土豆谈币
公众号：《冯宝宝在烤红薯》,在币圈近十年从业者，三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊，自有投研团队，顶级一二级资源，擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作，以及短线合约策略入场布局！
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Come to the Binance chat collection
Seize future layout opportunities
Real-time sharing of swing and long-term strategies!
#BNB走势
Seize future layout opportunities
Real-time sharing of swing and long-term strategies!
#BNB走势
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For Ethereum, it is currently still above 3000, with a short-term pullback. The price is still above the large bullish candlestick, and the overall support strength has not been broken, and the key defense line has also not been broken. Support is still effective.
Currently, it is still a rebound during a decline, and no reversal trend has been seen. Not taking action is the best action. #ETH走势分析
Currently, it is still a rebound during a decline, and no reversal trend has been seen. Not taking action is the best action. #ETH走势分析
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Bitcoin Flash Crash to 88000, Turning Point Signal? Ethereum's Surge to 3600? After the Volatility of HYPE, LUNA, and LUNC, Has the Altcoin Bear Market Begun?
Bitcoin has dropped directly to 88000 without any warning, while Ethereum remains above 3000. This may be due to rumored sales by Z, or it could just be back-and-forth contract harvesting. Regardless, the spot market remains calm, so be ready to catch the dip at any time!
In the past 24 hours, a total of 130,892 people across the network have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $413 million, including $341 million in long liquidations and $71.1985 million in short liquidations.
Weekend brief update:
From the daily perspective, Bitcoin and Ethereum have entered a clear rebound phase since hitting their recent lows. Although there have been multiple pullbacks during this period, none have broken key support levels, and the bottom structure continues to rise, showing a step-like upward trend. Currently, the price has reached a strong resistance area near previous highs. The charts indicate that it is currently in a normal correction process, and overall it is still operating within an upward channel, with no signs of a breakout. Key operational points:
In the past 24 hours, a total of 130,892 people across the network have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $413 million, including $341 million in long liquidations and $71.1985 million in short liquidations.
Weekend brief update:
From the daily perspective, Bitcoin and Ethereum have entered a clear rebound phase since hitting their recent lows. Although there have been multiple pullbacks during this period, none have broken key support levels, and the bottom structure continues to rise, showing a step-like upward trend. Currently, the price has reached a strong resistance area near previous highs. The charts indicate that it is currently in a normal correction process, and overall it is still operating within an upward channel, with no signs of a breakout. Key operational points:
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I believe that the next bull market must focus on Ethereum.
In the current bear market, ETH could potentially drop to around 1000 dollars, which would be a very ideal bottom area. It has performed mediocrely in this bull market, partly because the previous round rose too sharply, overextending expectations, which has also led to a general lack of confidence in it in the market now — but this collective pessimism often precedes the next big surge.
If the bear market can really see ETH at 1000 dollars, then the likelihood of the next bull market reaching 10,000 dollars is very high, which at least represents a tenfold increase. Of course, investment should not only consider the bull and bear markets but also time. No one stipulates that ETH must rise to 10,000; it hasn't even stabilized at 5200 dollars. There's no need to hold out for the next bull market; buying at relatively low points and selling in batches at high points to achieve easy profits is the key.
From a long-term perspective, ETH's future target may be between 17,000 and 19,000 dollars, but this is likely not a matter for this round of the bull market. I tend to gradually reduce my position during this cycle at high points, waiting for a drop to reposition for the next cycle.
In the current bear market, ETH could potentially drop to around 1000 dollars, which would be a very ideal bottom area. It has performed mediocrely in this bull market, partly because the previous round rose too sharply, overextending expectations, which has also led to a general lack of confidence in it in the market now — but this collective pessimism often precedes the next big surge.
If the bear market can really see ETH at 1000 dollars, then the likelihood of the next bull market reaching 10,000 dollars is very high, which at least represents a tenfold increase. Of course, investment should not only consider the bull and bear markets but also time. No one stipulates that ETH must rise to 10,000; it hasn't even stabilized at 5200 dollars. There's no need to hold out for the next bull market; buying at relatively low points and selling in batches at high points to achieve easy profits is the key.
From a long-term perspective, ETH's future target may be between 17,000 and 19,000 dollars, but this is likely not a matter for this round of the bull market. I tend to gradually reduce my position during this cycle at high points, waiting for a drop to reposition for the next cycle.
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Woke up early and took a look, it fell even more than before sleeping, of course, the first to act was the pancake, I can only say, it's quite a sigh.
