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Ether synchronization at high altitude, rebound to the vicinity of 3060-3110, target 2950-2880, strictly maintain defense. $ETH

The daily level has recorded three consecutive bullish candles, with prices gently warming up to below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. However, the bullish candle body continues to narrow and has not effectively broken through the pressure level at the middle band. The bullish volume is insufficiently released, and the upward momentum is weakening, making a technical pullback highly likely in the future.

The four-hour cycle shows an alternating pattern of bullish and bearish movements. After the price retraced to support at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, it rebounded quickly and is currently operating above the middle band. However, the MACD indicator's red bars continue to shrink, indicating a gradual decline in bullish momentum, while bearish forces are spreading accordingly. Considering the signals from multiple time frames, it is recommended to set up a high short strategy relying on the pressure level in the morning.

Bitcoin: Short near the rebound at 89500-90300, with a target of 88000-86000, and strict defense. $BTC

12.20 Saturday Afternoon Market Sharing:

Yesterday's market continued the oscillating upward rhythm, with prices steadily rising from Baipan to nighttime. During the early hours, it faced pressure around the 89300 line and fell back, finding support near 86795 before stabilizing and rebounding.

From the structural perspective, the 4-hour level shows a slight bullish oscillation trend, with prices currently consolidating horizontally above the 88300 line at the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. There are signs of slight expansion in the opening of the Bollinger Bands, and the overall volatility range has noticeably narrowed compared to the usual Saturday norms. The 1-hour level Bollinger Bands are in a converging state, with prices showing a narrow oscillation pattern of alternating bullish and bearish movements within the middle to upper track. Multiple attempts to break resistance have been ineffective, and it is currently in a correction phase, perfectly aligning with the characteristic of light trading in the weekend market. It is highly likely to maintain a range-bound oscillation, focusing on high selling and low buying within the range.

Bitcoin: Short around 88500-89300 during the rebound, targeting the 87000-86000 range, with defense set above 89600.
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Ethereum: Short around 2990-3030 during the rebound, targeting the 2900-2800 range, with defense set above 3060. $BTC $ETH

US stock market opens, Dow rises 0.19%, S&P 500 index rises 0.28%, Nasdaq rises 0.51%. Pinduoduo (PDD.O) opens up 6.3%, the company announced the implementation of a co-chairman system at the annual shareholder meeting, appointing Zhao Jiazhen as co-chairman, alongside Chen Lei as co-chairman and co-CEO. Oracle (ORCL.N) opens sharply up 5.3%, NVIDIA (NVDA.O) rises 1.5%.

Ran early, brothers, this is it, as long as we can eat $BTC

Friday snacks should be no problem, guys! $BTC

After enduring the wind and rain, the rainbow finally appears, and it's time to sleep peacefully, my friends! $BTC

Ether synchronization big pie steps, rebound to around 2850-2900 to short, target 2780-2700, break down continue to look down, otherwise go long. $ETH

12.18 Bitcoin Afternoon Market Sharing：

Current market bearish signals are significant, with prices continuing to be under pressure after breaking through key support levels. From a technical perspective, the lower Bollinger Band has been effectively broken, the MACD indicator has formed a death cross and is diverging downwards, and during the decline, trading volume has increased, further confirming the strong release of bearish momentum. From a fundamental perspective, market sentiment has completely turned pessimistic, with multiple negative factors continuing to ferment, providing solid logical support for the bears.

Bitcoin: Short near 87000-87800, target 86000-85000, if it breaks down, continue to look down; otherwise, a long position can be taken. $BTC

CPI Ultimate Night: A "Data Game" that Affects the Fate of the Cryptocurrency Market

Tonight at 9:30 PM, the US CPI data will be unveiled. This is not only a key indicator of inflation but also the "last ultimatum" for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path, directly determining the short-term direction of the cryptocurrency market. The current market forecast for this CPI is 3.1%, and its transmission logic to cryptocurrency assets is clear: if inflation data is on the higher side, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut window will be further compressed, expectations for market liquidity will cool down, and the cryptocurrency market will likely face pressure adjustments; if inflation is below expectations, interest rate cut expectations will rise again, and expectations for liquidity easing will provide crucial support for the cryptocurrency market.

It is worth noting that Goldman Sachs analysts have given a more cautious judgment: the Federal Reserve's preventive interest rate cut cycle may have come to an end, and the triggering conditions for subsequent interest rate cuts will be more stringent, requiring clear signals of "further weakness" in the labor market. This means that a single favorable CPI data point is no longer sufficient to ignite market enthusiasm; the data needs to achieve a "precise balance"—it must reflect a controllable inflation situation while also concealing concerns about economic downturns to reactivate the market's fantasies about interest rate cuts. This expectation is more like a "tightrope" test for the cryptocurrency market.

