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trader凯哥

Open Trade
PALU Holder
PALU Holder
Frequent Trader
2.7 Years
公众号trader凯哥。趋势交易法学习,现货定投学习。长线暴利。实盘盈利百万
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My investment experience of turning around in 2020 I discovered the investment opportunity in Bitcoin around the end of October 2020. I did not do specific research at that time, but I knew that the market should come soon. Even if it does not come by the end of 2020, it will definitely come in 2021. Then I took action and transferred 372,000 from the stock market. I bought Bitcoin on October 30, 2020. The average price started from 13550 to around 13990. I bought a total of 4.1 coins. I will post a picture of the price later. Buy spot operation: Buy spot operation and then start operating the contract. I started from the original two to three thousand contracts. Before, I mainly did quarterly trading. Later, because quarterly settlement was required in December, I also opened perpetual trading before then and slowly rolled out. My approach is to put all the coins in my wallet, and then open an order based on the liquidation price to ensure absolute safety and prevent liquidation. This keeps going. This is the core content of my operation. This is my initial order record. 2020.11.05 Later on, I have been studying the market and thinking about some issues, how to make this transaction more perfect. I simply made a statistics on the Bitcoin market at a certain time (picture attached below). After completing the statistics, I became more convinced and strengthened my confidence. To be honest, I have been speculating in the stock market for nearly ten years and have not made a penny. Overall, I have still made a loss. I don’t know how many leeks have been harvested. Since the stock market is like this, then give the currency circle a try. I open perpetual and seasonal orders, and I ensure that the liquidation price is very low, at least $10,000 higher than the current price. 2020.11.12 15::26 pm 2020.11.12 18:13 pm 2020.11.13 7:14 am 2020.11.17 4:26 am Sometimes I wake up in the middle of the night and look at the market and take a screenshot 2020.11.17 19:24 pm At this time I have gone from 4.1 coins to 10 coins. When confidence comes, of course there will be adjustments and a trough stage later on. ​2020.12.22 22:19 2020.#btc #etf 12.25 19:44 pm At this time, basically all my orders have been opened. Then the assets are driven all the way onto the highway. In the early morning of December 31, 2020, it exceeded the four million mark. As the market gradually picked up, my profits also grew larger and larger, and I ignored all the intermediate bands. Because I know that you will never be able to buy at the bottom price, so I have always been firm, not doing swings, and holding on all the way. Even if there are adjustments in the middle, I rarely operate. Of course, your experience is great. I once , probably from 4.1 reached 13 (the number of Bitcoins). Later, the market encountered periodic adjustments. I was also hurt a lot, but I resisted all the way. Some orders were coming in and out in the early stage. It wasn’t until I made that statistical chart, and the quarterly contract delivery happened to be in late December, that I had already added the perpetual orders until I thought it was enough. Later, it should be 12,000 contracts. , for the current quarter, the issue of delivery was taken into consideration. I was watching the market at around 4 o'clock in the afternoon on the day of delivery. I used my mobile phone to operate it. A contract. Because it is a new quarterly order, the delivery will not be until mid-March, so I have always deliberately remembered the importance of the bottom price. Even if I am trapped, it is temporary. The delivery will be in March. At most, I will only pay a little more handling fee. The subsequent trend proved the correctness of my decision. The price of Bitcoin is a unilateral upward trend. 2020.12.31. The most original is this list, here is 2020.12.31. At 20:11 pm on January 2, 2021, at 20:11 pm on January 2, 2021, the assets exceeded the five million mark. At 23:06 pm on January 2, it exceeded the six million mark at 23:06 pm on January 2. In the early morning of January 3, it exceeded 7 million. It exceeded 8 million at 19:52 on the evening of the 3rd. It exceeded 8 million at 19:52 on the evening of the 3rd. Then there was the big retracement on the 1/4th day. I didn't move the order, but took the opportunity to use the second quarter contract to play short-term. At 8:02 am on January 7th, assets exceeded the 9 million mark. On the same day, it exceeded the 10 million mark within a few minutes. Assets soared to over 1,200,000. Assets soared to over 1,200,000. At 21:30 in the evening on January 9, 2021, another wave of adjustments was made, but my order was still there. I was already prepared for the bottom order and stayed put. Some people may ask, that is because you are lucky, if you encounter 312 in 20 years to the end of the year. . . . First of all, let me make it clear that Bitcoin was halved in May 2020. I would never open a contract at that time. I had considered it before doing this and I also summarized the Bitcoin halving. The subsequent market trend will probably start when. So I originally thought it would start in the first quarter of 2021, and then gradually enter the ambush in the fourth quarter of 2020.This was planned from the beginning. Therefore, I was fortunate not to be hit by the big liquidation of 312, because I knew that the big market trend of Bitcoin would never start at that time. There is nothing else, just make the expected plans and analysis and judgment, and watch as you go. Everyone has also seen the actual trend. Large foreign Wall Street institutions have entered the market in large numbers. The pricing power of the market has been taken over by developed countries in Europe and the United States since 312. If it is under control, the country is already weak. This also proves why the Bitcoin market generally starts at four or five o'clock in the afternoon, seven or eight o'clock in the evening, and four or five o'clock in the morning. The above is just a general statement, not necessarily. Including the recent major phased adjustment, it seems that after the trend comes out, there will be a wide-ranging washout, worth about 10,000 U.S. dollars. I still hold all the orders I opened last year, and my wallet balance dropped from the highest of 48.5 to about 28. My impression is that I haven’t wavered at all, I just have firmed up my judgment and understanding. Let me reiterate, contract trading is high risk, everyone must stay vigilant! ! !