1. $BTC inexplicably dropped from 93000 to below 90000 to around 89000 since yesterday, I heard the market price crashed directly, I can't quite understand all of this;
2. $ETH is still quite strong, now it's above 3000, let's see, after all, many people are saying that the BE trends are all different;
3. $SOL still has quite a lot of wealth creation effects on-chain, let's see if it can bring out the momentum from last year in the last month;
4. pendle_fi released the 2025 report: Average TVL in 2025 reached 5.8 billion USD, total transaction volume 47.8 billion USD; however, the price of $PENDLE is quickly returning to this year's low point;
1. $BTC inexplicably dropped from 93000 to below 90000 to around 89000 since yesterday, I heard the market price crashed directly, I can't quite understand all of this;
2. $ETH is still quite strong, now it's above 3000, let's see, after all, many people are saying that the BE trends are all different;
3. $SOL still has quite a lot of wealth creation effects on-chain, let's see if it can bring out the momentum from last year in the last month;
4. pendle_fi released the 2025 report: Average TVL in 2025 reached 5.8 billion USD, total transaction volume 47.8 billion USD; however, the price of $PENDLE is quickly returning to this year's low point;
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Next week bottoming out? Where can Bitcoin and Ethereum rebound to? Why is there no altcoin season in this bull market? Opportunities for ZEC, AVAX, SAPIEN, XRP, and TAO!
The short-term adjustment risk mentioned yesterday has materialized in the market. Now that the price has pulled back, it is precisely an opportunity to look for low-level setups. Institutions and whales are continuously accumulating at this position. As spot investors, we must pay attention to this signal and not panic and exit when smart money enters.
In the past 24 hours, a total of 94,285 people across the network have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $268 million, including $179 million for long positions and $88.83 million for short positions.
BTC
Last night, Bitcoin rebounded to around 94,000 but faced resistance and fell back. This level has created short-term pressure. The key to the current trend lies in the effectiveness of the 90,000 support level. If the price can stabilize above 90,000 on a four-hour basis, the current bullish structure will continue; once this support level is broken, attention should be focused on the support area around 86,000.
In the past 24 hours, a total of 94,285 people across the network have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $268 million, including $179 million for long positions and $88.83 million for short positions.
BTC
Last night, Bitcoin rebounded to around 94,000 but faced resistance and fell back. This level has created short-term pressure. The key to the current trend lies in the effectiveness of the 90,000 support level. If the price can stabilize above 90,000 on a four-hour basis, the current bullish structure will continue; once this support level is broken, attention should be focused on the support area around 86,000.
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I watched some things before bed and felt the need to reset. When I wake up, everything takes off. Could it be that the things I personally look down upon are actually good things?
1. $BTC has been fluctuating all the way and after a slight touch of 94000, it started to pull back. After dipping near 90800 in the early morning, it has currently returned to 92000. It’s Friday again, is something going to happen?
2. $ETH seems to be stronger than Bitcoin. Yesterday, Bitcoin started to pull back while Ethereum continued to maintain a high position for a while, but eventually couldn't hold on and followed suit. Keep a close eye on it;
3. $SOL is starting to show more and more signs of 'wealth effect' on-chain. Although it is relatively localized and the market capitalization is low, everything is developing in a positive direction;
4. Lighter_xyz will launch spot trading this week, with ETH as the first supported asset; the rhythm is getting closer to TGE.
1. $BTC has been fluctuating all the way and after a slight touch of 94000, it started to pull back. After dipping near 90800 in the early morning, it has currently returned to 92000. It’s Friday again, is something going to happen?
2. $ETH seems to be stronger than Bitcoin. Yesterday, Bitcoin started to pull back while Ethereum continued to maintain a high position for a while, but eventually couldn't hold on and followed suit. Keep a close eye on it;
3. $SOL is starting to show more and more signs of 'wealth effect' on-chain. Although it is relatively localized and the market capitalization is low, everything is developing in a positive direction;
4. Lighter_xyz will launch spot trading this week, with ETH as the first supported asset; the rhythm is getting closer to TGE.
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$Big Yellow can ambush for a while
This is the meme that the first sister likes to send, currently valued at around 580,000, and can also ambush for a while. Now the first sister has been appointed as the new chief CEO. Once this Big Yellow meme is sent again, it may take off, so ambush for a wave of expectations.
