波段悟弟–全能选手

The current price of Bitcoin is 89800, and all the altcoins have already sold off today, with negligible losses! Speaking of which, this interest rate cut has delayed everything. Well, the Jinshi data has also been uninstalled, and in the future, when I look at news, I originally had a good judgment on Bitcoin's technical aspects, but I have overturned it myself, how ridiculous!!!
Wait for me to analyze again and reallocate the altcoins!

$BTC
I made two by myself today. I also recommended two altcoins. Currently, the speculation is about interest rate cuts. It looks like this. It hasn’t increased at all. The expectation of interest rate cuts has come out, and you say you can hold steady, but if you drop, that's a bit unreasonable. ETH is still holding up decently. If Bitcoin drops to around 89000, then I suggest clearing out the altcoins directly. I estimate that Bitcoin will reach 89000, and the altcoins will at most lose about 2% in fluctuation. Actually, that can be ignored. If it hasn't dropped below 89000, then it can continue to be held now.
In the future, no one should bring up any news in front of me. If anyone brings up news, I will get anxious with them,
Of course, if Trump crashes a car or something happens, please remind me about that.

It can't drop any further! Is the market maker not paying attention to the news?
Interest rate cut! It's going to be an interest rate cut! Speculating on interest rate cut expectations!
We won't talk about technicals, let's talk about reason, okay?
The expectation of an interest rate cut is out, if it drops now, that would be completely unreasonable!!! I don't even know how to serve you anymore!

$HIPPO $COW
I am not talented, let me recommend two more altcoins,
HIPPO current price 0.00125
COW current price 0.1965
If the price rises according to speculation of interest rate cuts, these two coins can see a rise of about 30%!
The cycle lasts at most a week, we can take a look then,
Plus the two altcoins I hold myself, a total of 4 now, cannot look anymore, must be precise! No more!

$TA $DOLO
I prepared two shanzhai longs myself, planning to hold them for a few days. I think these two are still good; they are both previous altcoins, how much can they rise? I currently don't dare to talk big, because the previous shanzhai coins looked very high but were actually very low. As long as the two can rise by 10%, it proves that my selection was not wrong.

This week's interest rate cut probability has been estimated using AI, and the probability is around 90%. So it might not drop any further in the next few days; we may need to speculate on the expectations of the rate cut. FOLKS have already run away; let's configure a counterfeit long position later.
My previous Bitcoin inference might need to be discarded; we'll talk after the rate cut.
However, AI still can't replace me. Last month's big drop was basically nonsense from AI; at least I predicted 89000. Let's find a counterfeit long position first.

VOXEL
These are all the old demon coins, I didn't expect them to also face the situation of being delisted. Those that have not fluctuated for several years, some coins are still holding strong. I estimate that it will be their turn sooner or later. But that being said, the number of new coins being released has always been greater than the number of coins being delisted. Shanzhai coins will not improve.

Searching around, there are no good imitation shapes, this one is acceptable, make a 500% profit and then run, $FOLKS

Still this picture, still this idea. The limit around 91800 has been reached. Next, let's see what the situation will be after the US stock market opens tomorrow night.
I am currently still bearish. If there is a rebound, it will definitely break the previous high of 94000 and continue to rise. But this involves the highs of the monthly, quarterly, and yearly charts. So if this month it rebounds to 100000, where will the peak be next month? Will it go above 110000 or 120000? If it rebounds, then all the previous logical deductions will no longer hold. So let's wait and see tomorrow.
I can't sleep all night. Occasionally, my schedule gets better. Then I get called out by friends and have another happy night. My schedule gets messed up again.
Forget it, let it be. Sleep if you want to.

If you ask me, the most difficult thing should be options. If done well, it can multiply by n times, but if done poorly, it can also go to zero. The hardest part is this timing; a major drop can be predicted, but when will it drop? That's basically very hard to judge. If I could accurately determine that timing, give me a month, and I could basically become the richest person in our county!

$BTC
The previous dynamic analysis is still valid. The peak observed was 91000, but the highest value rebounded to 90000. The market is too weak. It got blocked at the fifty mid-track. The trend is not wrong, continue to look downward. 86000 is within reach. Will it continue to go down? That will belong to the next wave analysis. Then tomorrow we will continue to match the counterfeit.

Yesterday's shanzhai was not properly matched, losing two points. The options were also entered a bit early, and with the weekend having little fluctuation, I will decide the next steps tomorrow, Monday.

