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Ethereum technology breakthrough established, early morning Federal Reserve interest rate decision, both offense and defense are just a thought away, complete analysis of the future market cycle!
The weekly chart has shown a three consecutive bullish structure, confirming a breakthrough of the long-term downward channel. If the subsequent retracement does not break the upper edge of this channel, the rebound pattern is expected to continue. The daily level has recorded four consecutive bullish days accompanied by increased volume, completing an effective breakthrough of the downward trend line, and the W-bottom structure has officially formed. The next key upward target is around 3630, corresponding to the important resistance area of Fibonacci 0.5-0.618.
Looking at the four-hour level, Ethereum price is operating within a clear upward channel, currently receiving support and stabilizing near the middle track of the channel. If it can maintain above the middle track, it is expected to continue the oscillating upward rhythm within the channel, and in the short term will test the upper track pressure area of 3550-3600 again.
Intraday operation suggestion: Short-term buy near 3270-3300, target 3400-3450
Bitcoin breaks through the key triangle area, 94000 becomes the battleground for bulls and bears, how will the market develop? We will analyze it from three time frames!
The weekly chart for Bitcoin shows a three consecutive bullish structure, confirming a bullish pattern. After this week closes positively, it is expected to break through the weekly downtrend line. The daily chart has completed a key breakout from the triangle consolidation and downtrend line, and the current price encountered resistance after approaching the 94,000 level, pulling back to confirm support at the trend line. If it stabilizes on the pullback, it will restart upward momentum. The daily MACD and RSI maintain a golden cross, supporting further upward movement.
On the four-hour level, Bitcoin's larger structure is in a fluctuating upward channel, having broken through the local downtrend channel in the short term, forming a bullish flag pattern with a theoretical target around the upper channel line near 97,000. At the same time, attention should be paid to whether the triple bottom neckline near 94,000 can be broken. If effectively above, it is expected to open up greater space towards the 104,000–106,000 area. On the downside, support should be observed at the channel midline 91,500 and lower line 86,500; as long as these levels hold, the upward structure remains intact.
Intraday trading suggestion: Long near 90500-91500, target 93000-93500
Brothers, the next Federal Reserve chairman has spoken: there is a lot of room for interest rate cuts!
I just came across some explosive news! The popular candidate for the next Federal Reserve chairman, Hassett, directly laid it out today: "The Federal Reserve has ample room for significant interest rate cuts" – when asked by reporters if it could exceed 25 basis points, he replied: "That's right!"
This signal is pretty straightforward, right? In translation: 1️⃣ Interest rates will not only be cut by 25 basis points; it could be more aggressive. 2️⃣ The king understands the desire for "significant rate cuts," and this candidate is clearly in alignment. 3️⃣ Although he says, "we will adhere to independent judgment," the underlying message is one of easing expectations.
For us in the crypto space, this is like giving next year's liquidity a "pill of reassurance" in advance. Historically, during every interest rate cut cycle, hasn't the big coin always moved first?
What's next? Short term: The market might start speculating on this expectation in advance; it has already been heating up for two days. Mid-term: Once the rate cuts actually begin, funds will definitely seek outlets. Long term: If there are indeed "significant rate cuts," the potential for this bull market might be greater than expected.
When the news comes out, don't rush in blindly, but once the direction is clear, don't hesitate. This level of signal is often the beginning of a stage, not the end. Do you think Hassett is really willing to act, or is he just talking? $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
The market has partially released the trapped positions, and liquidity has improved significantly!
How should you choose your direction next? Do you think the interest rate cut will continue to push up to the 37 or 38 mark tomorrow morning? I think that's unrealistic; there are too many deep traps above. Even if the interest rate cut is beneficial, will the market makers push it up to release your trapped positions and then sell off? Impossible, completely impossible! Clear your logic, and you will be able to see through this market!