My investment experience of turning around in 2020

I discovered the investment opportunity in Bitcoin around the end of October 2020. I did not do specific research at that time, but I knew that the market should come soon. Even if it does not come by the end of 2020, it will definitely come in 2021. Then I took action and transferred 372,000 from the stock market. I bought Bitcoin on October 30, 2020. The average price started from 13550 to around 13990. I bought a total of 4.1 coins. I will post a picture of the price later. Buy spot operation: Buy spot operation and then start operating the contract. I started from the original two to three thousand contracts. Before, I mainly did quarterly trading. Later, because quarterly settlement was required in December, I also opened perpetual trading before then and slowly rolled out. My approach is to put all the coins in my wallet, and then open an order based on the liquidation price to ensure absolute safety and prevent liquidation. This keeps going. This is the core content of my operation. This is my initial order record. 2020.11.05 Later on, I have been studying the market and thinking about some issues, how to make this transaction more perfect. I simply made a statistics on the Bitcoin market at a certain time (picture attached below). After completing the statistics, I became more convinced and strengthened my confidence. To be honest, I have been speculating in the stock market for nearly ten years and have not made a penny. Overall, I have still made a loss. I don’t know how many leeks have been harvested. Since the stock market is like this, then give the currency circle a try. I open perpetual and seasonal orders, and I ensure that the liquidation price is very low, at least $10,000 higher than the current price. 2020.11.12 15::26 pm 2020.11.12 18:13 pm 2020.11.13 7:14 am 2020.11.17 4:26 am Sometimes I wake up in the middle of the night and look at the market and take a screenshot 2020.11.17 19:24 pm At this time I have gone from 4.1 coins to 10 coins. When confidence comes, of course there will be adjustments and a trough stage later on. ​2020.12.22 22:19 2020.#btc #etf 12.25 19:44 pm At this time, basically all my orders have been opened. Then the assets are driven all the way onto the highway. In the early morning of December 31, 2020, it exceeded the four million mark. As the market gradually picked up, my profits also grew larger and larger, and I ignored all the intermediate bands. Because I know that you will never be able to buy at the bottom price, so I have always been firm, not doing swings, and holding on all the way. Even if there are adjustments in the middle, I rarely operate. Of course, your experience is great. I once , probably from 4.1 reached 13 (the number of Bitcoins). Later, the market encountered periodic adjustments. I was also hurt a lot, but I resisted all the way. Some orders were coming in and out in the early stage. It wasn’t until I made that statistical chart, and the quarterly contract delivery happened to be in late December, that I had already added the perpetual orders until I thought it was enough. Later, it should be 12,000 contracts. , for the current quarter, the issue of delivery was taken into consideration. I was watching the market at around 4 o'clock in the afternoon on the day of delivery. I used my mobile phone to operate it. A contract. Because it is a new quarterly order, the delivery will not be until mid-March, so I have always deliberately remembered the importance of the bottom price. Even if I am trapped, it is temporary. The delivery will be in March. At most, I will only pay a little more handling fee. The subsequent trend proved the correctness of my decision. The price of Bitcoin is a unilateral upward trend. 2020.12.31. The most original is this list, here is 2020.12.31. At 20:11 pm on January 2, 2021, at 20:11 pm on January 2, 2021, the assets exceeded the five million mark. At 23:06 pm on January 2, it exceeded the six million mark at 23:06 pm on January 2. In the early morning of January 3, it exceeded 7 million. It exceeded 8 million at 19:52 on the evening of the 3rd. It exceeded 8 million at 19:52 on the evening of the 3rd. Then there was the big retracement on the 1/4th day. I didn't move the order, but took the opportunity to use the second quarter contract to play short-term. At 8:02 am on January 7th, assets exceeded the 9 million mark. On the same day, it exceeded the 10 million mark within a few minutes. Assets soared to over 1,200,000. Assets soared to over 1,200,000. At 21:30 in the evening on January 9, 2021, another wave of adjustments was made, but my order was still there. I was already prepared for the bottom order and stayed put. Some people may ask, that is because you are lucky, if you encounter 312 in 20 years to the end of the year. . . . First of all, let me make it clear that Bitcoin was halved in May 2020. I would never open a contract at that time. I had considered it before doing this and I also summarized the Bitcoin halving. The subsequent market trend will probably start when. So I originally thought it would start in the first quarter of 2021, and then gradually enter the ambush in the fourth quarter of 