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说一个惊人的真相,山寨币2025年属于猎杀局 “市场缺流动性”这句话是大家听到的最多的一句吧,都在说流动性决定行情大大小,本质上这么去理解也没有问题,但是从另一个层面来看 项目无创新,同样的叙事换层皮,从元宇宙到RWA再到AI,项目方自己都不信了,你还指望散户接盘 团队没落地、社区没搭建,上来市值几十亿,明摆着告诉你“我开盘就是来套现的” 结果资金只敢抱团头部,90%山寨沦为“僵尸币”,项目方拉一点就被砸穿,干脆躺平,新币上线即破发,连画图的耐心都没了 过去是“拿住即暴富”,现在是“跑慢即埋葬”,节奏变成:快进、快出、狠止损,一波反弹不逃顶,下次解套可能再等一轮牛熊 当下要么你有内幕信息跑得比项目方快,要么你只玩确定性最高的龙头,别再问“拿哪个百倍”,先问自己:“这个位置跑了多少人,我是不是最后那批,2025的山寨战场,是专业猎手的围猎场,不是散户的游乐园
说一个惊人的真相,山寨币2025年属于猎杀局

“市场缺流动性”这句话是大家听到的最多的一句吧,都在说流动性决定行情大大小,本质上这么去理解也没有问题,但是从另一个层面来看

项目无创新,同样的叙事换层皮,从元宇宙到RWA再到AI,项目方自己都不信了,你还指望散户接盘

团队没落地、社区没搭建,上来市值几十亿,明摆着告诉你“我开盘就是来套现的”

结果资金只敢抱团头部,90%山寨沦为“僵尸币”,项目方拉一点就被砸穿,干脆躺平,新币上线即破发,连画图的耐心都没了

过去是“拿住即暴富”,现在是“跑慢即埋葬”,节奏变成:快进、快出、狠止损,一波反弹不逃顶,下次解套可能再等一轮牛熊

当下要么你有内幕信息跑得比项目方快,要么你只玩确定性最高的龙头,别再问“拿哪个百倍”,先问自己:“这个位置跑了多少人,我是不是最后那批,2025的山寨战场,是专业猎手的围猎场,不是散户的游乐园
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如果现在就是熊市初期,那么这轮反弹就是多头最后的离场机会,接下来要考虑的就是这轮的反弹最高点会是在哪? 熊市初期还是反弹比较猛的时候,上轮熊市初期,第二次跌到3万3附近时,最终反弹到4万8,反弹幅度是40%多,这个反弹幅度如果拿到现在来看,8万反弹40%就是11万; 至少现在12月份我的交易策略是逢高就空,再结合筹码成交密集区以及12月26号天量期权的最大交割痛点是10万,我认为12月份站稳10万上方的可能比较低; 如果12月份的行情不符合我的预期判断,那么我的空单止损价格也是在大饼站稳10万以后再进行止损,做短线交易的除外,因为短线交易1000-2000个点的利润就已经可以离场了,而且止损往往也是1000个点左右;
如果现在就是熊市初期,那么这轮反弹就是多头最后的离场机会,接下来要考虑的就是这轮的反弹最高点会是在哪?

熊市初期还是反弹比较猛的时候,上轮熊市初期,第二次跌到3万3附近时,最终反弹到4万8,反弹幅度是40%多,这个反弹幅度如果拿到现在来看,8万反弹40%就是11万;

至少现在12月份我的交易策略是逢高就空,再结合筹码成交密集区以及12月26号天量期权的最大交割痛点是10万,我认为12月份站稳10万上方的可能比较低;

如果12月份的行情不符合我的预期判断,那么我的空单止损价格也是在大饼站稳10万以后再进行止损,做短线交易的除外,因为短线交易1000-2000个点的利润就已经可以离场了,而且止损往往也是1000个点左右;
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Scary data. Since the official launch of Ondo's US stock tokens within the Binance app's built-in wallet last week, approximately 37.3 million US dollars worth of stock tokens have been minted on the chain over the past 3 days. Today, Binance co-founder He Yi responded on-site that the launch of this section was in response to the investment needs of the majority of wallet users. Note: Ondo's US stock tokens are issued and minted on-chain, and are matched by brokers to ensure that the prices synchronize with the stock prices.
Scary data.