The second pancake at 3375 has entered the market, protection set at 3500. Now the market is polarized; one group believes this is the last wave before the bear market, while another group believes the bull market is not over yet! Which side will you choose this time? $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
It's getting cold, but your positions should be warm|An invitation to share in the bull and bear market💥💥💥
Hey there, have you felt that as the weather gets colder, the market gets quieter?
A hot pot can warm your stomach, but it can't warm your account. The harder the market, the clearer we need to be!
I know what you're going through:
Watching the fluctuations but not daring to take action
Wanting to learn but not finding direction
Carrying the anxiety of floating losses alone
So I created this Binance chat group, it's not a signal group, nor a calling team. This is a place where we can speak the truth, learn logic, and progress together.
In a bull market, everyone teaches you how to make money; in a bear market, I want to accompany you in learning how not to lose.
If you also want to be quietly prepared with your positions, mindset, and understanding before the next round starts, Welcome to verify every strike of @天少Bit ! $BTC $ETH $SOL
Ethereum daily line pullback confirmation, 3080 becomes a short-term lifeline | Two-level deduction👎👎👎
Ethereum price is currently operating above the key support area of 3085-3072, which can be considered an important reference for recent bullish defense. If the daily line stabilizes in this area and rebounds, it is expected to test the recent resistance near 3140, which can be seen as the boundary for short-term bull-bear strength. The overall daily line structure still maintains a certain range of fluctuations; whether it can effectively hold this support area is key to determining whether the daily line will continue to consolidate or weaken and decline.
From the four-hour level, in terms of short-term trends, after the price pulls back to the support zone of 3085-3072, a stabilization signal appears, meeting the conditions for a technical rebound. If the rebound momentum continues, the primary target can be seen near 3140, where it is expected to form the first short-term resistance. Subsequently, it is necessary to observe the price performance in this resistance area: if there is significant pressure, it may pull back to the support zone again; if it breaks through with volume, the short-term rebound space is expected to open further.
Intraday operation suggestions: Short position near 2990-3030, target 3150-3100 Short position near 3190-3230, target 3150-3100
Bitcoin triangle consolidation is entering the end, 92200 becomes the decisive point for bulls and bears | Two levels of deduction👎👎
First, let's look at the daily level, the Bitcoin price is currently running within the daily triangle consolidation range, constrained above by the triangle's upper edge and the overlapping pressure of the Bollinger upper band, and supported below by the triangle's lower edge and the Bollinger middle band. If it breaks through the triangle's upper edge with volume, the upward target can be seen in the 96000-100000 area (this range includes the FVG gap and the Fibonacci 0.5-0.618 key resistance). If it breaks down through the triangle's lower edge, the price will return to wide fluctuations, waiting for a new round of directional choice. Currently, the daily MACD and RSI golden cross structure is still maintained, reserving technical possibilities for an upward breakout.
From the four-hour level, the current structure presents a state of multiple channels coexisting: the large cycle is in a fluctuating upward channel, but the recent trend has formed a local downward channel. The key observation point is near 92200, where the upper edge of the downward channel and the middle of the upward channel resonate. If the price can break through this position, there is hope to form an "upward flag" structure, targeting around 97000 (corresponding to the upper edge of the upward channel). Conversely, if it continues to be constrained by the 92200 pressure and turns downward, attention should be paid to the support near the lower edge of the upward channel at 86500; an effective break below this position may evolve into a large-scale downward flag.
Intraday trading suggestions: Long near 86500-87500, target 92000-92500 Short near 92500-93000, target 91500-91000
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has soared to 89.4%. Essentially, it tells you that the rate cut on the 11th is a done deal.
But I would like to remind everyone: the market has already 'digested' this matter in advance. Now, the current prices may already reflect this expectation to a large extent. So on the actual announcement day, be careful of the old routine of 'news landing, market reversing'.
What should we pay attention to? What exactly does the Federal Reserve say? Are they only cutting this time, or are they hinting at further cuts later? This attitude is much more important than the rate cut itself. How will Powell 'smooth things over'? If this big brother shows even the slightest hesitation in his speech, the market might take the opportunity to shake out positions.
