jh1024
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Will SOL return to 8 dollars? Casual chat
Recently, the market has been fluctuating, and many people have started to ask an old question:
Will SOL return to 8 dollars?
This price is not mentioned casually.
8 dollars is the range of the 'most pessimistic pricing' for Solana after the FTX collapse in 2022.
Therefore, discussing this issue is essentially not about predicting prices, but rather judging whether Solana will once again enter a stage of 'systemic denial.'
I break down this issue from three dimensions:
1. Price level: Structurally, what does 8 dollars mean?
Considering the current circulation of SOL and the size of its ecosystem
Will SOL return to 8 dollars?
This price is not mentioned casually.
8 dollars is the range of the 'most pessimistic pricing' for Solana after the FTX collapse in 2022.
Therefore, discussing this issue is essentially not about predicting prices, but rather judging whether Solana will once again enter a stage of 'systemic denial.'
I break down this issue from three dimensions:
1. Price level: Structurally, what does 8 dollars mean?
Considering the current circulation of SOL and the size of its ecosystem
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Just a week ago on December 15, due to the anticipation of the SpaceX IPO, Musk set a world record, becoming the first person in human history whose net worth surpassed $600 billion. However, this record lasted less than a few days before being broken by another historically significant legal reversal.
With the Delaware Supreme Court issuing a final ruling last Friday, Musk's 2018 Tesla stock option incentive plan, which had been revoked by a lower court, has officially been reinstated. This ruling means Musk has regained assets worth approximately $139 billion.
The injection of this legal windfall has caused Musk's net worth to instantly soar to $748.9 billion. What does this figure represent? It means Musk's wealth alone is almost equivalent to the total of the 2nd to 4th places on the list (Larry Page, Larry Ellison, Jeff Bezos).
Musk has become the first individual in human history to surpass a net worth of $700 billion.
$DOGE $BTC
With the Delaware Supreme Court issuing a final ruling last Friday, Musk's 2018 Tesla stock option incentive plan, which had been revoked by a lower court, has officially been reinstated. This ruling means Musk has regained assets worth approximately $139 billion.
The injection of this legal windfall has caused Musk's net worth to instantly soar to $748.9 billion. What does this figure represent? It means Musk's wealth alone is almost equivalent to the total of the 2nd to 4th places on the list (Larry Page, Larry Ellison, Jeff Bezos).
Musk has become the first individual in human history to surpass a net worth of $700 billion.
$DOGE $BTC
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Will the Bitcoin four-year cycle repeat?
In the past few years, veteran players in the crypto space have been educated by the logic of the 'four-year cycle' almost every time. In 2013, 2017, and 2021, each post-halving market has played out a remarkably similar script: halving, rising, frenzy, collapse, cooling. So by 2025, the market will once again face the soul-searching question - will this four-year cycle repeat itself?
My personal view is: the cycle still exists, but the rhythm and structure have changed.
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1. Why is the 'four-year cycle' still valid?
The Bitcoin halving is the most core 'supply shock' event in this market. The output from miners has decreased from 900 coins per day to 450 coins, which means the number of coins available for sale in the market has drastically reduced. With supply decreasing and demand stable or even increasing, prices naturally rise.
My personal view is: the cycle still exists, but the rhythm and structure have changed.
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1. Why is the 'four-year cycle' still valid?
The Bitcoin halving is the most core 'supply shock' event in this market. The output from miners has decreased from 900 coins per day to 450 coins, which means the number of coins available for sale in the market has drastically reduced. With supply decreasing and demand stable or even increasing, prices naturally rise.
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BNB drops below 1000, is this an opportunity?
Recently, BNB has fallen from over 1200 and finally dropped below the 1000 mark. Everyone on WeChat, group chats, and Twitter is asking the same question: "Can BNB still be bought?"
As someone who has been in the crypto space for a few years and has experienced countless rounds of explosive rises and falls, I want to share my thoughts.
1. What is the root cause of this drop?
Don't rush to buy the dip; we need to clearly understand the reasons for the drop.
This round of BNB's decline is actually the result of multiple factors overlapping:
1. Overall market adjustment - Bitcoin has fallen from its high, leading to a decrease in overall market risk appetite, and mainstream coins are also experiencing corrections;
As someone who has been in the crypto space for a few years and has experienced countless rounds of explosive rises and falls, I want to share my thoughts.
1. What is the root cause of this drop?
Don't rush to buy the dip; we need to clearly understand the reasons for the drop.
This round of BNB's decline is actually the result of multiple factors overlapping:
1. Overall market adjustment - Bitcoin has fallen from its high, leading to a decrease in overall market risk appetite, and mainstream coins are also experiencing corrections;
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What's the next move for Alpha? Should we leave? Once I calculate this account, you'll understand.
Recently, everyone has been debating whether Alpha should continue, and I've helped you sort out the accounts; the data makes it clear.
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🔧 First, let's talk about the 'wear and tear' part (cost)
Currently, there are basically three common scoring schemes used by retail investors:
Plan A: 2+15
A complete cycle is about 255 points
Daily wear and tear maintains at 1.5 to 2U
Total cost is about 25U
Plan B: 2+16
One cycle is about 270 points
Daily wear and tear 3 to 4U
Total cost is about 53U
Plan C: Mixed brushing method (2+15 for ten days + 2+16 for five days)
Cycle 260 points
Average wear and tear 32U
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💰 Now let's look at the profit range (estimated based on the current market conditions)
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🔧 First, let's talk about the 'wear and tear' part (cost)
Currently, there are basically three common scoring schemes used by retail investors:
Plan A: 2+15
A complete cycle is about 255 points
Daily wear and tear maintains at 1.5 to 2U
Total cost is about 25U
Plan B: 2+16
One cycle is about 270 points
Daily wear and tear 3 to 4U
Total cost is about 53U
Plan C: Mixed brushing method (2+15 for ten days + 2+16 for five days)
Cycle 260 points
Average wear and tear 32U
---
💰 Now let's look at the profit range (estimated based on the current market conditions)
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How many points is everyone still scoring now?
I’ve been too busy with work, plus I really didn’t get to eat last month.
Friends, let’s exchange $BNB .
I’ve been too busy with work, plus I really didn’t get to eat last month.
Friends, let’s exchange $BNB .
S
ENSO/USDT
Price
3.134
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