Since the official launch of Ondo's US stock tokens within the Binance app's built-in wallet last week, approximately 37.3 million US dollars worth of stock tokens have been minted on the chain over the past 3 days.

Today, Binance co-founder He Yi responded on-site that the launch of this section was in response to the investment needs of the majority of wallet users.

Note: Ondo's US stock tokens are issued and minted on-chain, and are matched by brokers to ensure that the prices synchronize with the stock prices.
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ETH Market Analysis: Ethereum has performed quite well this time, at least keeping up with the rhythm. The rebound peak has exceeded $3200, and currently, it looks a bit like a little old lady going up the stairs, with small steps of increase. I'm really worried that if we're not careful, it could crash down directly! From the four-hour chart perspective, we are close to the overall downtrend line. The hourly level has also shown a standard head and shoulders pattern, but the price is still being maintained. Pay attention to the upcoming movements, with the upper pressure downtrend line around 3250. The short-term support below is in the range of 3080-3050! Operational suggestion: For those who want to short, they can look at the 3250 pressure area on the four-hour level, which has a higher cost-performance ratio. A valid breakthrough in four hours would be a loss, while below, watch for reactions near the support!
ETH Market Analysis:

Ethereum has performed quite well this time, at least keeping up with the rhythm. The rebound peak has exceeded $3200, and currently, it looks a bit like a little old lady going up the stairs, with small steps of increase. I'm really worried that if we're not careful, it could crash down directly!

From the four-hour chart perspective, we are close to the overall downtrend line. The hourly level has also shown a standard head and shoulders pattern, but the price is still being maintained. Pay attention to the upcoming movements, with the upper pressure downtrend line around 3250. The short-term support below is in the range of 3080-3050!

Operational suggestion: For those who want to short, they can look at the 3250 pressure area on the four-hour level, which has a higher cost-performance ratio. A valid breakthrough in four hours would be a loss, while below, watch for reactions near the support!
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Next, focus on bsc Reasons 1. Sister is the co-CEO, as we all know, Sister likes memes 2. I saw a picture saying that Sister mentioned in the meeting that they want to create more interesting Binance memes 3. A while ago, the two alphas with low market capitalization had already given signals
Next, focus on bsc

Reasons

1. Sister is the co-CEO, as we all know, Sister likes memes
2. I saw a picture saying that Sister mentioned in the meeting that they want to create more interesting Binance memes
3. A while ago, the two alphas with low market capitalization had already given signals
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The recent trading volume of FIR on the Binance Alpha platform has surged, backed by an innovative ecosystem that combines AI and music, showing strong development momentum. Several popular songs have already achieved excellent results on the platform, such as Kay Tse's new song "Cheng Guang Zhu Meng" ranking second on the Tencent Music chart, with cumulative plays exceeding 100 million, bringing considerable copyright revenue. Today, FIR announced significant positive news, expecting copyright revenue to exceed 30 million USD by 2026. In addition, a "copyright pledge pool" mechanism will be launched at the end of December, where all users participating in FIR-LP will share 50% of the copyright revenue (settled in USDT). Currently, FIR's market value is only about 6 million USD, still in its early stages, and with increased trading volume and positive news gradually being realized, it has a low market value and huge growth potential, which may lead to significant increases in the short term. It is recommended to consider building positions in a timely manner and patiently waiting for further positive developments. #FIR
The recent trading volume of FIR on the Binance Alpha platform has surged, backed by an innovative ecosystem that combines AI and music, showing strong development momentum. Several popular songs have already achieved excellent results on the platform, such as Kay Tse's new song "Cheng Guang Zhu Meng" ranking second on the Tencent Music chart, with cumulative plays exceeding 100 million, bringing considerable copyright revenue. Today, FIR announced significant positive news, expecting copyright revenue to exceed 30 million USD by 2026. In addition, a "copyright pledge pool" mechanism will be launched at the end of December, where all users participating in FIR-LP will share 50% of the copyright revenue (settled in USDT). Currently, FIR's market value is only about 6 million USD, still in its early stages, and with increased trading volume and positive news gradually being realized, it has a low market value and huge growth potential, which may lead to significant increases in the short term. It is recommended to consider building positions in a timely manner and patiently waiting for further positive developments.

