梨花猫虾哥
目标十万粉丝！
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This cycle has not seen the so-called 'crazy' bull market, which does not align with the patterns of previous cycles. The new high for Bitcoin is also relatively weak. The key driver of the bull market is the Federal Reserve's easing, which has been delayed in this cycle, and the interest rate cuts have been sluggish. This month's restart of balance sheet expansion is explained as a solution to the short-term liquidity shortage issue, resembling 'unlimited QE expansion'. Therefore, the market is not satisfied with the 'reassurance' and has fallen back to square one. Interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion continue to advance, and there is a possibility that the cryptocurrency market may rise along with the tide $JUV
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The Fed's loose QE has arrived, but it's late, coinciding with the end of the cryptocurrency market cycle. A four-year cycle is the consensus; if everyone believes it doesn't exist and is generally reluctant to sell, the cyclicality will shake; if everyone believes cyclicality exists, the selling behavior will promote the cycle. After the current spot ETF and long-term institutional entry, the Fed is easing at this time to alleviate cyclical pressure, reducing the decline, and the number of rebounds may increase. $G $AXL
#美联储重启降息步伐
#美联储重启降息步伐
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$CHZ is about to break through
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The entire track has really exploded
Next year's World Cup is when it really goes viral
1. Kalshi raised $1 billion at a valuation of $11 billion.
2. Polymarket completed $2 billion in financing, with a valuation of $9 billion.
In fact, a valuation of $12 billion raised another round that hasn't been announced yet.
3. @opinionlabsxyz completed a round of financing worth tens of millions.
Next year's World Cup is when it really goes viral
1. Kalshi raised $1 billion at a valuation of $11 billion.
2. Polymarket completed $2 billion in financing, with a valuation of $9 billion.
In fact, a valuation of $12 billion raised another round that hasn't been announced yet.
3. @opinionlabsxyz completed a round of financing worth tens of millions.
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Next week on the 11th, the Federal Reserve will hawkishly lower interest rates, on the 19th Japan will be forced to raise interest rates, on the 25th the United States will enter the Christmas holiday, and starting in mid-December, the liquidity in the entire financial market will greatly decrease.
Prepare in advance for U.S. stocks, gold, and Bitcoin $GIGGLE
Prepare in advance for U.S. stocks, gold, and Bitcoin $GIGGLE
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After falling too much, there is no feeling left, as negative news has been realized and negative emotions have reached their limit. I often wrote about the need to pay attention to the risks at the end of the cycle in November, but the speed of the decline far exceeded expectations. Bitcoin has panicked excessively compared to the Nasdaq. $BTC
#美股2026预测
#美股2026预测
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It feels like a long bear market, at least there will be a market in the second half of next year?
The second half is too far away. Powell will retire in May, and the appointment of a dovish successor is seen as a positive by the market, so it’s appropriate to consider the positives materializing in the first half of the year. The easing factors in the first half include interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion. With the new head of the Federal Reserve taking office, the realization of positives or greater easing may occur. There are also cyclical factors to consider, so be aware of risks. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet expansion is coming too late; the last time was at the start of the bull market in 2020, and this time it is delayed. $BTC
#比特币波动性
The second half is too far away. Powell will retire in May, and the appointment of a dovish successor is seen as a positive by the market, so it’s appropriate to consider the positives materializing in the first half of the year. The easing factors in the first half include interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion. With the new head of the Federal Reserve taking office, the realization of positives or greater easing may occur. There are also cyclical factors to consider, so be aware of risks. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet expansion is coming too late; the last time was at the start of the bull market in 2020, and this time it is delayed. $BTC
#比特币波动性
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The encrypted sentiment index has dropped to around 10 (the maximum value is 100), and the sentiment is at a low point. Already tired #美股2026预测 $BTC
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It's hard to express the struggles within struggles, with all kinds of helplessness weighing on the heart.