This is the meme that the first sister likes to send, currently valued at around 580,000, and can also ambush for a while. Now the first sister has been appointed as the new chief CEO. Once this Big Yellow meme is sent again, it may take off, so ambush for a wave of expectations.
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Short squeeze bull market? Ethereum rises more than Bitcoin? Where to go long? BSC Meme welcomes a new windfall! BCH, SOL, ASTER, HYPE plummet?
I feel that the recent circle is very uninteresting, the market keeps going in circles. Every rise fills retail investors with anticipation, but the big players always seem to dump when it looks like a bull market is starting. This kind of play has caused most people, including myself, to develop a conditioned reflex of 'thinking of running when it rises to a certain extent'. This has indeed been the case in the past few months; if you don’t run, you’ll get stuck.
So how should we respond?
I think that to grasp the fluctuations of rising and falling, leveraging on the basis of holding spot assets is necessary. Whether entering or exiting, everything should be done under a controllable position, and heavy positions need to have a stop-loss location.
So how should we respond?
I think that to grasp the fluctuations of rising and falling, leveraging on the basis of holding spot assets is necessary. Whether entering or exiting, everything should be done under a controllable position, and heavy positions need to have a stop-loss location.
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$BTC This wave directly reversed, so it's impossible to just raise the price and immediately crash it. In the short term, the market is still relatively safe. If it crashes back down, then I really have no words.
If it holds at 88000, it should be stable. 80600 is the short-term bottom for this market phase, and such key bottoms generally won't break on the first touch. This position, barring any accidents, can still be played for another two to three months.
Currently, the 4-hour structure has already impacted the resistance zone once, and if it comes back for a second time, we need to watch 934000. There are roughly two ways this could go:
One is a clean double bottom, breaking through the neckline directly, and then the rhythm will follow smoothly, potentially reaching around 98000, and we will see later whether to short based on the market at that time. However, I think the resistance at 100000 will not be easily broken.
The other is a converging triangle, applying pressure around 93400, but as long as it doesn't break below 88000, the overall structure still leans bullish.
However, in the short term, I also do not recommend going long. Don't go long near the resistance level; waiting to short around 98000 will have a better cost-performance ratio.
If it holds at 88000, it should be stable. 80600 is the short-term bottom for this market phase, and such key bottoms generally won't break on the first touch. This position, barring any accidents, can still be played for another two to three months.
Currently, the 4-hour structure has already impacted the resistance zone once, and if it comes back for a second time, we need to watch 934000. There are roughly two ways this could go:
One is a clean double bottom, breaking through the neckline directly, and then the rhythm will follow smoothly, potentially reaching around 98000, and we will see later whether to short based on the market at that time. However, I think the resistance at 100000 will not be easily broken.
The other is a converging triangle, applying pressure around 93400, but as long as it doesn't break below 88000, the overall structure still leans bullish.
However, in the short term, I also do not recommend going long. Don't go long near the resistance level; waiting to short around 98000 will have a better cost-performance ratio.
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My prediction for the market in 2026:
Given the multiple top warnings on the Bitcoin daily chart, the collapse on the weekly chart, and the weak upward momentum on the monthly chart, 2026 is likely to see a decline, with 80,000 being the short-term bottom.
Altcoin Season: It is unlikely that an altcoin season will occur unless ETH goes above 5000, as there are many large sell orders hanging around. The hope for an altcoin market surge is between Q4 2025 and Q2 2026. Those varieties that have not been pulled up may remain silent in this bull market, but those that are operated by market makers will definitely see a wave of market activity, so have confidence. #加密市场回调
Given the multiple top warnings on the Bitcoin daily chart, the collapse on the weekly chart, and the weak upward momentum on the monthly chart, 2026 is likely to see a decline, with 80,000 being the short-term bottom.
Altcoin Season: It is unlikely that an altcoin season will occur unless ETH goes above 5000, as there are many large sell orders hanging around. The hope for an altcoin market surge is between Q4 2025 and Q2 2026. Those varieties that have not been pulled up may remain silent in this bull market, but those that are operated by market makers will definitely see a wave of market activity, so have confidence. #加密市场回调
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After a sharp drop, a quick rebound! Institutions are buying the dip, Dogecoin (DOGE) shows double bottom signals, can the rebound hold key resistance?