#FIR
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The monthly death cross has arrived, and the second month of the monthly death cross aligns with the behavior of the main players. There are currently two possible scenarios: 1. A rebound to around 100,000 before the death cross in March, reaching a peak, followed by a decline of 45%-50% over several months to the bottom; 2. A rebound to the previous high before the death cross in March, reaching a peak, followed by a decline of 45%-50% over several months to the bottom; In these two months, we will first look at the rebound of the monthly death cross and try not to chase short positions.
The monthly death cross has arrived, and the second month of the monthly death cross aligns with the behavior of the main players. There are currently two possible scenarios:

1. A rebound to around 100,000 before the death cross in March, reaching a peak, followed by a decline of 45%-50% over several months to the bottom;

2. A rebound to the previous high before the death cross in March, reaching a peak, followed by a decline of 45%-50% over several months to the bottom;

In these two months, we will first look at the rebound of the monthly death cross and try not to chase short positions.
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Bitcoin Flash Crash, Is It Really a Crisis? Or the Best Trial Before the Next Bull Market!In the last 24 hours, a total of 155,674 people globally have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $532 million! On a macro level, negative factors continue to emerge: interest rate hikes in Japan, MSTR's explosion, and FUD around Tether. Currently, BTC and ETH are weakly adjusting in a downward trajectory. Whether they can strengthen later needs continued observation. During this phase, maintaining learning or taking a passive approach is the best choice; not trading is equivalent to making money. BTC Yesterday, BTC dropped sharply, and the US market last night didn't perform well. Although there were signs of buying the dip, there were no indications of a rally. After the US stock market opened, it followed the decline of the US stocks, briefly dropping below 85000 before recovering. The 1-hour chart shows a classic OBV five-wave pattern, the 4-hour chart shows an OBV death cross, MACD bullish volume diminishing, and KDJ facing downward with a death cross. The market remains dominated by bears.

Bitcoin Flash Crash, Is It Really a Crisis? Or the Best Trial Before the Next Bull Market!

In the last 24 hours, a total of 155,674 people globally have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $532 million! On a macro level, negative factors continue to emerge: interest rate hikes in Japan, MSTR's explosion, and FUD around Tether. Currently, BTC and ETH are weakly adjusting in a downward trajectory. Whether they can strengthen later needs continued observation. During this phase, maintaining learning or taking a passive approach is the best choice; not trading is equivalent to making money.

BTC

Yesterday, BTC dropped sharply, and the US market last night didn't perform well. Although there were signs of buying the dip, there were no indications of a rally. After the US stock market opened, it followed the decline of the US stocks, briefly dropping below 85000 before recovering. The 1-hour chart shows a classic OBV five-wave pattern, the 4-hour chart shows an OBV death cross, MACD bullish volume diminishing, and KDJ facing downward with a death cross. The market remains dominated by bears.
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I have been monitoring the dynamics of Japan's interest rate hike information since the Golden Week on October 11. Because the halving day of this round of BTC and the last round both fall in April, if the laws of the larger cycle still hold, then October to December is basically the end of a bull market and the beginning of a bear market. The most important information that could completely bring BTC into the next bear market cycle is Japan's interest rate hike. After all, it has been nearly 10 months since the last interest rate cut, and a third interest rate hike in December or January is logical. This timing just happens to be the period that concludes the bull market phase of this larger bull-bear cycle. If everything operates according to laws or principles, then the internal logic and connections of these events constitute the laws of its operation.
I have been monitoring the dynamics of Japan's interest rate hike information since the Golden Week on October 11. Because the halving day of this round of BTC and the last round both fall in April, if the laws of the larger cycle still hold, then October to December is basically the end of a bull market and the beginning of a bear market. The most important information that could completely bring BTC into the next bear market cycle is Japan's interest rate hike. After all, it has been nearly 10 months since the last interest rate cut, and a third interest rate hike in December or January is logical. This timing just happens to be the period that concludes the bull market phase of this larger bull-bear cycle.