2020.This was planned from the beginning. Therefore, I was fortunate not to be hit by the big liquidation of 312, because I knew that the big market trend of Bitcoin would never start at that time. There is nothing else, just make the expected plans and analysis and judgment, and watch as you go. Everyone has also seen the actual trend. Large foreign Wall Street institutions have entered the market in large numbers. The pricing power of the market has been taken over by developed countries in Europe and the United States since 312. If it is under control, the country is already weak. This also proves why the Bitcoin market generally starts at four or five o'clock in the afternoon, seven or eight o'clock in the evening, and four or five o'clock in the morning. The above is just a general statement, not necessarily. Including the recent major phased adjustment, it seems that after the trend comes out, there will be a wide-ranging washout, worth about 10,000 U.S. dollars. I still hold all the orders I opened last year, and my wallet balance dropped from the highest of 48.5 to about 28. My impression is that I haven’t wavered at all, I just have firmed up my judgment and understanding. Let me reiterate, contract trading is high risk, everyone must stay vigilant! ! !
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Silver and gold suddenly collapsed, which may divert funds to the cryptocurrency circle, narrow stop loss and gamble a little on the long. #美联储降息
Silver and gold suddenly collapsed, which may divert funds to the cryptocurrency circle, narrow stop loss and gamble a little on the long. #美联储降息
ETHUSDT
Opening Long
Unrealized PNL
+6.00%
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This market has completely exhausted liquidity, it's impossible to operate, even the robots have stopped placing orders.
This market has completely exhausted liquidity, it's impossible to operate, even the robots have stopped placing orders.
See original
Why I firmly believe that ordinary traders should refuse to adopt a ranging strategy, apart from the fact that the main source of large profits comes from trend following. There is another important reason: Psychological erosion. Once you sit in a ranging market for a long time, with a high win rate, you will habitually cultivate your own bad nature and unconsciously feel that your thoughts are correct. Over time, during a trend breakout, you will stubbornly stick to your views, abandon stop-losses, and continue to be wrong until you ultimately suffer. In a ranging market, not using stop-losses or relaxing stop-losses often allows you to 'hold on' or even turn losses into profits. This can form a deadly bad habit: underestimating stop-losses, even believing that stop-losses are ineffective or foolish. You have turned a risk management tool into an obstacle to profit. Traders heavily influenced by the ranging mindset typically go through the following thought processes: 1. Disdain: "It's fake; it will definitely come back." (Based on past high win rate experiences); 2. Adding positions: "Just right, I will add positions at a better price to average down the cost." (Reinforcing the belief that 'I am correct') 3. Anger and stubbornness: "How could it keep rising/falling? This doesn't conform to fundamentals/common sense!" (Bound to analysis, fighting against the market) 4. Fear and despair: Massive unrealized losses, far exceeding psychological tolerance, ultimately leading to cutting positions at the end of a trend or direct liquidation. He did not die from one trade; rather, he perished because of the 'deadly habit' he carefully cultivated with a high win rate. In a ranging market: you are contending with the 'market average' and 'short-term chaotic fluctuations.' Your opponents are other equally smart short-term traders; this is a zero-sum or even negative-sum melee. In a trending market: you are aligning with the 'market center' and 'long-term certainty.' When a trend forms, you are in harmony with the enormous power of the market; behind you are the forces of macroeconomics, industrial cycles, and capital flows. Your opponents are those counter-trend and stubborn traders. The greatest disadvantage for ordinary traders is not technology, nor information, but the immaturity of their mindset and lack of discipline. The ranging strategy precisely magnifies and erodes this weakest link. The continuous trial-and-error stop-losses of trend-following trading will not cause you to fail; rather, they will cultivate your increasingly resilient execution capability, and a sufficiently large trend profit will further strengthen your confidence in sticking to the strategy.
Why I firmly believe that ordinary traders should refuse to adopt a ranging strategy, apart from the fact that the main source of large profits comes from trend following. There is another important reason:
Psychological erosion.
Once you sit in a ranging market for a long time, with a high win rate, you will habitually cultivate your own bad nature and unconsciously feel that your thoughts are correct. Over time, during a trend breakout, you will stubbornly stick to your views, abandon stop-losses, and continue to be wrong until you ultimately suffer.