Reasons for last month's sharp decline! Personal insights!
Tonight, a light bulb went off in my head, and I suddenly figured out the reason for last month's sharp decline. It was the global gray market selling. This can be understood like this. Because everyone knows that the global gray market uses virtual currency for transactions.
Previously, on October 14, the U.S. government froze Chen Zhi's 15 billion USD. And it may not even be all of his assets. Just think about it, is there only one Chen Zhi in the world? Five hundred million USD won't make a splash in this market. If there are 20 Chen Zhis globally, of course, let’s not say more, let's just calculate it as 200 billion USD being dumped, then do you think it could cause a sharp decline? It will definitely decline, so the kind of drop last month that had no technical reasons was most likely due to this. I just had a light bulb moment because once the U.S. government freezes Chen Zhi, the global gray market will be alerted. They might think their bitcoins won't be safe, and they will definitely convert to cash to clean it in another way. Dumping 200 billion USD in, just not more, then how could it not drop sharply? Those in the gray market are not fools; some may retort that it's because Chen Zhi's wallet storage method was wrong or something like that, but back in 2023, a certain country's government gave Russia 20 billion USD in virtual currency. Wasn’t that frozen?
Once the U.S. government set the precedent of freezing Chen Zhi, other countries will definitely follow suit. So the global gray market had to sell off to cash out, which caused the sharp decline. In the future, the trading that can’t be seen in public using bitcoin will also decrease. Even if there are trades, they will immediately convert to cash. It feels like the bear market will continue for a long time, and it’s hard to be bullish again.
The above is just my personal opinion. If you think there's something wrong or have any comments, we can debate.

Today I need to use the cloud storage to download something. Then I suddenly discovered my transaction records from a few years ago. Speaking of which, I was also someone who had 10 BTC back then. It's been a long time, and reminiscing about it is still quite nice. It feels like time is passing a bit too quickly. Suddenly, I feel a bit sentimental. The market back then was so good. Bitcoin's average daily volatility was around 5%. There were fluctuations every day. The strategy I used most back then was rolling positions. Sometimes I could multiply my money by 10 times in a day. Now, it's really incomparable to the past.
I was very young back then, quite handsome, and full of energy. Speaking of which, the biggest bad habit I’ve developed over the years is not treating money as money. It really is like that. I feel like this is a sickness that needs to be treated.
Ah, let's reminisce a bit. May time pass a little slower.

Counterfeit password,
24-hour short line,
CLANKER current price 45.28 buy
Stop loss 43.8
Take profit 47
Set to 46 to secure breakeven loss,
24-hour cycle $CLANKER

$BTC
Bitcoin's current short-term judgment is that the current price is 89600,
A rebound is expected to peak around 91000, then a drop to the 86000 level. Currently, the daily KDJ is in an overbought state and has formed a death cross. The reason for the oscillation here is due to strong support from the 5-day MA120 line, but I believe this support will not hold. A few days ago, it rebounded to around 94000, and if it continues to rise, the maximum support should be around 90000, but it didn't hold and instead kept probing downward.
There are also issues with the monthly, quarterly, and yearly lines; all three lines will close this month, so I do not expect a significant rebound this month. The increase is reserved for next month, acting as the top for the month, quarter, and year.
We are currently in a weekend oscillation state.
In terms of strategy, I believe a short position can be taken around 90800. If it reaches the extreme near 91800, one can consider adding to the position, with a stop loss around 93400, and the take profit target is around 86500, which may take about a week.

Learn from your mistakes! Consider all possibilities!
First of all, it's not wrong to be bearish; I said last month that it would drop to around 75000 by the end of this month. Can it hold here??? I'm not sure, just like last month when I predicted it would drop to 89000, but it ended up dropping directly to 80000. Who could have predicted that? So, dropping to 75000 cannot be confirmed as the bottom; we'll have to wait and see. I'm also bearish for next week. I bought a put option that expires on Friday, so it's not a big deal! I'm going to sleep and rest; we'll talk again tomorrow!

Brothers! I'm back!\nI was recently missing because I was delivering takeout, not because Piao Chang was caught, so don't worry, I'm doing well.\nRecently, while delivering takeout, I've been enjoying the scenery and making progress, mainly resolving the counterfeiting issue. The logical system has been established, and it's all good. Counterfeits can't achieve a 100% win rate, but compared to before, the win rate is higher now. This time, Wu Di is all-rounder!\nMainstream! Counterfeit! Contracts! Spot! Options! Everything is now a piece of cake, and tomorrow I'll officially return to work!\nEveryone, please spread the word!\nThis is a formal notice!

I haven't posted anything recently, and there's not much to post about. Several friends in the square have sent me private messages asking for my opinion. I'm lying in bed watching. The market is just fluctuating like that. Recently, I've been thinking about things and have figured out a lot. I'm not just conserving my energy now. Conserving energy is necessary to look forward to the future. I'll come back out again after a while!

I have had diarrhea these past two days. A couple of days ago, I ate something too spicy. My stomach can't handle too spicy food. I also drank cold water. It really upset my stomach. I'm feeling a bit better now. That said, after having diarrhea, I went to bed early and woke up at 9 AM this morning. My irregular schedule has been slowly getting back on track. I never thought my routine could adjust like this. I've learned something new.