If everything operates according to laws or principles, then the internal logic and connections of these events constitute the laws of its operation.
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Calm before the storm? Dogecoin suddenly 'stalls' after soaring, are you bullish or bearish?The Dogecoin price against the US dollar is steadily rising above $0.1550. Currently, Dogecoin is in a consolidation phase, and if it falls below $0.1490, a significant drop may occur. DOGE price has started to rise again, breaking through $0.1480 and $0.150. The current price is below the $0.1520 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. On the DOGE/USD hourly chart, an upward trend line is forming, with support at $0.1495 (data source: Kraken). If the price stays above $0.1490, it may rise again. Dogecoin price consolidates gains

Calm before the storm? Dogecoin suddenly 'stalls' after soaring, are you bullish or bearish?

The Dogecoin price against the US dollar is steadily rising above $0.1550. Currently, Dogecoin is in a consolidation phase, and if it falls below $0.1490, a significant drop may occur.
DOGE price has started to rise again, breaking through $0.1480 and $0.150.
The current price is below the $0.1520 level and the 100-hour simple moving average.
On the DOGE/USD hourly chart, an upward trend line is forming, with support at $0.1495 (data source: Kraken).
If the price stays above $0.1490, it may rise again.
Dogecoin price consolidates gains
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XRP surges to $10, Solana breaks $600, while Dogecoin plummets? Which of these three crazy predictions is most likely to come true?A cryptocurrency analyst named NoLimit shared a series of long-term price targets for major cryptocurrencies, predicting the peaks he believes these cryptocurrencies could reach by 2029. His list includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, Monero, Sui, Binance Coin, and Kaspa. These data are not presented in the form of technical analysis or chart predictions, but rather as expectations for market growth trends in the coming years. XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin are the focus of the analyst's attention. Among all the listed assets, the most surprising predictions focus on XRP at $10, Solana at $600, and Dogecoin at $0.75. His complete list also includes other mainstream cryptocurrencies, providing a more comprehensive view of his outlook: Bitcoin at $190,000; Ethereum at $4,800; Cardano at $1.10; Monero at $750; Sui at $25; BNB at $1,800; and Kaspa at $0.50.

XRP surges to $10, Solana breaks $600, while Dogecoin plummets? Which of these three crazy predictions is most likely to come true?

A cryptocurrency analyst named NoLimit shared a series of long-term price targets for major cryptocurrencies, predicting the peaks he believes these cryptocurrencies could reach by 2029. His list includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, Monero, Sui, Binance Coin, and Kaspa.
These data are not presented in the form of technical analysis or chart predictions, but rather as expectations for market growth trends in the coming years.
XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin are the focus of the analyst's attention.
Among all the listed assets, the most surprising predictions focus on XRP at $10, Solana at $600, and Dogecoin at $0.75. His complete list also includes other mainstream cryptocurrencies, providing a more comprehensive view of his outlook: Bitcoin at $190,000; Ethereum at $4,800; Cardano at $1.10; Monero at $750; Sui at $25; BNB at $1,800; and Kaspa at $0.50.
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Here's another good news: after the total market value of stablecoins stopped growing for a month, it has started to grow again this week! Previously, I mentioned the three key signals that indicate the end of a bull market: 1. Stagnation in the growth of stablecoins; 2. BTC price falling below the upper limit of the ASR fluctuation channel; 3. The super trend indicator's 12-day line showing a sell signal; Last week, all these conditions were already met... But miraculously, two of the signals were retracted this week! Currently, only the ASR weekly channel indicates the end of the bull market, and it signaled this over two weeks ago...
Here's another good news: after the total market value of stablecoins stopped growing for a month, it has started to grow again this week!