In a ranging market, not using stop-losses or relaxing stop-losses often allows you to 'hold on' or even turn losses into profits. This can form a deadly bad habit: underestimating stop-losses, even believing that stop-losses are ineffective or foolish. You have turned a risk management tool into an obstacle to profit.
Traders heavily influenced by the ranging mindset typically go through the following thought processes:
1. Disdain:
"It's fake; it will definitely come back." (Based on past high win rate experiences);
2. Adding positions:
"Just right, I will add positions at a better price to average down the cost." (Reinforcing the belief that 'I am correct')
3. Anger and stubbornness:
"How could it keep rising/falling? This doesn't conform to fundamentals/common sense!" (Bound to analysis, fighting against the market)
4. Fear and despair:
Massive unrealized losses, far exceeding psychological tolerance, ultimately leading to cutting positions at the end of a trend or direct liquidation.

He did not die from one trade; rather, he perished because of the 'deadly habit' he carefully cultivated with a high win rate.

In a ranging market: you are contending with the 'market average' and 'short-term chaotic fluctuations.' Your opponents are other equally smart short-term traders; this is a zero-sum or even negative-sum melee.
In a trending market: you are aligning with the 'market center' and 'long-term certainty.' When a trend forms, you are in harmony with the enormous power of the market; behind you are the forces of macroeconomics, industrial cycles, and capital flows. Your opponents are those counter-trend and stubborn traders.

