金钱罐百宝阁
抖音号:金钱罐百宝阁。
擅长：一招鲜剥头皮
看见我，是缘。
看懂我，是同路。
其余皆是噪音，共勉！
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After losses, traders will experience three types of psychological deformation.
First!!
This is not a personality issue,
but the true reaction of human nature magnified by the market.
I have experienced all three types.
⸻
After the first major drawdown,
I discovered a very hidden thing:
The account is falling, but what really collapses is
It is my trust in 'self-judgment.'
Many people think that losses are just a matter of the capital curve.
In fact, it is not.
Losses are more like an earthquake of psychological structure.
After the shock, people will quietly deform.
I categorize this change into three types.
The first type of deformation: excessive caution.
You start to fear placing orders.
it's not that you can't understand the market situation,
This is not a personality issue,
but the true reaction of human nature magnified by the market.
I have experienced all three types.
⸻
After the first major drawdown,
I discovered a very hidden thing:
The account is falling, but what really collapses is
It is my trust in 'self-judgment.'
Many people think that losses are just a matter of the capital curve.
In fact, it is not.
Losses are more like an earthquake of psychological structure.
After the shock, people will quietly deform.
I categorize this change into three types.
The first type of deformation: excessive caution.
You start to fear placing orders.
it's not that you can't understand the market situation,
See original
After losses, a master judges the way of saying 'I am back', it has never been about profit.
After losses, a master judges the way of saying 'I am back',
It has never been about profit.
One day, you will dare to do nothing again.
At that moment, I knew I had steadied myself.
⸻
Many people mistakenly believe that:
As long as a profitable trade appears,
the state will come back.
But the pits I have stepped in tell me.
That is just a rebound, not a recovery.
True return happens in quieter places.
During that period, I had just gone through a round of drawdown.
The system is not broken, and the market is not extreme.
But I feel completely scattered.
I can place an order, but I do it very hesitantly.
I can cut my losses, but I do it very late.
It has never been about profit.
One day, you will dare to do nothing again.
At that moment, I knew I had steadied myself.
⸻
Many people mistakenly believe that:
As long as a profitable trade appears,
the state will come back.
But the pits I have stepped in tell me.
That is just a rebound, not a recovery.
True return happens in quieter places.
During that period, I had just gone through a round of drawdown.
The system is not broken, and the market is not extreme.
But I feel completely scattered.
I can place an order, but I do it very hesitantly.
I can cut my losses, but I do it very late.
See original
The win rate of the trading system is 70%, but the profit is only 2%. What is lacking?
The win rate of the trading system is 70%, but the profit is only 2%. There are the following four possible reasons for this situation.
1: The issue of profit-loss ratio.
Many traders, in the process of building trading systems and practicing, overly pursue success rates while ignoring the profit-loss ratio. The take-profit settings of the trading system are unreasonable, and the exit methods are too aggressive, making it difficult to hold onto profits.
Every time a position opens with a slight profit, it is closed. The overall result of trading is small profits and large losses, which leads to an unsatisfactory final profit result. As mentioned in today's question, the success rate has reached 70%, which is very high, but the overall profit is only 2%.
1: The issue of profit-loss ratio.
Many traders, in the process of building trading systems and practicing, overly pursue success rates while ignoring the profit-loss ratio. The take-profit settings of the trading system are unreasonable, and the exit methods are too aggressive, making it difficult to hold onto profits.
Every time a position opens with a slight profit, it is closed. The overall result of trading is small profits and large losses, which leads to an unsatisfactory final profit result. As mentioned in today's question, the success rate has reached 70%, which is very high, but the overall profit is only 2%.
See original
Those who have not thoroughly succeeded in trading cannot be successful!
No matter what trading market you are in;
No matter how many skills you have learned, how many books you have read, or how much tuition you have paid;
As long as you are still repeatedly losing, experiencing emotional ups and downs, and your account curve is fluctuating back and forth today — it can almost be certain that one thing is true: you have never thoroughly succeeded in trading.
If you feel a bit uncomfortable here, that's actually quite normal.
Because what is said below is not a technical issue, but a state problem that many traders will inevitably face.
Only when you are truly hurt and have thought deeply will trading undergo a qualitative change.
1: In trading, failure does not happen gradually, but is predetermined long ago.
No matter how many skills you have learned, how many books you have read, or how much tuition you have paid;
As long as you are still repeatedly losing, experiencing emotional ups and downs, and your account curve is fluctuating back and forth today — it can almost be certain that one thing is true: you have never thoroughly succeeded in trading.
If you feel a bit uncomfortable here, that's actually quite normal.
Because what is said below is not a technical issue, but a state problem that many traders will inevitably face.
Only when you are truly hurt and have thought deeply will trading undergo a qualitative change.
1: In trading, failure does not happen gradually, but is predetermined long ago.
See original
The most dangerous thing is not the crash, but the belief that you are invincible when the market is rising.