Previously, I mentioned the three key signals that indicate the end of a bull market:

1. Stagnation in the growth of stablecoins;

2. BTC price falling below the upper limit of the ASR fluctuation channel;

3. The super trend indicator's 12-day line showing a sell signal;

Last week, all these conditions were already met...

But miraculously, two of the signals were retracted this week!

Currently, only the ASR weekly channel indicates the end of the bull market, and it signaled this over two weeks ago...
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Black Swan Attack! The UP theft incident triggers a chain reaction. Is the Bitcoin and Ethereum bull market over? What will happen to altcoins?In the last 24 hours, a total of 112,051 people worldwide have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $324 million! Tonight, North America is not opening, and the market continues to follow the right-side trend. The trend remains unchanged; if there is a pullback, act decisively. In the morning session, do not chase highs; if you want to short, it can only be a quick in-and-out rather than a long-term position, as the current short positions are against the trend. The next five days belong to the Asian control period, which is a good time to study the tactics of Asian doge traders! BTC Last night, BTC closed with upper and lower shadows and a solid bullish candle, forming a bullish engulfing pattern against yesterday's bearish candle. Meanwhile, today is the American Thanksgiving, and the US stock market is closed tonight. Currently, the market is experiencing a low-volume increase with a price-volume divergence, and the cost is negative. The bearish force is still strong, and one can short with low leverage to catch a pullback.

Black Swan Attack! The UP theft incident triggers a chain reaction. Is the Bitcoin and Ethereum bull market over? What will happen to altcoins?

In the last 24 hours, a total of 112,051 people worldwide have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $324 million! Tonight, North America is not opening, and the market continues to follow the right-side trend. The trend remains unchanged; if there is a pullback, act decisively. In the morning session, do not chase highs; if you want to short, it can only be a quick in-and-out rather than a long-term position, as the current short positions are against the trend. The next five days belong to the Asian control period, which is a good time to study the tactics of Asian doge traders!

BTC

Last night, BTC closed with upper and lower shadows and a solid bullish candle, forming a bullish engulfing pattern against yesterday's bearish candle. Meanwhile, today is the American Thanksgiving, and the US stock market is closed tonight. Currently, the market is experiencing a low-volume increase with a price-volume divergence, and the cost is negative. The bearish force is still strong, and one can short with low leverage to catch a pullback.
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“Is the Dogecoin ETF off to a bad start? Why is it being overlooked compared to the explosive performances of Ripple and Solana?”The debut performance of the Dogecoin ETF is disappointing, far below market expectations, and even lags behind the launch performance of XRP and Solana ETFs. Despite Dogecoin's broad popularity and active community, this ETF struggles to attract significant capital inflows and strong institutional demand. Early trading data also falls short of top ETF analysts' expectations. The Dogecoin ETF has launched, but its performance is mediocre. The highly anticipated Dogecoin ETF debut has started slowly, with initial trading volumes far below expectations. Currently, only the Grayscale Dogecoin ETF (GDOG) has successfully launched. Although Grayscale is the second-largest Bitcoin fund and manages a top Ethereum ETF, its Dogecoin ETF has not attracted widespread attention from institutions or retail investors.

“Is the Dogecoin ETF off to a bad start? Why is it being overlooked compared to the explosive performances of Ripple and Solana?”