The greatest disadvantage for ordinary traders is not technology, nor information, but the immaturity of their mindset and lack of discipline. The ranging strategy precisely magnifies and erodes this weakest link.
The continuous trial-and-error stop-losses of trend-following trading will not cause you to fail; rather, they will cultivate your increasingly resilient execution capability, and a sufficiently large trend profit will further strengthen your confidence in sticking to the strategy.
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The crypto market is scary now; recently, I've been trying to get into a few small coins. I can't even get in with several tens of thousands of U, and I need to open two accounts simultaneously. I'm planning to study how to play with altcoins; the major coins have already been manipulated to the point of losing all meaning. #加密市场反弹
The crypto market is scary now; recently, I've been trying to get into a few small coins. I can't even get in with several tens of thousands of U, and I need to open two accounts simultaneously.

I'm planning to study how to play with altcoins; the major coins have already been manipulated to the point of losing all meaning. #加密市场反弹
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From the dot matrix chart, it's not very ideal; the expectation is only one rate cut in 26 years! But the good news is that the previous expectation of the Federal Reserve was to start buying U.S. Treasury bonds in January, but now it has been moved up to December 12, when they will start purchasing U.S. Treasury bonds, with an estimated purchase of 40 billion dollars in a month! Mixed feelings, anyway, practicing Tai Chi 😂$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
From the dot matrix chart, it's not very ideal; the expectation is only one rate cut in 26 years!

But the good news is that the previous expectation of the Federal Reserve was to start buying U.S. Treasury bonds in January, but now it has been moved up to December 12, when they will start purchasing U.S. Treasury bonds, with an estimated purchase of 40 billion dollars in a month!

Mixed feelings, anyway, practicing Tai Chi 😂$BTC
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Sometimes watching you trade is really painful. It feels like watching you play Dou Di Zhu, holding 4 threes and 2 twos, a total of six cards. The patient strategy is to wait for someone to play a small pair, then you put down the two twos, and no matter what others play, you play four threes as a bomb. The impatient strategy is to play the four threes first, betting that others don't have a bigger bomb to counter you, and then you play the two twos. How do you play it? Three with two 33322, then keep one three in hand, betting that others can't take your 33322, and if they do, there's no way out. Watching you trade gives me this feeling; you're very keen on handling problems in the wrong way, occasionally winning and feeling pleased with yourself. Making a profit of dozens of U and happily taking profits, but not stopping losses and holding on until it bursts, then asking me what to do if I can't adjust my mindset. Here's what I do.
Sometimes watching you trade is really painful.

It feels like watching you play Dou Di Zhu, holding 4 threes and 2 twos, a total of six cards.
The patient strategy is to wait for someone to play a small pair, then you put down the two twos, and no matter what others play, you play four threes as a bomb. The impatient strategy is to play the four threes first, betting that others don't have a bigger bomb to counter you, and then you play the two twos.

How do you play it? Three with two 33322, then keep one three in hand, betting that others can't take your 33322, and if they do, there's no way out.

Watching you trade gives me this feeling; you're very keen on handling problems in the wrong way, occasionally winning and feeling pleased with yourself. Making a profit of dozens of U and happily taking profits, but not stopping losses and holding on until it bursts, then asking me what to do if I can't adjust my mindset. Here's what I do.
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The ETH long position has been closed, and there is currently a divergence. $BTC is being suppressed by the resistance level. However, the exchange rate and trend of ETH are performing well, so let's wait with a short position until the trend becomes clearer. #加密市场反弹 {future}(BTCUSDT)
The ETH long position has been closed, and there is currently a divergence. $BTC is being suppressed by the resistance level.