For retail investors, three operational rules must be kept in mind: first, before the data is released, make sure to watch more and act less, and do not bet real money on the data results, as short-term market volatility will likely be sharply amplified; second, firmly hold Bitcoin spot positions, as the core value narrative of cryptocurrency assets will not fundamentally change due to a single data release, avoiding being washed out of positions by short-term volatility; third, if the data triggers a panic sell-off in the market, there is no need to panic excessively, as this may instead be a great opportunity for long-term investors to gradually accumulate core assets at lower prices.

Ultimately, the essence of investing is to deal with uncertainty, rather than to accurately predict every market fluctuation. At the critical juncture of data release, maintaining one's trading discipline and rhythm is far more valuable in the long run than guessing the direction of a single data point. #美国非农数据超预期 $BTC $ETH

U.S. stock market opens, Dow rises by 0.12%, S&P 500 index up by 0.03%, Nasdaq up by 0.07%. Netflix (NFLX.O) opens up by 1.66%, after Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD.O) board rejected Paramount Pictures' hostile takeover bid and continues to recommend a deal with Netflix; Oracle (ORCL.N) opens down by 3.02%, reports indicate that its $10 billion Michigan data center project is stalled, but the company later responded that the related equity transaction is still progressing as planned.

The bears are still strong, the first target has basically been reached, and the strategy can continue as is, my friends! $BTC $ETH

Ether synchronization high altitude, rebound to around 2980-3030 short, target 2880-2800$ETH

Bitcoin maintains a volatile correction, facing pressure around 88000, gathering momentum around the 87000 line at midnight, need to pay attention to bottom building signals. The probability of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan is extremely high, market sentiment is bearish, and overall shows a weak technical adjustment.

The daily price is under pressure at the lower Bollinger band, which is moving downward simultaneously; the four-hour Bollinger band is trending downward, with K-line operating below the middle band, which is the core resistance level. The strategy of continuing to aim for short positions during the day is the main focus.

Bitcoin: rebound to short around 88000-88800, target 86000-85000$BTC

The unemployment rate in the United States hits a four-year high, and the three major stock indexes open lower

On December 16, according to Jinshi Data, U.S. stocks opened with the Dow down 0.02%, the S&P 500 down 0.13%, and the Nasdaq down 0.19%. Pfizer (PFE.N) rose 0.15% after the company released its revenue guidance for 2026. Popular Chinese concept stocks showed mixed results, with Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) opening up 0.85%.

$BTC $ETH #美联储降息 Non-farm payroll data is set to be released tonight after a 43-day shutdown, marking the first report to set the tone for the market in the short term.

After a 43-day government shutdown in the United States, the first monthly non-farm employment data will be officially unveiled tonight. This delayed core data is regarded as the "gold standard peak" of the recent global financial market.

Marginal changes in the data will directly impact the market's pricing logic regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, thereby influencing the short-term direction of risk assets:

If the data falls short of expectations, signals of a weak job market will strengthen expectations for a shift towards easing by the Federal Reserve. With expectations for liquidity easing heating up, risk assets represented by BTC are likely to experience a sharp surge.
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If the data significantly exceeds expectations, the resilience in employment will strongly suppress expectations for interest rate cuts, leading to a rapid cooling of market sentiment. Cryptocurrency prices are likely to face downward pressure and corrections, and in the context of concentrated leveraged funds, the risk of chain liquidations needs to be closely monitored.

As a key variable for the year-end market, this non-farm report can serve as both an accelerator that ignites trends and a turning point that applies the brakes.

At this critical moment, it is advisable to closely monitor the release of the data and avoid blindly chasing gains or losses.

Ether synchronization at high altitude, rebound to around 2970-3020, target 2890-2800$ETH

Yesterday, the big coin fluctuated within a narrow range, and in the evening, it experienced a cliff-like drop at the 89800 line, touching a low near 85000 before a weak rebound. The overall decline was nearly 5000 points, and the current market is consolidating and repairing around 86000. Our high short strategy yesterday was accurately executed, achieving the target and realizing efficient profits.

From a technical perspective, the 4-hour level shows a clear bearish trend: the price broke through the lower Bollinger Band, the Bollinger Band is overall opening downward, and after breaking the track, no effective pullback occurred, continuously under pressure near the lower track; the MACD indicator's death cross continues, with green momentum bars continuously increasing, and the bearish forces have not yet weakened; although the KDJ three lines have entered the oversold area, no effective golden cross has formed, and the short-term rebound strength is limited, caution is needed for a second dip to the previous low points.

Big Coin: Short around 86500-87300, target 85000-83000$BTC

Here it comes, my friends, it's still the US stock market that's strong. The targets we've been watching have basically all been reached, and Ethereum went straight through. Just asking, how great is that $BTC $ETH