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A "hawkish rate cut" refers to a situation where the U.S. Federal Reserve lowers interest rates (a traditionally "dovish" action to stimulate the economy) but pairs it with hawkish commentary or projections that signal a slower pace of future cuts than markets initially expected, or a general cautious stance on inflation.
The December 2025 "Hawkish Cut"
On December 10, 2025, the Federal Reserve cut the target range for the U.S. interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to 3.50%-3.75%.
The "hawkish" aspect came from several key factors:
Slower Easing Trajectory: The updated "dot plot" (a chart of individual Fed officials' projections) indicated a median expectation for only one additional quarter-percentage-point cut in 2026 and another in 2027. This was more conservative than market expectations, which had priced in a higher probability of two cuts next year.Divided Committee: The decision was met with the most internal dissent since 2019, with two members voting to keep rates unchanged and one voting for a larger cut. This highlights deep divisions among policymakers regarding the appropriate path for monetary policy.Cautious Commentary: Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that future moves will be strictly data-dependent and that this cut was a "prudent adjustment" rather than the start of an aggressive new easing cycle. He noted that inflation remains slightly above the Fed's 2% goal, though tariffs were cited as a primary driver.

Market Impact
The initial reaction was mixed. While a rate cut usually boosts risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies, the cautious tone had a dampening effect on some markets:
Risk Assets: Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin initially took a hit, falling below the $90,000 support level as the less-dovish-than-expected outlook weakened risk sentiment.Stocks: U.S. stock markets, including the S&P 500 and the Dow, actually rallied sharply, partly due to the Fed's decision to begin buying short-dated bonds to manage liquidity, which some viewed as a positive sign for equities.U.S. Dollar/Yields: The U.S. dollar and Treasury yields initially surged as the prospect of higher-for-longer rates became more concrete, although the dollar later softened slightly as some analysts saw the cut as less hawkish than initially feared.Borrowing Costs: The rate cut is expected to gradually lower borrowing costs over time for mortgages, auto loans, and credit cards, which supports consumer spending. However, it may also lead to lower returns for savers using high-yield accounts.
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Disclaimers:Info and knowledge sharing.Not a financial advice.
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📉【Core Viewpoints】
Matthew Paley, CIO of Nomura Asset Management, pointed out in the latest report:
✅ Slowing inflation + weak labor market → increased likelihood of interest rate cuts
✅ The latest economic forecast will lower inflation expectations for the coming quarters
✅ Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve on policy paths have reached historical peaks

🔍【Key Data Interpretation】

1. The "brake" on inflation is evident
• Core PCE price index has been below 2% for three consecutive months
• Rental inflation fell by 1.2% year-on-year (the largest monthly decline in nearly 10 years)
• Commodity price deflation continues to spread (used cars/electronics down over 8%)
2. The employment market is "inflated"

✨ If you're reading this Post or if this post reaches you well, you don't need to go for other tutorials regarding how to avoid Liquidation.

I will break everything One By One....

🔍 First of All we should know what is Liquidation?

👉 In futures trading, liquidation (often called getting liquidated) means your position is automatically closed by the exchange because your margin (collateral) is no longer enough to keep the trade open.

🎯 Say for Example (I will take $100 for All the below examples)

You Opened a Position with Whole of your Capital or even 50% of your capital, So your position size will be very bigger than your capital (Collateral/total Futures Wallet)

If the Coin Goes Against you with even a Minimum Variation you will see your profit and losses to be very bigger,

In case of Loss of oringinal capital (Used as collateral) the exchange will automatically square off your position and your wallet will get empty.

Now comes the Main thing ✨

🤔 How to Avoid Liquidation (How to Open Positions with 0 (Nil) Liquidation Price)

👉 If you follow Me you might know about my 0.3% strategy.

👀 Very Simple you just have to open positions worth 0.3% of your initial capital (total future wallet).

Like as i said if you have $100 your initial capital used should be $0.3 and your order size will be $15 with 50X Leverage.

You will see 0 (Nil) liquidations in Long Positions and in Short the liquidation will be very far as to reach 👍

Hope you understood, you need to be good in maths so as to find 0.3% of your total capital.

This is enough for you too start your futures journey risk free.

Don't chase for big profit, you will get decent profit with this strategy, Monthly ROI will be More than 30% with Less risk ✅

⚠️ But as always Trading in Any asset involves risk please DYOR before taking any financial decision.

✨ This is Trading, This is life, Losses are lessons, Profits are Motivation ❤️

$LAB
{future}(LABUSDT)
$BOB
$PIPPIN
{future}(PIPPINUSDT)

Family, after struggling in the crypto world for a few years, I finally understand: many people lose not because there are no opportunities, but because they don't even grasp the most fundamental 'trading truths'! These 5 truths, 99% of people either don't know, or even if they do, they can't apply them. Understand them and you've already outperformed most people 👇
✅ Truth 1: The core of 'making big money' is 'losing less money', not 'making more money'
Don't always fixate on 'catching tenfold coins and how much to earn'. Those who survive in the crypto world for the long term rely not on 'single massive profits', but on 'losing less each time'! Even if you only profit 3 times out of 10 trades, if you earn 2 times each time you profit and only lose 10% when you lose, you will profit in the long run; but if you lose 50% each time and only earn 20% when you profit, no matter how good the market is, you can still lose everything— the essence of trading is a 'risk control game', and only by surviving can you have the chance to make big money.