Don’t rush in just before the news comes out; take it easy. During the expectation phase, it's fine to get excited, but when it actually lands, think faster than you act. $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Brothers, the big show of the Federal Reserve is about to land soon.
It can now be basically confirmed that the 25 basis points rate cut is no longer in suspense, the market has long digested it. What is really worth watching tonight is not whether to 'cut or not,' but rather two other things: First, how fierce is their internal debate? It is said that there will be significant disagreements in this meeting, and many will vote against. The more opposing votes there are, the more tangled the Federal Reserve will be internally, and the more likely the policy will change later. Second, how will Powell 'smooth things over'? This guy's speech is the focus. Will he hint that 'after this cut, we will stop,' or will he leave the market with some hope? Every word he uses will be magnified and interpreted by the market. In simple terms: the interest rate cut is 'past tense,' while the disagreements and speeches are 'future tense'.
What impact does it have on us? If the debate is particularly fierce (many opposing votes), the market might feel that 'the Federal Reserve is not so steadfast,' and in the short term, it might drop a bit.
If Powell speaks very 'dovish' (hinting at further cuts), then the risk might continue to play music and dance.
The most feared 'black swan': if there is no rate cut, then there's no need for analysis, just fasten your seatbelt.
In short, don’t bet on the direction, be prepared to respond. The real trend will be discussed after the market digests this wave of emotions! $BTC $ETH $SOL #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐
On-chain resilience and technological breakthroughs, the key positions behind the bullish weekly candle of Ethereum|Three-level deduction👎
This week, Ethereum closed with a bullish candle, but the larger pattern remains within a rectangular oscillation range, and the directional choice is still unclear. On the daily structure, the price briefly broke below the W bottom neck line but quickly recovered, and has closed bullish for three consecutive days, showing the bulls' defensive willingness at key positions. However, the volume during the rebound process has been average, and upward momentum needs to be validated. The current price is operating near the midpoint of the rising channel and is facing strong resistance in the 3200-3250 area (where the descending trend line, upper edge of the rectangle, and upper track of the channel coincide). If it cannot break through this area with volume, the oscillation pattern is unlikely to change. The key support below is located near the lower track of the channel at 2890, which is also the lower edge of the rectangular range, forming a recent strong and weak boundary.
Looking at the four-hour level, the short-term structure is clearly operating within a rebound channel, with the price oscillating upward along the channel. On the technical indicator level, both MACD and RSI show a repairing upward trend, providing technical support for a short-term rebound. Future developments need to focus on the price's rhythm within the channel: if it can gain support at the lower track of the channel and build up strength, it is likely to test the upper track of the channel and the core resistance area on the daily line again. Conversely, if it breaks below the lower track of the channel, the rebound structure faces the risk of destruction and may return to the lower edge of the daily rectangle to seek support.
Intraday operation suggestions: Short to 3040-3000 with a target of 3150-3100 Short to 3190-3230 with a target of 3150-3100
Data and structure resonance, steadily accumulating on the big pie chain, the daily channel determines the short-term direction|Intraday三级别推演👎👎👎
The big pie weekly line closes positively confirming the oscillation tone, and the price is currently maintained within a clear upward channel. The key point is that, despite the recent weak trend, on-chain data shows that the exchange inventory continues to decrease, indicating that investors' behavior of buying on dips remains stable, and there is no panic selling. The daily line is currently near the middle track of the channel, and the golden cross state of MACD and RSI provides technical momentum for a rebound. The core resistance above focuses on the 93500-94000 area (where the descending trend line coincides with the previous high), effectively breaking through this point is key to reversing the weakness. The lower channel lower track of 87000 is a defense line that the short-term bulls must maintain; if lost, the upward structure faces the risk of damage.