The overall market is weak, compounded by risk assets being under pressure, Dogecoin (DOGE) first faced a wave of intense selling: the price fell from $0.1387 all the way down, not only breaking through the key support level of $0.1350, but also hitting an intraday low of $0.1322. Notably, during the decline, the trading volume surged to 854 million coins, which is 180% higher than the daily average, a typical 'volume decline' pattern, exposing short-term structural weaknesses.
However, the bears did not enjoy their success for long; in the late trading phase, buyers began to concentrate, and Dogecoin quickly rebounded from its low, temporarily rising to $0.1362, re-testing the previously lost support level of $0.1350, and faint signs of a 'double bottom' pattern began to emerge.
However, the bears did not enjoy their success for long; in the late trading phase, buyers began to concentrate, and Dogecoin quickly rebounded from its low, temporarily rising to $0.1362, re-testing the previously lost support level of $0.1350, and faint signs of a 'double bottom' pattern began to emerge.
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Foreigners are really obsessed with collecting cards! The market value of the Pokémon-themed coin $KABUTO on the SOL chain has directly broken 10 million dollars. This story starts with a foreigner named KabutoKing_ who buys $KABUTO cards every day, making this card scarce and pushing the price to new highs.
Now foreigners play Pokémon cards with the same fervor as we do with Shiba Inu coins, and a single card can easily increase in value by hundreds of times. Even the imitation card $Snorlax has surged to a market value of 300,000. Friends who want to follow the trend are advised to be cautious and pay attention to risk management.
Now foreigners play Pokémon cards with the same fervor as we do with Shiba Inu coins, and a single card can easily increase in value by hundreds of times. Even the imitation card $Snorlax has surged to a market value of 300,000. Friends who want to follow the trend are advised to be cautious and pay attention to risk management.
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If you hold 100,000 Ethereum
as long as it keeps rising, you can definitely hold on
But the reality is that these 100,000 Ethereum fluctuate like this:
$10,000 → $1,000,000 → $14,000,000 → $390,000 → $30,000,000 → $1,200,000 → $93,000,000 → $5,300,000 → $323,000,000 → $54,000,000 → $200,000,000
Now ask yourself again
Can you really hold on?
Where would you run away?
I have a friend who got into a lot of Ethereum in 2021, with a cost around 3,800, experiencing 881, and two instances over 4,000, once in December 2024 at 4,100, another time this August at 4,956, and now around 2,700
A few days ago, while having tea together, we talked again, he hasn't sold any of his E, he said his goal is at least double, usually he doesn't even look at it, perhaps sometimes not caring at all is also a form of trading practice.
as long as it keeps rising, you can definitely hold on
But the reality is that these 100,000 Ethereum fluctuate like this:
$10,000 → $1,000,000 → $14,000,000 → $390,000 → $30,000,000 → $1,200,000 → $93,000,000 → $5,300,000 → $323,000,000 → $54,000,000 → $200,000,000
Now ask yourself again
Can you really hold on?
Where would you run away?
I have a friend who got into a lot of Ethereum in 2021, with a cost around 3,800, experiencing 881, and two instances over 4,000, once in December 2024 at 4,100, another time this August at 4,956, and now around 2,700
A few days ago, while having tea together, we talked again, he hasn't sold any of his E, he said his goal is at least double, usually he doesn't even look at it, perhaps sometimes not caring at all is also a form of trading practice.
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Rebound is not a reversal! Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to decline! Weekly charts set the direction? Bear market liquidation, which altcoins can be bottomed out?
Last night, after the main force spiked, there was a pullback, showing some rebound strength. But now we are in a bull-to-bear phase, and don't look at the market with a bull market mindset anymore; the bottom will only get lower, and so will the top. As long as there is a decent rebound, be bold and short! Looking at the longer cycle, it's not too late to short at any time; what's late is your hesitation to enter the market.
In the past 24 hours, a total of 156,953 people have been liquidated across the network, with a total liquidation amount of $541 million, of which long positions accounted for $421 million and short positions for $120 million.
BTC
Bitcoin has formed a long lower shadow after testing key support levels at night, and the trading volume has increased, indicating initial signs of a bottoming out. However, from a larger cycle perspective, the bearish trend of Bitcoin has not changed, and it is overall in a large range of fluctuations.
In the past 24 hours, a total of 156,953 people have been liquidated across the network, with a total liquidation amount of $541 million, of which long positions accounted for $421 million and short positions for $120 million.
BTC
Bitcoin has formed a long lower shadow after testing key support levels at night, and the trading volume has increased, indicating initial signs of a bottoming out. However, from a larger cycle perspective, the bearish trend of Bitcoin has not changed, and it is overall in a large range of fluctuations.
