交易员皓月
和谐交易者/谐波波浪理论裸K分析/CFA金融分析师，公众号:皓月交易学，直播时间上午下午各一场，晚上20:30，币安注册拿返佣邀请码享策略👉HY2026👈返佣20%，你的点赞转发，是对我最大的支撑。
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#加密市场回调
This week's view:
btc is currently in a pullback, spot trading at the daily level can be done now. If it drops to around btc111000, the initial position must be taken. If it goes further down to 108400, that would be a really good position. Overall, still bullish, respect the market, do not overtrade in places where it shouldn't be done.
$BTC
This week's view:
btc is currently in a pullback, spot trading at the daily level can be done now. If it drops to around btc111000, the initial position must be taken. If it goes further down to 108400, that would be a really good position. Overall, still bullish, respect the market, do not overtrade in places where it shouldn't be done.
$BTC
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How the script unfolds next can be seen from the greed and fear index, which is already at a low point. The upcoming scenarios are simply two: either a major cleanup similar to 312, wiping out the bears, or just moving upwards like this. I vote with my feet; the orders I am currently buying are all on the left side. I have already bought a portion. If given the opportunity like 312, I will directly jump in. If not, I will wait for the daily line to break above the 120-day line and then enter positions on the right side. The core of daring to buy is that there has never been a case of losing money while bottom fishing for Bitcoin during a rate-cutting cycle, especially since the bearish impact caused by Trump can no longer be greater. $BTC #美国加征关税
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Damn, are they saying no rate hike again?
Former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan and member of the government panel Masaru Yokitake: Given the neutral interest rate level, the Bank of Japan should avoid raising interest rates too early and excessively adjusting monetary support measures #加密市场观察
Former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan and member of the government panel Masaru Yokitake: Given the neutral interest rate level, the Bank of Japan should avoid raising interest rates too early and excessively adjusting monetary support measures #加密市场观察
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How far will it fall? Interest rate hikes are imminent
The cryptocurrency market and the US stock market are very different, and the biggest reason is that the reason for the decline is clear. Now that the Nasdaq and S&P have reached previous highs, they are starting to pull back, and Bitcoin has become powerful, directly starting to decline. Recently, the expected trading has also become intense. The way to cash out is to assume there is bad news in half a month; first, there will be a rally and then a drop. If there was good news half a month ago, there would first be a drop and then a rise. Currently, the interest rate hike in Japan is coming up on December 18.
The cryptocurrency market and the US stock market are very different, and the biggest reason is that the reason for the decline is clear. Now that the Nasdaq and S&P have reached previous highs, they are starting to pull back, and Bitcoin has become powerful, directly starting to decline. Recently, the expected trading has also become intense. The way to cash out is to assume there is bad news in half a month; first, there will be a rally and then a drop. If there was good news half a month ago, there would first be a drop and then a rise. Currently, the interest rate hike in Japan is coming up on December 18.
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Interest rates are about to rise again, and compared to that news from home, this is the real sanction and negative news. Currently, the significant performance of global assets shows that non-core chips (Google Chain, light assets) are all plummeting. Bitcoin seems to be the same at the moment; it's very difficult #加密市场反弹 $BTC
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Goldman Sachs' latest forecast: Non-farm employment may decrease by 50,000 in October - the worst performance since December 2020. There is a 20%-25% probability that the unemployment rate will rise by 0.5 percentage points in the next six months (once the unemployment rate rises by 0.5% for two consecutive months, a recession is almost inevitable).
Trading for a recession has already begun, so this month dominated by insiders is truly brutal.
Trading for a recession has already begun, so this month dominated by insiders is truly brutal.
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We are currently at a major turning point, the gap between QQQ (the Nasdaq index long ETF) and BTC has reached its limit, and there are two voices in the market: one is that the Bitcoin bull market has ended, the other is that it hasn't. I lean more towards the latter, as I have not seen a significant decrease in liquidity. If the US stock indices have not ended, the end of Bitcoin would be contrary to the fundamentals.
