed 😇
love you all 💕 🌻
#StaySafeCryptoCommunity
1
Quoted content has been removed
Translate
来财
Today is the weekend, wishing everyone abundant wealth ahead!
The weekend is expected to fluctuate and make some corrections
Answer: wealth comes
The weekend is expected to fluctuate and make some corrections
Answer: wealth comes
Yes
$PEPE /USDT Red Packet is live for the community. Small drops can turn into big smiles.
Join the moment share the fun and celebrate the Pepe spirit together with everyone.
{spot}(PEPEUSDT)
Join the moment share the fun and celebrate the Pepe spirit together with everyone.
{spot}(PEPEUSDT)
Translate
Sxzyg
Boke Theorem
Only through debate can the best ideas and decisions be born.
Without friction, there is no honing; only through debate can there be high discourse. $BNB
{future}(BNBUSDT)
Only through debate can the best ideas and decisions be born.
Without friction, there is no honing; only through debate can there be high discourse. $BNB
{future}(BNBUSDT)
🤔🤔🤔
📉 $BTC sharply fell and entered a consolidation phase 🤔🤔🤔
Bitcoin received a strong drop from the zone of $92,700 and fell to a minimum of $89,480. Currently, the price is stabilizing around $90,326.
📊 Main points from the chart:
BTC is trading below MA(25) and MA(99) — selling pressure remains.
MA(7) is nearly at the price level — the market has paused after the impulse.
Volumes sharply increased on the decline, but are now decreasing — panic is subsiding.
Support: $89,400–$89,800.
Resistance: $91,200–$91,500.
📌 Conclusion:
BTC is not yet ready for growth and is consolidating after a strong drop. A breakout above $91.5K and a hold above the averages are needed for recovery. 🤔🤔🤔
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Bitcoin received a strong drop from the zone of $92,700 and fell to a minimum of $89,480. Currently, the price is stabilizing around $90,326.
📊 Main points from the chart:
BTC is trading below MA(25) and MA(99) — selling pressure remains.
MA(7) is nearly at the price level — the market has paused after the impulse.
Volumes sharply increased on the decline, but are now decreasing — panic is subsiding.
Support: $89,400–$89,800.
Resistance: $91,200–$91,500.
📌 Conclusion:
BTC is not yet ready for growth and is consolidating after a strong drop. A breakout above $91.5K and a hold above the averages are needed for recovery. 🤔🤔🤔
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Translate
1688
Hello💗💗
Follow me
My identity card is out, let's work hard towards our goals together!
#BNB
Follow me
My identity card is out, let's work hard towards our goals together!
#BNB
1
🧧🧧🧧🦅🦅🦅🚀🚀🚀
💥On December 10, 2025, President Trump launched the "Gold Card Visa".
🌈The card again features the bald eagle #Hawk and the element of "freedom"✨
#Hawk symbolizes freedom and spreads the idea of liberty, highly favored by the President! The President's actions indicate that #Haw is bound to go viral✅
$Hawk is about to explode after bottoming out; those with insufficient chips should act quickly🔥🔥🔥📈📈📈
💥On December 10, 2025, President Trump launched the "Gold Card Visa".
🌈The card again features the bald eagle #Hawk and the element of "freedom"✨
#Hawk symbolizes freedom and spreads the idea of liberty, highly favored by the President! The President's actions indicate that #Haw is bound to go viral✅
$Hawk is about to explode after bottoming out; those with insufficient chips should act quickly🔥🔥🔥📈📈📈
HB_VBox
Good evening friends. 🤘
I wish everyone a great weekend.
$SOL we always keep our hope alive.
I recommend evaluating and holding it while there is a buying opportunity.
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
I wish everyone a great weekend.
$SOL we always keep our hope alive.
I recommend evaluating and holding it while there is a buying opportunity.
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
#dr_chart_mazen
Dr Chart Mazen
--
Bullish
❤️🔥🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
Participation and demand ✅ and follow-up ✅
20k followers 🎁
Upcoming rewards for everyone 🎉
All thanks and appreciation ❤️🔥
Participation and demand ✅ and follow-up ✅
20k followers 🎁
Upcoming rewards for everyone 🎉
All thanks and appreciation ❤️🔥
Translate
牛B
#加密市场反弹 $ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
3405 short position, 3212 additional position, 3182 half closed, current average price 3308 short position in hand, 3100 locked in profit
In my spare time, I spent a day trading short on a knockoff, 11 wins and 2 losses, how's this record? Are you all not keeping up? 😈
{future}(ETHUSDT)
3405 short position, 3212 additional position, 3182 half closed, current average price 3308 short position in hand, 3100 locked in profit
In my spare time, I spent a day trading short on a knockoff, 11 wins and 2 losses, how's this record? Are you all not keeping up? 😈
Gn 💖
Good night my cutie sweetie friends, 😆
#RAHI7 😁$TAO $POL $REQ
#RAHI7 😁$TAO $POL $REQ
Yes🥰
Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have reached a significant milestone, recording the highest weekly inflows ever at $3.12 billion, according to CoinShares. This substantial influx has contributed to a year-to-date total of $37 billion, marking a new high for digital asset investments.