However, the exchange rate and trend of ETH are performing well, so let's wait with a short position until the trend becomes clearer. #加密市场反弹
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Join the group to share and discuss the market rationally, with wealth secrets revealed in advance at any time. #加密市场反弹 $ETH
Join the group to share and discuss the market rationally, with wealth secrets revealed in advance at any time. #加密市场反弹 $ETH
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+97.03%
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Since last week, I have been holding a long position on $ETH . During this time, there were fluctuations and spikes, but I held on. With this big rise, I don't know how many people trying to profit from high short and low long positions have been taken out. It’s human nature to run when you make a profit and to stubbornly hold on when you incur losses. Trading goes against human nature. For ordinary retail investors, the friendliest trading is trend trading — holding onto one direction without moving, and trying to use as little leverage as possible. The logic behind this wave is the expectation of interest rate cuts combined with the end of the Fed's QT, as well as the upgrade of ETH. The target remains unchanged, still aiming to see a profit-taking exit around $BTC 10w. #美联储FOMC会议
Since last week, I have been holding a long position on $ETH . During this time, there were fluctuations and spikes, but I held on. With this big rise, I don't know how many people trying to profit from high short and low long positions have been taken out.

It’s human nature to run when you make a profit and to stubbornly hold on when you incur losses. Trading goes against human nature. For ordinary retail investors, the friendliest trading is trend trading — holding onto one direction without moving, and trying to use as little leverage as possible.

The logic behind this wave is the expectation of interest rate cuts combined with the end of the Fed's QT, as well as the upgrade of ETH. The target remains unchanged, still aiming to see a profit-taking exit around $BTC 10w. #美联储FOMC会议
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+97.03%
See original
Damn, three months ago I was still a forever-earning blogger, but after holding a long position for over a week, I became a joke. When ETH skyrockets, Brother Kai will definitely take off. $ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金
Damn, three months ago I was still a forever-earning blogger, but after holding a long position for over a week, I became a joke.

When ETH skyrockets, Brother Kai will definitely take off. $ETH
#比特币VS代币化黄金
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+97.03%
See original
Why does Bitcoin always plummet at 10 AM when the US market opens? This tweet talks about an interesting phenomenon: since early November, Bitcoin has been decreasing for most of the time after the US stock market opens. The same situation occurred in the second and third quarters as well. Last night, Bitcoin erased 16 hours of gains in just 20 minutes after the US market opened. Previously, financial blogger @zerohedge has pointed this out multiple times, believing that Jane Street is the most likely entity to implement this behavior. From the charts, this pattern is too consistent to ignore: a complete crash within the first hour after opening, followed by a slow recovery. This is a typical high-frequency trading execution pattern. This aligns well with their requirements: • Jane Street is one of the largest high-frequency trading firms in the world. • They have the speed and liquidity to affect the market within minutes. In fact, Jane Street is the largest market maker globally, spanning across multiple markets including US stocks and cryptocurrencies. Their reported positions to the SEC reach as high as hundreds of billions of dollars, and of course, this is not even the managed scale. Jane Street is also the market maker for several of the largest Bitcoin ETFs. This behavior seems quite simple: 1. Sell Bitcoin at the open. 2. Push the price towards a liquid market. 3. Re-enter at lower levels. 4. Repeat daily. By doing so, they have accumulated billions $BTC . As of now, Jane Street holds $2.5 billion worth of BlackRock IBIT ETF, which is their fifth largest position. It looks very manipulative, and with macro headwinds, it has become even more adept. When will the big players finish accumulating? 🧐#比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Why does Bitcoin always plummet at 10 AM when the US market opens? This tweet talks about an interesting phenomenon: since early November, Bitcoin has been decreasing for most of the time after the US stock market opens. The same situation occurred in the second and third quarters as well. Last night, Bitcoin erased 16 hours of gains in just 20 minutes after the US market opened.

Previously, financial blogger @zerohedge has pointed this out multiple times, believing that Jane Street is the most likely entity to implement this behavior. From the charts, this pattern is too consistent to ignore: a complete crash within the first hour after opening, followed by a slow recovery. This is a typical high-frequency trading execution pattern.