#美联储降息 #加密市场回调
$BTC
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Did the negotiation fall through? Wipe it off
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Although I strongly believe that even if QT stops, it won't be QE, but the market has such expectations, I am still very optimistic about the market in November, gogogo
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These three positions, those who go long can take profits, there is no other meaning, buying low and selling high is life
117000, 120700, 123850
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
117000, 120700, 123850
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
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There is really a lot of data tonight, directly affecting whether there will be two interest rate cuts within the year, bring a good little stool.
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Now is the time for Insider Brother to insert various pins, opened a short position and closed part of it, the entire short line has been turned into my own lines, my head is spinning
#加密市场回调
#加密市场回调
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The low point of 108000 has arrived, alright, after forming this kind of shape, there will be a rebound later, let's see the intensity.
Now it is purely a message-driven market, harmonics have been completely denied. I really feel like I'm吐血了, you could say it meets the most basic technical requirements, and it does, but who in their right mind would open at that position??? You can refer to a few positions in the chart, the high point on the 1-hour level is 116700, but the low point of 108000 hasn't been reached. What is going on? Now it's just about watching the news for price surges and crashes, the test time has come.
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Don't you even care about your face?! Even the S&P 500 has pulled back more than half from its big drop day, while BTC is about to break down. I'm bullish, but this is making me a bit uncomfortable. Is it because Americans don't trade cryptocurrencies? The drop in the crypto market doesn't affect your midterm elections, right?
#加密市场观察
#加密市场观察
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#鲍威尔发言
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech injected a dose of "moderate signals" into the market.
He stated after receiving the Adam Smith Award that the U.S. labor market has shown signs of fatigue—employment growth is slowing, labor force participation rate is declining, and companies' willingness to hire is weakening. These signs suggest that the economy is gradually cooling down, prompting the market to bet again on the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again at the end of October.
As a result, both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices reversed from decline to increase, temporarily alleviating investors' concerns about tightening liquidity. Powell also mentioned that the Federal Reserve may "soon end the reduction of its balance sheet," reinforcing expectations of a policy shift.
As of now, the probability of a rate cut in October remains at 96.7%. Although it has not increased further, market sentiment has clearly improved.
$BTC
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech injected a dose of "moderate signals" into the market.
He stated after receiving the Adam Smith Award that the U.S. labor market has shown signs of fatigue—employment growth is slowing, labor force participation rate is declining, and companies' willingness to hire is weakening. These signs suggest that the economy is gradually cooling down, prompting the market to bet again on the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again at the end of October.
As a result, both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices reversed from decline to increase, temporarily alleviating investors' concerns about tightening liquidity. Powell also mentioned that the Federal Reserve may "soon end the reduction of its balance sheet," reinforcing expectations of a policy shift.
As of now, the probability of a rate cut in October remains at 96.7%. Although it has not increased further, market sentiment has clearly improved.
$BTC
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Now it is purely a message-driven market, harmonics have been completely denied. I really feel like I'm吐血了, you could say it meets the most basic technical requirements, and it does, but who in their right mind would open at that position??? You can refer to a few positions in the chart, the high point on the 1-hour level is 116700, but the low point of 108000 hasn't been reached. What is going on? Now it's just about watching the news for price surges and crashes, the test time has come.
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The great reconciliation of the century, I just got off the phone, I thought it would change, but I didn't expect it to change so quickly
#加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH
#加密市场回调
$BTC $ETH
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I think its trend is very impressive, I didn't expect it to be this impressive. It's a headache, but to be honest, I really think it's going up. The big pie can reach within the lower shadow line for some long positions.
#加密市场回调
When I'm free, you all have more free time. When I finish being free, you all are free. Alright 😑
When I'm free, you all have more free time. When I finish being free, you all are free. Alright 😑
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