The debut performance of the Dogecoin ETF is disappointing, far below market expectations, and even lags behind the launch performance of XRP and Solana ETFs. Despite Dogecoin's broad popularity and active community, this ETF struggles to attract significant capital inflows and strong institutional demand. Early trading data also falls short of top ETF analysts' expectations.
The Dogecoin ETF has launched, but its performance is mediocre.
The highly anticipated Dogecoin ETF debut has started slowly, with initial trading volumes far below expectations. Currently, only the Grayscale Dogecoin ETF (GDOG) has successfully launched. Although Grayscale is the second-largest Bitcoin fund and manages a top Ethereum ETF, its Dogecoin ETF has not attracted widespread attention from institutions or retail investors.
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The market is terrible, and the altcoins in hand have become a painful burden. Cutting losses is painful, holding on is distressing. But to be fair, the only coins that truly make you hesitate are those few that you never want to sell off, believing there’s still a chance to break even?
The market is terrible, and the altcoins in hand have become a painful burden.

Cutting losses is painful, holding on is distressing.

But to be fair, the only coins that truly make you hesitate are those few that you never want to sell off, believing there’s still a chance to break even?
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XRP price remains strong, poised for a surge – what will happen next?XRP price starts to rise steadily above $2.150. The current price is consolidating gains, and if it breaks through $2.250, it may rise again. XRP price starts a new round of increase above $2.20. Current price is above $2.180 and the 100-hour simple moving average. A rising trend line is forming on the XRP/USD hourly chart, with support at $2.170 (data source: Kraken). If it breaks through $2.250, the currency pair may continue to rise. XRP price is expected to continue rising. XRP price starts to rise steadily above $2.050 and $2.080, performing better than Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price then accelerates and is expected to break through the resistance at $2.150.

XRP price remains strong, poised for a surge – what will happen next?

XRP price starts to rise steadily above $2.150. The current price is consolidating gains, and if it breaks through $2.250, it may rise again.
XRP price starts a new round of increase above $2.20.
Current price is above $2.180 and the 100-hour simple moving average.
A rising trend line is forming on the XRP/USD hourly chart, with support at $2.170 (data source: Kraken).
If it breaks through $2.250, the currency pair may continue to rise.
XRP price is expected to continue rising.

XRP price starts to rise steadily above $2.050 and $2.080, performing better than Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price then accelerates and is expected to break through the resistance at $2.150.
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Dogecoin Soars! New ETF Ignites Market, On-Chain Data Breaks Records, Price Breakthrough Imminent!After a week of explosive development, Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again become the focus of attention, with market sentiment firmly turning bullish. Grayscale has launched the Dogecoin ETF, coupled with increasing on-chain activity and renewed enthusiasm from retail investors, collectively pushing Dogecoin into a breakout zone, analysts say this could define its next major trend. Against the backdrop of overall volatility in the cryptocurrency market, Dogecoin has once again proven that its unique cultural appeal and market structure can create tremendous growth momentum. Grayscale's GDOG ETF has sparked new institutional demand. The biggest catalyst this week is the launch of Grayscale's GDOG, which is the first spot Dogecoin ETF in the United States, marking an unprecedented milestone for any meme coin. GDOG is listed on the New York Stock Exchange Arca, with the first $1 billion in assets enjoying a 0% temporary fee, allowing investors to gain regulated Dogecoin investment opportunities without the need for wallets or direct custody.

Dogecoin Soars! New ETF Ignites Market, On-Chain Data Breaks Records, Price Breakthrough Imminent!

After a week of explosive development, Dogecoin (DOGE) has once again become the focus of attention, with market sentiment firmly turning bullish.
Grayscale has launched the Dogecoin ETF, coupled with increasing on-chain activity and renewed enthusiasm from retail investors, collectively pushing Dogecoin into a breakout zone, analysts say this could define its next major trend.
Against the backdrop of overall volatility in the cryptocurrency market, Dogecoin has once again proven that its unique cultural appeal and market structure can create tremendous growth momentum.

