🔥Fed hawkish rate cut + bond buying explosion! Bitcoin at $93K, Ethereum at $3200, a mere one rate cut in 2026—internal divisions at their largest in six years, market liquidity ignited🔥
On December 11th, Taiwan time, the Federal Reserve concluded its last FOMC meeting of 2025, cutting the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, from 3.75%-4.00% to 3.50%-3.75%. This is the third rate cut of the year, passed with a 9-3 vote, with three officials dissenting (two hoping to maintain, one calling for a 50 basis point cut), marking the largest division in six years.
The dot plot maintains its forecast: one rate cut in 2026, another in 2027, with a long-term neutral rate of 3%. CME tools show a 71% probability of at least one rate cut by June next year, with less than 50% for the January, March, and April meetings. Nick Timiraos pointed out that this is a "hawkish rate cut"—a cut that implies a pause in the near term, with rare internal division over inflation vs. employment concerns.
Powell emphasized in the press conference that data shows the economic outlook has not changed, rates are within the neutral range, and the Fed is patient in watching, not considering "next rate hike" as a baseline assumption. The RMP reserve management purchase plan is launched, starting from December 12, buying $40 billion in short-term U.S. Treasuries within 30 days, maintaining a high pace in the coming months, and ending overnight repo restrictions.
Upon the news, risk assets soared: Bitcoin broke $93,000, Ethereum surged to $3200, Nasdaq futures rose 1.2%, and S&P rose 0.9%. The $4 billion ETF outflow in November may stabilize, with institutional funds flowing back into crypto, and RMP strengthening Bitcoin's hedging property, accelerating allocation.
The Bitcoin legion, this hawkish rate cut stabilizes the bottom, and the liquidity expansion in 2026 begins. #美联储降息 $BTC
#BinanceFutures Join the competition and share a prize pool of 10,000,000 NIGHT! https://www.binance.com/activity/trading-competition/futures-night-challenge
#injective $INJ {future}(INJUSDT) @Injective Injective (INJ) is a fast-growing DeFi platform with a strong ecosystem! 🚀 #Write2Earn #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #Binance
#injective $INJ {future}(INJUSDT) @Injective Injective (INJ) is a fast-growing DeFi platform with a strong ecosystem! 🚀 #Write2Earn #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #Binance
Good evening, brothers. I just finished the night market analysis and won't be posting anymore for now. Let's meet again at 2:30 to wait for the interest rate cut together. For those who don't have any positions, it's best to get a good night's sleep. For those with positions, see you in the live stream later! After the interest rate cut of 25, I personally feel it will go up first and then come down. This rise probably won't break last night's previous high before coming down, but pay close attention to Chairman Powell's speech at 3:30. If there are no significant policy benefits afterward, everyone can consider taking a small short position at that time! #美联储重启降息步伐