I have seen too many traders ruin themselves at this moment,
Including that past version of me who was so passionate it shone.
⸻
That year, I made a profit for several consecutive months.
Not to exaggerate, I walk as if the wind is with me,
I feel like I can understand the market's breathing.
Until one day, I raised my position to an all-time high,
Like Xiang Yu during the Chu-Han Contention,
Putting all my chips on 'This battle is a guaranteed win.'
The result you guessed as well.
The market turned against me with a knife.
It's not a sharp decline, but a seemingly gentle fluctuation,
Making me go from full positions to drenched in cold sweat.
Livermore once said:
Including that past version of me who was so passionate it shone.
⸻
That year, I made a profit for several consecutive months.
Not to exaggerate, I walk as if the wind is with me,
I feel like I can understand the market's breathing.
Until one day, I raised my position to an all-time high,
Like Xiang Yu during the Chu-Han Contention,
Putting all my chips on 'This battle is a guaranteed win.'
The result you guessed as well.
The market turned against me with a knife.
It's not a sharp decline, but a seemingly gentle fluctuation,
Making me go from full positions to drenched in cold sweat.
Livermore once said:
See original
This morning at 8 o'clock, Bitcoin was pressed down and rubbed.
From 93,000 it fell to 88,500, a drop of 4.3% in one hour.
After that, it continued to decline.
ETH fell 5%, BNB fell 7%, and 220,000 people across the network were liquidated, with 12.2 billion evaporated.
This is not a randomly appearing black swan, but a collective bearish sentiment of a choir level.
High leverage long positions were trampled.
Breaking below the 90,000 key level instantly triggered 15 billion in forced liquidations, a chain reaction of liquidations → prices further accelerated downwards → more liquidations, a typical case of long liquidation. Five core reasons behind this simultaneously exerted pressure:
The Federal Reserve turned hawkish.
The November data was too strong, halving the interest rate cut expectations, the dollar surged, and Bitcoin's correlation to interest rates reached -0.9, with liquidity at a freezing point directly draining the oxygen from high-risk assets.
ETF has seen outflows for 7 consecutive weeks.
Institutions are not bottom fishing; they are continuously withdrawing.
Last week saw outflows of 88 million, the funds that were frantically buying at the beginning of the year are now all dumping.
Regulatory uncertainty.
The U.S. cryptocurrency bill is stuck in the Senate, and domestically there is a renewed emphasis that virtual currencies are illegal financial activities.
Long-term holders sold 800,000 BTC.
Technical aspects are weak.
From the peak of 125,000, it has fallen back 25%, already teetering on the edge. The order book depth has shrunk, and selling pressure breaks through easily, even the Nasdaq's decline can drag BTC down with it. #交易员观察 $BTC
$ETH $BNB
From 93,000 it fell to 88,500, a drop of 4.3% in one hour.
After that, it continued to decline.
ETH fell 5%, BNB fell 7%, and 220,000 people across the network were liquidated, with 12.2 billion evaporated.
This is not a randomly appearing black swan, but a collective bearish sentiment of a choir level.
High leverage long positions were trampled.
Breaking below the 90,000 key level instantly triggered 15 billion in forced liquidations, a chain reaction of liquidations → prices further accelerated downwards → more liquidations, a typical case of long liquidation. Five core reasons behind this simultaneously exerted pressure:
The Federal Reserve turned hawkish.
The November data was too strong, halving the interest rate cut expectations, the dollar surged, and Bitcoin's correlation to interest rates reached -0.9, with liquidity at a freezing point directly draining the oxygen from high-risk assets.
ETF has seen outflows for 7 consecutive weeks.
Institutions are not bottom fishing; they are continuously withdrawing.
Last week saw outflows of 88 million, the funds that were frantically buying at the beginning of the year are now all dumping.
Regulatory uncertainty.
The U.S. cryptocurrency bill is stuck in the Senate, and domestically there is a renewed emphasis that virtual currencies are illegal financial activities.
Long-term holders sold 800,000 BTC.
Technical aspects are weak.
From the peak of 125,000, it has fallen back 25%, already teetering on the edge. The order book depth has shrunk, and selling pressure breaks through easily, even the Nasdaq's decline can drag BTC down with it. #交易员观察 $BTC
$ETH $BNB
See original
In the later years of Livermore, he repeatedly said one thing: "I did not lose to the market; I lost to myself."
I was very confused before and didn't understand this sentence at all.
It was only later that I realized this was the last words of a person completely dismantled by the market.
⸻
In the later years of Livermore, he hardly talked about techniques anymore.
No talk of breakthroughs, no talk of positions, and no talk of predictions.
He repeatedly wrote about only two things:
Emotion and waiting.
This is very unusual.
Because during the glorious phase of his life,
What he relied on was precise rhythm, decisive execution, and strong aggression.
But when a person has gone through the entire market cycle,
Only then will one understand:
What truly breaks a trader is not the inability to enter the market,
It was only later that I realized this was the last words of a person completely dismantled by the market.