Grayscale's GDOG ETF has sparked new institutional demand.
The biggest catalyst this week is the launch of Grayscale's GDOG, which is the first spot Dogecoin ETF in the United States, marking an unprecedented milestone for any meme coin. GDOG is listed on the New York Stock Exchange Arca, with the first $1 billion in assets enjoying a 0% temporary fee, allowing investors to gain regulated Dogecoin investment opportunities without the need for wallets or direct custody.
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Has Dogecoin's rebound come to an end? After encountering strong resistance, the upward momentum weakens. Is it a brief pause or a precursor to a large sell-off?The Dogecoin to USD exchange rate has started to rebound after breaking through the $0.1420 area. Currently, Dogecoin faces resistance around $0.1540, which may make it difficult to continue rising. DOGE price has started to rise steadily, breaking through $0.140 and $0.1420. The price is currently above the $0.1450 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. On the DOGE/USD hourly chart, a bearish trendline is forming, with resistance at $0.1530 (data source: Kraken). If the price remains below $0.1530 and $0.1540, the downtrend may accelerate.

Has Dogecoin's rebound come to an end? After encountering strong resistance, the upward momentum weakens. Is it a brief pause or a precursor to a large sell-off?

The Dogecoin to USD exchange rate has started to rebound after breaking through the $0.1420 area. Currently, Dogecoin faces resistance around $0.1540, which may make it difficult to continue rising.
DOGE price has started to rise steadily, breaking through $0.140 and $0.1420.
The price is currently above the $0.1450 level and the 100-hour simple moving average.
On the DOGE/USD hourly chart, a bearish trendline is forming, with resistance at $0.1530 (data source: Kraken).
If the price remains below $0.1530 and $0.1540, the downtrend may accelerate.
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Desperate rebirth? Dogecoin is mired in a 'silent' quagmire but flashes key reversal signals!Despite stagnating momentum and shrinking trading volume, Dogecoin (DOGE) has begun to emit its first technical reversal signal in weeks. Although the price movement remains within a narrow consolidation range, fundamental indicators show that selling pressure has finally started to ease, indicating that a price rebound is highly likely, thereby initiating a structural recovery. Doji star pattern raises hopes for a reversal According to Umair Crypto, Dogecoin briefly fell below the $0.14 mark, but a significant rebound occurred at the close of the last candlestick, forming a doji star pattern that reflects the market's indecision. Currently, this candlestick is attempting to regain the RSI trend line, suggesting that market momentum may shift. If Dogecoin can sustain a rebound above the key $0.17 level (which coincides with the 'golden pocket' of the doji star pattern), it would strengthen signs of a bullish reversal.

Desperate rebirth? Dogecoin is mired in a 'silent' quagmire but flashes key reversal signals!