This aligns well with their requirements:
• Jane Street is one of the largest high-frequency trading firms in the world.
• They have the speed and liquidity to affect the market within minutes.
In fact, Jane Street is the largest market maker globally, spanning across multiple markets including US stocks and cryptocurrencies. Their reported positions to the SEC reach as high as hundreds of billions of dollars, and of course, this is not even the managed scale. Jane Street is also the market maker for several of the largest Bitcoin ETFs.

This behavior seems quite simple:
1. Sell Bitcoin at the open.
2. Push the price towards a liquid market.
3. Re-enter at lower levels.
4. Repeat daily.
By doing so, they have accumulated billions $BTC .
As of now, Jane Street holds $2.5 billion worth of BlackRock IBIT ETF, which is their fifth largest position.

It looks very manipulative, and with macro headwinds, it has become even more adept. When will the big players finish accumulating? 🧐#比特币VS代币化黄金 $BTC
See original
The current market is in a chaotic fluctuation, and high-leverage short-term trading is basically like giving away money. So now it's either low-multiplication contracts or holding onto spot positions steadily, or you can set up a grid arbitrage. Trying to guess the direction in a chaotic fluctuation with high leverage can easily lead to a complete pullback after a few attempts. So I continue to hold my positions; yesterday, USDT issued another 1 billion, and expectations for interest rate cuts and easing are also on the way. Holding steady is better than chaotic trading.
The current market is in a chaotic fluctuation, and high-leverage short-term trading is basically like giving away money.

So now it's either low-multiplication contracts or holding onto spot positions steadily, or you can set up a grid arbitrage.

Trying to guess the direction in a chaotic fluctuation with high leverage can easily lead to a complete pullback after a few attempts.

So I continue to hold my positions; yesterday, USDT issued another 1 billion, and expectations for interest rate cuts and easing are also on the way. Holding steady is better than chaotic trading.
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+97.03%
See original
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+97.03%
See original
Although the market has been fluctuating up and down, Kai is still bullish on ETH. He also hopes that BTC can rebound to 100k and take ETH flying/#比特币VS代币化黄金
Although the market has been fluctuating up and down, Kai is still bullish on ETH. He also hopes that BTC can rebound to 100k and take ETH flying/#比特币VS代币化黄金
B
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
+97.03%
See original
Recently, I often see the saying "You only need to be rich once in life." I suspect some friends have misunderstood the meaning of Buffett's words. Isn't it true that most people think that being rich once means hitting a big win and then not playing anymore? There are indeed quite a few who think this way. I suspect the author of this book has gone to great lengths to attract gambling enthusiasts, and has also tapped into the retail investors' love for gambling mentality. Buffett's real logic is: "Being rich once" doesn't mean you go all-in for a gamble, but rather that you use a method that never goes to zero, and getting rich once is enough. "Once" refers to the irreversibility of the compounding process. Once you have crossed a certain wealth threshold through steady appreciation, it is very difficult to fall back down. This requires discipline, patience, and time, just as he said: "Life is like a snowball; the important thing is to find wet snow and a long hill." Going all-in creates an artificially steep cliff, which is not a "hill" at all. People like simple, exciting stories and detest slow accumulation. The narrative of "getting rich quickly and then exiting" satisfies human nature's fantasy of shortcuts, while the true "being rich once" is counterintuitive; it requires you to choose the "boring" right path when facing countless temptations. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
Recently, I often see the saying "You only need to be rich once in life." I suspect some friends have misunderstood the meaning of Buffett's words.
Isn't it true that most people think that being rich once means hitting a big win and then not playing anymore?
There are indeed quite a few who think this way.
I suspect the author of this book has gone to great lengths to attract gambling enthusiasts, and has also tapped into the retail investors' love for gambling mentality.
Buffett's real logic is: "Being rich once" doesn't mean you go all-in for a gamble, but rather that you use a method that never goes to zero, and getting rich once is enough.
"Once" refers to the irreversibility of the compounding process.
Once you have crossed a certain wealth threshold through steady appreciation, it is very difficult to fall back down.
This requires discipline, patience, and time, just as he said: "Life is like a snowball; the important thing is to find wet snow and a long hill." Going all-in creates an artificially steep cliff, which is not a "hill" at all.
People like simple, exciting stories and detest slow accumulation. The narrative of "getting rich quickly and then exiting" satisfies human nature's fantasy of shortcuts, while the true "being rich once" is counterintuitive; it requires you to choose the "boring" right path when facing countless temptations. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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Last month, every Monday was basically the peak point of the market, while this week, every Monday has been basically the lowest point. So I hope that once this shot is done, the market will start to move next week. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
Last month, every Monday was basically the peak point of the market, while this week, every Monday has been basically the lowest point.