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Douyin Pan #Eggplant should break through, I invested 300,000 and haven't sold it yet!
Most of the Douyin Pan that was popular on BSC yesterday have gone down, only this $Eggplant is still okay, it has tested the bottom several times around 300,000 and hasn't died.
After all, it's the same DEV as #Amigatido, this DEV is very good at finding angles for memes, $Amigatido has stabilized at a market value of over a million, and is increasing steadily every day, Eggplant is likely to be the next one!
Most of the Douyin Pan that was popular on BSC yesterday have gone down, only this $Eggplant is still okay, it has tested the bottom several times around 300,000 and hasn't died.
After all, it's the same DEV as #Amigatido, this DEV is very good at finding angles for memes, $Amigatido has stabilized at a market value of over a million, and is increasing steadily every day, Eggplant is likely to be the next one!
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From the data, today's price drop has caused panic, but the main group in panic consists of investors who have been buying the dip in the last two days. Those holding around $90,000 are the largest portion of today's turnover, while investor sentiment in other positions remains relatively normal, with no obvious signs of panic observed. The restoration of confidence may still depend on the Federal Reserve.
However, from the perspective of chip structure, it remains stable, and there are no signs of a large number of loss-making investors exchanging hands, especially for those whose holding costs are above $100,000, which is still the range with the most holdings in recent times, and there has been no collapse due to the price drop.
However, from the perspective of chip structure, it remains stable, and there are no signs of a large number of loss-making investors exchanging hands, especially for those whose holding costs are above $100,000, which is still the range with the most holdings in recent times, and there has been no collapse due to the price drop.
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The broad market's small-level rebound is really weak, with basically no rebound. It's estimated that there will be at least one more wave of accelerated spike market. Let's patiently wait for opportunities!
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Several leading Meme coins on the BSC chain have recently started doing a "copy-paste" style pump? Every so often, an old coin (like the previous $Hakimi, $Vulgar Penguin, and last night's $GIGGLE) suddenly surges, and there’s always a batch of old coins that follow suit to get a taste of the soup.
Strangely, some coins not only follow the rise but their charts are completely synchronized like "shadow clones"—just like last night's $GIGGLE, which at what time it surged, and at what time it started showing a "arch" decline, the $4 and $Binance Life hourly charts were surprisingly identical, even the retracement levels were quite similar. Is this really just a coincidence, or is it actually the same operator manipulating behind the scenes?
Strangely, some coins not only follow the rise but their charts are completely synchronized like "shadow clones"—just like last night's $GIGGLE, which at what time it surged, and at what time it started showing a "arch" decline, the $4 and $Binance Life hourly charts were surprisingly identical, even the retracement levels were quite similar. Is this really just a coincidence, or is it actually the same operator manipulating behind the scenes?
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220,000 people have been liquidated! Bitcoin and Ethereum have fallen sharply as expected! Is there another drop this week? Is the belief in altcoin bull markets still present, or is a turning point approaching?
It fell so fast! After rebounding from around 80,000 to 93,000, it faced pressure and fell back again, now already down to around 87,000. After rising 15% and then dropping 7%, the morning's waterfall market really wakes people up instantly. This aligns with the current judgment of a fluctuating bottoming process; the market will fluctuate repeatedly, and operations can only focus on short-term strategies, buying low and laying in wait, never chasing highs. If there is profit, one must exit in a timely manner; greed will definitely lead to losses!
In the past 24 hours, a total of 218,678 people across the network have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $640 million, including $565 million in long positions and $74.9372 million in short positions.
BTC
Pay close attention to the support level of 88,000 for Bitcoin intraday. If the four-hour candlestick can consistently hold above this support, the current rebound structure is likely to continue; the key resistance level above is at 93,000. Only by effectively breaking through this resistance can we confirm a strengthening trend and open up further upward space; otherwise, the market is likely to continue maintaining a fluctuating pattern.
In the past 24 hours, a total of 218,678 people across the network have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $640 million, including $565 million in long positions and $74.9372 million in short positions.
BTC
Pay close attention to the support level of 88,000 for Bitcoin intraday. If the four-hour candlestick can consistently hold above this support, the current rebound structure is likely to continue; the key resistance level above is at 93,000. Only by effectively breaking through this resistance can we confirm a strengthening trend and open up further upward space; otherwise, the market is likely to continue maintaining a fluctuating pattern.
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