Despite stagnating momentum and shrinking trading volume, Dogecoin (DOGE) has begun to emit its first technical reversal signal in weeks. Although the price movement remains within a narrow consolidation range, fundamental indicators show that selling pressure has finally started to ease, indicating that a price rebound is highly likely, thereby initiating a structural recovery.
Doji star pattern raises hopes for a reversal
According to Umair Crypto, Dogecoin briefly fell below the $0.14 mark, but a significant rebound occurred at the close of the last candlestick, forming a doji star pattern that reflects the market's indecision. Currently, this candlestick is attempting to regain the RSI trend line, suggesting that market momentum may shift. If Dogecoin can sustain a rebound above the key $0.17 level (which coincides with the 'golden pocket' of the doji star pattern), it would strengthen signs of a bullish reversal.
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A simple classification of mainstream VC tokens has been made regarding their unlocking status. Some have nearly completed unlocking, while others are still far from it. 1. Mainstream tokens with nearly completed unlocking or only a small portion left. The standard roughly unlocks >80% or has only 1 to 2 years left in the unlocking period. 1. $INJ (Injective) Unlocking progress: ≈100%, the unlocking period has been completed. 2. $LDO (Lido) Circulation ≈89%, significant historical unlocks on DropsTab concentrated around 2024, currently mainly DAO self-grants and incentives, with no new long-term linear VC unlocks. 3. $IMX (Immutable) Unlocking progress ≈89%, the official calendar indicates there is about 1 month left for unlocking, after which it will mainly be ecological incentives. 4. $TIA (Celestia) Circulation ≈84.5%, research and team reserves have about 300–700 days of release left, already in the final stage, with a relatively smooth unlocking pace. 5. $AXL (Axelar) unlocking progress ≈65.7%, remaining unlocking time is about 400 days, with more than a year left to finish unlocking, mainly depends on the protocol and inflation. 6. $LINK (Chainlink) The linear unlocking of the team custody wallet ended in early 2025, now the locked amount is 0, about 70% is in circulation, the rest is for the team and reserves, with no new long-term mandatory release curve. 7. $Render (Render) Circulation ≈80.5%, most of the early batches of locked amounts have been completed, leading up to 2031 mainly involves protocol inflation. 2. Mainstream tokens with unlocking still far from completion can basically be ignored. 1. $WLD (Worldcoin) Unlocked ~41%, remaining unlocking time >4600 days, one of the longest unlocking periods in the entire market. 2. $APT (Aptos) Investors/team 10-year linear release, still in the first half, with continuous unlocking for many years to come. 3. $SUI (Sui) Unlocked about 34%, the main linear release has about 1600 days left, meanwhile, large positions like SUI Reserve will only be fully released much later, generally a standard long-cycle VC token. 4. $SEI Unlocking progress 50%, overall release extends to 2031, teams and investors will unlock linearly from 2028–2031, with a significant unlock around 2026. 5. $ONDO Unlocking progress about 34%, remaining 1100 days; the white paper specifies that multiple rounds of investor/team reserves will unlock linearly until 2029, a typical long-term RWA VC token.
A simple classification of mainstream VC tokens has been made regarding their unlocking status. Some have nearly completed unlocking, while others are still far from it.

1. Mainstream tokens with nearly completed unlocking or only a small portion left.

The standard roughly unlocks >80% or has only 1 to 2 years left in the unlocking period.

1. $INJ (Injective)

Unlocking progress: ≈100%, the unlocking period has been completed.

2. $LDO (Lido)

Circulation ≈89%, significant historical unlocks on DropsTab concentrated around 2024, currently mainly DAO self-grants and incentives, with no new long-term linear VC unlocks.

3. $IMX (Immutable)

Unlocking progress ≈89%, the official calendar indicates there is about 1 month left for unlocking, after which it will mainly be ecological incentives.

4. $TIA (Celestia)

Circulation ≈84.5%, research and team reserves have about 300–700 days of release left, already in the final stage, with a relatively smooth unlocking pace.

5. $AXL (Axelar) unlocking progress ≈65.7%, remaining unlocking time is about 400 days, with more than a year left to finish unlocking, mainly depends on the protocol and inflation.

6. $LINK (Chainlink)

The linear unlocking of the team custody wallet ended in early 2025, now the locked amount is 0, about 70% is in circulation, the rest is for the team and reserves, with no new long-term mandatory release curve.

7. $Render (Render)

Circulation ≈80.5%, most of the early batches of locked amounts have been completed, leading up to 2031 mainly involves protocol inflation.

2. Mainstream tokens with unlocking still far from completion can basically be ignored.

1. $WLD (Worldcoin)

Unlocked ~41%, remaining unlocking time >4600 days, one of the longest unlocking periods in the entire market.

2. $APT (Aptos)

Investors/team 10-year linear release, still in the first half, with continuous unlocking for many years to come.

3. $SUI (Sui)

Unlocked about 34%, the main linear release has about 1600 days left, meanwhile, large positions like SUI Reserve will only be fully released much later, generally a standard long-cycle VC token.

4. $SEI

Unlocking progress 50%, overall release extends to 2031, teams and investors will unlock linearly from 2028–2031, with a significant unlock around 2026.

5. $ONDO

Unlocking progress about 34%, remaining 1100 days; the white paper specifies that multiple rounds of investor/team reserves will unlock linearly until 2029, a typical long-term RWA VC token.
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