The digital asset investment products saw a remarkable $3.13 billion in weekly inflows, largely driven by Bitcoin. This surge surpasses the initial performance of US Gold ETFs, which only attracted $309 million in their first year. The influx was predominantly from the United States, amounting to $3.2 billion, while countries like Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland experienced outflows of $40 million, $84 million, and $17 million respectively, as investors took advantage of high prices to realize profits.
Altcoins like XRP, Litecoin, and Chainlink also saw significant interest, with inflows of $15 million, $4.1 million, and $1.3 million respectively. However, multi-asset investment products experienced a second consecutive week of outflows, totaling $10.5 million.
$BTC
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek
The digital asset investment products saw a remarkable $3.13 billion in weekly inflows, largely driven by Bitcoin. This surge surpasses the initial performance of US Gold ETFs, which only attracted $309 million in their first year. The influx was predominantly from the United States, amounting to $3.2 billion, while countries like Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland experienced outflows of $40 million, $84 million, and $17 million respectively, as investors took advantage of high prices to realize profits.
Altcoins like XRP, Litecoin, and Chainlink also saw significant interest, with inflows of $15 million, $4.1 million, and $1.3 million respectively. However, multi-asset investment products experienced a second consecutive week of outflows, totaling $10.5 million.
$BTC
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek
#Cryptomaxx 🧧🔥
Crypto Maxx
--
Good evening, our dear followers #Cryptomaxx 🤍
Today we bring you a few gifts 🎁 from our team… you deserve it.
All you have to do:
Just like 👍 and comment with your answer so the red envelope 🎉 reaches you.
Welcome everyone 🤝
Today we bring you a few gifts 🎁 from our team… you deserve it.
All you have to do:
Just like 👍 and comment with your answer so the red envelope 🎉 reaches you.
Welcome everyone 🤝
#PakistanxBinance
Pakistan and the global digital currency company Binance signed a Memorandum of Understanding today, which will enable better management of government financial assets through modern technology.
The agreement was signed by Federal Finance Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb and Binance's CEO Richard Teng, under which Pakistan and Binance will jointly review how some government assets, such as government bonds, treasury bills, and official reserves, can be presented in a more transparent and efficient manner using modern blockchain technology.
According to officials, the purpose of this project is to increase access to investment in the country and make the financial system more transparent.
Legal approval will be required for any final decision on advancing this project under the Memorandum of Understanding, as the value of these assets could reach up to two billion dollars.
Under this Memorandum of Understanding, Binance will provide Pakistan with technical assistance, training, and consultation so that the government can better understand this technology and assess its potential benefits.
Addressing the ceremony, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said that this agreement is an important step in Pakistan's journey of economic reforms.
According to him, the government now wants rapid practical progress on this project.
Binance founder CZ described this agreement as welcome for Pakistan, stating that it could create new opportunities for the country's youth.
The Ministry of Finance has clarified that this is only an initial memorandum aimed at reviewing possibilities for cooperation. Negotiations for any final agreement will take place in the next six months, and Pakistan's laws will apply to it. #PakistanxBinance 🤝
The agreement was signed by Federal Finance Minister Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb and Binance's CEO Richard Teng, under which Pakistan and Binance will jointly review how some government assets, such as government bonds, treasury bills, and official reserves, can be presented in a more transparent and efficient manner using modern blockchain technology.
According to officials, the purpose of this project is to increase access to investment in the country and make the financial system more transparent.
Legal approval will be required for any final decision on advancing this project under the Memorandum of Understanding, as the value of these assets could reach up to two billion dollars.
Under this Memorandum of Understanding, Binance will provide Pakistan with technical assistance, training, and consultation so that the government can better understand this technology and assess its potential benefits.
Addressing the ceremony, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said that this agreement is an important step in Pakistan's journey of economic reforms.
According to him, the government now wants rapid practical progress on this project.
Binance founder CZ described this agreement as welcome for Pakistan, stating that it could create new opportunities for the country's youth.
The Ministry of Finance has clarified that this is only an initial memorandum aimed at reviewing possibilities for cooperation. Negotiations for any final agreement will take place in the next six months, and Pakistan's laws will apply to it. #PakistanxBinance 🤝
Login to explore more contents