On the four-hour level, the short-term structure shows a fluctuating upward pattern, with the price running within the channel. Currently, it is closely attached to the middle track near 91000, which is a short-term strength observation point. There are two typical paths for subsequent development: upward path: if we can break through the W bottom neck line near 94000 (coinciding with the upper track of the channel) with volume, it is expected to open up upward space, theoretically targeting the previous consolidation platform pressure level near 103000; downward path: if unable to break through the neck line pressure and instead fall below the channel lower track support of 87000, it may evolve into a downward flag structure, starting a new round of correction.
Intraday operation suggestions: Short-term buy near 88500-87500, target 91500-92000 Short-term sell near 93200-94000, target 92000-91500
The super week of the cryptocurrency market is here, and the real battle is coming! This week is the most intensive 'macroeconomic data week' of 2025, as central banks around the world will reveal their cards one after another. Are you ready?
The core of the core this week: Federal Reserve showdown night Thursday at 3 AM: FOMC interest rate decision + economic outlook Then at 3:30: Powell's press conference
The other four major central banks are also taking action Bank of Canada: Will it follow up with a rate cut? Swiss National Bank: Safe-haven funds barometer Reserve Bank of Australia: Commodity currency leading indicators Bank of England: Bailey's speech hides secrets
The market bets on a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut, but the real storm lies in the 'dot plot' and Powell's words. Be wary of the script where 'expectations materializing is bearish'; in the macro wave, surviving is more important than how much you earn. This week, focus less on the market and more on the calendar! $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐
The Large Cake at 12.4 is Ethereum Cycle & Analysis👎👎👎
The daily structure of the large cake has observed price continuously rebounding since the macro sentiment has warmed up, and it has now entered a key resistance zone. The overall structure remains within a wide oscillation range and has not formed a clear unidirectional trend. Although market sentiment is somewhat optimistic, an effective breakthrough at the daily level still requires confirmation through volume and price cooperation. If the rebound is pressured in the resistance zone, the oscillation pattern will continue.
At the four-hour level, the price of the large cake has rebounded close to the key pressure zone of 94300-95500, which can be seen as a short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. If there is a stagnation or reversal signal in this area, it aligns with high probability conditions for shorting, with initial downward support looking towards around 91700. If the price entity breaks below 91700, the downward space is expected to further open up to the 90700 area, at which point the buying support strength at that position needs to be observed.
Intraday operation suggestions: Short-term long near 92500-93000, target 95500-96000 Short-term short near 96500-97500, target 94000-93500
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Ethereum's current price has entered a rebound phase after breaking below the trend line on the weekly chart, and it has now risen above 3200. Although the daily chart has formed a W-bottom structure and has consecutively closed three bullish candles, indicating strong short-term bullish momentum, the rebound is gradually approaching multiple resistance zones above. Levels such as 3340, 3480, and 3600 together form a dense pressure band; if the price cannot break through 3600, the weekly downtrend will continue. The upper track of the daily Vegas channel resonates with the aforementioned resistance, further strengthening the pressure in that area.
The four-hour trend shows a step-like upward pattern with gradually rising lows, during which no significant pullback has occurred, and continuous volume bullish candles have successively broken through short-term pressure, with the Vegas channel also being crossed upwards, indicating strong willingness of short-term funds to push up. However, high positions have continuously shown TD9 and TD13 bearish signals, combined with KDJ and RSI indicators entering the overbought zone, indicating that pullback pressure is accumulating. In the future, it is necessary to be vigilant for signals such as volume surges followed by drops, overnight sharp declines, or top divergences, all of which may become timing opportunities for short positions.
Intraday operation suggestions: Short-term long near 3040-3080, target 3150-3190 Short-term short near 3260-3290, target 3180-3150 $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场观察
At 5:50 AM, the Ethereum Fusaka upgrade has officially activated on the mainnet! This is not just a simple technical upgrade; it signifies an important transition—Ethereum has officially entered an accelerated development rhythm of 'two hard forks a year.' What does this mean for us in the crypto world? Please watch the video! $BTC $ETH $BNB #ETH走势分析 #ETH巨鲸增持