Kyaw Thu Hla

#BTC #ETH

In December, smart money continues the second phase! Binance funds have reached 18 million.

Entering a bear market mentality, where there are fluctuations, there are profits.

The market is ruthless, but Dongbi Cat understands with compassion🧧🧧🧧
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Good Morning ⭐️ The road to mass adoption relies on a dedicated and active community. Keep building. Keep learning. Keep giving

New USDT distribution
I will give crypto to you. 4000 people will receive gifts from me. What do you need to do? Just write the word "hello" in the comments and receive a gift 🎁

On the deal, I still hold 0.15 $LAB and bought myself another $STRK selling at 0.19

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Wednesday, December 11, 2025

Since the day before yesterday, there have been more and more positive news in the market, which is suspicious. Undoubtedly, this is false news spread by large players to offload their stocks. We have deployed short positions around 93,500 to 94,500 and are currently in a profitable state; this position can take some profits.

After a significant market drop, it will enter a new round of consolidation, fluctuations, and even corrections. The market needs to reassess the new round of long and short battles. However, I still hold a bearish view; from the current perspective, a drop of Bitcoin below 90,000 is a matter of minutes and is already precarious. If you worry about missing out, you can deploy a 2% short position at the current price (Bitcoin at 90,000, unexpected near 3,210).

Bitcoin dropping will reach around 89,000, while Ethereum will be around 3,120. (These points need to take most profits to guard against significant corrections that may lead to profit withdrawals.)

扣888发财暴富好运👍

$BTC $ETH #alpha

$LINK
{future}(LINKUSDT)
Friends who trade, add each other, join the group, and discuss trading strategies together to survive in the market for a long time!

🎁BTC for All 🎁

We need only 1500 followers to reach 30K. Can we make it guys?

$BTC is still the leader of the encrypted world, as a new type of architecture, reshaping traditional concepts. The world is constantly changing and developing, giving us a better future. So who is Satoshi Nakamoto? #加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
{spot}(BNBUSDT)

The market shows that Bitcoin has been repeatedly blocked by the key resistance at 94500, and after that, it started to pull back. Ethereum shows a top divergence signal on the 1-hour level. In the short term, it is expected to enter a pullback market, so pay attention to the strength of the pullback!

Red envelopes are here 🧧🧧🧧🧧
Interest rate cut expectation of 25 basis points. A dovish tone with a hint of hawkishness, the market has mixed feelings.

Capital never sleeps! Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night!

The Federal Reserve's decision is in the final countdown, and global liquidity is holding its breath in anticipation. Meanwhile, the crypto market has already ignited: $BTC is closing in on 100,000, $SOL has strongly broken through 4000; this is not the climax, just the foreplay. The real critical moment is at three o'clock in the morning.

This time, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates by 25bp for the third consecutive time. But don’t be fooled by the words "rate cut"—this is more like a hawkishly packaged rate cut.

In the past few weeks, the degree of division within the Federal Reserve has reached textbook levels:

Doves insist: Employment can’t hold on much longer; we must continue to ease.

Hawks counter: Inflation is stubbornly sticky; we can’t give the market any more sugar.

The final outcome is likely to be a compromise: rate cuts to soothe, but with extremely tough wording to tell you—sweetness stops here.

What the market truly cares about are the following four things:

1️⃣ What Powell says is more important than what he does.

Every adjective will be magnified and interpreted by the market. Institutions generally judge that he will imply: "Another rate cut? The difficulty has greatly increased."

2️⃣ The dot plot will expose internal fractures.

This chart may present a "Three Kingdoms" scenario: those who insist on no cuts, those who insist on further cuts, and even those who demand a 50bp cut will appear.

3️⃣ Economic data is walking a tightrope.

Inflation remains resilient, and employment is significantly weakening—this is the most dangerous combination; the Federal Reserve dares not be aggressive, nor can it ease.

4️⃣ The balance sheet may quietly shift.

It just stopped tapering in October, and now it might secretly restart "buying bonds but not calling it QE" as a form of implicit easing.

My judgment is simple:

Tonight is not just about setting interest rates; it also determines next year's global liquidity roadmap.

If the Federal Reserve gives a "hawkish rate cut," the market will fluctuate violently, but for crypto, this will instead be the starting point of a trend, not the end.

Liquidity will either be released or expected to be released—both are enough to ignite the next round of sentiment in Web3.

Global capital is waiting for the Federal Reserve's "key words."

And I just want to ask one question:

Are you ready to welcome three o'clock in the morning?

On the eve of the Federal Reserve meeting, the market is cautious.
This morning, U.S. stocks opened flat, with the Dow down 0.1%, the S&P 500 unchanged, and the Nasdaq up slightly by 0.2%. Investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve to announce its interest rate decision at 2 PM, with the market generally expecting a 25 basis point rate cut, though Powell's speech may turn hawkish, emphasizing inflationary pressures. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury rose to 4.19%, reflecting weak demand in the bond auction.
Bitcoin rebounds over 10%
The cryptocurrency market is recovering, with Bitcoin's price rebounding from $86,000 to over $93,000, an increase of more than 10%. Analysts say that expectations of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve boost liquidity, supporting risk assets until 2026. As a result, related stocks like BitFuFu (FUFU) rose 3.8% in early trading.
Wall Street employment data bolsters rate cut expectations
The latest Challenger report shows that U.S. companies announced layoffs of 1,170,000 in November, a year-on-year increase of 54%. Weak ADP employment data further raised the probability of a rate cut in December to 90%. Morgan Stanley reversed its forecast, confirming a 25 basis point rate cut, stating that it previously overestimated economic resilience.
Stock dynamics
Oracle (ORCL) shares fell 2% after its earnings report due to concerns about data center demand. Costco (COST) is expected to announce its earnings tonight, with analysts optimistic about its consumer resilience. The small-cap Russell 2000 index rose 0.8% for the week, benefiting from rate cut expectations.
Overall, financial market liquidity is ample, but geopolitical risks and inflation uncertainty remain. Investors should pay attention to signals from the Federal Reserve.

From a low of 18,000 after losing 50,000 in principal, to relying on mainstream coin dollar-cost averaging + potential coins to experiment and achieve 200 times returns, you didn't rely on luck, but endured through the bear market and were not greedy in the bull market.

Don't panic and cut losses when falling, don't cling to battles and chase highs when rising, and even withdraw funds to take profits at the peak of the market, the freedom in the crypto world
#加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC $ETH $BNB

1️⃣
🎁 1000 Gifts Alert!

I'm giving away to my Square family!

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{spot}(SOLUSDT)
#BTCVSGOLD
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🥹Interest rate cut soon
Silver will reach 100 dollars soon
Only Bitcoin remains lonely and stubborn
Can we bravely charge forward with the crypto world once
Bitcoin!
$BTC $BNB $SOL