⸻
In the later years of Livermore, he hardly talked about techniques anymore.
No talk of breakthroughs, no talk of positions, and no talk of predictions.
He repeatedly wrote about only two things:
Emotion and waiting.
This is very unusual.
Because during the glorious phase of his life,
What he relied on was precise rhythm, decisive execution, and strong aggression.
But when a person has gone through the entire market cycle,
Only then will one understand:
What truly breaks a trader is not the inability to enter the market,
Translate
我第一次真正崩溃， 不是因为亏损，是因为我开始报复市场。
我第一次真正崩溃，
不是因为亏损，是因为我开始报复市场。
那一刻我意识到，我已经不在交易了，
我是在和自己的失败拼命。
⸻
那是一段很长的横盘期。
行情不上不下，
策略一条条失效，我却不肯停手。
每一次止损后，我都会更快地下单，
不是因为看见了机会，
而是想把刚才失去的拿回来。
后来我才懂，这叫情绪性交易。
心理学里有个词，叫“损失厌恶”
人对亏损的痛感，
是盈利快感的两倍以上。
于是你会做一件极其危险的事：
用更大的风险，去抹平上一笔的伤。
利弗莫尔晚年曾反复提到一句话：
“我最大的敌人，不是市场，而是我自己。”
那句话不是总结，是遗嘱。
我记得《庄子达生》里有个故事：
工匠梓庆削木为鐻，
七日斋戒，忘我而后成器。
庄子想说的，其实只有一句，
心不静，手必乱。
那一夜，我关掉了交易软件，
第一次在盘中选择了“什么都不做”。
那种感觉很空，很难受，
却也是我第一次真正站在市场之外，
看清自己的位置。
我在笔记里写下了这些，
后来一次次救过我：
1）报复性下单，是心理失衡的信号，不是机会。当你想“马上赚回来”，市场已经离你很远了。
2）连续亏损后，最正确的动作是离场。不是换策略，是换状态。
3）交易不是战斗，是等待。高手，赢在耐心，不在频率。
4）你控制不了行情，但你能控制“不参与”。不参与，本身就是一种选择。
这些不是方法论，是幸存者偏见。是我一次次站在悬崖边，退回来的经验。
⸻
我想问你：
你有没有在连续亏损后，做过最不理智的一笔单？
那一刻，你心里在想什么？
#加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH $BNB
不是因为亏损，是因为我开始报复市场。
那一刻我意识到，我已经不在交易了，
我是在和自己的失败拼命。
⸻
那是一段很长的横盘期。
行情不上不下，
策略一条条失效，我却不肯停手。
每一次止损后，我都会更快地下单，
不是因为看见了机会，
而是想把刚才失去的拿回来。
后来我才懂，这叫情绪性交易。
心理学里有个词，叫“损失厌恶”
人对亏损的痛感，
是盈利快感的两倍以上。
于是你会做一件极其危险的事：
用更大的风险，去抹平上一笔的伤。
利弗莫尔晚年曾反复提到一句话：
“我最大的敌人，不是市场，而是我自己。”
那句话不是总结，是遗嘱。
我记得《庄子达生》里有个故事：
工匠梓庆削木为鐻，
七日斋戒，忘我而后成器。
庄子想说的，其实只有一句，
心不静，手必乱。
那一夜，我关掉了交易软件，
第一次在盘中选择了“什么都不做”。
那种感觉很空，很难受，
却也是我第一次真正站在市场之外，
看清自己的位置。
我在笔记里写下了这些，
后来一次次救过我：
1）报复性下单，是心理失衡的信号，不是机会。当你想“马上赚回来”，市场已经离你很远了。
2）连续亏损后，最正确的动作是离场。不是换策略，是换状态。
3）交易不是战斗，是等待。高手，赢在耐心，不在频率。
4）你控制不了行情，但你能控制“不参与”。不参与，本身就是一种选择。
这些不是方法论，是幸存者偏见。是我一次次站在悬崖边，退回来的经验。
⸻
我想问你：
你有没有在连续亏损后，做过最不理智的一笔单？
那一刻，你心里在想什么？
#加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH $BNB
See original
"I Made 10 Billion by Trading in Cryptocurrency"
In the turbulent cryptocurrency world, I was once an unknown retail investor. With the dream of wealth and freedom in my heart, I stepped into this field full of unknowns and opportunities. At that time, I had only a small amount of funds in my hands, but my heart was burning with an unyielding fighting spirit.
I know that to stand out in the cryptocurrency world, I must have extraordinary courage and unique vision. I began to study the trends of various cryptocurrencies, analyze market dynamics, and learn blockchain technology. Day by day, I gradually grew from a novice to an investor with a deep understanding of the market.
I know that to stand out in the cryptocurrency world, I must have extraordinary courage and unique vision. I began to study the trends of various cryptocurrencies, analyze market dynamics, and learn blockchain technology. Day by day, I gradually grew from a novice to an investor with a deep understanding of the market.
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