So I hope that once this shot is done, the market will start to move next week. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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Recently, the topic of whether short-term trading can make money has become quite popular, so I'll share my own views. I believe that if you want to make money in the market, you must engage in short-term trading. If you don't trade short-term, you won't sense when real opportunities arise, and you won't dare to open a position; you won't even be aware of it. However, making huge profits from short-term trading is very difficult because short-term trading has a significant impact on one's mindset, especially with high leverage and heavy positions. Moreover, engaging in short-term trading is a mathematical problem; over the long term, your win rate will surely approach fifty percent, no matter how skilled you are. There are trading costs and psychological issues, making it hard to avoid losses. Therefore, my trading strategy has always been to use a small capital that accounts for about ten percent of my cash to engage in short-term trading, and when a big opportunity arises, I will go in with heavy positions. My profits since 2024 have mainly come from the surge in BTC, the meme market at the end of 2024, and the ETH market in August 2025. At other times, my win rate in short-term trading has been around fifty percent, and occasionally even the opposite direction. So don’t expect to make big money from short-term trading; almost no one can do it. Even if you do, you won't be able to hold on to that money. With small capital, you need to save your money. Whether you are working or using various methods, you must accumulate capital. You should wait for either a particularly good opportunity or a black swan event to strike with heavy positions to make big money. It’s not about having smaller capital and higher leverage. #比特币VS代币化黄金 {future}(ETHUSDT)
Recently, the topic of whether short-term trading can make money has become quite popular, so I'll share my own views.

I believe that if you want to make money in the market, you must engage in short-term trading. If you don't trade short-term, you won't sense when real opportunities arise, and you won't dare to open a position; you won't even be aware of it.

However, making huge profits from short-term trading is very difficult because short-term trading has a significant impact on one's mindset, especially with high leverage and heavy positions. Moreover, engaging in short-term trading is a mathematical problem; over the long term, your win rate will surely approach fifty percent, no matter how skilled you are. There are trading costs and psychological issues, making it hard to avoid losses.

Therefore, my trading strategy has always been to use a small capital that accounts for about ten percent of my cash to engage in short-term trading, and when a big opportunity arises, I will go in with heavy positions.

My profits since 2024 have mainly come from the surge in BTC, the meme market at the end of 2024, and the ETH market in August 2025. At other times, my win rate in short-term trading has been around fifty percent, and occasionally even the opposite direction.

So don’t expect to make big money from short-term trading; almost no one can do it. Even if you do, you won't be able to hold on to that money.

With small capital, you need to save your money. Whether you are working or using various methods, you must accumulate capital. You should wait for either a particularly good opportunity or a black swan event to strike with heavy positions to make big money. It’s not about having smaller capital and higher leverage. #比特币VS代币化黄金
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So awesome, this week has been very unfriendly to those who like to trade on the right side. Drawn three doors. The dog stock is treating me like a Japanese person. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
So awesome, this week has been very unfriendly to those who like to trade on the right side. Drawn three doors.

The dog stock is treating me like a Japanese person. #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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