I deeply resonate with this; the cryptocurrency market has performed steadily over multiple cycles, but this time it has not met expectations. Apart from Bitcoin, there hasn't even been a bull market, and 2025 is weaker than both 2024 and 2023. As a long-term optimist, I also see many injustices; the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are delayed and the expansion of the balance sheet is late, leading to long-term weakness in cryptocurrency market liquidity, unable to create a bubble. After this wave of declines, it will soon be time for the Federal Reserve to inject liquidity, and I hope the cryptocurrency market can perform well. $ASTER
I deeply resonate with this; the cryptocurrency market has performed steadily over multiple cycles, but this time it has not met expectations. Apart from Bitcoin, there hasn't even been a bull market, and 2025 is weaker than both 2024 and 2023. As a long-term optimist, I also see many injustices; the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are delayed and the expansion of the balance sheet is late, leading to long-term weakness in cryptocurrency market liquidity, unable to create a bubble. After this wave of declines, it will soon be time for the Federal Reserve to inject liquidity, and I hope the cryptocurrency market can perform well. $ASTER
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Decline, NVIDIA's quarterly earnings report exceeded expectations, U.S. stock index futures and the cryptocurrency market rebounded in sync after hitting bottom, marking a phase of recovery. Future attention will be on December 1 when the Federal Reserve stops tapering and the discussion of expansion at the interest rate meeting on December 10. In 2020, the cryptocurrency market responded positively to the Federal Reserve's expansion of its balance sheet. #美股2026预测 $ASTER
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Fans often ask if there will be a bull market?
This month is the conventional end of the cycle, and from a cyclical perspective, the bull market is coming to an end; what gives hope is that the U.S. government may increase fiscal spending after restarting, and the liquidity that was previously stalled may be released in the short term, along with how much bubble stimulus the Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion in the first quarter of next year can bring to the cryptocurrency market. Expectations of a bear market and expectations of a rebound, the long-term optimists have become numb after the drop. (The key expansion of the balance sheet 'money release' momentum that has been lacking in this cycle has come late.) #美股2026预测 $BTC
$STRK
This month is the conventional end of the cycle, and from a cyclical perspective, the bull market is coming to an end; what gives hope is that the U.S. government may increase fiscal spending after restarting, and the liquidity that was previously stalled may be released in the short term, along with how much bubble stimulus the Federal Reserve's balance sheet expansion in the first quarter of next year can bring to the cryptocurrency market. Expectations of a bear market and expectations of a rebound, the long-term optimists have become numb after the drop. (The key expansion of the balance sheet 'money release' momentum that has been lacking in this cycle has come late.) #美股2026预测 $BTC
$STRK
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The US stock market and gold have risen significantly, with returns sufficient to "match or exceed the cryptocurrency market," leading to insufficient buzz in the cryptocurrency market. For example, the Korean stock market is significantly ahead of the cryptocurrency market (previously the opposite), and traditional markets have a vampiric effect on the cryptocurrency market. The outlook is that after the Federal Reserve injects liquidity, the US stock indices are at high levels, and whether capital will rotate into the cryptocurrency market, where the former enjoys more liquidity, and the cryptocurrency market gets a share.
The volatility is huge, please protect your wallet! $BTC
$ASTR
The volatility is huge, please protect your wallet! $BTC
$ASTR
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Based on the Double Eleven of the past few years, the crypto world usually has discounts. Will there be discounts today? #美国政府停摆 $BTC
$UNI
$UNI
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$CHZ Now is the bottom, the World Cup once every four years🏆$CHZ
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Chart update, the sketch of the big pie at position 7.5 has been completed.
The second pie has also reached the exchange position of multi-day line resistance and support, as well as the middle track of the monthly Bollinger Bands.
Before breaking the black trend line in Chart 1, I will not look towards lower positions. #eth $ETH
The second pie has also reached the exchange position of multi-day line resistance and support, as well as the middle track of the monthly Bollinger Bands.
Before breaking the black trend line in Chart 1, I will not look towards lower positions. #eth $ETH
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Retail investors, it's getting harder!\n$XRP 11 The start of November is not good, and November is traditionally a strong month, with an average increase of 42.49% for Bitcoin and a median of 8.81%. November is also the traditional end of the cycle, and whales are currently very cautious, with insufficient liquidity. A catalyst is needed to improve sentiment, so temporarily focus on the timing of the U.S. government reopening and discussions on the Federal Reserve stopping balance sheet reduction. #加密市场回调 $SOL \n\n
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